Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company research snapshot
WTW AI stock analysis currently reads Willis Towers Watson as a high-quality advisory, broking, benefits, wealth, career, and risk-capital platform that posted a strong second quarter. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, WTW last closed at $335.92 on July 31, 2026, with a verified market capitalization near $31.20 billion. Q2 2026 delivered 9% reported revenue growth, 5% organic growth, 100 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion, and a 17% gain in adjusted diluted EPS, alongside a new Propel AI cost program targeting roughly 30% adjusted operating margin by 2028. The stock has rallied sharply, so the analysis weighs momentum, valuation, and execution risk rather than a certain price prediction. This page uses scenarios and is for informational use only.
Current price
$335.92
Market cap
$31.20 billion
AI score
74 / 100
Rating
Strong second quarter, accelerating organic growth, margin expansion, and a new AI cost program, but the stock is overbought and the base case still assumes continued execution
Trend status
Positive short and long term trends after a 17.4% one month gain, with price above the 50 day and 200 day moving averages but at overbought RSI levels near resistance
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | WTW provides data-driven solutions across people, risk, and capital, with TTM revenue of $10.1 billion, FY2025 revenue of $9.708 billion, and Q2 2026 revenue growth of 9%. | High |
| Moat | The moat is based on long client relationships, consultant expertise, renewal workflows, regulatory knowledge, analytics, broker access, and global scale in 140 countries and markets. | High |
| Management | CEO Carl Hess is executing margin expansion, buybacks, the Newfront acquisition, and the new Propel AI program, but management should be judged by organic growth and cash flow rather than adjusted EPS alone. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue declined 2% to $9.708 billion due to the TRANZACT sale, but Q2 2026 organic growth reaccelerated to 5%, adjusted operating margin rose 100 basis points to 19.5%, and six month free cash flow rose to $360 million from $217 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $335.92, verified math shows about 20.6x TTM EPS, 18.5x free cash flow per share, 4.1x book value, 3.1x sales per share, a 1.14% dividend yield, and a PEG near 0.91. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | ChartMill rated WTW technicals 8 of 10 with positive short and long term trends, but the setup rating is only 1 of 10 because prices are extended and RSI(14) is 79.89, near overbought territory. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks include slower organic growth, discretionary consulting weakness, producer and consultant retention, cyber or regulatory failures, foreign exchange, debt, Newfront integration, AI program execution, and multiple compression after a sharp rally. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for reported and cross-checked data, medium for forecast ranges and trading timing. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. WTW is a strong business that improved in Q2, but this page frames valuation and monitoring rules rather than a buy or sell instruction. | Medium |
WTW AI stock forecast
The WTW AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $335.92 quote and TTM EPS of $16.28. The audited three-year framework produced a bearish area near $249, a base area near $369, and a bullish area near $480 before dividends. These are scenario anchors based on EPS growth and multiple assumptions, not promised targets.
$450 to $510
More likely if organic growth stays at 5% or better, adjusted operating margin expands toward the 2028 Propel target, R&B keeps gaining share, HWC demand stabilizes, Newfront adds growth without integration drag, and the market rewards execution with a higher multiple.
$350 to $390
More likely if EPS compounds in the high single digits, free cash flow margin keeps improving, Willis Re and Newfront headwinds are absorbed, and investors value WTW near an 18x forward earnings framework consistent with analyst targets.
$240 to $270
More likely if client spending weakens, organic growth slows below 3%, Career and ICT demand stay soft, insurance pricing cools, producer or consultant retention worsens, debt limits repurchases, AI savings fall short, or the market assigns a lower multiple after the sharp run.
WTW AI technical analysis
WTW AI technical analysis is positive but overbought as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, using price data through the July 31 close. StockAnalysis listed WTW at $335.92 at the July 31 close, up 11.3% over the prior 52 weeks. ChartMill rated WTW technicals 8 of 10 with both short and long term trends up, but gave a setup rating of only 1 of 10 because the stock is extended after a 17.4% one month gain. RSI(14) is 79.89, above the overbought threshold, and the stock sits near the $339.65 resistance with the $352.79 52-week high above.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $335.92 | StockAnalysis closing quote used for valuation and market-cap verification at the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Resistance | $339.65 | ChartMill cited this as the immediate weekly resistance area from a horizontal line. A break above it would open the path toward the 52-week high. |
| Secondary resistance | $347.15 to $349.94 | ChartMill identified this zone from multiple trend lines in multiple time frames as the next resistance area above $339.65. |
| 52-week high reference | $352.79 | StockAnalysis and ChartMill both list $352.79 as the 52-week high, which sits just above the resistance zones. |
| Support zone | $286.50 to $287.10 | ChartMill cited this zone as support formed by trend lines and important moving averages in multiple time frames. A break below it would signal weakness. |
| 200-day moving average | $298.46 | StockAnalysis reported the 200-day moving average at $298.46 and the 50-day moving average at $275.18, both below the current price. |
| Moving average checkpoints | SMA(20) $298.45, SMA(50) $275.18, SMA(200) $298.46 | ChartMill reported these daily simple moving averages; WTW trades above all of them, confirming the rising trend. |
| Momentum | RSI(14) 79.89, MACD 3.97 | ChartMill reported RSI in overbought territory and a positive, rising MACD, which together describe strong but extended momentum. |
| Volume | 855,379 versus a 20-day average near 591,000 | StockAnalysis reported July 31 volume above the recent 20-day average of 591,010 shares, supporting the recent advance. |
| Trend strength | ADX(14) 34.26 | ChartMill reported an ADX above 30, indicating a strong trend, with the weekly indicator consensus in Strong Buy territory. |
| Invalidation | Close below $286.50 | A decisive close below the $286.50 to $287.10 support zone would break the near-term trend and reduce confidence in the current advance. |
WTW AI trading strategy
The WTW AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a global advisory, benefits, and risk-broking company. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh prices, moving averages, earnings updates, consulting demand, insurance-market conditions, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.
