Entergy Corporation research snapshot
ETR AI stock analysis currently reads Entergy as a regulated utility with better growth visibility than a typical defensive power company because its Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas service territories are seeing industrial, manufacturing, and data-center-related load demand. The bullish case is tied to constructive rate recovery, 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.45, and a larger capital program. The caution is that the stock closed at $115.19 on July 7, 2026, near its 52-week high, while free cash flow remains negative, debt is high, and equity financing can dilute owners. This ETR AI stock forecast is a scenario framework, not a price promise or investment advice.
Current price
$115.19
Market cap
$52.74 billion verified market cap
AI score
66 / 100
Rating
Regulated utility growth story with strong load demand and financing sensitivity
Trend status
Constructive but extended, above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Entergy sells essential electric and gas utility service to about 3.1 million customers across Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from regulated monopoly service territories, grid assets, nuclear and generation expertise, scale, and local regulatory relationships rather than brand pricing power. | High |
| Management | Chair and CEO Drew Marsh has a finance-heavy background and is steering the company toward reliability, resilience, affordability, industrial load growth, and cleaner generation investment. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose to $12.95 billion and net income to common rose to $1.76 billion. Q1 2026 adjusted EPS improved to $0.86, and management affirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.45. | High |
| Valuation | At $115.19, ETR screens near 29.46x TTM EPS, 3.97x sales per share, 3.04x book value, a negative FCF yield near 5.63%, and a dividend yield near 2.15% to 2.22%. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is above the 50-day average near $112.30 and the 200-day average near $102.35, with RSI near 57.13 and price close to the $118.45 52-week high. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are higher interest rates, rate-case pushback, storm restoration costs, industrial load timing, nuclear and generation execution, equity dilution, customer affordability, and negative free cash flow. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because filings and market data are rich. Return confidence is lower because utilities reprice around interest rates, allowed returns, and regulatory outcomes. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | ETR has a stronger growth setup than many regulated peers, but the current price needs sustained load growth, constructive regulation, and financing discipline to create upside. | Medium |
ETR AI stock forecast
The ETR AI stock forecast is scenario-based because Entergy value depends on industrial load growth, allowed returns, capital spending recovery, debt costs, equity issuance, storm costs, and dividend policy. Using the $115.19 price reference, TTM EPS of $3.91, and the audited three-scenario model, the mechanical three-year range points to about $87 in a bear case, $116 in a base case, and $142 in a bullish case before dividends. The range is not a guarantee. A higher outcome needs EPS growth to move toward management targets, supportive rate decisions, stable financing markets, and clear evidence that large-load demand is profitable after required grid investment.
$135 to $145 before dividends
More likely if adjusted EPS compounds near the high single digits, industrial and data-center load growth arrives on schedule, regulators approve recovery of reliability and generation investment, debt costs stabilize, and the market keeps a premium utility multiple.
$110 to $120 before dividends
More likely if Entergy delivers mid single digit EPS growth, 2026 guidance is met, the dividend grows slowly, and valuation stays near a mid-20s earnings multiple while free cash flow remains pressured.
$85 to $95 before dividends
More likely if bond yields rise, regulators delay or trim cost recovery, storm costs surprise, equity issuance weighs on per-share growth, large-load projects slip, or the market rerates utility growth stocks lower.
ETR AI technical analysis
ETR AI technical analysis is positive but not early as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed a July 7, 2026 close of $115.19, a 50-day moving average near $112.30, a 200-day moving average near $102.35, RSI near 57.13, and 20-day average volume near 3.08 million shares. The trend remains above key moving averages, but the stock is close to the $118.45 52-week high, so breakout confirmation matters.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $115.19 | StockAnalysis listed the July 7, 2026 close at $115.19, up 1.19% on the day. |
| Immediate support | $112 to $113 | This area brackets the 50-day moving average reference near $112.30 and recent short-term support. |
| Major support | $101 to $103 | This range overlaps the 200-day moving average near $102.35 and is the first longer-term trend test. |
| Deeper support | $92 to $95 | This area is a valuation and trend reset zone if utility multiples compress or rates move against the sector. |
| Near resistance | $118 to $119 | MarketWatch and StockAnalysis data place the 52-week high near $118.45, making this the first upside test. |
| Upper resistance | $125 to $130 | This range would likely require a cleaner breakout plus lower rate pressure or stronger large-load evidence. |
| Moving averages | 50-day near $112.30, 200-day near $102.35 | Price above both averages supports the trend, but the gap above the 200-day average raises pullback risk. |
| Momentum | RSI near 57.13 | Momentum is positive but not deeply overbought. A break above resistance with steady volume would improve confirmation. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 3.08 million shares | Volume confirmation matters around earnings, rate-case updates, storm news, and Treasury-yield moves. |
| Volatility | Watch earnings, rate decisions, storms, and bond yields | Utility stocks can reprice quickly when financing costs or regulatory assumptions change. |
| Invalidation | Close below $102, then below $95 | A sustained break below the 200-day average would weaken the trend. A move below the mid-90s would challenge the larger growth-utility setup. |
ETR AI trading strategy
The ETR AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with 2026 EPS guidance, industrial load growth, rate-case outcomes, capital spending, free cash flow, debt issuance, equity financing, storm costs, and Treasury yields.
