Parker-Hannifin Corporation research snapshot
PH AI stock analysis currently reads Parker-Hannifin as a high-quality motion and control technology company with record fiscal 2026 third quarter sales of $5.5 billion, a record $12.5 billion backlog, orders up 9%, and durable free cash flow near $3.7 billion on a trailing basis. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, PH closed at $976.53 on July 31, and market cap math using 126.09 million shares implied $123.13 billion. The AI view is constructive on business quality, aftermarket mix, aerospace growth, and management execution, but the stock trades near 36x trailing earnings and carries two pending acquisitions, Filtration Group for $9.25 billion and CIRCOR Aerospace for $2.55 billion, that add integration and debt risk. This page uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction, and is for informational use only.
Current price
$976.53
Market cap
$123.13 billion as of the July 31, 2026 close
AI score
75 / 100
Rating
High-quality motion and control compounder with record aerospace demand and a growing filtration aftermarket, but a demanding valuation and a large debt-funded acquisition pipeline limit the margin of safety
Trend status
Constructive uptrend: PH closed above both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages on July 31, 2026, about 5.6% below the $1,034.96 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Parker-Hannifin sells engineered motion, control, fluid, filtration, sealing, and aerospace systems that are embedded in customer equipment and aftermarket service needs across industrial, aerospace, energy, and HVAC end markets. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from application engineering, installed base, distribution, aerospace qualification cycles, proprietary filtration media, aftermarket relationships, scale, and the operating discipline of The Win Strategy. | High |
| Management | CEO Jenny Parmentier has sustained record sales, adjusted margin expansion, cash generation, an 11% dividend increase to $2.00 per quarter, buybacks, and portfolio shaping through the Filtration Group, CIRCOR Aerospace, and Curtis Instruments transactions. | High |
| Financial trend | Fiscal 2025 revenue was $19.85 billion and net income was $3.53 billion, while the trailing twelve months through March 2026 show revenue of about $20.99 billion and net income of about $3.48 billion, with fiscal 2026 Q3 sales up 11% to a record $5.5 billion. | High |
| Valuation | At $976.53, PH traded near 36.0x trailing EPS, 29.4x forward earnings, 8.4x book value, 33.5x free cash flow, and a 2.99% free cash flow yield, above its own historical multiples and above the sell-side average target of $1,039.70. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | Price sits above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with neutral momentum, about 5.6% under the February 2026 high, after reclaiming the 20-day average in July. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are industrial cyclicality, aerospace program timing, tariffs and supply chain costs, integration and debt from the Filtration Group and CIRCOR Aerospace deals, and valuation compression on any guidance miss. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for source-backed business and financial facts, medium for trading timing and three-year multiple assumptions. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium. PH is a strong business, but the stock needs sustained mid-single-digit organic growth, aerospace strength, clean deal integration, margin discipline, and sensible capital allocation to justify the current multiple. | Medium |
PH AI stock forecast
The PH AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $976.53 close, trailing EPS of $27.11, and a three-year model audited with financial_rigor.py. The model produced a bullish value near $1,143, a base value near $888, and a bearish value near $445 before dividends, which implies limited base-case upside from the August 2026 price.
$1,100 to $1,180
More likely if fiscal 2026 results exceed the $31.20 adjusted EPS guidance, aerospace organic growth stays double digit, order rates remain positive, the Filtration Group and CIRCOR Aerospace deals close and integrate cleanly, and investors keep valuing PH near 30x earnings.
$850 to $920
More likely if EPS compounds near 8%, organic sales growth normalizes after a strong aerospace cycle, margins hold but do not expand much, and the market values PH near 26x earnings, a level closer to its own history.
$430 to $480
More likely if industrial orders weaken, aerospace aftermarket growth slows, tariffs or supply chain costs pressure margins, the acquisition pipeline strains the balance sheet, or PH rerates toward a mid-teens industrial multiple.
PH AI technical analysis
PH AI technical analysis is constructive as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis and Yahoo Finance reported PH closed at $976.53 on July 31, 2026, up 1.43% for the session, about 5.6% below the $1,034.96 52-week high and above the 50-day moving average near $929.70 and the 200-day moving average near $906.96. RSI was near 55.8, which is neutral, and Zacks noted in July that PH had reclaimed its 20-day moving average. Live chart checks should still be refreshed before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $976.53 | StockAnalysis and Yahoo Finance reported the July 31, 2026 close at $976.53, up $13.74 or 1.43% for the session. |
| Near support | $925 to $935 | The 50-day moving average near $929.70 is the first area to monitor for trend support after the July rally. |
| Deeper support | $900 to $912 | The 200-day moving average near $906.96 is a stronger pullback zone while the long-term uptrend stays intact. |
| Near resistance | $980 to $985 | The July 31 session high was $980.44, and this zone can act as short-term supply before the stock tests the 52-week high. |
| Major resistance | $1,034.96 | StockAnalysis and Yahoo Finance reported the 52-week high at $1,034.96, reached in February 2026. |
| Moving averages | 50-day about $929.70, 200-day about $906.96 | StockAnalysis showed PH above both averages, so the primary trend remains constructive. |
| Momentum | RSI about 55.8 | StockAnalysis showed neutral momentum, neither an oversold setup nor an extreme overbought reading. |
| Volume | 477,153 versus 543,303 20-day average | StockAnalysis reported July 31 volume below the 20-day average, so a breakout above $985 would need better participation. |
| Invalidation | Close below $907, then $900 | A decisive close below the 200-day moving-average area would weaken the constructive trend framework. |
PH AI trading strategy
The PH AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a high-quality industrial stock trading at a premium multiple with two pending acquisitions. It is not personal advice and should be paired with live chart data, position sizing, and the August 6 fiscal 2026 Q4 results and FY2027 outlook.
