Acadian Asset Management Inc. research snapshot
AAMI AI stock analysis reads Acadian Asset Management as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $89.78 on August 3, 2026, up 3.29 or 3.80% from the $86.49 July 31 close, within a session range of $86.50 to $90.12, carrying a market capitalization near $3.20 billion verified as $89.78 times about 35.63 million shares. Acadian is a systematic quantitative asset manager serving institutional clients, and Q2 2026 was a record quarter: AUM rose 54% year over year to $232.7 billion, U.S. GAAP net income attributable to controlling interests rose 170%, ENI diluted EPS rose 108% to $1.33, and the ENI operating margin expanded to 40.3%. TTM revenue reached $668.5 million and TTM net income reached $101.4 million. The stock is up about 127% over the past 52 weeks and roughly 91% year to date, now trading above the $82.67 average analyst price target. Three analysts rate the stock Hold with targets from $80 to $87. This page uses scenarios, technical levels, and source-backed facts. It is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$89.78 at the August 3, 2026 close, up 3.29 or 3.80% from the $86.49 July 31 close, within a session range of $86.50 to $90.12 after opening at $86.76
Market cap
$3.20 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
Strong systematic asset manager with record AUM and profitability, but the stock now trades above the analyst consensus target after a roughly 127% 52-week run
Trend status
Strong uptrend at a new all-time high after record Q2 2026 results, above every major moving average but with short-term RSI and stochastics near overbought
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Acadian is a systematic quantitative asset manager serving institutional clients with equity, fixed income, and multi-asset strategies. Q2 2026 was a record quarter with AUM up 54% year over year to $232.7 billion, management fees up 44%, and the ENI operating margin expanding to 40.3%. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from a 40-year quantitative research track record, proprietary data, process, and risk infrastructure, deep institutional client relationships with above-average tenure, and a position as one of the few pure-play publicly traded systematic managers. Switching costs for clients are moderate. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Kelly Young leads a firm that has reduced diluted shares 58% since Q4 2019, returned about $1.5 billion through buybacks and dividends, and now carries gross leverage near 0.8x adjusted EBITDA. A planned Co-CIO transition in January 2027 and recent insider selling are monitoring signals. | Medium |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue is $668.5 million, up 24.2%, with TTM net income of $101.4 million and EPS of $2.83. FY2025 revenue grew 11.49% to $563.7 million. Q2 2026 ENI revenue rose 47% to $183 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 79%, while the company reported 10 consecutive quarters of positive net client flows. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $89.78 the stock trades at 31.71x trailing earnings, 15.03x forward earnings, 4.79x sales, and 21.43x EV to EBITDA. The consensus price target of $82.67 sits below the current price, and the forward multiple implies continued strong earnings growth after the re-rating. | Medium-low |
| Technical trend | AAMI closed at $89.78 on August 3, 2026 at a new all-time high of $90.12 intraday. Price sits above the 5-day ($84.71), 20-day ($82.11), 50-day ($77.64), 100-day ($69.63), and 200-day ($59.46) moving averages, with 14-day RSI near 69 and 14-day stochastics near 97%, signaling an overbought short-term condition within a strong uptrend. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are AUM sensitivity to market cycles, fee-rate compression across the asset management industry, a thin sell-side consensus, a small float near 29.56 million shares, elevated short-term technical readings, key-person risk around the 2027 Co-CIO transition, and valuation re-rating risk after a roughly 127% 52-week move. | Medium |
| AI confidence | Medium confidence for the market data, financial statements, Q2 2026 earnings call facts, and valuation math cross-validated across StockAnalysis.com, Barchart, and MarketBeat. Lower confidence for normalized free cash flow, which showed source-window variance, and for earnings beyond the FY2026 consensus. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The business is strong and momentum is real, but the stock has already re-priced sharply, trades above the analyst consensus target, and carries near-overbought technicals. A buyer is paying for continued flawless execution. | Medium-low |
AAMI AI stock forecast
The AAMI AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $89.78 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires AUM growth above $232.7 billion, continued positive net flows, stable or higher fee rates, and margin expansion. The base case assumes earnings growth toward the FY2026 consensus while the multiple normalizes. The bearish case assumes a market or AUM drawdown, fee compression, flow reversal, or a pullback from overbought technicals.
$100 to $115
More likely if AUM keeps growing above $232.7 billion, net client flows stay positive, management fee rates stabilize or improve, ENI margins hold near 40%, the FY2026 consensus of about $773.7 million revenue and $5.36 EPS is met or beaten, and the market re-rates the stock toward 18x to 20x forward earnings on continued momentum.
$82 to $92
More likely if earnings grow toward the FY2026 consensus of $5.36 EPS and the FY2027 consensus of $6.34 EPS, AUM stays range-bound near current levels, and the stock trades near the $82.67 average analyst target, which is roughly 15x forward earnings.
