PPG Industries, Inc. research snapshot

PPG AI Stock Analysis

PPG AI stock analysis currently reads PPG Industries as a durable global coatings business with stronger aerospace, packaging, protective and marine coatings demand, but with mixed regional construction and industrial demand plus raw-material inflation risk. At the July 8, 2026 data cutoff, the reference price was $120.22, market capitalization was about $26.80 billion, and the stock traded at about 17.15x TTM EPS. This PPG AI stock analysis uses scenario ranges rather than a certain price prediction, and it is informational research, not investment advice.

Current price

$120.22

Market cap

$26.80 billion

AI score

62 / 100

Rating

Quality coatings operator, cycle and valuation watch

Trend status

Above long-term averages, near-term pullback after weak close

Data cutoff (updated weekly)

July 8, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. PPG has long SEC filing history, company releases, segment disclosures, third-party financial datasets, and active analyst coverage, so the main AI research risk is repeating the consensus that coatings quality alone offsets cycle, inflation, and valuation risk.
bias Check
The bias check separates business durability from entry price. PPG has recognizable coatings brands, technical formulations, customer specifications, and a long dividend record, but those facts do not remove demand sensitivity, regional mix risk, or raw-material cost pressure.
ai Confidence
High for recent filings, price, market cap, revenue, net income, shares, cash, debt, and valuation math. Medium for near-term demand by region, raw-material pass-through timing, and technical levels after the cutoff.
investment Certainty
Medium. The business is understandable and profitable, but investment certainty depends on aerospace and packaging strength offsetting weak refinish, industrial coatings softness, Europe demand, China automotive mix, and input-cost pressure.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityPPG is a global coatings and specialty materials company serving construction, consumer, industrial, transportation, and aftermarket customers in more than 50 countries.High
MoatThe moat comes from brand reputation, coating chemistry, customer qualifications, distribution, color systems, aerospace and automotive specifications, and global scale, but pricing power varies by end market.Medium-high
ManagementManagement under Tim Knavish is emphasizing portfolio focus, restructuring savings, price realization, share gains, buybacks, dividends, and self-help actions.Medium-high
Financial trendFY2025 net sales were $15.875 billion, adjusted EPS was $7.58, and Q1 2026 net sales rose 7% year over year to $3.930 billion while organic sales grew 1%.High
ValuationAt $120.22, PPG traded near 17.15x TTM EPS, 3.31x book value, 26.48x FCF per share, and a 2.34% dividend yield, leaving limited room for execution misses.Medium-high
Technical trendThe stock closed below the 50-day moving average snapshot but remained above the 200-day average; price needs to reclaim the low $120s to repair short-term momentum.Medium
Risk levelRisk is moderate: raw-material, energy and logistics costs, refinish order patterns, European demand, China automotive mix, coatings competition, and FX can pressure earnings.Medium-high
AI confidenceSource depth is strong, and key market cap, shares, revenue, net income, cash, debt, valuation, and scenario math were checked with financial_rigor.py.High
Investment certaintyInvestment certainty is lower than data confidence because the thesis depends on demand mix, price-cost discipline, restructuring savings, and the market multiple assigned to normalized coatings earnings.Medium

PPG AI stock forecast

PPG AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The PPG AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $120.22 reference price. It is not a promise of where PPG Industries stock will trade. The bullish case requires stronger aerospace, packaging, protective and marine coatings demand, successful price-cost offset, and a higher quality multiple; the base case assumes modest EPS growth near current 2026 guidance; the bearish case assumes demand softness, margin compression, or a lower cyclical multiple.

Bullish case

$160 to $175

More likely if EPS compounds near 7% for three years, the market values PPG near 20x earnings, aerospace backlog stays healthy, packaging coatings continue share gains, and price clears the $124 to $133 resistance area with stronger volume.

Base case

$115 to $130

More likely if EPS grows about 3% annually, management lands the $7.70 to $8.10 FY2026 EPS guide, raw-material inflation is mostly offset, and valuation stays near a mid-cycle 16x earnings multiple.

Bearish case

$75 to $85

More likely if EPS contracts, European and industrial demand remain weak, refinish recovery is delayed, input costs rise faster than pricing, or investors value PPG closer to a trough-cycle coatings multiple.

