Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. research snapshot
AEIS AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads Advanced Energy Industries as a precision power conversion, measurement, and control supplier riding AI data center and semiconductor equipment demand at a premium valuation. The stock closed at $289.52 on July 31, 2026, down sharply from the 52-week high of $397.44 after a drawdown that bottomed near $248.79 on July 29, then bounced roughly 15% over the last two sessions, with a market capitalization near $11.01 billion re-verified during this full refresh as $289.52 times 38.03 million shares with 0.00% deviation across the StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics pages. Q1 2026 revenue rose 26.3% year over year to about $511 million, data center computing revenue about doubled to $194.2 million, and gross margin expanded to 39.3%, while FY2025 revenue grew 21.4% to $1.799 billion with GAAP net income of $148.4 million. Trailing PE near 60x, forward PE near 28x, and a free cash flow yield under 1% leave limited margin of safety, and Q1 2026 free cash flow was negative as capital spending rose for capacity. Q2 2026 earnings are scheduled for August 3 after market close, so this page treats Q1 2026 as the latest reported quarter. The AEIS AI stock forecast uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction. This is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$289.52 close on July 31, 2026
Market cap
About $11.01 billion
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
Precision power growth story at a premium valuation
Trend status
Below the 50-day average, above the 200-day average, after a sharp drawdown
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Advanced Energy sells highly engineered power conversion, measurement, and control products used in semiconductor process tools, AI data center power delivery, and industrial and medical systems, with Q1 2026 revenue up 26.3% year over year to about $511 million. | High |
| Moat | Process qualification, power density and reliability know-how, and long design-in cycles create switching friction, though large power peers and customer insourcing can limit pricing power over time. | Medium-high |
| Management | Steve Kelley has been President and CEO since March 2021 after prior semiconductor leadership roles. Capital allocation tests include capacity expansion, a $1.15 billion zero-coupon convertible issuance in May 2026, the June 2026 redemption of remaining 2.50% convertible notes, and converting strong growth into durable free cash flow. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue grew 21.4% to $1.799 billion with GAAP net income of $148.4 million. Q1 2026 revenue was about $511 million, up 26.3% year over year, with data center computing revenue up about 102% to $194.2 million and gross margin at 39.3%. | High |
| Valuation | At the July 31, 2026 close, financial_rigor.py calculated about 60.2x trailing EPS, 7.95x book, 160.8x free cash flow, and a 0.62% free-cash-flow yield, with forward PE near 28x to 34x. The multiple needs durable earnings growth to work. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The July 31 close of $289.52 was below the 50-day moving average of $319.48 but above the 200-day average of $286.78, with RSI near 46, after a drawdown from the 52-week high of $397.44 and a sharp two-day bounce. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because semiconductor and AI data center capex can reverse, free cash flow is thin and negative in Q1 2026, the $1.15 billion convertible adds dilution, a high PE can compress quickly, and the stock recently fell about 37% from its high before bouncing. | High |
| AI confidence | High for reported financial data and market-cap math cross-checked across StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance. Medium for forward returns because end-market cycles, dilution, and valuation multiples can change quickly. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business sits in useful power niches with strong demand, but the current price requires continued growth without a deep cycle, heavier dilution, or a multiple reset. | Medium-low |
AEIS AI stock forecast
The AEIS AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $289.52 July 31 close and a three-year mechanical model built on the FY2026 consensus adjusted EPS near $9.42. With annual EPS growth of 25%, 18%, and 2% and exit multiples of 28x, 20x, and 12x, the model produced about $515 in a bull case, $310 in a base case, and $120 in a bear case. These sensitivity outputs are not price promises.
$500 to $530
More likely if AI data center power demand keeps growing, semiconductor equipment demand reaccelerates, gross margins hold near 39% to 40%, free cash flow expands as capacity comes online, and investors keep a premium multiple on earnings growth.
$290 to $330
More likely if revenue keeps growing but the PE compresses toward a more normal mid-cycle multiple because free cash flow, dilution from the 2026 convertibles, or cyclical risk stay visible.
$105 to $135
More likely if AI data center or semiconductor spending slows, industrial and medical demand softens, margins fall, convertible dilution pressures equity, or the market applies a recession-style PE to a cyclical supplier.