$55 to $70
More likely if global markets decline and drag AUM and management fees down with them, fee compression accelerates, net flows turn negative after 10 positive quarters, the 2027 Co-CIO transition creates key-person disruption, or the stock mean-reverts from its overbought position toward the 50-day to 200-day moving average zone.
AAMI AI technical analysis
AAMI AI technical analysis as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff shows a strong uptrend at a new all-time high. The stock closed at $89.78 on August 3, 2026, up 3.80%, after reaching an all-time intraday high of $90.12. Price is above the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, and the stock is up about 91% year to date. Barchart shows 14-day RSI near 68.96 and 14-day stochastics near 97%, which signals an overbought short-term condition even while the trend remains positive. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $89.78 | August 3, 2026 close, up 3.29 or 3.80% from the $86.49 July 31 close, within a session range of $86.50 to $90.12 after opening at $86.76. |
| 52-week / all-time high | $90.12 | Reached intraday on August 3, 2026. A breakout above this level would open new all-time high territory with no overhead resistance. |
| 5-day moving average | $84.71 | Barchart reported the 5-day moving average near $84.71 on August 3, 2026. Price above this level supports the immediate-term trend. |
| 20-day moving average | $82.11 | Barchart reported the 20-day moving average near $82.11. This is the first line of trend support for the current rally. |
| 50-day moving average | $77.64 | Both StockAnalysis.com and Barchart report the 50-day moving average near $77.64. A break below this level would signal a deeper pullback. |
| 100-day moving average | $69.63 | Barchart reported the 100-day moving average near $69.63. Price is well above this level, confirming the medium-term uptrend. |
| 200-day moving average | $59.46 | Barchart reported the 200-day moving average near $59.46. Price sits well above it, confirming the long-term uptrend. |
| 52-week low | $39.75 | The low end of the 52-week range. The stock has gained roughly 126.8% over the trailing 52 weeks from this base. |
| Momentum | 14-day RSI near 69, 14-day stochastic near 97% (overbought) | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both show 14-day RSI near 68.96. Stochastics near 97% and RSI near 70 flag an overbought short-term condition within a strong uptrend. |
| Volume | 581,051 shares on August 3, 2026 | Volume on the record day was above the roughly 405,000 to 430,000 share 20-day average, which supports the breakout, though daily liquidity remains thin for a small-cap. |
| Volatility | 14-day ATR near $3.52 (about 3.9%), 14-day historic volatility near 34% | Barchart shows elevated volatility for a small-cap financial stock. Position sizing should account for multi-percent daily swings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $82.11, then $77.64 | A close below the 20-day moving average near $82.11 would weaken the short-term setup. A break below the 50-day moving average near $77.64 would signal a deeper correction in the uptrend. |
AAMI AI trading strategy
The AAMI AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines filing-backed business evidence, technical confirmation, position sizing appropriate for a high-volatility small-cap, and clear invalidation levels.
Look for AAMI to hold above the 20-day moving average near $82.11 and to make higher highs above the $90.12 all-time high on above-average volume before extending exposure. The trend is confirmed while price stays above the 50-day moving average near $77.64.
A daily close below $82.11 should reduce confidence in the trend-following setup. A close below $77.64 would invalidate it and signal a deeper pullback.
With RSI near 69 and stochastics near 97%, the stock is short-term overbought. If AAMI pulls back toward $82 to $84 (the 20-day to 5-day moving average zone), assess whether AUM trends, flows, and fee rates still support the thesis before considering a re-entry.
Define maximum loss before entry. A close below the 50-day moving average near $77.64 invalidates the mean-reversion thesis. Do not average down into a declining AUM environment.
Track quarterly AUM, net client flows, ENI revenue and margins, GAAP net income, management fee rates, buybacks, and any updates on the January 2027 Co-CIO transition, alongside the FY2026 consensus of about $773.7 million revenue and $5.36 EPS.
Lower the rating if AUM declines for two consecutive quarters, net flows turn negative, fee margins compress, GAAP net income decelerates, or the stock breaks the 50-day moving average while fundamentals weaken.
Investment research summary
Acadian Asset Management applies quantitative models and systematic processes to manage equity, fixed income, and multi-asset portfolios for institutional clients worldwide. Customers pay for long-term risk-adjusted returns: by revenue weight, 96% of strategies outperformed their benchmarks across 3, 5, and 10 years as of June 30, 2026.
The moat is a 40-year quantitative research track record, proprietary data and risk systems, deep institutional client relationships with above-average tenure, and a rare pure-play publicly traded systematic manager position. Client switching costs are moderate because mandates are awarded on long-term performance, but competition from passive and larger active managers is intense.
The thesis can fail if global markets decline and drag AUM and management fees down with them, fee compression across the asset management industry accelerates, net flows reverse after 10 positive quarters, the 2027 Co-CIO transition disrupts investment leadership, or the stock mean-reverts from an overbought position after re-rating from about $40 to $90.
