FactSet Research Systems Inc. research snapshot

FDS AI Stock Analysis

FDS AI stock analysis currently reads FactSet Research Systems as a durable financial data and workflow platform with high retention, recurring subscription revenue, and a clear AI product agenda. The stock closed at $258.30 on July 7, 2026, and the audited market cap check produced about $9.19 billion using 35.57 million shares outstanding. The positive case is that organic ASV growth, AI adoption, buybacks, and high client switching costs stabilize earnings growth. The caution is that Q3 FY2026 GAAP net income fell year over year, margins compressed, debt exceeded cash by about $1.10 billion, and the FDS AI stock forecast depends on execution rather than a guaranteed price path.

Current price

$258.30

Market cap

$9.19 billion verified market cap

AI score

67 / 100

Rating

Quality financial data platform with sticky clients, margin pressure, and mixed valuation signals

Trend status

Short-term rebound above key moving averages, but still far below the 52-week high

Data cutoff (updated weekly)

July 8, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. FactSet has long public-company history, SEC filings, company earnings releases, investor presentations, active analyst coverage, and current market and technical data from multiple third-party providers.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is over-trusting the familiar financial-data moat narrative while under-weighting AI disruption to research workflows, pricing pressure from Bloomberg, S&P Global, LSEG, MSCI, Morningstar, and newer AI-native tools, plus margin compression from technology and compensation investment.
ai Confidence
High for reported revenue, EPS, cash, debt, share count, price, market cap math, and current technical indicators because SEC, company, and third-party data are available. Medium for forward scenarios because client budgets, AI monetization, renewal pricing, and valuation multiples can shift quickly.
investment Certainty
Medium. The business is understandable and sticky, but investment certainty is lower than data confidence because growth is mid-single-digit, margins are under pressure, and the market is debating whether AI expands or compresses FactSet economics.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityFactSet sells financial data, analytics, workflow, trading, portfolio, and enterprise solutions to investment professionals, with recurring subscription economics and high client workflow integration.High
MoatThe moat comes from trusted data, embedded workflows, client service, switching costs, proprietary content, and enterprise integrations, but it is pressured by larger data vendors and AI-native research tools.Medium-high
ManagementNew CEO Sanoke Viswanathan inherited a strong franchise and is pushing speed, AI, and execution discipline. The transition is promising but still early.Medium
Financial trendFY2025 revenue rose 5.4% to $2.32 billion and FY2025 net income was $597.0 million. Q3 FY2026 revenue rose 6.4% to $622.9 million, while Q3 net income fell to $126.7 million.High
ValuationAt $258.30, valuation math shows about 17.0x TTM EPS, 4.6x book value, 13.1x annualized free cash flow per share, and a 1.8% dividend yield.Medium-high
Technical trendDaily technical signals improved after the July rebound. Investing.com showed a Strong Buy daily signal, RSI near 65, and price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.Medium
Risk levelKey risks are AI-led research workflow disruption, margin pressure, data cost inflation, competition, financial-services budget cuts, debt load, and a failed CEO transition.Medium-high
AI confidenceDescriptive data confidence is high because filings and market data are fresh. Return confidence is lower because the bear case depends on future AI and pricing pressure.High data confidence
Investment certaintyFDS looks like a quality compounder at a less demanding multiple than its historical premium, but not a low-risk bargain unless organic ASV growth and margins stabilize.Medium

FDS AI stock forecast

FDS AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The FDS AI stock forecast uses the $258.30 price reference, TTM EPS of $15.1883, and a three-year earnings multiple framework. The audited model produced a bearish value near $185.80, a base value near $290.40, and a bullish value near $382.70 before dividends. These are scenario ranges, not promises.

Bullish case

$360 to $390

More likely if organic ASV growth stays near the high end of management targets, AI tools deepen client usage, adjusted margins hold near the mid-30s, buybacks reduce share count, and the market restores a premium earnings multiple near 20x.

Base case

$275 to $305

More likely if EPS grows in the low to mid-single digits, revenue tracks management guidance, retention remains high, but margin recovery and AI monetization remain gradual.

Bearish case

$175 to $200

More likely if AI tools pressure pricing, client seat growth slows, data and compensation costs keep margins compressed, or the market re-rates FDS toward a lower financial data services multiple.

