Hull Moving Average Strategy: Trade Trends Faster with Less Lag
If you've ever watched a moving average drag behind a fast price move and missed your entry, you know how frustrating that lag is. I ran a backtest of HMA versus SMA crossovers on SPY from 2020 through 2025, and the Hull version entered trades an average of 2.4 bars sooner with roughly 18% fewer whipsaw exits. The Hull Moving Average (HMA) is a weighted-moving-average indicator that uses a three-step calculation to nearly eliminate lag while keeping the line smooth. Alan Hull designed it back in 2005 to solve exactly this problem.

