Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. research snapshot
AEIS AI stock analysis currently views Advanced Energy Industries as a precision power conversion, measurement, and control supplier serving semiconductor equipment, data center computing, and industrial and medical customers. Fiscal 2025 revenue grew 21% to about $1.80 billion and GAAP net income rose to $148.4 million, while Q1 2026 revenue reached about $511 million, up 26% year over year, with record data center demand. At the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, AEIS closed at $308.05 on July 10 and had about $11.72 billion of market capitalization using 38.03 million shares. Trailing PE near 64x and free-cash-flow yield under 1% leave limited margin of safety if growth or multiples compress. The AEIS AI stock forecast uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction. This is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$308.05 close on July 10, 2026
Market cap
About $11.72 billion
AI score
64 / 100
Rating
Precision power supplier with cycle and valuation risk
Trend status
Below the 50-day average, above the 200-day average
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Advanced Energy sells highly engineered power conversion and control products used in semiconductor process tools, AI data center power delivery, and industrial and medical systems. | High |
| Moat | Process qualification, power density and reliability know-how, and long design cycles create switching friction, though large peers and customer insourcing can limit pricing power. | Medium-high |
| Management | Steve Kelley has been President and CEO since March 2021 after prior semiconductor leadership roles. Capital allocation tests include capacity expansion, convertible notes, and converting growth into free cash flow. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was about $1.80 billion (+21%) with GAAP net income of $148.4 million. Q1 2026 revenue was about $511 million (+26% YoY), with data center computing roughly doubling year over year. | High |
| Valuation | At the cutoff price, financial_rigor.py calculated about 64.0x TTM EPS, 8.5x book, 171x free cash flow, and a 0.58% free-cash-flow yield. The multiple needs durable earnings growth to work. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The July 10 close was below the cited 50-day moving average of $336.93 but above the cited 200-day average of $277.90, leaving a mixed intermediate setup after a pullback from the $397.44 high. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because semiconductor and data center capex can reverse, free cash flow is thin relative to market value, convertible financing adds dilution risk, and a rich PE can compress quickly. | High |
| AI confidence | High for reported financial data and market-cap math. Medium for forward returns because end-market cycles, dilution, and valuation multiples can change quickly. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business sits in useful power niches, but the current price requires continued growth without a deep cycle or multiple reset. | Medium-low |
AEIS AI stock forecast
The AEIS AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $308.05 July 10 close. A mechanical financial_rigor.py model using $4.81 TTM EPS produced three-year values of about $422.80 in a bull case, $202.70 in a base case, and $86.60 in a bear case. These sensitivity outputs are not price promises.
$380 to $430
More likely if semiconductor equipment demand reaccelerates in the second half, data center computing stays strong, gross margins hold near 40%, free cash flow expands, and investors keep a premium multiple on earnings growth.
$180 to $230
More likely if revenue keeps growing but the PE compresses toward a more normal mid-cycle multiple because free cash flow, dilution, or cyclical risk stay visible.
$70 to $110
More likely if AI data center or semiconductor spending slows, industrial and medical demand softens, margins fall, convertible dilution pressures equity, or the market applies a recession-style PE.
AEIS AI technical analysis
AEIS AI technical analysis uses the July 12, 2026 static data cutoff. StockAnalysis cited a 50-day moving average of $336.93, a 200-day moving average of $277.90, RSI of 43.42, and 20-day average volume of about 1.09 million shares. Confirm live chart data before acting because this page has no request-time market-data calls.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $308.05 close on July 10, 2026 | Closing quote used for this page at the data cutoff. |
| Near support | $277.90 to $300.62 | Uses the cited 200-day average and the July 10 day low. A sustained break below this zone would weaken the intermediate setup. |
| Near resistance | $336.93 to $397.44 | Uses the cited 50-day average and the 52-week high. A close back above the 50-day with volume would improve momentum. |
| 50-day moving average | $336.93 | StockAnalysis cited this level in its July 2026 statistics snapshot. Price was below it at the cutoff. |
| 200-day moving average | $277.90 | The price remained above this longer-term trend gauge at the cutoff after a large prior advance. |
| Momentum | Cooling after a large run | RSI was 43.42 and price sat between the 50-day and 200-day averages after pulling back from the 52-week high. |
| Volume | About 1.09 million shares average over 20 days | Use fresh volume data to judge whether moves through support or resistance have broad participation. |
| Volatility | Above market average | A five-year beta of 1.25 and a $128.40 to $397.44 52-week range argue for disciplined position sizing. |
| Invalidation | Decisive close below $277.90 | A break below the 200-day average should prompt a review of both the chart and the growth thesis in semiconductor and data center power. |
AEIS AI trading strategy
The AEIS AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, live chart checks, and fresh company filings.
