Roper Technologies, Inc. research snapshot
ROP AI stock analysis reads Roper Technologies as a high-quality vertical software and niche technology compounder at a reset valuation as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, with the stock closing at $391.97 on July 31, 2026 at a market capitalization near $38.77 billion, verified as price times 98.90 million shares. The Q2 2026 report, released July 23, 2026, delivered total revenue growth of 9%, organic revenue growth of 5%, adjusted EPS of $5.38 above the guided range of $5.25 to $5.30, and free cash flow of $447 million up 11%, and management raised full-year adjusted DEPS guidance for the second time to $22.15 to $22.30 with total revenue growth now expected above 8% and organic growth near 6%. The company repurchased 3.6 million shares for $1.2 billion in the quarter, bringing cumulative repurchases to 9 million shares or more than 8% of shares since the program began, and it expects about $1.4 billion in gross proceeds from the Indicor instrumentation divestiture, with more than $5 billion of annualized capital deployment capacity. Offsetting this is net debt near $10.95 billion per the June 30, 2026 balance sheet, leverage of about 3.4x net debt to EBITDA, an Altman Z-score of 2.8, short interest near 5.98% of shares outstanding, a 52-week price change of about minus 29%, and a Hold analyst consensus with one Sell and one Strong Sell rating among 20 analysts. The analysis supports a scenario framework, not a certain price prediction, and is for information only.
Current price
$391.97
Market cap
$38.77 billion
AI score
75 / 100
Rating
Quality vertical software compounder at a reset valuation with improving trend and elevated leverage
Trend status
Improving trend, with price back above the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Roper owns market-leading vertical software, network software, and technology-enabled product businesses serving defensible niches in healthcare, education, legal, freight, construction, water, public safety, and industrial markets, with TTM revenue near $8.28 billion. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from workflow depth, proprietary customer data, switching costs, domain-specific products, decentralized operators, regulated end markets, and disciplined acquisition sourcing, with enterprise gross retention consistently in the mid-90s. | High |
| Management | CEO Neil Hunn continues to emphasize cash flow per share compounding, AI-enabled product development, acquisitions, and opportunistic buybacks, with Q2 2026 results beating guidance and full-year DEPS guidance raised twice this year to $22.15 to $22.30. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue grew 12% to $7.90 billion. Q2 2026 delivered 9% total revenue growth, 5% organic growth, adjusted EPS of $5.38, free cash flow of $447 million up 11%, and TTM free cash flow near $2.6 billion. | High |
| Valuation | At $391.97, verified math shows 16.49x TTM EPS, 2.07x book value, 14.78x free cash flow per share, 4.68x sales, and a 0.93% dividend yield, below Roper historical premium multiples. | High |
| Technical trend | ROP closed at $391.97 on July 31, 2026, above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, with 14-day RSI near 62.75 and 14-day ADX near 18.80 after a large drawdown and partial recovery. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate. Net debt near $10.95 billion, leverage near 3.4x net debt to EBITDA, goodwill near $21.3 billion, short interest near 5.98%, an Altman Z-score of 2.8, and mixed analyst ratings are material considerations. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because official filings and third-party data agree on core metrics. Forecast confidence is medium because capital allocation, acquisition timing, and software multiples drive much of the outcome. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium. The stock looks more reasonably valued after the selloff and has reclaimed its major moving averages, but the margin of safety depends on sustained free cash flow per share growth, deleveraging, and disciplined capital deployment. | Medium |
ROP AI stock forecast
The ROP AI stock forecast is scenario-based, not a precise price prediction. Using the August 2, 2026 research cutoff, the July 31, 2026 close of $391.97, the midpoint of raised FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance at $22.225, and a three-year model, the verified valuation anchors were about $591.60 in a bull case, $462.90 in a base case, and $315.70 in a bear case before dividends, using adjusted earnings growth of 10%, 7%, and 3% and exit multiples of 20x, 17x, and 13x. These are scenarios, not price commitments.
$560 to $620
More likely if Roper sustains mid-single-digit or higher organic growth, CentralReach and Subsplash turn organic as planned, AI-enabled agentic products monetize, M&A returns at scale, leverage falls toward 3x or below, and the market restores a premium multiple near 20x adjusted earnings.
$440 to $490
More likely if adjusted DEPS compounds near 7%, the $22.15 to $22.30 guidance path is achieved, backlog and recurring revenue convert into cash, acquisition returns are solid, and investors value ROP near 17x forward adjusted earnings.
$295 to $335
More likely if organic growth slows, AI monetization stays small, acquisition integration disappoints, interest expense stays high, the freight recovery at DAT stalls, or the market compresses the multiple toward 13x with the stock testing the 52-week low area near $305.96.
