BlackRock, Inc. research snapshot
BLK AI stock analysis reads BlackRock as the world largest asset manager, now at a record $15.3 trillion in AUM after $868 billion of net inflows over the last twelve months and 10% organic base fee growth. Q2 2026 diluted EPS rose 20% to $12.19, or $13.91 as adjusted, and the adjusted operating margin hit 45.9%, the highest in about five years. At the August 2026 data cutoff, BLK closed near $1,090.39 on July 31 with an implied market capitalization of about $177.30 billion. The technical trend has turned positive with the stock back above all key moving averages, but valuation remains full at about 26x trailing and 18.3x forward earnings, so the analysis supports a scenario framework rather than a certain price prediction.
Current price
$1,090.39
Market cap
$177.30 billion
AI score
77 / 100
Rating
High-quality asset manager with record flows, premium valuation
Trend status
Bullish above all key moving averages after reclaiming the 200-day
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | BlackRock earns recurring fees from public markets, ETFs, active strategies, cash management, alternatives, advisory, and Aladdin technology. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from global scale, iShares distribution, institutional trust, Aladdin workflow embedding, risk systems, brand, and product breadth. | High |
| Management | Larry Fink and the leadership team have delivered record AUM, 10% organic base fee growth, and higher buybacks. The main test is succession and integration discipline. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | Q2 2026 revenue rose 31% year over year to $7.084 billion, adjusted operating income rose 39%, and adjusted EPS rose 15% to $13.91, with a 45.9% adjusted operating margin. | High |
| Valuation | At $1,090.39 and TTM EPS of $41.84, BLK trades near 26.06x earnings, 2.99x book value, 48.3x free cash flow, and a 2.10% dividend yield. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | BLK closed above its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages on July 31, with RSI near 59, marking a repaired uptrend after months below longer-term averages. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are market drawdowns, fee pressure, private credit exposure, political and regulatory scrutiny, acquisition integration, and leadership succession. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because source coverage is deep. Return confidence is lower because flows, market levels, and multiples can change quickly. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | BlackRock is a superior franchise with accelerating momentum, but a buy decision still needs price discipline and a view on markets, fees, private markets, and leadership transition. | Medium |
BLK AI stock forecast
The BLK AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $1,090.39 price reference, the FY2026 consensus adjusted EPS of about $56.30, and a three-year earnings multiple framework. The audited model produced a bearish area near $788, a base area near $1,310, and a bullish area near $1,898 before dividends. The base case aligns closely with the analyst average target of about $1,314.
$1,820 to $1,950
More likely if markets stay supportive, iShares keeps taking share, Aladdin and private markets grow, the Meta and Aligned data center ventures scale, and adjusted EPS compounds near 12% while investors hold a 24x exit multiple.
$1,240 to $1,360
More likely if adjusted EPS compounds near 7%, organic base fee growth stays positive, private markets integration is steady, and the market values BLK near 19x forward earnings.
$740 to $840
More likely if equity and bond markets weaken, net flows slow, fee compression accelerates, private credit risk rises, or BLK is re-rated toward a low-teens earnings multiple.
BLK AI technical analysis
BLK AI technical analysis is bullish as of the August 2026 data cutoff. BLK closed at $1,090.39 on July 31, 2026, above its 5-day ($1,085.53), 20-day ($1,052.29), 50-day ($1,033.33), 100-day ($1,024.49), and 200-day ($1,054.30) moving averages. RSI(14) sat near 58.93, below overbought, and the 52-week high of $1,219.94 remains the main upside objective.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $1,090.39 | StockAnalysis.com and Barchart quote snapshot at the July 31, 2026 close, used for market cap and valuation math. |
| Near support | $1,052 to $1,055 | The 20-day moving average near $1,052.29 and the 200-day moving average near $1,054.30 cluster in this zone. |
| Next support | $1,024 to $1,033 | The 100-day moving average near $1,024.49 and the 50-day moving average near $1,033.33 form a second support band. |
| Near resistance | $1,104 to $1,150 | The July 31 intraday high of $1,104.19 is the first hurdle, with round-number resistance near $1,150 above it. |
| 52-week high | $1,219.94 | StockAnalysis.com lists the 52-week range as $917.39 to $1,219.94, so the high is the key overhead level. |
| 50-day moving average | $1,033.33 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 50-day average near $1,033.33, well below the current price. |
| 200-day moving average | $1,054.30 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com reported the 200-day trend line near $1,054.30, now reclaimed by price. |
| Momentum | RSI near 58.93, ADX near 20 | 14-day RSI was 58.93, constructive but not overbought, and 14-day ADX near 20.03 with +DI above -DI, a moderately trending setup. |
| Volume | About 757,000 average shares | StockAnalysis.com listed 20-day average volume near 757,207 shares, useful for judging breakout conviction. |
| Volatility | Elevated with beta 1.42 | Barchart reported 14-day historical volatility near 36.42%, and beta near 1.42, so position sizing should account for larger swings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $1,024 | A decisive close below the 100-day moving average would break the repaired uptrend; a close below the 200-day would put the medium-term trend at risk. |
BLK AI trading strategy
The BLK AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It combines market regime, asset-manager fundamentals, technical confirmation, and predefined invalidation levels.