CEO Kelly Young leads a firm with disciplined capital allocation: diluted shares fell 58% from Q4 2019 to 35.7 million in Q2 2026, about $1.5 billion was returned through buybacks and dividends, and gross leverage sits near 0.8x adjusted EBITDA. The planned Co-CIO transition and recent insider selling warrant monitoring.
Asset management continues shifting toward quantitative and systematic approaches, which Acadian is well positioned to capture. Record AUM of $232.7 billion, up 54% year over year, and 10 consecutive quarters of positive net flows show the strategy is working, but the industry still faces persistent fee pressure and competition from passive index funds.
At the $89.78 cutoff price, AAMI trades at 31.71x trailing earnings, 15.03x forward earnings, 4.79x sales, and 21.43x EV to EBITDA after a roughly 127% 52-week gain. The $82.67 average analyst target implies downside from the current price, so the margin of safety is thin and the valuation already builds in strong expected growth.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAMI price | $89.78 close on August 3, 2026, up 3.80%, within a session range of $86.50 to $90.12 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 4, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $3.20 billion, verified as $89.78 x about 35.63 million shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 4, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | $3.39 billion | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding / float | 35.63 million shares outstanding; float near 29.56 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $668.5 million, up 24.2% year over year | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financials | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM net income / EPS | $101.4 million net income; EPS $2.83 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| FY2025 results | Revenue $563.7 million, up 11.49% from $505.6 million; net income $80.0 million | StockAnalysis.com financials and overview | August 4, 2026 |
| AUM | $232.7 billion as of June 30, 2026, up 54% year over year | Acadian Q2 2026 earnings call (July 30, 2026) | August 4, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 GAAP results | GAAP net income attributable to controlling interests up 170% and EPS up 171%; Q2 GAAP EPS $0.76 | Acadian Q2 2026 earnings call and TheFly report | August 4, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 ENI results | ENI revenue $183 million, up 47%; management fees $177 million, up 44%; ENI EPS $1.33, up 108%; ENI operating margin 40.3% | Acadian Q2 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 net flows | Positive net client flows of $4.3 billion, about 9% annualized organic growth, 10 consecutive quarters of positive flows | Acadian Q2 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| Balance sheet (June 30, 2026) | About $65 million cash, $110 million seed investments, $200 million term loan, no revolver balance; gross debt to adjusted EBITDA near 0.8x | Acadian Q2 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| Buybacks and shareholder returns | Q2 2026 repurchased 0.2 million shares for $10.6 million at a $69.92 average price; diluted shares down 58% since Q4 2019; about $1.5 billion returned since then | Acadian Q2 2026 earnings call | August 4, 2026 |
| Dividend | $0.40 annualized, 0.45% yield, payout ratio near 11%, next ex-dividend September 11, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com dividend page | August 4, 2026 |
| Valuation multiples | 31.71x trailing P/E, 15.03x forward P/E, 4.79x P/S, 34.74x P/B, 21.43x EV/EBITDA, 5.07x EV/Sales | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Balance sheet ratios | Current ratio 0.60, Debt/Equity 1.93, Debt/EBITDA 1.63, interest coverage 8.51, net cash per share -$5.41 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| TTM cash flow | Operating cash flow about $1.50 million and free cash flow about -$11.80 million per StockAnalysis.com statistics (source-window variance noted) | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold from 3 analysts (StockAnalysis.com), average target $82.67 with range $80 to $87; MarketBeat lists Moderate Buy from 5 analysts with average target $81.67 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| FY2026 and FY2027 consensus | FY2026 revenue about $773.7 million (+37.25%) and EPS $5.36 (+64.92%); FY2027 revenue about $910.77 million (+17.72%) and EPS $6.34 (+18.22%) | StockAnalysis.com forecast | August 4, 2026 |
| 52-week price range | $39.75 to $90.12; stock up about 126.8% over 52 weeks and about 91% year to date | StockAnalysis.com quote and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 5-day MA $84.71, 20-day MA $82.11, 50-day MA $77.64, 100-day MA $69.63, 200-day MA $59.46, 14-day RSI 68.96, 14-day stochastic near 97%, 14-day ATR $3.52, 14-day historic volatility near 34% | Barchart technical analysis and StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 4, 2026 |
| Short interest | 978,433 shares as of July 15, 2026, about 3.55% of float, 2.3 days to cover, down 25.08% from the prior report | MarketBeat short interest data | August 4, 2026 |
| Ownership | StockAnalysis.com reports insiders 0.58% and institutions 80.98%; MarketBeat reports insiders 22.60% and institutions 98.69%, with about $6.7 million of insider selling in the past three months (source discrepancy noted) | StockAnalysis.com statistics and MarketBeat | August 4, 2026 |
This AAMI AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 4, 2026 and can be wrong. Acadian reported record Q2 2026 results on July 30, 2026, including AUM up 54% year over year to $232.7 billion, but adjusted ENI metrics include non-GAAP adjustments and the stock trades above the sell-side consensus target. Some ownership and cash flow data points carry source-level variance across StockAnalysis.com and MarketBeat.
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