ROP AI technical analysis
ROP AI technical analysis turned constructive as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $391.97 on July 31, 2026, above its 20-day moving average near $365.29, 50-day near $345.77, 100-day near $347.83, and 200-day near $383.70, with 14-day RSI near 62.75. The 200-day moving average is the key level that was reclaimed, while the 52-week high near $556.23 is distant overhead resistance.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $391.97 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the July 31, 2026 close; market cap math uses 98.90 million shares outstanding. |
| Near support | $360 to $370 | The 20-day moving average was near $365.29 on July 31, 2026, a natural first pullback support zone after the recovery. |
| Next support | $340 to $350 | The 50-day moving average near $345.77 and the 100-day near $347.83 form a support cluster on July 31, 2026. |
| Deeper support | $305 to $320 | The 52-week low near $305.96 and the bearish valuation anchor near $315.70 define the lower support and risk zone. |
| 200-day moving average | $383.70 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 200-day trend line near $383.70, now below the current price after being reclaimed. |
| Near resistance | $395 to $420 | Minor overhead sits near the round $400 area, with the analyst median target near $420 and the J.P. Morgan target at $415. |
| Upper resistance | $440 to $480 | The average analyst target near $440.25, Baird at $480, and Truist at $475 define the next meaningful upside zone. |
| Momentum | RSI near 63 | 14-day RSI was near 62.75, strong but not overbought, while 14-day ADX near 18.80 shows the trend is improving but not yet strongly directional. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 0.89 million shares | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both listed 20-day average volume near 890,000 shares on July 31, 2026, useful for checking breakout quality. |
| Volatility | Elevated after the drawdown | Barchart reported 14-day historical volatility near 53.71% and 9-day near 58.51%, so position sizing should account for large swings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $365 | A decisive close below the 20-day moving average near $365.29 would weaken the recovery; a close below the 50-day near $345.77 would signal a return to range conditions. |
ROP AI trading strategy
The ROP AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It links price action with Q2 2026 results, the raised FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance of $22.15 to $22.30, organic growth, recurring revenue, AI product adoption, acquisition integration, debt, free cash flow, buybacks, and moving-average discipline.
Watch for ROP to hold above the $360 to $370 support band and to build volume on a move toward the $395 to $420 resistance zone, while earnings confirm organic growth, recurring revenue, and free cash flow strength.
Treat a failed move followed by a close below the 20-day moving average near $365 as a warning because the recovery would lose its first support level.
If ROP pulls back toward $340 to $350 without a cut to FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance or free cash flow quality, compare the reset price with the base scenario and debt trajectory before acting.
Do not average down only because Roper has a strong long-term record. Require evidence that leverage, integration, and organic growth remain under control.
Track Q2 2026 and Q3 2026 results, adjusted DEPS guidance of $22.15 to $22.30, Q3 guidance of $5.75 to $5.80, organic revenue growth, software recurring revenue, AI agentic product adoption, debt, interest expense, Indicor proceeds, acquisitions, buybacks, and cash conversion.
Lower the rating if free cash flow per share stalls while leverage stays above 3x, or if the stock loses the 200-day moving average near $383.70 after earnings.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Roper because its businesses provide mission-critical vertical software, data networks, analytical tools, and specialized products embedded in daily workflows across healthcare, education, legal, freight, construction, water, public safety, and industrial niches.
Roper benefits from niche leadership, customer switching costs, proprietary workflow data, recurring revenue, deep domain expertise, regulated end markets, and a decentralized operating model that preserves specialized knowledge, with enterprise gross retention in the mid-90s.
The thesis fails if acquisition discipline weakens, debt limits flexibility, organic software growth slows, AI products fail to convert into monetized adoption, the freight recovery stalls, or goodwill near $21.3 billion and amortization adjustments obscure economic returns.
Neil Hunn has leaned into portfolio reshaping, vertical software acquisitions, AI capability building, share repurchases, and free cash flow per share compounding. Q2 2026 beat guidance, and the company repurchased 9 million shares for $3.2 billion since the program began.
Roper sits inside a long migration from generalized tools to vertical workflow software, connected data networks, and specialized healthcare and industrial technology, with an accelerating move into agentic AI products across Vertafore, Deltek, Aderant, Procare, CentralReach, DAT, and SoftWriters.
