Xometry Inc. research snapshot
XMTR AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads Xometry Inc. as a fast-growing AI-native marketplace for on-demand custom manufacturing, connecting about 5,000 vetted suppliers with more than 85,000 active buyers. This refresh re-fetched and re-verified the key figures from StockAnalysis.com and Barchart. The stock closed at $85.72 on July 31, 2026, after pulling back about 19% from a 52-week high of $106.08, and the market capitalization near $4.83 billion was verified as $85.72 times 56.30 million shares outstanding with 0.08% deviation using the financial_rigor.py calculator. TTM revenue was $740.80 million, up about 29% year over year, and the TTM net loss was -$51.93 million, with the Q1 2026 loss narrowing to -$5.27 million from -$15.08 million a year earlier. Q2 2026 results are due before the market opens on August 4, 2026, which is the next major catalyst. The main offset is valuation, with the stock near 6.5x trailing revenue and about 99x forward earnings, plus roughly $116 million of net debt and a completed $225 million secondary priced at $85.00 on June 2, 2026. This page is an information tool, not investment advice.
Current price
$85.72
Market cap
$4.83 billion
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
High-growth AI-powered manufacturing marketplace nearing break-even with a premium valuation and a short-term technical pullback
Trend status
Long-term uptrend of about +175% over 52 weeks but a sharp pullback below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages after a new 52-week high near $106
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Xometry operates an AI-native marketplace that connects buyers of custom-manufactured parts with about 5,000 vetted suppliers and more than 85,000 active buyers. Revenue is growing quickly with three consecutive quarters of accelerating marketplace growth, and Q1 2026 was a record quarter for revenue, gross profit, EBITDA, and active buyer adds. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from an AI instant-quoting engine trained on a decade of proprietary part data, two-sided network effects, a vetted and certified supplier network, the Thomasnet industrial sourcing platform, and a new native integration with Siemens CAD and PLM software backed by a $50 million Siemens equity investment. | Medium |
| Management | Sanjeev Singh Sahni, formerly of Wayfair B2B and McKinsey, became CEO on July 1, 2026, succeeding co-founder Randy Altschuler, who moved to Executive Chairman. CFO James Miln remains in place. The leadership transition introduces execution risk but is a planned, communicated handoff with the founder still a large shareholder. | Medium |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue was $740.80 million, up about 29% year over year. Q1 2026 revenue of $205.14 million grew 35.9% year over year with marketplace gross profit up about 53%, and the net loss narrowed to -$5.27 million from -$15.08 million a year earlier. The company has not yet reached sustained GAAP profitability. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $85.72, XMTR screens at about 6.51x trailing revenue, 5.30x forward revenue, 98.89x forward earnings, and 15.88x book value, with negative GAAP earnings yield. Valuation is a significant risk factor even after the pullback from the 52-week high. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is up about 175% over the past 52 weeks and recently printed a new 52-week high near $106.08, but it then pulled back about 19% to $85.72, closing below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages with 14-day RSI near 43.5 and short-term directional momentum negative. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are GAAP unprofitability, a premium multiple, roughly $116 million of net debt, dilution from the June 2026 $225 million secondary, competition from Protolabs and others, the unproven scale of the Siemens integration, and macro sensitivity to manufacturing demand. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is medium-high because core data is source-backed and the market cap math cross-validated at 0.08% deviation. Forward confidence is lower because the company has a short public history, is still loss-making on a GAAP basis, and faces an imminent earnings catalyst. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. Xometry is executing well on growth and the path to break-even looks credible, but the current price embeds high expectations and the stock just pulled back sharply, so outcomes depend heavily on the August 4 report and continued adoption. | Medium-low |
XMTR AI stock forecast
The XMTR AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $85.72 cutoff price and the analyst revenue framework. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires sustained marketplace acceleration, a successful Siemens integration ramp, GAAP profitability in FY2026 or early FY2027, and a maintained premium multiple. The base case assumes revenue growth near 25-30%, adjusted EPS near the consensus of about $0.73 for FY2026, and a moderate multiple. The bearish case assumes growth deceleration, delayed profitability, or multiple compression.
$110 to $135
More likely if FY2026 revenue exceeds about $900 million, the company reaches GAAP profitability in FY2026 or early FY2027, the Siemens native CAD and PLM integration accelerates active buyer growth, and the stock holds a 6-7x forward revenue multiple consistent with the Wedbush target of $126.
