Entergy Corporation research snapshot
ETR AI stock analysis reads Entergy as a regulated utility with a stronger growth profile than most defensive power companies, but at a price that already pays for that growth. As of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, ETR closed at $107.62 on July 31, 2026, down from the 52-week high near $118.45, after the July 29 Q2 report delivered adjusted EPS of $1.03 against a $1.01 consensus, affirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.25 to $4.45, and confirmed 10% industrial sales growth excluding weather. Entergy completed a $2.175 billion equity forward offering in May, holds a 7 to 12 gigawatt hyperscale data center pipeline plus 3 to 5 gigawatts of traditional industrial interest, and targets more than 8% EPS growth through 2035. The caution is that the stock trades near 27.5x trailing earnings and about 23x forward earnings, free cash flow stays deeply negative near negative $3.1 billion, total debt is about $34.6 billion, and the share count rose 4.89% in a year. This ETR AI stock forecast is a scenario framework, not a price promise or investment advice.
Current price
$107.62
Market cap
$50.22 billion verified market cap
AI score
65 / 100
Rating
Quality regulated growth utility that pulled back in July after a strong June run
Trend status
Below the 20-day, 50-day and 100-day moving averages, holding above the 200-day average
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Entergy sells essential electric utility service to more than 3 million customers in Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Texas, with regulated earnings driven by rate base growth and industrial and data center load. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from regulated service territories, transmission and generation assets, nuclear operating expertise, scale, and local regulatory relationships rather than brand pricing power, with returns capped by regulators and customer affordability. | High |
| Management | Chair and CEO Drew Marsh, a former CFO, is pairing proactive equity financing with a customer-first Fair Share Plus contracting model, a $7 billion customer bill benefit program, and an above 8% long-term EPS growth target. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose 9% to $12.95 billion and net income to common rose to $1.76 billion. Q2 2026 adjusted EPS was $1.03 with affirmed 2026 guidance of $4.25 to $4.45, while free cash flow remains deeply negative. | High |
| Valuation | At $107.62, ETR screens near 27.55x trailing EPS, 22.93x forward EPS, 3.72x sales per share, 1.81 PEG, a negative FCF yield near 6.17%, and a dividend yield near 2.38%. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is below the 20-day average near $113.26, the 50-day near $112.22, and the 100-day near $111.64, but above the 200-day average near $104.15, with 14-day RSI near 34.95 and deeply oversold stochastics. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are higher interest rates, rate-case and affordability pushback, storm restoration costs, data center and industrial load timing, equity dilution, negative free cash flow, high debt, and the Cottonwood gas plant acquisition. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because filings, market data, and the Q2 2026 report cross-validated within a narrow range. Return confidence is lower because utilities reprice around interest rates, allowed returns, and regulatory outcomes. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | ETR has a stronger growth setup than many regulated peers, but the current price still requires sustained load growth, constructive regulation, and financing discipline to create upside after a premium multiple. | Medium |
ETR AI stock forecast
The ETR AI stock forecast is scenario-based because Entergy value depends on industrial and data center load, allowed returns, capital spending recovery, debt costs, equity issuance, storm costs, and dividend policy. Using the $107.62 price reference, the FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $4.40, and a mechanical three-scenario model, the three-year range points to about $84 in a bear case, $126 in a base case, and $158 in a bullish case before dividends. The base case lines up with the analyst median target near $126. The range is not a guarantee. A higher outcome needs EPS growth to move toward the above 8% long-term target, supportive rate decisions, stable financing markets, and clear evidence that large-load demand is profitable after required grid investment.
$150 to $165 before dividends
More likely if adjusted EPS compounds at or above the high single digits to the 8% plus long-term target, data center and industrial load converts from the 7 to 12 gigawatt pipeline, regulators approve recovery of reliability and generation investment, debt costs stabilize, and the market keeps a premium utility multiple.
$120 to $130 before dividends
More likely if Entergy delivers mid single digit EPS growth, 2026 guidance of $4.25 to $4.45 is met, the dividend grows slowly, and valuation stays near the current 22x to 24x forward multiple while free cash flow remains pressured by the investment cycle.
$80 to $90 before dividends
More likely if bond yields rise, regulators delay or trim cost recovery, storm costs surprise, equity issuance weighs on per share growth, large-load projects slip, customer affordability becomes politically constrained, or the market rerates utility growth stocks lower.
