Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated research snapshot
PEG AI stock analysis currently reads Public Service Enterprise Group as a mostly regulated New Jersey electric and gas utility with a valuable carbon-free nuclear fleet, 2026 non-GAAP operating EPS guidance of $4.28 to $4.40, and a long-term target to grow operating earnings by 6% to 8% per year through 2030 without new equity or asset sales. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, PEG closed at $76.68 on July 31, down from the mid-$80s seen in July, with a verified market capitalization near $38.21 billion and a 3.50% dividend yield. The stock is now below its 50-day moving average near $79.64 and its 200-day moving average near $80.95, with 14-day RSI near 35.68, after falling about 13.73% over 52 weeks toward the low end of its $76.05 to $91.26 range. Q1 2026, reported May 5, 2026, delivered net income of $741 million and non-GAAP operating earnings of $1.55 per share, and management reaffirmed full-year 2026 non-GAAP operating EPS guidance of $4.28 to $4.40. The PEG AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges, not a guaranteed price prediction, because utility multiples, interest rates, New Jersey rate policy, nuclear power prices, data-center load conversion, and capital funding can change the setup.
Current price
$76.68
Market cap
$38.21 billion verified market cap
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
Regulated New Jersey utility and nuclear operator with visible earnings growth, but a pullback near the 52-week low and a premium multiple under pressure
Trend status
Below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with RSI near 36, trading close to the 52-week low
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | PSEG operates the largest electric and gas utility in New Jersey, serving about 2.4 million electric and 1.9 million gas customers, and owns 3,758 MW of carbon-free baseload nuclear generation. | High |
| Moat | The moat is regulatory, infrastructure, and asset based: franchise utility territory, transmission and distribution networks, customer necessity, nuclear baseload capacity, and a hard-to-replicate New Jersey grid position. | High |
| Management | Ralph LaRossa reaffirmed a 6% to 8% operating earnings growth target through 2030 and 2026 operating EPS guidance of $4.28 to $4.40, while keeping electric rates flat in 2026 under New Jersey executive orders, with funding not dependent on common equity issuance or asset sales. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 operating revenue was $12.168 billion, up 18.25%, and net income was $2.111 billion, up 19.13%. Q1 2026 net income was $741 million, non-GAAP operating EPS was $1.55, and management maintained 2026 operating EPS guidance of $4.28 to $4.40. | High |
| Valuation | At $76.68, financial_rigor.py verifies about 16.96x TTM EPS, 2.21x book value, 2.99x sales per share, a 0.48% FCF yield, and a 3.50% dividend yield, so the multiple is no longer as stretched as it was in early July. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | PEG closed at $76.68 on July 31, below the 50-day moving average near $79.64 and the 200-day moving average near $80.95, with RSI near 35.68 and price close to the 52-week low of $76.05. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate for a utility because leverage, interest rates, RTO and regulatory affordability pressure, nuclear market prices, storm response costs, and capital spending can offset visible EPS growth. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Data confidence is high because core facts are sourced and cross-checked. Return confidence is lower because the stock can reprice on rates, New Jersey policy, PJM capacity prices, and funding terms. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | The case is most credible if PSEG converts regulated investment and nuclear cash flow into per-share growth while keeping customer bills, debt metrics, and policy relationships manageable. | Medium |
PEG AI stock forecast
The PEG AI stock forecast is scenario-based because regulated utility value depends on allowed returns, rate-base growth, Treasury yields, nuclear power and capacity pricing, financing costs, customer affordability, and data-center load conversion. Using the $76.68 price reference, the 2026 operating EPS guidance midpoint of $4.34, and audited three-year scenario assumptions, the mechanical outputs are about $109 in a bullish case, $85 in a base case, and $65 in a bearish case before dividends.
$104 to $112 before dividends
More likely if PEG compounds operating EPS near the high end of its 6% to 8% target, earns timely recovery on its capital plan, benefits from nuclear capacity and power pricing, converts incremental load into approved investment, and holds a premium utility multiple near 20x earnings.
$82 to $90 before dividends
More likely if 2026 operating EPS lands near the $4.34 midpoint, earnings growth runs near 6%, New Jersey rate outcomes remain constructive, funding remains available without common equity issuance, and the market values PEG around 17x forward earnings.