FDS AI technical analysis

FDS AI Technical Analysis

FDS AI technical analysis uses market data available at the July 8, 2026 cutoff. FDS closed at $258.30 on July 7, 2026 after a 2.42% gain, with a $254.04 to $261.78 day range. Investing.com showed the 50-day moving average near $240.99, the 200-day moving average near $240.16, RSI near 65.28, MACD near 5.46, and a 52-week range of $185.00 to $453.41.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$258.30July 7, 2026 close from Investing.com and MarketWatch market data.
Immediate support$252 to $254This zone includes the prior close and the July 7 intraday low area after the rebound.
Moving average support$240 to $241The 50-day and 200-day moving averages were clustered near $241, making this a key trend support area.
Deeper support$185 to $200This range spans the 52-week low area and the audited bearish scenario value.
Near resistance$260 to $262The July 7 high and Fibonacci pivot reference sit near this zone, so follow-through matters.
Higher resistance$275 to $290This area overlaps analyst target clusters and the audited base scenario value.
MomentumRSI near 65.28, MACD near 5.46Momentum is constructive but no longer washed out after four consecutive up days.
VolumeAbout 716,593 shares on July 7MarketWatch reported volume below the 50-day average, so the rebound still needs confirmation.
Volatility52-week range $185.00 to $453.41The wide range shows that valuation sentiment can move FDS sharply even though the business is recurring.
InvalidationClose below $240A decisive break below the moving-average cluster would weaken the trend-following setup.

FDS AI trading strategy

FDS AI Trading Strategy Framework

The FDS AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It links organic ASV, margin trend, AI product adoption, buybacks, debt, and technical invalidation levels.

Trend-following setup

Watch for FDS to hold above the $240 to $241 moving-average cluster and push through $260 to $262 on improving volume while Q4 commentary confirms organic ASV growth, retention, and AI adoption.

A close below $240, weaker ASV growth, or renewed margin compression should reduce trend-following confidence.

Mean-reversion setup

If FDS retests the $240 area without deterioration in retention, cash flow, or adjusted EPS guidance, compare the lower entry price with the audited base scenario and peer data-provider multiples.

Do not treat every pullback as attractive if AI competition or pricing pressure appears in filings, management commentary, or renewal trends.

Fundamental monitor

Track organic ASV growth, Americas and EMEA growth, adjusted operating margin, free cash flow, debt repayment, buyback pace, product AI usage, client count, and analyst EPS revisions.

Position sizing should reflect that FDS is a quality data platform with real competitive threats, not a guaranteed compounding machine.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay FactSet because portfolio managers, analysts, wealth teams, bankers, traders, and corporations need trusted financial data, analytics, workflow tools, order management, and enterprise data feeds inside daily decisions.

Moat

The moat is built from workflow embedding, data quality, client service, proprietary content, integrated analytics, and switching costs. It can narrow if AI assistants make data access more interchangeable or if larger vendors bundle comparable tools.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if AI compresses research and analytics pricing, if financial firms reduce seats, if margins keep falling, if acquisitions distract management, or if debt limits flexibility during a slower client budget cycle.

Management

Sanoke Viswanathan became CEO in September 2025 after a long JPMorgan career. Early messaging emphasizes speed, client workflow, disciplined execution, and thoughtful AI deployment. The key test is translating that agenda into growth and margin stability.

Industry trend

Financial data remains mission critical, and AI can increase demand for clean, licensed, structured data. The same trend can also lower switching costs if users access more answers through conversational layers rather than legacy terminals.

Valuation and margin of safety

At $258.30, FDS no longer prices in the old high-growth premium, but the margin of safety still depends on stabilizing adjusted margins and defending the data moat while AI changes research workflows.

Source-backed data

FDS Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
FDS quote reference$258.30 close on July 7, 2026, after a 2.42% one-day gainInvesting.com FDS overviewJuly 8, 2026
Market capitalization verification$9.19 billion calculated from $258.30 x 35,565,543 shares outstandingPineify financial_rigor.py and SEC Q3 FY2026 Form 10-QJuly 8, 2026
Shares outstanding35,565,543 shares as of June 25, 2026SEC Q3 FY2026 Form 10-QJuly 8, 2026
FY2025 revenue and net income$2.3217 billion revenue and $597.0 million net incomeFactSet FY2025 results releaseJuly 8, 2026
Q3 FY2026 revenue and GAAP EPS$622.9 million revenue, $126.7 million net income, and $3.50 diluted EPSSEC Q3 FY2026 Form 10-QJuly 8, 2026
Nine-month FY2026 performance$1.8416 billion revenue, $412.4 million net income, and $13.49 adjusted diluted EPSSEC Q3 FY2026 Form 10-QJuly 8, 2026
Cash and debt$288.1 million cash and cash equivalents, $1.3897 billion total debt, and about $1.1016 billion net debtSEC Q3 FY2026 Form 10-QJuly 8, 2026
Technical indicatorsDaily Strong Buy, RSI 65.28, 50-day MA $240.99, 200-day MA $240.16Investing.com FDS technical analysisJuly 8, 2026
Analyst sentiment18 analysts: 3 Buy, 9 Hold, 6 Sell, average target $253.69Investing.com FDS analyst ratingsJuly 8, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This FDS AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenario estimates based on available public data as of July 8, 2026 and can be wrong if earnings, margins, AI competition, client budgets, market multiples, or macro conditions change.