$80 to $105
More likely if revenue grows 25-30% to about $876 million in FY2026, adjusted EPS lands near the $0.73 consensus, margins keep improving, and the stock trades around 4.5-5.5x forward revenue near the average analyst target of $96.25.
$50 to $75
More likely if marketplace growth decelerates below 20%, GAAP profitability slips further out, competition intensifies, the Siemens integration ramps slowly, or the stock is repriced toward a 3-4x forward revenue multiple near the Goldman Sachs low target of $78 or below.
XMTR AI technical analysis
XMTR AI technical analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff shows a strong long-term uptrend with a sharp short-term pullback. The stock closed at $85.72 on July 31, 2026, after making a 52-week high of $106.08, and it now sits below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages near $92.54 and $90.73 but above the 100-day near $71.02 and the 200-day near $64.28. Barchart reported 14-day RSI near 43.52, 14-day ADX near 24.27 with negative directional index above positive, and 14-day historic volatility near 70%, so the near-term bias is corrective inside an uptrend. Because this static page does not fetch live market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $85.72 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the July 31, 2026 close; market cap math uses 56.30 million shares outstanding. |
| 5-day moving average | $84.10 | Barchart reported the 5-day moving average near $84.10, just below the July 31 close, so near-term buyers have not been fully flushed out. |
| Immediate support | $82 to $85 | This zone combines the 5-day average near $84.10, the $85.00 secondary pricing from June 2, 2026, and the post-offering low near $82.22. A hold above it keeps the corrective move contained. |
| Deeper support | $70 to $72 | The 100-day moving average near $71.02 sits in this zone. This area marks the higher low of the long-term trend and a break below would weaken the bullish structure. |
| Major support | $64.28 | The 200-day moving average near $64.28 is the last major long-term trend line. A sustained close below it would challenge the entire 12-month re-rating thesis. |
| Near resistance | $90 to $93 | The 20-day average near $92.54 and the 50-day average near $90.73 both sit overhead and form the first resistance cluster a recovery must clear. |
| Upper resistance | $106.08 | The 52-week high near $106.08 is the ceiling of the recent range. A decisive break above it would resume the uptrend toward the high analyst target of $126. |
| Moving averages | 20-day $92.54, 50-day $90.73, 100-day $71.02, 200-day $64.28 | The stock is below the 20-day and 50-day averages but well above the 100-day and 200-day averages, a classic pullback within an uptrend rather than a broken trend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 43.52, stochastic near oversold | Barchart reported 14-day RSI near 43.52 and 14-day stochastic near 12.68, so short-term momentum is negative but already approaching oversold levels after the pullback. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 844,250 shares | Average volume was about 844,250 shares over 20 days with short interest near 5.61% of shares outstanding, so position moves around the August 4 earnings report could be amplified. |
| Volatility | 14-day historic volatility near 70% | Barchart reported 14-day historic volatility near 70%, so swings around earnings and guidance are large and position sizing should account for them. |
| Invalidation | Close below $71, then below $64 | A sustained break below the $70-72 zone would weaken the bullish setup. A break below the 200-day average near $64 would challenge the entire growth re-rating thesis. |
XMTR AI trading strategy
The XMTR AI trading strategy below is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines source-backed financial evidence, public technical levels from Barchart, valuation discipline, and clear invalidation rules ahead of the August 4, 2026 earnings report.
Watch for XMTR to reclaim the 20-day moving average near $92.54 and the 50-day near $90.73, and to hold above the $82-85 support zone, with improving volume on a move back toward the $106.08 high. A confirmed breakout with the August 4 earnings support would favor the longer-term trend.
A failed recovery below the 20-day average or a close below the $82 support should reduce confidence. Size smaller given the premium multiple, the June dilution, and 70% historic volatility.
If XMTR pulls back toward the $70-72 zone near the 100-day average without a business thesis break, evaluate revenue growth, gross margin, the path to profitability, analyst revisions, and the August 4 report before treating the dip as a buying opportunity.
Do not average down solely because the marketplace trend is strong. Define maximum loss first, review the revenue multiple, and remember that pre-profitability stocks can re-rate down sharply after a growth or guidance miss.
Track the Q2 2026 earnings report due August 4, revenue growth, gross and operating margin, GAAP net income, cash and debt, active buyer and supplier growth, Siemens integration progress, Thomasnet performance, international expansion, and forward guidance.
