Mettler-Toledo International Inc. research snapshot
MTD AI stock analysis reads Mettler-Toledo International Inc. as a high-margin precision instrument company that is regaining growth momentum as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, with the stock closing at $1,416.30 on July 31, 2026 at a market capitalization near $28.38 billion. The Q2 2026 report, released July 30 and discussed on the July 31 earnings call, delivered sales of about $1 billion up 7% in US dollars and 6% in local currency with 4% organic growth, adjusted EPS of $11.46 up 14%, and an adjusted operating margin of 29.3% up 50 basis points. Management raised full year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $47.15 to $47.50, lifted local currency sales growth to about 4% to 5%, and raised share repurchases to $875 million, with free cash flow guided near $900 million. China returned to 9% organic growth and emerging markets ex China remain about 18% of sales, but the stock now trades at about 28.7x forward earnings and sits slightly above the average analyst target of about $1,414, so the price already prices in much of the recovery. The analysis supports a scenario framework, not a certain price prediction, and is for information only.
Current price
$1,416.30
Market cap
$28.38 billion
AI score
76 / 100
Rating
Regaining momentum at a premium valuation
Trend status
Bullish above the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages after the Q2 2026 beat
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Mettler-Toledo is a precision instrument and services company selling lab balances, analytical instruments, pipetting, process analytics, industrial automation, product inspection, and food retail weighing, with TTM revenue near $4.13 billion and a 60.3% gross margin. | High |
| Moat | The moat combines instrument precision, brand trust in measurement, installed base service, workflow validation, direct sales reach, and a LabX software base that connects about 40% of instruments in a typical QA/QC lab. | High |
| Management | Patrick Kaltenbach has led since April 2021. Q2 2026 showed 4% organic growth, a 29.3% adjusted operating margin, adjusted EPS of $11.46 up 14%, and a full year adjusted EPS guidance raise to $47.15 to $47.50. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | Q2 2026 sales were about $1 billion, up 7% in US dollars and 6% in local currency with 4% organic growth, adjusted EPS rose 14% to $11.46, China grew 9%, and full year guidance was raised across sales, EPS, cash flow, and buybacks. | High |
| Valuation | At about 28.7x forward PE, 31.9x trailing PE, 32.9x trailing free cash flow, and 23.7x EV/EBITDA, the market prices in durable high single digit EPS growth, and the stock trades slightly above the average analyst target. | Medium |
| Technical trend | MTD closed at $1,416.30 on July 31, 2026, above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, with 14-day RSI near 71 and 14-day ADX near 24 after the Q2 earnings move. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Key risks are a premium multiple, China and tariff policy sensitivity, Middle East volatility, short-cycle demand with only about 1.5 months of backlog, and customer capex timing in product inspection and retail. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive facts and cross-checked math that matched across StockAnalysis.com, the Q2 2026 earnings release, the earnings call transcript, and the Q2 2026 Form 10-Q. Lower for forward return estimates because multiples, China growth, and tariff policy are uncertain. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. The page gives a research framework and scenario ranges, not a buy or sell instruction. | Medium |
MTD AI stock forecast
The MTD AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the July 31, 2026 close of $1,416.30 and the raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint of about $47.33. The three-scenario framework produced a bearish area near $970, a base area near $1,390, and a bullish area near $1,765 before any dividends, using adjusted EPS growth of about 2.5% to 10% and exit multiples of 19x to 28x over three years. These are scenarios, not price commitments.
$1,680 to $1,860
More likely if local currency organic growth stays near 4% to 5%, China keeps growing high single digits, service revenue and bioprocessing momentum continue, margins keep expanding ex currency, and the market holds a premium multiple near 28x.
$1,320 to $1,450
More likely if Mettler-Toledo compounds adjusted EPS at a high single digit rate, delivers the $47.15 to $47.50 guidance, and investors keep the stock near a 24x to 25x forward multiple.
$920 to $1,020
More likely if organic growth fades toward low single digits, China or emerging markets slow, tariff costs rise again, the Middle East conflict escalates customer caution, or the market compresses the multiple toward the 19x area.
