Edison International research snapshot
EIX AI stock analysis currently reads Edison International as a regulated electric utility with a stronger 2026 setup than the post-wildfire drawdown suggested, but not a clean low-risk buy signal. The business has essential Southern California electric infrastructure, visible rate-base growth, 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90 to $6.20, and a dividend yield above 4%. The offset is large wildfire exposure, heavy capital spending, negative free cash flow after capex, high debt, and a stock price that has already rebounded near its 52-week high. The EIX AI stock forecast therefore uses scenario ranges, not a precise price prediction, and treats CPUC outcomes, wildfire liability recovery, financing costs, grid hardening execution, and customer affordability as the variables that matter most.
Current price
$75.74
Market cap
$29.14 billion verified market cap
AI score
61 / 100
Rating
Regulated California utility recovery story with wildfire, financing, and regulatory risk
Trend status
Constructive but close to the 52-week high, above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Edison International owns Southern California Edison, an essential electric utility serving a large Southern California territory with regulated infrastructure and recurring demand. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from a regulated service territory, transmission and distribution assets, scale, grid reliability knowledge, and the practical difficulty of duplicating the network. | High |
| Management | Management has emphasized safety, affordability, wildfire mitigation, grid hardening, and a 5% to 7% core EPS growth target through 2030, but execution is being tested by wildfire recovery and financing needs. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose to $19.317 billion and GAAP net income rose to $4.459 billion, but core earnings of $2.520 billion are a better normalized anchor because wildfire recoveries affected GAAP earnings. | High |
| Valuation | At $75.74, EIX screens at 8.23x TTM EPS, 12.27x forward earnings, 1.49x sales, 1.69x book, a negative FCF yield, and a 4.63% dividend yield. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is above the 50-day average near $71.28 and 200-day average near $65.01, with RSI near 61.28 and price close to the $76.22 52-week high. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are wildfire liabilities, adverse CPUC decisions, higher interest rates, equity or debt financing pressure, customer affordability politics, and negative free cash flow during the capex cycle. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because source data is rich and cross-checked. Return confidence is lower because the investment case depends on legal, regulatory, and financing outcomes. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | EIX is a durable utility franchise with a credible recovery path, but the stock needs constructive wildfire recovery, rate-base growth, and balance-sheet discipline to justify upside from here. | Medium-low |
EIX AI stock forecast
The EIX AI stock forecast is scenario-based because regulated utility value depends on allowed returns, core EPS growth, wildfire liability outcomes, financing cost, and investor appetite for dividend yield. Using the $75.74 price reference, normalized 2026 core EPS midpoint of $6.05, and the audited three-year model, the mechanical range points to about $57 in a bear case, $82 in a base case, and $104 in a bullish case before dividends. The range is not a promise. A higher outcome needs constructive CPUC recovery, steady 5% to 7% core EPS growth, wildfire risk containment, and stable bond yields.
$95 to $105 before dividends
More likely if EIX compounds core EPS near 7%, wildfire claims stay within recoverable or already reserved ranges, the CPUC supports grid hardening recovery, debt markets stay open, and investors value the dividend and rate-base growth at a mid-teens earnings multiple.
$78 to $85 before dividends
More likely if core EPS grows in the low to mid single digits, the market values EIX near 12x normalized earnings, wildfire uncertainty fades slowly, and negative free cash flow is accepted as part of regulated infrastructure investment.
$55 to $60 before dividends
More likely if wildfire losses exceed recovery assumptions, regulators disallow meaningful costs, interest rates rise, debt or equity funding pressures increase, or investors demand a lower multiple for California utility risk.
EIX AI technical analysis
EIX AI technical analysis is constructive but extended as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed a July 7, 2026 close of $75.74, a 50-day moving average near $71.28, a 200-day moving average near $65.01, RSI near 61.28, and 20-day average volume near 2.39 million shares. That setup keeps the trend positive, but the stock is close enough to the $76.22 52-week high that breakout confirmation matters.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $75.74 | StockAnalysis listed the July 7, 2026 close at $75.74, up 2.40% on the day. |
| Immediate support | $71 to $72 | This area brackets the 50-day moving average reference near $71.28 and recent consolidation support. |
| Major support | $64 to $66 | This range overlaps the 200-day moving average near $65.01 and is the first longer-term trend test. |
| Deeper support | $49 to $52 | This area sits near the lower part of the 52-week range, with StockAnalysis listing a 52-week low of $49.14. |
| Near resistance | $76 to $77 | The 52-week high near $76.22 is the first resistance level bulls need to clear. |
| Upper resistance | $82 to $85 | This range lines up with the base-case valuation area and would likely require lower wildfire uncertainty or stronger utility-sector demand. |
| Moving averages | 50-day near $71.28, 200-day near $65.01 | Price above both averages supports the trend, but the gap also raises pullback risk if wildfire or rate news turns negative. |
| Momentum | RSI near 61.28 | Momentum is positive but not deeply overbought. A move above resistance with volume would improve confirmation. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 2.39 million shares | Volume confirmation matters around the July 30, 2026 earnings date, wildfire recovery updates, and regulatory news. |
| Volatility | Watch wildfire, CPUC, bond-yield, and earnings news | Utility stocks can look calm until legal, regulatory, or financing assumptions change. |
| Invalidation | Close below $65, then below $49 | A sustained break below the 200-day average would weaken the recovery trend. A break below the 52-week low would challenge the broader rebound thesis. |
EIX AI trading strategy
The EIX AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with CPUC decisions, wildfire claim recovery, grid hardening execution, bond yields, core EPS guidance, dividend coverage, and free cash flow.