Lower the rating if the net loss widens again, revenue growth decelerates below 20%, or the stock keeps a premium multiple without profitability progress. Watch for insider selling and additional secondaries.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Xometry because its AI instant-quoting engine and global network of about 5,000 vetted suppliers deliver fast, transparent pricing and lead times for custom-manufactured parts, replacing the slow and costly manual request-for-quote process.
Xometry has a two-sided marketplace with about 5,000 vetted suppliers and more than 85,000 active buyers, an AI quoting engine trained on a decade of proprietary part data, the Thomasnet industrial sourcing platform, and a native Siemens CAD and PLM integration backed by a $50 million Siemens equity investment. The moat is developing but strengthens as both sides of the network grow.
The thesis can fail if marketplace growth decelerates as the company scales, GAAP profitability keeps slipping, competitors copy the marketplace model, the Siemens integration ramps slowly, acquired platforms underperform, customer concentration emerges, or investors realize they overpaid for a growth story that does not convert into durable earnings.
Randy Altschuler co-founded the company in 2013 and scaled it through the 2021 IPO and multiple acquisitions. The July 1, 2026 handoff to CEO Sanjeev Singh Sahni, an experienced B2B product leader from Wayfair and McKinsey, is planned and founder-backed, but the key question is whether the new CEO sustains the growth acceleration and delivers the profitability path.
Custom parts manufacturing is a roughly $275 billion market within a much larger manufacturing economy, and less than 1% of custom parts are bought online today. The shift toward digital quoting, AI-driven matching, and reshoring gives Xometry a large and early opportunity, with the Siemens integration adding a wide distribution channel.
At $85.72, the stock prices in strong growth and near-term profitability, with a market cap near $4.83 billion, about 6.5x trailing and 5.3x forward revenue, and about 99x forward earnings. There is limited margin of safety for execution misses. A better margin of safety would exist closer to the upper part of the bearish scenario range without fundamental deterioration.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| XMTR price | $85.72 at the July 31, 2026 close, down about 19% from the 52-week high of $106.08 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $4.83 billion, verified as $85.72 x 56.30 million shares outstanding with 0.08% deviation using financial_rigor.py | StockAnalysis.com statistics and Pineify financial_rigor.py | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 56.30 million shares outstanding (current share class 54.82 million, up 3.40% year over year) | StockAnalysis.com share statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $740.80 million, up 29.1% year over year (sum of Q2 2025 through Q1 2026: $162.55M + $180.72M + $192.40M + $205.14M) | StockAnalysis.com financials | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM net income | -$51.93 million, with the Q1 2026 net loss narrowing to -$5.27 million from -$15.08 million in Q1 2025 | StockAnalysis.com financials | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | $205.14 million revenue up 35.9% year over year, GAAP net loss -$5.27 million, GAAP diluted EPS -$0.10, record quarter for gross profit, EBITDA, and active buyer adds | StockAnalysis.com quarterly financials and William Blair conference remarks | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 results | $686.63 million revenue up 25.9%, net loss -$61.74 million, gross margin 39.14% | StockAnalysis.com annual financials | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $223.97 million cash and equivalents, $339.79 million total debt, net debt -$115.82 million, book value $283.17 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash flow | TTM operating cash flow $24.40 million, capital expenditures -$35.26 million, free cash flow -$10.86 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $30.63 to $106.08, with a 52-week price change of +174.92% | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 20-day average $92.54, 50-day $90.73, 100-day $71.02, 200-day $64.28, 14-day RSI 43.52, 14-day ADX 24.27, 14-day historic volatility about 70% | Barchart.com XMTR technical analysis | August 3, 2026 |
| Short interest | 3.16 million shares short, about 5.61% of shares outstanding, short ratio about 4.06 days | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | 9 analysts, consensus Buy, average target $96.25, low $78, high $126, median $89 | StockAnalysis.com forecast | July 30, 2026 |
| Earnings date | Q2 2026 results scheduled before market open on August 4, 2026 | Xometry official press release, July 21, 2026 | July 21, 2026 |
| Recent financing | Completed $225 million public offering of Class A common stock priced at $85.00 on June 2, 2026, the first equity raise since the 2021 IPO | Xometry official press release and TheFly coverage | June 2, 2026 |
| Siemens partnership | Native integration of the Xometry marketplace into Siemens CAD and PLM software, with Siemens buying $50 million of Xometry Class A common stock | Xometry Q1 2026 earnings commentary and William Blair conference transcript | June 4, 2026 |
This XMTR AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell Xometry Inc. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of August 3, 2026 and may be wrong. Always verify live market data, SEC filings, and your own risk constraints before making decisions.
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