MTD AI technical analysis
MTD AI technical analysis is bullish as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $1,416.30 on July 31, 2026, above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, with 14-day RSI near 71 and 14-day ADX near 24 confirming the post earnings move. The July 31 intraday high of $1,465.01 and the 52-week high of $1,525.17 remain overhead as resistance.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $1,416.30 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the July 31, 2026 close; market cap math uses 20.04 million shares outstanding. |
| Near support | $1,360 to $1,385 | The July 30 close near $1,380.61 and the late July trading range form the first pullback zone after the earnings move. |
| Next support | $1,315 to $1,335 | Barchart placed the 20-day moving average near $1,321.36 on July 31, 2026, a natural first trend support level. |
| Support cluster | $1,225 to $1,240 | The 50-day moving average was near $1,231.29 and the 100-day near $1,233.63 on July 31, 2026, forming a longer support zone. |
| Near resistance | $1,440 to $1,470 | The July 31 intraday high was $1,465.01; the average analyst target is near $1,414, so overhead supply is limited above $1,440. |
| 52-week high reference | $1,525.17 | The November 2025 high remains the main upside objective above the $1,465 zone. |
| 50-day moving average | $1,231.29 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 50-day moving average near $1,231.29 on July 31, 2026. |
| 200-day moving average | $1,318.50 | StockAnalysis.com reported the 200-day trend line near $1,318.50, below the current price. |
| 100-day moving average | $1,233.63 | Barchart reported the 100-day moving average near $1,233.63 on July 31, 2026, well below price and confirming the medium-term uptrend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 71, ADX near 24 | 14-day RSI was near 70.92 on Barchart on July 31, 2026, near overbought, and 14-day ADX near 23.67 confirmed a fresh trending move. |
| Volume | About 167,000 average shares | Barchart listed 20-day average volume near 166,725 shares on July 31, 2026, with the July 31 session trading about 257,000 shares on the earnings move. |
| Volatility | Moderate to elevated | Barchart reported 14-day ATR near $41.50 or about 2.9% and 20-day historical volatility near 31%, so position sizing should account for larger swings around reports and guidance. |
| Invalidation | Close below $1,315 | A decisive close below the 20-day moving average near $1,321 would weaken the short-term uptrend; a close below the 50-day near $1,231 would turn it bearish. |
MTD AI trading strategy
The MTD AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for trading and watching the momentum recovery. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh chart data, filings, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.
Watch for MTD to hold above the 20-day moving average near $1,321 and to clear the $1,440 to $1,465 zone toward the $1,525 high on rising volume before treating the post earnings trend as confirmed.
A daily close below the 20-day moving average or a failed breakout below the $1,380 area should trigger a stop and review.
If MTD pulls back toward the $1,315 to $1,385 support cluster without a thesis break, compare the price reaction with Q3 guidance, China momentum, and margin execution before acting.
Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because a premium multiple stock can compress quickly if growth or guidance disappoints.
Track local currency organic sales growth, China and emerging market growth, service revenue mix, adjusted operating margin, free cash flow near the about $900 million guide, buyback pace, and tariff or policy changes.
Reduce confidence if EPS growth depends mainly on buybacks, tax timing, or tariff refunds rather than organic demand and operating cash flow.
Investment research summary
Mettler-Toledo gets paid because customers need precise, reliable measurement inside scientific, regulated, industrial, logistics, and food retail workflows, with about 50% of sales going into production and about 20% into QA/QC.
The moat is a mix of instrument precision, brand trust in measurement, installed base service, workflow validation, direct sales reach, and a LabX software installed base that connects about 40% of instruments in a typical QA/QC lab.
The thesis fails if end market capex weakens, China growth fades, tariff costs rise again, product leadership slips, the premium multiple compresses, or the Middle East conflict escalates customer caution.
CEO Patrick Kaltenbach has led since April 2021. Q2 2026 delivered 4% organic growth, a 29.3% adjusted operating margin, adjusted EPS of $11.46 up 14%, and a full year adjusted EPS guidance raise to $47.15 to $47.50.
