Skyworks Solutions, Inc. research snapshot
SWKS AI stock analysis currently reads Skyworks Solutions as a profitable but pressured radio-frequency, analog, and mixed-signal semiconductor company. The stock is not a clean quality-at-any-price case because fiscal 2025 revenue fell, fiscal 2026 first-half profitability compressed, Apple-related concentration remains important, and the pending Qorvo transaction adds regulatory and integration risk. At the July 8, 2026 cutoff, SWKS last closed at $59.76, market capitalization was about $9.0 billion using 150.4 million shares, and the key question was whether Broad Markets growth, Android design wins, Wi-Fi, data center, automotive, and Qorvo scale can offset mobile share pressure. This SWKS AI stock analysis is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$59.76 close on July 7, 2026
Market cap
About $9.0 billion by share-count math
AI score
61 / 100
Rating
Cash-generative RF semiconductor franchise with customer concentration, margin, and merger risk
Trend status
Technically weak, below major moving averages after a four-day slide
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Skyworks sells RF, analog, mixed-signal, timing, connectivity, power, isolation, and front-end products into mobile and broad markets including Wi-Fi, automotive, industrial, infrastructure, data center, aerospace, and defense. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from RF design know-how, filter manufacturing, customer qualification, product reliability, patent and process knowledge, and long relationships with large handset and electronics OEMs, but customer bargaining power is high. | Medium-high |
| Management | Philip Brace became President and CEO in February 2025, creating a new execution period. The Qorvo deal, manufacturing optimization, R&D spending, and capital returns are the main tests. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue declined 2.2% to $4.087 billion and GAAP net income margin was 11.7%. Q2 FY2026 revenue was $943.7 million with GAAP diluted EPS of $0.24 and lower operating margin due partly to higher expenses and deal costs. | High |
| Valuation | At $59.76, financial_rigor.py calculated 24.80x GAAP TTM EPS, 1.56x book value, 12.69x free cash flow per share, 2.25x sales, and a 4.75% dividend yield. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The stock closed 34.26% below its $90.90 52-week high and sat below 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, with RSI readings ranging from oversold to weak neutral depending on source. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because mobile share loss, Apple concentration, broad market inventory, Qorvo regulatory review, merger debt, gross margin pressure, and multiple compression can reinforce each other. | High |
| AI confidence | High for reported financials, share count, market-cap math, merger facts, and technical snapshots. Lower for forward returns because the Qorvo transaction and handset RF share shifts are not fully observable in static data. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The franchise can generate cash, but the current stock case depends on stabilizing mobile revenue, executing Qorvo, and proving Broad Markets growth is not just a cyclical bounce. | Medium-low |
SWKS AI stock forecast
The SWKS AI stock forecast is scenario-based around the $59.76 cutoff close. The bullish case requires mobile stabilization, sustained Broad Markets growth, Qorvo regulatory progress, and a reclaim of moving-average resistance. The base case assumes moderate earnings recovery but a restrained multiple. The bearish case assumes more customer share loss, weak margins, merger delay, or a technical break below current support.
$74 to $117
More likely if Q3 FY2026 guidance converts into reported revenue stability, Broad Markets keeps growing double digits year over year, the Android OEM design win supports multi-year revenue, Qorvo review progresses without major concessions, and price reclaims the $65 to $71 moving-average resistance zone. financial_rigor.py produced a three-year bull value near $116.50 using 8% non-GAAP EPS growth and a 16x terminal P/E.
$50 to $74
More likely if Skyworks remains cash-generative but revenue growth stays muted, GAAP margins recover slowly, Qorvo closes with normal integration friction, and investors keep valuing the company as a mature RF supplier. The financial_rigor.py base case using 2% non-GAAP EPS growth and a 12x terminal P/E produced about $73.60 after three years.
$40 to $50
More likely if Apple or another large customer reduces content, Qorvo faces delay or expensive conditions, free cash flow falls, debt rises, dividend flexibility narrows, or SWKS fails to hold the $58 to $60 support area on heavy volume.
SWKS AI technical analysis
SWKS AI technical analysis starts from the $59.76 July 7, 2026 close used for the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. Public market data showed SWKS 34.26% below its $90.90 52-week high, Barchart moving averages near $69.18 for 20 days, $70.88 for 50 days, and $65.95 for 200 days, while Investing.com listed RSI near 26.3 and TipRanks listed RSI near 32.94. Because this static page does not fetch request-time chart data, moving averages, volume, and momentum should be confirmed in a live charting tool before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $59.76 | MarketWatch and CompaniesMarketCap snapshots showed this as the July 7, 2026 close used for the July 8, 2026 cutoff. |
| Near support | $58 to $60 | Uses the July 7 close and the weak price area around the latest selloff. A hold here would be early stabilization, not proof of a durable bottom. |
| Deeper support | $50, then $40 to $41 | Uses valuation scenario framing and round-number support zones. The $40.50 bearish scenario from financial_rigor.py is a business-case reference, not a chart prediction. |
| Near resistance | $65 to $66 | Barchart and TipRanks placed the 200-day moving average in the mid-$65 area, while Investing.com was higher near $73.00. |
| Major resistance | $69 to $71, then $90.90 | Barchart and TipRanks 20-day and 50-day averages clustered around $69 to $71; MarketWatch reported the 52-week high at $90.90. |
| 50-day moving average | About $65.50 to $70.97 | Investing.com showed $65.50, while Barchart and TipRanks showed readings near $70.88 to $70.97, so live chart confirmation matters. |
| 200-day moving average | About $65.43 to $73.00 | Barchart and TipRanks placed the simple 200-day moving average near $65.43 to $65.95, while Investing.com showed $73.00. |
| Momentum | RSI about 26.3 to 32.94 | Investing.com showed oversold RSI near 26.3, while TipRanks showed RSI near 32.94. Both point to weak momentum after the decline. |
| Volume | 5.3 million shares on July 7 | MarketWatch reported volume slightly below the 50-day average of 5.4 million, so any rebound needs follow-through volume. |
| Invalidation | Close below $58, then failure to reclaim $65 | A close below the latest support area weakens mean-reversion setups; repeated failures below the 200-day area keep the trend negative. |
SWKS AI trading strategy
The SWKS AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, live chart checks, merger news review, and fresh company filings.