$62 to $70 before dividends
More likely if higher rates or RTO decisions compress utility multiples, regulators prioritize bill relief over recovery timing, nuclear price upside fades, storm or reliability costs rise, debt metrics weaken, or expected load growth does not become profitable regulated investment.
PEG AI technical analysis
PEG AI technical analysis is weak after the July pullback as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed a July 31 close of $76.68, a 50-day moving average near $79.64, a 200-day moving average near $80.95, RSI near 35.68, beta near 0.53, and 20-day average volume near 2.78 million shares. That places PEG below both short-term and long-term trend lines and close to its 52-week low of $76.05.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $76.68 | StockAnalysis listed the July 31, 2026 close at $76.68, down about 6% from the early July level near $81.79. |
| 52-week low support | $76.05 | The 52-week low near $76.05 is the immediate downside reference and the line bulls need to defend. |
| Near resistance | $79.50 to $80.00 | This area brackets the 50-day moving average near $79.64 and is the first reclaim level for the short-term trend. |
| Long-term pivot | $80.95 | The 200-day moving average near $80.95 is the long-term trend reference that bulls need to reclaim for trend repair. |
| Upper resistance | $86 to $91 | The 52-week high near $91.26 is a sentiment and resistance reference, not a target promise, with minor overhead near $86. |
| Moving averages | 50-day near $79.64, 200-day near $80.95 | Price is below both averages, so the trend has turned from supportive to pressured since the early July refresh. |
| Momentum | RSI near 35.68 | Momentum is weak and approaching oversold territory, which can set up bounces but does not confirm a trend reversal by itself. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 2.78 million shares | Volume confirmation matters because PEG often reacts to rate decisions, Treasury yields, earnings, nuclear policy, and capital-market updates. |
| Volatility | Beta near 0.53 | PEG has traded with lower market beta, but utility policy and rate moves can still create sharp relative changes. |
| Invalidation | Close below $76.05, then reclaim of $79.64 | A sustained break below the 52-week low of $76.05 would signal further downside risk, while a reclaim of the 50-day average near $79.64 would improve the setup. |
PEG AI trading strategy
The PEG AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with 2026 EPS guidance, New Jersey rate policy, Treasury yields, nuclear output and capacity pricing, capital spending, dividend coverage, and incremental load updates.
Watch for PEG to hold the $76.05 low and to reclaim the $79.50 to $81.00 resistance zone that contains the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with stable Treasury yields, no adverse rate-case news, and evidence that the capital plan remains on schedule.
A failed reclaim followed by a close below $76.05 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management signals higher financing costs, weaker nuclear price capture, or slower recovery of infrastructure investment.
If PEG pulls back toward the low $70s without a guidance cut, compare dividend yield, 2026 operating EPS guidance, debt metrics, rate-base growth, nuclear market exposure, and allowed-return visibility before treating the lower price as value.
Do not treat a lower price as automatically attractive if the pullback is tied to regulatory disallowance, persistent high rates, affordability pressure, nuclear policy changes, RTO decisions, or funding stress.
Track 2026 operating EPS guidance, PSE&G rate-base growth, regulated investment, capital plan execution, debt to capitalization, liquidity, nuclear generation, PJM capacity prices, dividend coverage, and signed load-growth opportunities.
Position sizing should reflect that PEG is a capital-intensive utility and nuclear operator, not a guaranteed AI stock prediction or a bond substitute.
Investment research summary
Customers pay PSEG because electric and gas delivery are essential services in New Jersey, and the power market pays for reliable carbon-free nuclear capacity. PSEG converts regulated infrastructure, rate-base investment, nuclear output, and allowed returns into earnings and dividends.
The moat comes from regulated franchise territory, transmission and distribution networks, customer necessity, utility scale, nuclear baseload assets, and regulatory relationships. It is strong structurally, but returns depend on public approval and market rules.
The thesis fails if regulators limit recovery, customer bills become politically constrained, higher rates raise capital costs, nuclear market prices weaken, storm and reliability costs rise, RTO decisions cut returns, or expected load growth does not become approved investment.
Ralph LaRossa and the leadership team should be judged by capital discipline, reliability, safety, rate-case execution, balance-sheet management, dividend coverage, and whether the larger capital plan creates per-share growth without equity dilution.