Watch whether WTW can hold above the $298 to $300 moving-average area and break the $339.65 resistance with volume near or above recent averages. Confirmation should include no negative guidance update, organic growth of 4% or better, and continued adjusted operating margin expansion.
Because RSI is near 80 and the setup rating is low, a failed breakout followed by a close below $298 would reduce confidence in the near-term trend setup.
If WTW pulls back toward the $286.50 to $298 support area without an EPS, free-cash-flow, or organic-growth warning, compare the new price with P/E, forward P/E, FCF yield, debt, buyback pace, dividend coverage, and peer broker multiples.
Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because consulting and brokerage stocks can still reprice when organic growth, margins, or AI savings disappoint.
Track HWC and R&B organic growth, adjusted operating margin, free cash flow margin, share repurchases, debt, Newfront integration, Willis Re EPS headwind, Propel run-rate savings, consultant retention, and demand in Career, Benefits Delivery, CRB, and ICT.
Reduce confidence if EPS growth depends mainly on buybacks or adjustments while organic revenue, free cash flow, or segment margins weaken.
Investment research summary
WTW helps organizations make decisions about people, risk, and capital. Clients pay because insurance placement, benefits, retirement, rewards, workforce, risk analytics, and capital decisions are recurring, regulated, data-heavy, and expensive to get wrong.
WTWs moat comes from client relationships, consultant expertise, broker access, analytics, global scale, regulated process knowledge, and renewal workflows. Switching costs are meaningful, but the moat depends on people, trust, and execution more than hard software lock-in.
The thesis fails if organic growth slows below 3%, clients defer discretionary consulting, top consultants or producers leave, cyber or compliance failures damage trust, Newfront integration distracts management, Propel savings fall short, debt limits flexibility, or the market stops paying a premium multiple after the sharp 2026 rally.
Carl Hess and the leadership team should be judged by organic growth, operating margin expansion, free cash flow conversion, disciplined buybacks, acquisition execution, and whether Propel AI savings improve client outcomes rather than only adjusted metrics. Q2 2026 showed the team executing on all of these dimensions.
WTW benefits from more complex global risk, healthcare inflation, retirement complexity, workforce change, cyber exposure, climate risk, and demand for analytics and AI. These trends are durable, but consulting demand can be cyclical and clients can delay discretionary projects.
At roughly 20.6x TTM EPS, 18.5x free cash flow, and a forward P/E near 16, WTW is trading above its early 2026 range after a strong Q2, and the stock is technically overbought. Margin of safety improves if the stock pulls back while organic growth, margins, free cash flow, and repurchase discipline remain intact.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTW price and market capitalization | $335.92 price and $31.20 billion market cap, verified as $335.92 x 92.87 million diluted shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 results | $2.466 billion revenue, $231 million net income, $2.43 diluted EPS, and $3.35 adjusted diluted EPS with 5% organic revenue growth | WTW Q2 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income | $9.708 billion revenue and $1.605 billion net income, cross-checked between WTW, StockAnalysis, and Macrotrends | StockAnalysis financial statements | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM financials | $10.102 billion TTM revenue, $1.565 billion net income, $16.28 EPS, and $1.689 billion free cash flow | StockAnalysis financial statements | August 2, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | $1.627 billion cash, $7.101 billion total debt, $5.474 billion net debt, and $7.688 billion common equity at June 30, 2026 | StockAnalysis balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 20.6x TTM EPS, 18.5x free cash flow per share, 4.1x book value, 3.1x sales per share, 1.14% dividend yield, and 0.91 PEG | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | ChartMill technical rating 8 of 10, setup rating 1 of 10, RSI(14) 79.89, support at $286.50 to $287.10, and resistance at $339.65 | ChartMill technical analysis | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst view | StockAnalysis consensus Buy with a $360.58 average target across 21 analysts; Baird raised its target to $385 and Mizuho to $406 after Q2 | StockAnalysis and TheFly analyst coverage | August 2, 2026 |
This WTW AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data and simplified assumptions as of the stated data cutoff. They can be wrong, incomplete, or outdated.
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