AEIS AI technical analysis
AEIS AI technical analysis uses the August 3, 2026 static data cutoff. StockAnalysis cited a 50-day moving average of $319.48, a 200-day moving average of $286.78, RSI of 46.02, beta of 1.25, and 20-day average volume of about 690,000 shares. Confirm live chart data before acting because this page has no request-time market-data calls.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $289.52 close on July 31, 2026 | Closing quote used for this page at the data cutoff, after a sharp two-day bounce from the late-July low. |
| Near support | $248.79 to $286.78 | Uses the July 29 intraday low and the cited 200-day moving average. A sustained break below this zone would weaken the intermediate setup. |
| Near resistance | $319.48 to $397.44 | Uses the cited 50-day moving average and the 52-week high. A close back above the 50-day with volume would improve momentum. |
| 50-day moving average | $319.48 | StockAnalysis cited this level in its August 2026 statistics snapshot. Price was below it at the cutoff. |
| 200-day moving average | $286.78 | The price closed just above this longer-term trend gauge at the cutoff after the recent drawdown. |
| Momentum | Neutral after a sharp drawdown and bounce | RSI was 46.02 and price sat between the 50-day and 200-day averages after a roughly 37% fall from the 52-week high. |
| Volume | About 690,000 shares average over 20 days | The late-July bounce came on elevated volume, above the 20-day average. Use fresh volume data to judge whether moves through support or resistance have broad participation. |
| Volatility | Above market average | A five-year beta of 1.25 and a $128.40 to $397.44 52-week range argue for disciplined position sizing. |
| Invalidation | Decisive close below $248.79 | A break below the late-July low should prompt a review of both the chart and the growth thesis in semiconductor and AI data center power. |
AEIS AI trading strategy
The AEIS AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, live chart checks, and fresh company filings including the Q2 2026 report.
Wait for AEIS to reclaim the $319.48 area with volume, then compare the move with semiconductor bookings, data center revenue growth, and the Q2 2026 earnings report scheduled for August 3.
A failed reclaim of the 50-day average or a decisive close below $248.79 invalidates the short-term setup.
If AEIS pulls back into the $248.79 to $286.78 support zone, review revenue by market, gross margin, free cash flow, net cash, the convertible note structure, and customer capex before treating the decline as an opportunity.
Do not average down without a predefined maximum loss and a fresh view of cycle, dilution, and valuation risk.
Track semiconductor equipment revenue, data center computing revenue, industrial and medical demand, non-GAAP and GAAP margins, free cash flow, cash and debt after the 2026 convertible issuance, share count, and Q2 2026 guidance.
Reduce confidence if price strength is not supported by revenue quality, margins, cash generation, or a clearer dilution path.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Advanced Energy for precise, reliable power conversion and control that keep semiconductor tools, AI servers, and industrial or medical systems operating within tight performance windows.
The moat comes from design-in cycles, process qualification, power density and efficiency know-how, and application engineering. It is real in qualified sockets, but customers and large power competitors can still rebid over time.
The thesis can fail if AI data center power demand cools, semiconductor capex turns down, industrial and medical orders lag, margins compress, free cash flow stays weak or negative, or the 2026 convertible financing dilutes equity holders.
Steve Kelley has led the company since 2021. Investors should watch how management balances capacity expansion, R&D, the $1.15 billion convertible capital structure, and conversion of top-line growth into durable free cash flow.
AI data centers and advanced semiconductor processes raise the value of efficient, high-density power delivery. Those trends can support multi-year demand, but they still ride capital spending cycles rather than smooth annuities.
At about 60x trailing earnings, about 28x forward earnings, and under 1% free-cash-flow yield, the market already prices a strong growth path. Margin of safety improves if earnings and free cash flow grow into the valuation, dilution stays limited, or the share price resets toward a mid-cycle multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEIS price | $289.52 close on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis quote snapshot | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization and shares outstanding | About $11.01 billion by $289.52 x 38.03 million shares; financial_rigor.py reported 0.00% deviation vs StockAnalysis $11.01B. Yahoo cited about 40.01 million shares and a higher market cap near $11.58 billion, so share count is a source gap to recheck after the 2026 convertible activity. | StockAnalysis and Yahoo Finance key statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and segment mix | About $511 million total revenue (+26.3% YoY); semiconductor equipment about $219.4 million; data center computing about $194.2 million (+102% YoY); industrial and medical about $72.0 million; telecom and networking about $25.4 million | Company Q1 2026 results and StockAnalysis quarterly KPIs | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income | $1.799 billion revenue and $148.4 million GAAP net income, cross-validated with the analyst forecast dataset and Yahoo Finance at about $1.80 billion and $148 million | Company FY2025 results and StockAnalysis financials | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM earnings, cash, and debt | TTM net income about $190.5 million, EPS $4.81, cash $699.7 million, total debt $683.1 million, net cash about $16.6 million, free cash flow about $68.3 million, with Q1 2026 free cash flow of negative $42.6 million | StockAnalysis statistics and balance sheet | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | $319.48 50-day average, $286.78 200-day average, RSI 46.02, beta 1.25, 52-week range $128.40 to $397.44, 20-day average volume about 690,000 shares | StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
This AEIS AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Forecast scenarios use available data and assumptions that can be wrong. Q2 2026 earnings are scheduled for August 3 after market close and are not reflected in this page. Verify live prices, filings, and your own risk tolerance before making any investment decision.
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