Watch for EIX to hold above the $71 to $72 area and then break above $76 to $77 with stable bond yields, no adverse wildfire update, and management reaffirming core EPS guidance.
A failed breakout followed by a close below $65 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management signals higher wildfire costs, weaker recovery assumptions, or more expensive financing.
If EIX pulls back toward $64 to $66 while CPUC recovery and core EPS guidance remain intact, compare the lower price with the dividend yield, normalized earnings power, and rate-base growth plan.
Do not treat a lower price as automatically attractive if wildfire liabilities expand, free cash flow remains deeply negative, or regulators shift more costs to shareholders.
Track Q2 2026 earnings, 2026 core EPS guidance, wildfire settlement progress, CPUC proceedings, capital expenditure updates, debt issuance, equity needs, customer affordability data, and Treasury yields.
Position sizing should reflect that EIX is a capital-intensive utility with legal and regulatory tail risk, not a guaranteed-income instrument or a substitute for personal portfolio planning.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Edison International because homes, businesses, and public infrastructure in Southern California need reliable electricity delivery. The business converts regulated electric infrastructure, grid hardening, and approved capital investment into earnings.
EIX has a regulated local utility franchise, dense transmission and distribution assets, scale, operational knowledge, and rights of way. The moat is strong, but returns are capped by regulators and threatened by wildfire, affordability, and climate resilience costs.
The thesis fails if wildfire liabilities exceed recoveries, regulators disallow costs, interest expense rises faster than rate-base earnings, customers face political bill pressure, or negative free cash flow requires more financing than shareholders expect.
Pedro Pizarro has framed EIX around safety, affordability, grid hardening, wildfire mitigation, and 5% to 7% core EPS growth through 2030. The key test is funding a large capital plan while keeping regulatory trust and balance-sheet strength.
Electrification, grid modernization, wildfire resilience, and California clean-energy policy support long-term investment. The offset is that the same trend raises capital needs, debt load, customer bills, and regulatory scrutiny.
At $75.74, EIX trades near the analyst target and near its 52-week high after a sharp rebound. Margin of safety improves if the stock pulls back toward the 200-day average or if wildfire recovery and financing costs make the base-case $78 to $85 range more conservative.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIX quote reference | $75.74 close on July 7, 2026, with a $75.66 previous close and $74.14 to $76.19 day range | StockAnalysis EIX overview | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $29.14 billion reported and $29.14 billion calculated from $75.74 x 384.79 million shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis EIX market cap | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 384.79 million current shares outstanding, down 0.52% year over year | StockAnalysis EIX statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and earnings | $19.317 billion FY2025 revenue and $4.459 billion net income for common shareholders, cross-checked against StockAnalysis and Macrotrends | Edison International 2025 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 normalized earnings context | $2.520 billion core earnings, or $6.55 per share, compared with GAAP EPS of $11.58 that included wildfire-related items | Edison International 2025 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 earnings and guidance | $531 million Q1 2026 net income, $546 million core earnings, $1.42 core EPS, affirmed 2026 core EPS guidance of $5.90 to $6.20, and 5% to 7% core EPS growth confidence through 2030 | Edison International Q1 2026 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash, debt, and net debt | $168 million cash and cash equivalents matched between SEC filing and StockAnalysis. SEC debt components total about $41.55 billion, while StockAnalysis total debt is $42.70 billion, a 1.37% scope difference. | Edison International Q1 2026 10-Q and StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| TTM valuation inputs | TTM EPS $9.20, book value per share $44.80, FCF per share negative $1.67, dividend $3.51, and revenue per share about $50.96 | StockAnalysis EIX statistics and Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical data | 50-day moving average $71.28, 200-day moving average $65.01, RSI 61.28, and 20-day average volume 2.39 million shares | StockAnalysis EIX statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Capital plan and rate-base context | Capital expenditures plan totals $40.6 billion for 2025 to 2030, with SCE rate base rising from $47.6 billion in 2025 to $67.9 billion in 2030 | Edison International 2025 annual report | July 8, 2026 |
| Wildfire risk context | The 2025 annual report lists wildfire-related claims, recoveries, and contingencies, including Eaton Fire claim costs and ongoing uncertainty around possible losses above accrued amounts | Edison International 2025 annual report | July 8, 2026 |
This EIX AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation to buy or sell Edison International stock, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of July 8, 2026, can be wrong, and should be updated when new earnings, wildfire, CPUC, financing, interest-rate, or regulatory information changes.