At 16.49x TTM EPS and 14.78x free cash flow per share, ROP trades below its historic premium, but the margin of safety still depends on adjusted earnings quality, debt reduction toward 3x, and continued organic growth at a time when software multiples remain compressed.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROP quote reference | $391.97 close on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis ROP overview and statistics | July 31, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $38.77 billion reported market cap, verified as $391.97 x 98.90 million shares with 0.01% deviation | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 98.90 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis ROP statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 results | $2.1 billion revenue up 9% with 5% organic growth, adjusted EPS of $5.38, EBITDA of $815 million at 38.6% margin, and free cash flow of $447 million up 11% | Roper Q2 2026 earnings release and earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance | $22.15 to $22.30, raised from $21.80 to $22.05 | Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| 2026 revenue growth guidance | Total revenue growth above 8% with organic revenue growth near 6%, raised from approximately 8% and 5% to 6% | Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| Q3 2026 adjusted DEPS guidance | $5.75 to $5.80 | Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 segment growth | Application Software revenue up 8% with 5% organic, Network Software up 12% with 4% organic, and TEP up 7% total and organic | Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| Share repurchases | 3.6 million shares repurchased for $1.2 billion at about $341 per share in Q2, cumulative 9 million shares for $3.2 billion since the program began, or more than 8% of shares | Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| Indicor divestiture proceeds | Approximately $1.4 billion gross or about $1.2 billion after tax from Indicor instrumentation sale, expected to close in the second half of 2026 | Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $7.90 billion, up 12.26% from $7.04 billion, cross-checked across StockAnalysis.com, MacroTrends, and the Roper FY2025 release with 0.00% to 0.04% deviation | StockAnalysis.com financials and MacroTrends | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue cross-check | $8.28 billion TTM revenue, matching StockAnalysis.com income statement, overview, and statistics with 0.00% deviation | financial_rigor.py cross-validation | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | $364.9 million as of June 30, 2026 | Roper Q2 2026 Form 10-Q via StockAnalysis balance sheet | July 23, 2026 |
| Total debt | $11.319 billion as of June 30, 2026, with $718.3 million current and $10.601 billion long-term | Roper Q2 2026 Form 10-Q via StockAnalysis balance sheet | July 23, 2026 |
| Net debt | -$10.955 billion, calculated as cash of $364.9 million minus total debt of $11.319 billion, with leverage near 3.4x net debt to EBITDA | financial_rigor.py exact calculator and Roper Q2 2026 earnings call | July 23, 2026 |
| Total assets and total equity | Total assets of $35.17 billion and total equity of $18.70 billion as of June 30, 2026, matching the Q2 2026 Form 10-Q | Roper Q2 2026 Form 10-Q cross-check | July 23, 2026 |
| Valuation check | 16.49x trailing EPS, 4.68x sales, 14.78x free cash flow, 2.07x book value, 0.93% dividend yield, and PEG of 1.54 | financial_rigor.py valuation verification and StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Enterprise valuation | EV of $49.72 billion with EV/EBITDA of 15.30, EV/FCF of 18.96, and EV/Sales of 6.00 | StockAnalysis ROP statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Trailing free cash flow | Operating cash flow of $2.67 billion, capital expenditures of $46.7 million, and free cash flow of $2.62 billion over TTM, with free cash flow per share near $26.52 | StockAnalysis ROP cash flow statement and statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold with an average target of $440.25 across 20 analysts, low $335 and high $550, median $420 | StockAnalysis ROP forecast and analyst ratings | July 29, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 6 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 11 Hold, 1 Sell, 1 Strong Sell out of 20 analysts | StockAnalysis ROP forecast recommendation trends | July 29, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | J.P. Morgan $397 to $415 with a Sell rating, Truist $475 with Buy, TD Cowen $550 with Buy, RBC Capital $417 with Sector Perform, Baird $470 to $480 with Outperform, and Mizuho lower to $355 with Underperform | StockAnalysis ROP forecast latest forecasts and TipRanks | July 29, 2026 |
| Short interest | 5.91 million shares short, 5.98% of shares outstanding, 4.81 days to cover | StockAnalysis ROP statistics short selling | August 2, 2026 |
| 2026 and 2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate $8.57B with adjusted EPS $22.22, FY2027 revenue estimate $9.09B with adjusted EPS $24.26 | StockAnalysis ROP forecast financial forecast | July 29, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 20-day SMA near $365.29, 50-day SMA near $345.77, 100-day SMA near $347.83, 200-day SMA near $383.70, 14-day RSI near 62.75, 14-day ADX near 18.80 | Barchart and StockAnalysis technical snapshots | July 31, 2026 |
| Risk scores | Altman Z-Score of 2.8 and Piotroski F-Score of 7, with a current ratio of 0.55 and interest coverage of 5.88 | StockAnalysis ROP statistics | August 2, 2026 |
This ROP AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of the stated cutoff date. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, capital allocation moves, acquisitions, leverage changes, valuation multiple shifts, or market conditions change.
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