ETR AI technical analysis
ETR AI technical analysis turned defensive in July 2026 as the stock pulled back from the June high near $118.45 to close at $107.62 on July 31, 2026. StockAnalysis reported a 50-day moving average near $112.22, a 200-day average near $104.15, and 14-day RSI near 34.95. Barchart added a 20-day average near $113.26, a 100-day average near $111.64, and deeply oversold stochastics with %K near 1.5. Price now sits below the 20, 50, and 100 day averages but remains above the 200 day trend line, so the longer-term uptrend is intact but the short-term trend is broken and needs a reclaim of the moving average cluster for confirmation.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $107.62 | StockAnalysis listed the July 31, 2026 close at $107.62, down 0.38% on the day. |
| Immediate support | $104 to $105 | This area brackets the 200-day moving average near $104.15 and is the first major test of the longer-term uptrend. |
| Next support | $101 to $103 | A valuation and chart support zone if the pullback extends below the 200-day average. |
| Deeper support | $95 to $97 | This zone would mark a larger reset and would sit in the lower half of the recent trading range near the 52-week low of $86.40. |
| Near resistance | $111.5 to $113.5 | The 100-day average near $111.64, the 50-day near $112.22, and the 20-day near $113.26 form a cluster that capped the early August rebound. |
| Upper resistance | $118 to $119 | StockAnalysis places the 52-week high near $118.45, the level Entergy reached before the July pullback. |
| Moving averages | 20-day $113.26, 50-day $112.22, 100-day $111.64, 200-day $104.15 | Price is below the three shorter averages but above the 200-day, a mixed but not broken longer-term structure. |
| Momentum | RSI-14 near 34.95, stochastic %K near 1.5 | Short-term momentum is oversold and could produce a bounce, but negative directional movement still exceeds positive, so a rebound needs confirmation. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 2.76 million shares | Volume rose during the July decline. Watch for volume to dry up on stabilization and to expand on a reclaim of the 50-day average. |
| Volatility | 14-day historical volatility near 23% | Utility volatility is elevated relative to its usual range because of rate, data center, and weather news flow around earnings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $104, then below $101 | A decisive close below the 200-day average near $104.15 would weaken the longer-term trend. A move below $101 would challenge the larger growth utility setup. |
ETR AI trading strategy
The ETR AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with 2026 EPS guidance, data center and industrial load growth, rate-case outcomes, capital spending, free cash flow, debt issuance, equity financing, storm costs, and Treasury yields.
Watch for ETR to reclaim and hold the $111.5 to $113.5 zone where the 100-day, 50-day, and 20-day moving averages sit, ideally with stable Treasury yields, constructive earnings commentary, and no negative rate-case or storm-cost surprise.
A failed reclaim followed by a close below the 200-day average near $104 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management signals slower load conversion, more equity issuance, or less supportive regulation.
The deeply oversold stochastic and a test of the $104 to $105 200-day zone create a potential pullback watch, especially with the dividend yield near 2.38%, 2026 guidance intact, and a data center pipeline that supports load growth.
Do not treat a bounce as a reversal if free cash flow stays deeply negative, equity issuance accelerates, regulators push more project costs onto customers, or bond yields rise sharply.
Track Q3 and Q4 2026 earnings, management commentary on the $4.25 to $4.45 adjusted EPS guidance, conversion of the 7 to 12 gigawatt data center pipeline, rate-case outcomes, equity forward settlements, storm season, and the Cottonwood acquisition.
Position sizing should reflect that ETR is a leveraged, capital-intensive regulated utility that issues equity to fund growth. It is not a guaranteed-income instrument or a substitute for personal portfolio planning.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Entergy because homes, factories, petrochemical sites, steel mills, LNG terminals, and data centers need reliable electricity. The business converts regulated rate base investment and approved returns into utility earnings.
ETR benefits from regulated service territories, grid and generation assets, nuclear operating expertise, local scale, and regulatory relationships. The moat is strong, but returns are capped by regulators and customer affordability.
The thesis fails if interest rates rise, regulators disallow or delay recovery, data center and industrial load slips, storm costs exceed recovery, equity issuance dilutes owners, or customer bills become politically constrained.