PPG AI technical analysis

PPG AI Technical Analysis

PPG AI technical analysis starts from the July 8, 2026 reference price of $120.22, based on the July 7 market close. Around the cutoff, Investing.com listed PPG below its 50-day moving average near $122.32 and above its 200-day moving average near $117.71. MarketWatch reported the July 7 close was 9.90% below the $133.43 52-week high and volume was above the 50-day average. Because this page is static, live chart levels should be checked before acting.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$120.22Reference close used for this page as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff.
Near support$117 to $118Approximate zone around the 200-day moving average snapshot. A decisive close below this area would weaken the longer-term trend signal.
Secondary support$105 to $106Area around the low end of recent 2025 trading ranges and prior support references. A break here would point to a larger risk reset.
Near resistance$122 to $124Zone around the 50-day moving average and the July 6 close. Reclaiming it would improve short-term momentum.
Major resistance$133 to $134MarketWatch reported a 52-week high of $133.43 reached on February 12, making this the breakout area to monitor.
50-day moving averageAbout $122.32Investing.com listed the 50-day moving average near this level around the cutoff, with the close below it.
200-day moving averageAbout $117.71Investing.com listed the 200-day moving average below the market price, keeping the longer-term technical backdrop constructive.
MomentumMixedThe stock was above long-term averages but had two consecutive down sessions into July 7, so confirmation matters.
Volume2.5 million shares on July 7MarketWatch reported volume above the 1.9 million 50-day average, giving the down day more technical weight.
VolatilityModerate cyclical industrial volatilityCoatings stocks can move on raw materials, construction demand, automotive production, FX, earnings guidance, and industrial cycle data.
InvalidationClose below $117A decisive close below the 200-day average zone would invalidate the near-term trend-following setup.

PPG AI trading strategy

PPG AI Trading Strategy Framework

The PPG AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for research and monitoring. It does not tell any individual investor to buy, sell, or hold PPG Industries stock.

Trend-following setup

Watch for PPG to reclaim the $122 to $124 area and then test $133 to $134 with above-average volume while company commentary confirms price-cost offset and stable aerospace, packaging, protective and marine coatings demand.

A close below $117, weak breakout volume, or a guidance cut should invalidate the setup.

Mean-reversion setup

If PPG pulls back toward $117 or lower while filings still show resilient cash flow, stable guidance, and price realization, compare the price with normalized EPS, FCF yield, and dividend support.

Do not treat every decline as value if the selloff is tied to lower industrial volumes, delayed refinish recovery, margin compression, or higher raw-material costs.

Fundamental monitor

Track FY2026 EPS guidance, aerospace backlog, automotive refinish order patterns, packaging coatings share gains, Europe demand, China automotive production, raw materials, FX, cash conversion, buybacks, and debt.

Reduce confidence when price strength is not matched by volume, segment margin evidence, cash-flow conversion, and management progress on self-help savings.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay PPG for coatings, paints, specialty materials, technical service, color matching, performance specifications, durability, regulatory support, and global supply reliability across construction, transportation, industrial, aerospace, marine, packaging, and aftermarket uses.

Moat

PPG has brand recognition, chemistry know-how, qualified specifications, customer relationships, global manufacturing scale, distribution, and color systems. The moat is real but not absolute because coatings demand and price-cost spreads remain cyclical.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if raw-material inflation outruns pricing, Europe remains weak, refinish demand recovers slowly, China automotive mix hurts margins, industrial coatings stay soft, or investors stop valuing PPG as a premium compounder.

Management

Tim Knavish and the PPG team are evaluated on capital allocation, restructuring savings, portfolio focus, dividend discipline, buyback timing, price realization, and whether technical and commercial systems outlast any single executive.

Industry trend

Coatings benefit from long-term aircraft build rates, infrastructure maintenance, packaging technology, vehicle production, repair activity, and sustainable product requirements, but near-term demand depends on construction, industrial production, FX, and customer inventory cycles.

Valuation and margin of safety

The current price embeds a mid-cycle quality multiple. Margin of safety depends on PPG converting FY2026 guidance into durable earnings growth while keeping cash generation and price-cost discipline intact.

Source-backed data

PPG Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
PPG price$120.22StockAnalysis quote snapshotJuly 8, 2026
Market capitalization$26.80 billionStockAnalysis statisticsJuly 8, 2026
Shares outstanding222.90 millionStockAnalysis statisticsJuly 8, 2026
FY2025 net sales$15.875 billionPPG FY2025 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
FY2025 net income attributable to PPG$1.576 billionPPG 2025 annual reportJuly 8, 2026
FY2025 adjusted EPS$7.58PPG FY2025 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
Q1 2026 net sales$3.930 billionPPG Q1 2026 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
Q1 2026 adjusted EPS$1.83PPG Q1 2026 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
FY2026 EPS guidance$7.70 to $8.10 adjusted EPSPPG Q1 2026 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
Insider ownership0.11%StockAnalysis statisticsJuly 8, 2026
CEO ownership requirement contextTim Knavish stock ownership was about 5.5x base salary at 2024 year endPPG proxy statementJuly 8, 2026
Cash and short-term investments$1.624 billion at Q1 2026 quarter endPPG Q1 2026 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
Net debt$5.5 billion at Q1 2026 quarter endPPG Q1 2026 earnings releaseJuly 8, 2026
TTM EPS$7.01StockAnalysis financialsJuly 8, 2026
50-day and 200-day moving averagesAbout $122.32 and $117.71Investing.com technical snapshotJuly 8, 2026
52-week high and July 7 volume$133.43 high, 2.5 million shares tradedMarketWatch July 7, 2026 market noteJuly 8, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This PPG AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a personalized trading plan. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of the stated cutoff date and can be wrong if earnings, guidance, rates, raw-material costs, market sentiment, or company fundamentals change.