PEG sits inside grid modernization, electrification, New Jersey reliability planning, carbon-free baseload demand, and AI data-center power demand. These trends support investment, but they require large funding and timely regulatory approval.
At $76.68, PEG trades near 17x trailing earnings with a 3.50% dividend yield after the July pullback. Margin of safety improves if the stock offers a higher yield while EPS guidance, rate recovery, nuclear cash flow, and financing access remain intact.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEG quote reference | $76.68 close on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $38.21 billion reported and $38.21 billion calculated from $76.68 x 498.32 million shares, 0.00% deviation | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 498.32 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 operating revenue | $12.168 billion, cross-checked across StockAnalysis, MacroTrends, and PSEG 2025 results with 0.00% deviation | PSEG 2025 earnings release and StockAnalysis financials | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | $2.111 billion, or $4.22 per diluted share, cross-checked across StockAnalysis and MacroTrends with 0.00% deviation | PSEG 2025 earnings release and MacroTrends | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and net income | TTM revenue $12.794 billion and TTM net income $2.26 billion as of March 31, 2026, matching StockAnalysis and MacroTrends | StockAnalysis and MacroTrends | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 earnings | $741 million net income, $1.48 per share, and $1.55 non-GAAP operating EPS, with Q1 revenue of $3.848 billion | PSEG Q1 2026 earnings release | May 5, 2026 |
| 2026 operating EPS guidance | $4.28 to $4.40 per share, reaffirmed with a long-term operating earnings growth target of 6% to 8% through 2030 | PSEG Q1 2026 earnings release | May 5, 2026 |
| Dividend | $2.68 annual dividend per share, 3.50% yield, with the next ex-dividend date on September 9, 2026 | StockAnalysis PEG statistics and dividend page | August 2, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | Cash and equivalents of $404 million, total debt of $24.40 billion, net cash of negative $24.00 billion, and book value of $17.30 billion as of March 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis PEG balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash flow | TTM operating cash flow of $3.52 billion, capital expenditures of $3.34 billion, and free cash flow of $183 million | StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation tool output | financial_rigor.py verified 16.96x TTM PE, 2.21x PB, 2.99x PS, 0.48% FCF yield, and 3.50% dividend yield | Pineify financial_rigor.py | August 2, 2026 |
| Forward valuation | Forward PE 17.23, PEG ratio 2.60, EV/EBITDA 27.21, and P/FCF 208.80 | StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Customer and nuclear asset base | About 2.4 million electric customers, 1.9 million gas customers, and 3,758 MW of carbon-free baseload nuclear generation that supplied about 8 TWh in Q1 2026 | PSEG Q1 2026 earnings release | May 5, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average price target of $88.24 across 23 analysts, low $75 and high $103, median $88 | StockAnalysis PEG forecast | July 27, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 8 Strong Buy, 1 Buy, 13 Hold, 1 Sell out of 23 analysts | StockAnalysis PEG forecast recommendation trends | July 27, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Wells Fargo $91, BofA $89 to $87, BTIG $94, Morgan Stanley $92 to $93, BMO $89 to $88, Jefferies $89 to $78, RBC $81, Truist $88 to $90 | StockAnalysis PEG ratings and TipRanks | July 27, 2026 |
| 2026 and 2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate $12.60 billion with EPS $4.38, FY2027 revenue $13.09 billion with EPS $4.68 | StockAnalysis PEG forecast financial forecast | July 27, 2026 |
| Short interest | 11.01 million shares short, 2.21% of shares outstanding, 3.5 days to cover | StockAnalysis PEG statistics short selling | August 2, 2026 |
| 52-week price performance | Down 13.73% over 52 weeks with a range of $76.05 to $91.26 | StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day SMA near $79.64, 200-day SMA near $80.95, 14-day RSI near 35.68, beta near 0.53, and 20-day average volume near 2.78 million shares | StockAnalysis PEG statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Next earnings date | Q2 2026 results scheduled before market open on August 4, 2026, after the August 2, 2026 data cutoff | StockAnalysis PEG earnings calendar | August 2, 2026 |
This PEG AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a personalized trading plan. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of August 2, 2026 and can be wrong if earnings, interest rates, regulation, nuclear market pricing, capital spending, customer demand, or market sentiment changes.
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