Watch for BLK to hold above the $1,052 to $1,055 support cluster while pushing toward the $1,150 and $1,219.94 resistance levels with rising volume, supported by steady AUM, flows, and earnings revisions.
A daily close below the 100-day moving average near $1,024, or a failed attempt at the 52-week high, should trigger a stop and review.
If BLK pulls back toward the $1,024 to $1,055 moving average cluster without a new market, flow, or private credit shock, compare the price reaction with AUM, organic base fee growth, and broad index performance.
Do not average down if markets are falling, net flows deteriorate, or price closes below $1,024 with rising volatility.
Track AUM, net flows, iShares share, base fee rate, Aladdin and technology revenue, private markets fundraising, HPS and GIP integration, the Meta and Aligned data center ventures, dividend growth, buybacks, and management succession signals.
Position sizing should reflect that BLK is partly a levered expression of global capital markets and client risk appetite.
Investment research summary
BlackRock sells investment access, risk management, portfolio construction, ETFs, private markets exposure, cash management, and technology workflows. Clients pay because scale, trust, risk systems, liquidity, and regulatory credibility matter.
The moat is strongest in iShares scale, institutional relationships, global distribution, Aladdin workflow embedding, operating leverage, data, brand trust, and the ability to launch products across asset classes.
The thesis fails if market beta turns negative, fee compression outruns scale benefits, private markets acquisitions disappoint, political scrutiny limits mandates, or succession weakens client trust.
Larry Fink and the leadership team delivered record results in Q2 2026, including $192 billion of net inflows, 10% organic base fee growth, a 45.9% adjusted operating margin, and a higher buyback plan. The next test is disciplined private markets integration and a credible post-Fink leadership transition.
BlackRock benefits from ETF adoption, retirement savings, global capital-market participation, outsourced portfolio management, private markets demand, financial technology, and a growing role in AI data center infrastructure. The trend is favorable, but pricing and regulation remain structural offsets.
At about 26.06x TTM EPS and 18.29x forward EPS, BLK is priced as a high-quality compounder with momentum rather than a distressed financial. Margin of safety depends on the entry price and confidence in flows, markets, and integration.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| BLK price reference | $1,090.39 on July 31, 2026 close | StockAnalysis.com and Barchart quote snapshots | August 1, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $177.30 billion verified as $1,090.39 x 162.6 million shares, matching the reported market cap with 0.00% deviation | Pineify financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 162.6 million including 7.6 million Subco Units; 155.0 million common shares | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 AUM | $15.344 trillion, a record, up 22% year over year | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 net inflows | $192 billion, with a record first half of $321 billion and $868 billion over the last twelve months | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 GAAP results | Revenue $7.084 billion up 31%, operating income $2.461 billion up 42%, diluted EPS $12.19 up 20% | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 adjusted results | Adjusted operating income $2.916 billion up 39%, adjusted operating margin 45.9%, adjusted diluted EPS $13.91 up 15% | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Organic growth | 8% organic base fee growth in Q2 and 10% over the last twelve months | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| iShares milestone | iShares crossed $6 trillion in AUM, roughly doubling in three years | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Technology and capital return | Technology services and subscription revenue up 13% year over year with ACV growth of 15%; $450 million of buybacks in Q2, planned quarterly repurchases rising to $550 million | BlackRock Q2 2026 earnings release | July 15, 2026 |
| Dividend | Quarterly dividend of $5.73 declared July 22, 2026, payable September 22, 2026, for a $22.92 annual rate and 2.10% yield | Business Wire dividend announcement and StockAnalysis.com | July 22, 2026 |
| TTM financials | Revenue $27.30 billion, net income $6.58 billion, EPS $41.84, free cash flow $3.67 billion as of June 30, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com financials | August 1, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | Cash and equivalents $13.15 billion, total debt $14.97 billion, book value $63.32 billion as of the latest period | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | PE 26.06, forward PE 18.29, PB 2.99, P/FCF 48.28, PS 6.49, EV/EBITDA 20.15 | Pineify financial_rigor.py verification using StockAnalysis inputs | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average target of $1,314 across 17 analysts, low $1,190 and high $1,488, median $1,310 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | July 17, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 10 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 2 Hold out of 17 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | July 17, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | BMO Capital $1,250 to $1,300, Deutsche Bank $1,232 to $1,258, UBS $1,270 to $1,320, Bank of America $1,298 to $1,320, Goldman Sachs $1,353 to $1,389 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and TipRanks | July 17, 2026 |
| FY2026 and FY2027 consensus | FY2026 revenue estimate $29.26 billion with adjusted EPS $56.30, FY2027 revenue $32.65 billion with adjusted EPS $64.37 | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | July 17, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day SMA $1,033.33, 200-day SMA $1,054.30, RSI(14) 58.93, 52-week range $917.39 to $1,219.94 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshots | July 31, 2026 |
| AI infrastructure deals | Meta and BlackRock venture for a $14 billion El Paso data center campus announced July 28, 2026; Aligned Data Centers acquisition closed at $40 billion with $5 billion additional growth capital committed | Reuters, PRNewswire, and Business Wire | July 29, 2026 |
This BLK AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future performance. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data, technical snapshots, and valuation assumptions as of the data cutoff and may be wrong.
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