Watch for ETR to hold above the $112 to $113 area and then break above $118 to $119 with stable bond yields, constructive earnings commentary, and no negative rate-case or storm-cost surprise.
A failed breakout followed by a close below $102 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management signals weaker large-load timing, higher financing needs, or less supportive regulation.
If ETR pulls back toward $101 to $103 while 2026 guidance remains intact, compare the lower price with dividend yield, rate-base growth, load growth, and allowed return visibility.
Do not treat a pullback as automatically attractive if free cash flow stays deeply negative, equity issuance accelerates, or regulators shift more project costs to shareholders.
Track Q2 2026 earnings, management commentary on $4.25 to $4.45 adjusted EPS guidance, large-load interconnection demand, capital plan updates, debt issuance, equity settlement, customer affordability, and storm activity.
Position sizing should reflect that ETR is a leveraged, capital-intensive regulated utility. It is not a guaranteed-income instrument or a substitute for personal portfolio planning.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Entergy because homes, factories, petrochemical sites, data centers, and public infrastructure need reliable electricity and gas service. The business converts regulated infrastructure investment and approved returns into utility earnings.
ETR has regulated service territories, grid assets, generation capacity, nuclear operating expertise, local scale, and regulatory relationships. The moat is strong, but returns are capped by regulators and customer affordability.
The thesis fails if interest rates rise, regulators disallow recovery, large industrial projects slip, storm costs exceed recovery, equity issuance dilutes owners, or customer bills become politically constrained.
Drew Marsh became CEO in 2022 after serving as CFO, which gives management a capital-allocation and financing lens. The test is whether the company can fund growth while protecting customer affordability and per-share returns.
The utility sector is shifting from flat load growth to higher demand from manufacturing, electrification, and data centers. Entergy is well placed geographically, but the benefit depends on matching new demand with approved generation and grid investment.
At $115.19, ETR already prices in a meaningful growth premium versus many defensive utilities. Margin of safety depends on buying closer to support, seeing free cash flow improve, or gaining higher confidence in rate recovery and load growth.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current price | $115.19 close on July 7, 2026 | StockAnalysis ETR statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Market cap | $52.74 billion, verified from $115.19 times 457.89 million shares | StockAnalysis ETR statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 457.89 million current shares outstanding | StockAnalysis ETR statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $12.947 billion, cross-checked against SEC XBRL and Macrotrends | Entergy 2025 annual results | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income to common | $1.758 billion, cross-checked against SEC XBRL and StockAnalysis | Entergy 2025 annual results | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 adjusted EPS | $0.86 adjusted EPS and $0.83 GAAP EPS | Entergy Q1 2026 financial results | July 8, 2026 |
| 2026 adjusted EPS guidance | $4.25 to $4.45 affirmed by management | Entergy Q1 2026 financial results | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $3.57 billion cash and $34.06 billion total debt | StockAnalysis ETR statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Free cash flow | Negative $2.97 billion TTM free cash flow, or negative $6.48 per share | StockAnalysis ETR statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical references | 50-day average $112.30, 200-day average $102.35, RSI 57.13 | StockAnalysis ETR statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Dividend | $0.64 quarterly dividend declared for June 1, 2026 payment | Entergy dividend release | July 8, 2026 |
| Customers and service territory | About 3.1 million customers in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas | Entergy 2025 annual report | July 8, 2026 |
This page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell ETR. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 8, 2026, and they can be wrong if interest rates, regulation, storms, financing, demand, or company execution differ from assumptions.