Wait for AEIS to reclaim the $336.93 area with volume, then compare the move with semiconductor bookings, data center revenue growth, and the next earnings release.
A failed reclaim of the 50-day average or a decisive close below $277.90 invalidates the short-term setup.
If AEIS pulls back into the $277.90 to $300.62 support zone, review revenue by market, gross margin, free cash flow, net cash, convertible notes, and customer capex before treating the decline as an opportunity.
Do not average down without a predefined maximum loss and a fresh view of cycle, dilution, and valuation risk.
Track semiconductor equipment revenue, data center computing revenue, industrial and medical demand, non-GAAP and GAAP margins, free cash flow, cash and debt, and convertible note dilution.
Reduce confidence if price strength is not supported by revenue quality, margins, cash generation, or a clearer dilution path.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Advanced Energy for precise, reliable power conversion and control that keep semiconductor tools, AI servers, and industrial or medical systems operating within tight performance windows.
The moat comes from design-in cycles, process qualification, power density and efficiency know-how, and application engineering. It is real in qualified sockets, but customers and large power competitors can still rebid over time.
The thesis can fail if AI data center power demand cools, semiconductor capex turns down, industrial and medical orders lag, margins compress, free cash flow stays weak, or convertible financing dilutes equity holders.
Steve Kelley has led the company since 2021. Investors should watch how management balances capacity expansion, R&D, convertible capital structure, and conversion of top-line growth into durable free cash flow.
AI data centers and advanced semiconductor processes raise the value of efficient, high-density power delivery. Those trends can support multi-year demand, but they still ride capital spending cycles rather than smooth annuities.
At about 64x TTM earnings and under 1% free-cash-flow yield, the market already prices a strong growth path. Margin of safety improves if earnings and free cash flow grow into the valuation, dilution stays limited, or the share price resets toward a mid-cycle multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEIS price | $308.05 close on July 10, 2026 | StockAnalysis quote snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization and shares outstanding | About $11.72 billion by $308.05 x 38.03 million shares; financial_rigor.py reported 0.04% deviation vs StockAnalysis $11.72B. Yahoo cited about 40.01 million shares and a higher market cap, so share count is a source gap to recheck after convertible activity. | StockAnalysis and Yahoo Finance key statistics | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and segment mix | About $511 million total revenue (+26% YoY); semiconductor equipment about $219 million; data center computing about $194 million (+102% YoY) | Company Q1 2026 results coverage and IR materials | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income | $1.7988 billion revenue and $148.4 million GAAP net income, cross-validated with Macrotrends at about $1.799 billion and $0.148 billion | Company FY2025 results and Macrotrends | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM earnings, cash, and debt | TTM net income about $190.5 to $191.7 million, EPS $4.81, cash $699.7 million, total debt $683.1 million, free cash flow about $68.3 million | StockAnalysis statistics and Yahoo Finance | July 12, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | $336.93 50-day average, $277.90 200-day average, RSI 43.42, beta 1.25, 52-week range $128.40 to $397.44 | StockAnalysis statistics | July 12, 2026 |
This AEIS AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Forecast scenarios use available data and assumptions that can be wrong. Verify live prices, filings, and your own risk tolerance before making any investment decision.
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