Roper Technologies, Inc. research snapshot
ROP AI stock analysis currently reads Roper Technologies as a cash-generative portfolio of vertical software, network software, and technology-enabled product businesses. At the July 8, 2026 data cutoff, ROP traded near $363.76 with StockAnalysis reporting a $36.71 billion market cap and 100.92 million shares outstanding. The bull case rests on FY2025 revenue growth of 12%, adjusted free cash flow growth of 8%, Q1 2026 organic revenue growth of 6%, higher FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance of $21.80 to $22.05, and backlog growth of 11.8%. The caution is balance-sheet and multiple risk: Roper carries more than $10 billion of total debt after acquisitions and buybacks, and the stock remains below its 200-day moving average despite the rebound.
Current price
$363.76
Market cap
$36.71 billion reported market cap, $36.71 billion calculated from price and shares
AI score
72 / 100
Rating
High-quality vertical software and niche technology compounder with strong cash conversion, but leverage, acquisition execution, and a sharp share-price reset keep the rating below a clear buy signal
Trend status
Recovering short-term trend, with price above the 50-day moving average but still below the 200-day moving average
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Roper owns market-leading vertical software, network software, and technology-enabled product businesses serving defensible niches in healthcare, education, legal, freight, construction, water, public safety, and industrial markets. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from workflow depth, proprietary customer data, switching costs, domain-specific products, decentralized operators, and disciplined acquisition sourcing. | High |
| Management | CEO Neil Hunn continues to emphasize cash-flow compounding, AI-enabled product development, acquisitions, and opportunistic buybacks, with Q1 2026 guidance raised after stronger results. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue grew 12% to $7.90 billion and adjusted free cash flow grew 8% to $2.47 billion. Q1 2026 revenue grew 11% to $2.10 billion and free cash flow grew 11% to $562 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $363.76, verified math shows 22.72x TTM EPS, 1.97x book value, 14.39x free cash flow per share, 4.65x sales, and a 1.00% dividend yield. | High |
| Technical trend | ROP is above the 50-day moving average near $337.31 but below the 200-day moving average near $396.31. RSI near 70.25 shows strong short-term momentum after a large drawdown. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate because the business quality is strong, but net debt, goodwill, acquisition integration, software end-market demand, interest expense, and multiple compression are material. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because official filings and third-party data agree on core metrics. Forecast confidence is medium because capital allocation and multiples drive much of the outcome. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium. The stock looks more reasonably valued after the selloff, but the margin of safety depends on sustained free cash flow per share growth and debt discipline. | Medium |
ROP AI stock forecast
The ROP AI stock forecast is scenario-based, not a precise price prediction. Using the July 8, 2026 research cutoff, a $363.76 stock price, the midpoint of FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance at $21.925, and a three-year model, the tested valuation anchors were about $739.30 in a bull case, $483.50 in a base case, and $306.90 in a bear case before dividends.
$700 to $750
More likely if Roper sustains mid-single-digit organic growth, integrates CentralReach and Subsplash cleanly, expands AI-enabled products, compounds free cash flow per share, reduces leverage, and the market restores a premium multiple near 24x adjusted earnings.
$460 to $500
More likely if adjusted DEPS compounds near 7%, FY2026 guidance is achieved, backlog converts into revenue, acquisition returns are solid, and investors value ROP near 18x forward adjusted earnings.
$290 to $320
More likely if organic growth slows, acquisition integration disappoints, interest expense stays high, buybacks fail to offset leverage concerns, or the market values Roper closer to 14x adjusted earnings.