Wait for SWKS to stop making lower closes, reclaim the $65 to $66 200-day area, and then test the $69 to $71 20-day and 50-day zone with improving semiconductor breadth and merger-news stability.
A close below $58 or a failed reclaim of the 200-day area after positive company news should invalidate the setup.
If SWKS sells off without a new business thesis break, compare the move with Q3 guidance, Broad Markets growth, mobile revenue, gross margin, free cash flow, inventory, Qorvo review status, and customer concentration commentary.
Do not average down without a predefined maximum loss and a fresh review of mobile share loss, Qorvo financing, and dividend sustainability.
Track mobile share, Apple-related concentration, Android design wins, Wi-Fi 7, data center and cloud infrastructure programs, automotive and industrial traction, gross margin, free cash flow, Qorvo approvals, expected debt, buybacks, and dividends.
Reduce confidence when price strength is driven by merger scale or low valuation headlines without matching revenue, margin, cash flow, and regulatory evidence.
Investment research summary
Skyworks sells connectivity and analog semiconductor content that helps phones, routers, connected homes, vehicles, factories, infrastructure, and data center power systems transmit, filter, amplify, isolate, time, and manage signals.
The moat is strongest in RF engineering, filters, process know-how, reliability, product breadth, OEM qualification, and customer support. It is weaker where large customers can dual-source, redesign content, or pressure pricing.
The thesis can fail if a significant customer keeps shifting share away, Qorvo integration consumes capital and attention, broad market demand softens, pricing erodes, or investors mistake high historical cash flow for future certainty.
Philip Brace inherited a business with cash generation but real strategic pressure. The next scorecard is Qorvo execution, R&D productivity, manufacturing optimization, margin recovery, leverage discipline, and honest treatment of shareholder capital.
Skyworks participates in long-term connectivity, Wi-Fi, mobile RF, automotive electronics, industrial IoT, power, and data center infrastructure trends, but it is not as directly levered to the highest-growth AI accelerator profit pool as leading compute suppliers.
The current price embeds skepticism about growth and margins. Margin of safety improves if free cash flow stays durable, Qorvo closes without balance-sheet stress, and mobile share stabilizes. It weakens if low GAAP EPS becomes the new normal.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| SWKS price | $59.76 close on July 7, 2026 | MarketWatch and CompaniesMarketCap quote snapshots | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $8.99 billion by $59.76 x 150.405963 million shares; financial_rigor.py reported 0.09% variance versus an $8.98 billion market-cap source | CompaniesMarketCap and financial_rigor.py market-cap verification | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 150,405,963 common shares outstanding as of April 30, 2026; CompaniesMarketCap showed 150.3 million shares as of July 2026 | Skyworks Q2 FY2026 Form 10-Q summary and CompaniesMarketCap | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and profitability | Revenue $4.0869 billion, down 2.2%; gross margin 41.2%; operating income margin 12.2%; net income margin 11.7%; financial_rigor.py cross-validated revenue against MarketBeat with 0.04% variance | Skyworks FY2025 Form 10-K and financial_rigor.py cross-validation | July 8, 2026 |
| Q2 FY2026 revenue and EPS | Revenue $943.7 million, GAAP operating income $42 million, GAAP diluted EPS $0.24, non-GAAP operating income $189 million, and non-GAAP diluted EPS $1.15 | Skyworks Q2 FY2026 results | July 8, 2026 |
| Q2 FY2026 balance sheet | Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities $1.4364 billion; debt $996.6 million; stockholders equity $5.7657 billion; net cash about $439.8 million before Qorvo financing | Skyworks Q2 FY2026 results and financial_rigor.py cross-validation | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash flow | FY2025 operating cash flow $1.3008 billion and free cash flow $1.1058 billion; first-half FY2026 operating cash flow $445.8 million and capex $138.9 million | Skyworks FY2025 Form 10-K and Q2 FY2026 results | July 8, 2026 |
| Valuation snapshot | financial_rigor.py calculated 24.80x GAAP TTM EPS, 1.56x book value, 12.69x free cash flow per share, 2.25x sales, and 4.75% dividend yield at $59.76 | financial_rigor.py valuation verification using public filings and market data | July 8, 2026 |
| Qorvo transaction | Skyworks and Qorvo agreed to combine in a transaction valued around $22 billion; Qorvo holders are to receive $32.50 in cash and 0.960 Skyworks share per Qorvo share; the FTC issued a Second Request in February 2026 | SEC filings and company transaction disclosures | July 8, 2026 |
| Management | Philip Brace was appointed President and CEO effective February 17, 2025; Philip Carter became CFO effective September 8, 2025 | Skyworks FY2025 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | July 7 close $59.76, 52-week high $90.90, Barchart 20-day MA $69.18, 50-day MA $70.88, 200-day MA $65.95, Investing.com RSI 26.3, TipRanks RSI 32.94, and July 7 volume 5.3 million | MarketWatch, Barchart, Investing.com, and TipRanks technical snapshots | July 8, 2026 |
This SWKS AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future performance. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of the stated cutoff date and can be wrong if filings, market prices, fundamentals, Qorvo transaction conditions, or technical signals change.