Automation, digitalization, biopharma reshoring, drug discovery, and quality control support demand, and China returned to 9% growth with emerging markets ex China near 18% of sales growing high single digits.
At about 28.7x forward PE and near 23.7x EV/EBITDA, the stock trades slightly above the average analyst target of about $1,414, so the margin of safety is thin and depends on durable high single digit EPS growth.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTD price | $1,416.30 at the July 31, 2026 close | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | July 31, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $28.38 billion, verified as $1,416.30 x 20.04 million shares with 0.01% deviation | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 sales | About $1 billion, up 7% in US dollars and 6% in local currency, with 4% organic growth and about 1.5% from acquisitions | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 adjusted EPS | $11.46, up 14% year over year | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 adjusted operating margin | 29.3%, up 50 basis points, or up 100 basis points excluding currency | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| 2026 adjusted EPS guidance | $47.15 to $47.50, raised from about 8% to 10% growth to 10% to 11% | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| Q3 2026 guidance | Local currency sales growth of about 4%, adjusted EPS of $12.00 to $12.15, up 8% to 9% | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| 2026 cash flow and buybacks | Free cash flow guided near $900 million, share repurchases raised to $875 million | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 China organic growth | China up 9%, emerging markets ex China about 18% of sales growing high single digits | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 organic growth by area | Laboratory up 4%, Industrial up 3% with core industrial up 4%, Product Inspection up 1%, Food Retail up 11%, service up 7% organically | Mettler-Toledo Q2 2026 earnings call | July 31, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $4.134 billion, up 6.91% | StockAnalysis.com income statement | August 1, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $905.61 million, up 9.14%, consistent across StockAnalysis.com statistics and income statement | financial_rigor.py cross-validation | August 1, 2026 |
| TTM EPS | $44.45, with diluted EPS of $44.43 | StockAnalysis.com statistics and income statement | August 1, 2026 |
| Cash and equivalents | $51.38 million as of June 30, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet | August 1, 2026 |
| Total debt | $2.11 billion as of June 30, 2026, with $67 million short-term and $2.05 billion long-term | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet | August 1, 2026 |
| Net debt | About $2.06 billion, calculated as cash of $51.38 million minus total debt of $2.11 billion | financial_rigor.py exact calculator | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation check | 31.86x trailing PE, 6.87x sales, 32.85x free cash flow, 2.72 PEG | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Forward valuation | 28.72x forward PE, EV/EBITDA 23.74, EV/FCF 35.23, EV/Sales 7.36 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average target of $1,414.36 across 12 analysts, low $1,200 and high $1,580, median $1,440 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | July 31, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 4 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 6 Hold, 1 Sell out of 12 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | July 31, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Jefferies raised to $1,580 on July 31, 2026, Goldman Sachs lowered to $1,340, Barclays lowered to $1,300, Stifel holds at $1,400 | StockAnalysis.com forecast latest forecasts | July 31, 2026 |
| Short interest | 786,539 shares short, 3.93% of shares outstanding, 3.68 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 1, 2026 |
| Trailing free cash flow | Operating cash flow of $975.17 million, capital expenditures of $111.20 million, free cash flow of $863.97 million over TTM | StockAnalysis.com cash flow statement | August 1, 2026 |
| 2026 and 2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate $4.25 billion with adjusted EPS $46.85, FY2027 revenue $4.43 billion with adjusted EPS $51.16 | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | July 31, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day SMA near $1,381.98, 20-day SMA near $1,321.36, 50-day SMA near $1,231.29, 100-day SMA near $1,233.63, 200-day SMA near $1,318.50, 14-day RSI near 70.92, 14-day ADX near 23.67 | Barchart technical analysis and StockAnalysis.com statistics | July 31, 2026 |
| Margin and return profile | Gross margin 60.26%, operating margin 28.87%, EBITDA margin 31.01%, ROIC 42.51%, no dividend, buyback yield 2.98% | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 1, 2026 |
This MTD AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available filings, quote snapshots, and third-party data as of the stated cutoff date. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, legal developments, market moves, or macro conditions.
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