ROP AI technical analysis
ROP AI technical analysis is mixed as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed the latest close at $363.76 for July 7, 2026, a 50-day moving average near $337.31, a 200-day moving average near $396.31, RSI near 70.25, beta near 0.75, and 20-day average volume near 1.34 million shares. MarketBeat showed the same $363.76 price reference and a 52-week range of $305.96 to $571.36.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $363.76 | StockAnalysis listed ROP closing at $363.76 on July 7, 2026, and this page uses that price for valuation math. |
| Immediate support | $337 to $345 | The 50-day moving average near $337.31 is the first support zone to watch if the rebound loses momentum. |
| Deeper support | $306 to $320 | The 52-week low near $305.96 and the bearish valuation anchor near $306.90 define the lower support and risk zone. |
| Near resistance | $396 to $400 | The 200-day moving average near $396.31 is the main resistance level that would need to be reclaimed for a healthier long-term trend. |
| Upper resistance | $472 to $500 | MarketBeat reported an average analyst target near $472.07, while the base scenario model points to the high $400s if execution remains on plan. |
| 50-day moving average | $337.31 | Price above this level supports the short-term recovery setup. |
| 200-day moving average | $396.31 | Price below this level keeps the long-term technical read from becoming fully constructive. |
| Momentum | RSI near 70.25 | Momentum is strong and close to overbought, so new entries need confirmation rather than a single chase signal. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 1.34 million shares | A move above the 200-day average should be judged against volume and the July 23, 2026 earnings reaction. |
| Volatility | Beta near 0.75 | ROP is less volatile than the market by beta, but acquisition, leverage, and guidance headlines can still move the stock sharply. |
| Invalidation | Close below $337, then below $306 | A close below the 50-day average weakens the rebound. A break below the 52-week low would put the bear scenario back in focus. |
ROP AI trading strategy
The ROP AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It links price action with July 23, 2026 earnings, FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance, organic growth, backlog conversion, acquisition integration, debt, free cash flow, buybacks, and moving-average discipline.
Watch for ROP to hold above the $337 to $345 support band and then reclaim the $396 to $400 resistance area with volume near or above the 20-day average, while earnings confirm organic growth and free cash flow strength.
Treat a failed breakout followed by a close below $337 as a warning because the setup would lose short-term moving-average support.
If ROP pulls back toward $306 to $320 without a cut to FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance or free cash flow quality, compare the reset price with the bear scenario and debt trajectory.
Do not average down only because Roper has a strong long-term record. Require evidence that leverage, integration, and organic growth remain under control.
Track Q2 2026 results, adjusted DEPS guidance of $21.80 to $22.05, backlog near $3.39 billion, organic revenue growth, software recurring revenue, debt, interest expense, acquisitions, buybacks, and cash conversion.
Lower the rating if free cash flow per share stalls while leverage remains elevated or if the stock fails again at the 200-day moving average after earnings.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Roper because its businesses provide mission-critical vertical software, data networks, analytical tools, and specialized products embedded in daily workflows.
Roper benefits from niche leadership, customer switching costs, proprietary workflow data, recurring revenue, domain expertise, and a decentralized operating model that preserves specialized knowledge.
The thesis fails if acquisition discipline weakens, debt limits flexibility, organic software growth slows, AI products fail to create customer value, or goodwill and amortization adjustments obscure economic returns.
Neil Hunn has leaned into portfolio reshaping, vertical software acquisitions, AI capability building, share repurchases, and free cash flow per share compounding. The key test is whether capital deployment keeps earning attractive returns after the debt increase.
Roper sits inside a long migration from generalized tools to vertical workflow software, connected data networks, and specialized healthcare and industrial technology. The trend is durable, but not immune to budget pressure.
At 22.72x TTM EPS and 14.39x free cash flow per share, ROP is less expensive than its historic premium, but margin of safety still depends on adjusted earnings quality, debt reduction, and continued organic growth.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROP quote reference | $363.76 close on July 7, 2026 | StockAnalysis ROP statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $36.71 billion reported market cap, with $36.71 billion calculated from $363.76 x 100.92 million shares | StockAnalysis ROP market cap and Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 100.92 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis ROP statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $7.90 billion, up 12% versus prior year | Roper FY2025 results release | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 adjusted free cash flow | $2.47 billion, up 8% versus prior year | Roper FY2025 results release | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and free cash flow | $2.10 billion revenue, $562 million free cash flow, and 6% organic revenue growth | Roper Q1 2026 results release | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2026 adjusted DEPS guidance | $21.80 to $22.05 after Q1 2026 guidance raise | Roper Q1 2026 results release | July 8, 2026 |
| Backlog | $3.39 billion backlog as of March 31, 2026, up 11.8% year over year | Roper Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day moving average $337.31, 200-day moving average $396.31, RSI 70.25, beta 0.75, 20-day average volume 1.34 million | StockAnalysis ROP statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Valuation verification | 22.72x TTM EPS, 1.97x book value, 14.39x free cash flow per share, 4.65x sales, and 1.00% dividend yield | MarketBeat ROP statistics and Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
This ROP AI Stock Analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future return. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of the stated cutoff date and can be wrong if earnings, cash flow, leverage, acquisition outcomes, valuation multiples, or market conditions change.