Drew Marsh became CEO in 2022 after serving as CFO, which gives management a capital-allocation and financing lens. The test is whether the company can fund growth, settle equity forwards, and protect per share returns while keeping customer bills affordable.
The utility sector is shifting from flat load growth to surging demand from AI data centers, manufacturing, and electrification. Entergy is well placed in the Gulf South with AWS and Meta as customers, but the benefit depends on approved recovery and affordability.
At $107.62, ETR trades near 27.5x trailing EPS and about 23x forward EPS with negative free cash flow, so the market still pays a premium for the growth story. The July pullback improved the setup, but margin of safety remains limited without clearer free cash flow improvement.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETR price | $107.62 at the July 31, 2026 close, down 0.38% on the day | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | July 31, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $50.22 billion, verified as $107.62 x 466.63 million shares with 0.00% deviation | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 466.63 million, up 4.89% year over year on equity forward settlements and the 2026 offering | StockAnalysis.com statistics | July 31, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 earnings | $483 million earnings, $1.03 as-reported and adjusted EPS versus a $1.01 consensus and $1.05 in Q2 2025 | Entergy Q2 2026 earnings release | July 29, 2026 |
| 2026 adjusted EPS guidance | $4.25 to $4.45 affirmed, with FY2026 consensus adjusted EPS near $4.40 | Entergy Q2 2026 earnings release and StockAnalysis forecast | July 29, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 call growth and pipeline | 10% industrial sales growth excluding weather, 7 to 12 GW hyperscale data center pipeline, 3 to 5 GW industrial interest, and an above 8% EPS growth target through 2035 | Entergy Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 29, 2026 |
| Equity and financing plan | $2.175 billion equity forward offering completed in May, about 60% of the five-year equity plan contracted into 2028, and 8.7 million shares settled June 22 for $672 million net proceeds | Entergy Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 29, 2026 |
| Fair Share Plus customer benefits | About $7 billion in expected customer bill benefits for agreements signed to date, aligned with a Louisiana executive order on data center customer benefits and the White House Ratepayer Protection Pledge | Entergy Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 29, 2026 |
| Revenue and net income | TTM revenue $13.48 billion up 9.55%, net income to common near $1.80 billion. FY2025 revenue $12.95 billion and net income to common $1.76 billion | StockAnalysis.com income statement | August 1, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $3.854 billion cash and $34.627 billion total debt as of June 30, 2026, with net debt near negative $30.77 billion | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet | August 1, 2026 |
| Free cash flow | TTM operating cash flow $6.07 billion, capital expenditures $9.17 billion, free cash flow negative $3.10 billion or negative $6.64 per share | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 27.55x trailing EPS, 22.93x forward EPS, 3.72x sales, 1.81 PEG, 14.22 EV/EBITDA, and negative 6.17% FCF yield | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 20-day SMA $113.26, 50-day SMA $112.22, 100-day SMA $111.64, 200-day SMA $104.15, 14-day RSI 34.95, stochastic %K near 1.5, 14-day historical volatility near 23% | Barchart ETR technical analysis | July 31, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average price target of $124.21 across 24 analysts, low $91 and high $139, median $126 | StockAnalysis.com forecast | July 30, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 14 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 5 Hold, 1 Sell, 0 Strong Sell out of 24 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | July 30, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Scotiabank $129, BMO Capital $124 to $123, BofA $112 to $115, Evercore ISI Outperform with $121, Morgan Stanley Equal Weight with $109 | StockAnalysis.com forecast latest forecasts | July 30, 2026 |
| Short interest | 22.98 million shares short, 4.92% of shares outstanding, 7.26 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 1, 2026 |
| Dividend | $0.64 quarterly dividend declared July 31, 2026, payable September 1, 2026, for a $2.56 annualized dividend and 2.38% yield with 11 years of growth | Entergy dividend release | July 31, 2026 |
| FY2026 and FY2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate $13.94 billion with adjusted EPS $4.40, FY2027 revenue estimate $15.31 billion with adjusted EPS $5.08 | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | July 30, 2026 |
This ETR AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available filings, quote snapshots, and third-party data as of the stated cutoff date. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, regulatory decisions, storm events, financing, macro conditions, or market moves.
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