Look for PH to reclaim and hold the $980 to $985 short-term resistance zone, then test the $1,035 52-week high on stronger volume. Confirm that orders, backlog, adjusted segment margin, fiscal 2026 EPS guidance near $31.20 adjusted, free cash flow, and deal progress remain supportive.
A breakout attempt that fails and closes back below the 200-day area should reduce confidence in the trend setup.
If PH pulls back toward $925 to $935 without a guidance cut, review whether the selloff reflects general industrial multiple pressure or a real change in orders, margins, acquisition debt, and aerospace demand before adding exposure.
Do not average down only because PH is a respected compounder. A premium multiple can contract sharply if order rates slow or integration execution disappoints.
Track reported and organic sales growth, adjusted segment margin near 27%, adjusted EPS guidance near $31.20, order rates, the $12.5 billion backlog, Filtration Group and CIRCOR Aerospace approvals, debt levels, the $8.00 annual dividend, and buybacks.
Reduce confidence if order rates turn negative, backlog falls, adjusted margin slips, debt rises faster than planned, or management deploys capital in a way that weakens per-share value.
Investment research summary
Parker-Hannifin is paid because customers need reliable motion, control, fluid, filtration, sealing, and aerospace systems that keep industrial equipment, aircraft, vehicles, energy assets, and HVAC systems operating and safe.
The moat is built from engineering know-how, qualified components, proprietary filtration media, installed base, aftermarket service, distribution reach, scale purchasing, and process discipline from The Win Strategy.
The thesis fails if PH overpays for the Filtration Group and CIRCOR Aerospace deals, aerospace demand normalizes faster than expected, tariffs and supply costs compress margin, debt limits flexibility, or the market stops paying a premium industrial multiple.
Management has executed major portfolio moves, expanded aerospace and filtration exposure, raised the dividend for 70 consecutive fiscal years, repurchased shares, and sustained high margins. The next test is integrating Filtration Group and CIRCOR Aerospace while keeping debt under control.
PH benefits from aerospace build rates, defense demand, automation, electrification, energy infrastructure, and industrial replacement cycles. The offset is that many end markets remain cyclical and sensitive to rates, tariffs, and capital spending.
The verified scenario model shows limited base-case upside from the August 2026 price unless growth and multiples stay strong. Margin of safety is modest because the stock already discounts much of the quality story.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| PH price | $976.53 close on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis and Yahoo Finance quote data | August 2, 2026 |
| Market cap | $123.13 billion | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 126.09 million | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $19.850 billion | Parker-Hannifin FY2025 Form 10-K | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | $3.532 billion | Parker-Hannifin FY2025 Form 10-K | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and EPS | $20.99 billion revenue and $27.11 EPS | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 Q3 sales | $5.486 billion, up 11%, with organic sales up 6.5% | Parker-Hannifin FY2026 Q3 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 Q3 adjusted EPS | $8.17, up 18%, a record | Parker-Hannifin FY2026 Q3 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 outlook | 7% reported sales growth and $31.20 adjusted EPS | Parker-Hannifin FY2026 Q3 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Orders and backlog | Orders up 9% and a record $12.5 billion backlog | Parker-Hannifin FY2026 Q3 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Dividend | Raised 11% to $2.00 per quarter, 70 consecutive years | Parker-Hannifin dividend announcement | August 2, 2026 |
| Filtration Group acquisition | $9.25 billion cash, expected within 6 to 12 months | Parker-Hannifin acquisition announcement | August 2, 2026 |
| CIRCOR Aerospace acquisition | $2.55 billion cash, expected to close in the second half of 2026 | Parker-Hannifin acquisition announcement | August 2, 2026 |
| Q4 FY2026 earnings date | August 6, 2026, before market open | Parker-Hannifin earnings announcement | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy rating with a $1,039.70 average price target | StockAnalysis forecast and Yahoo Finance | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical context | 50-day MA $929.70, 200-day MA $906.96, RSI 55.81 | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
This PH AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, does not consider your financial situation, and should not be used as a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of August 2, 2026 and may be wrong if earnings, orders, margins, acquisitions, debt, rates, or market multiples change.
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