Vertiv Holdings Co research snapshot
VRT AI stock analysis currently reads Vertiv Holdings Co as a critical digital infrastructure supplier tied directly to AI data center buildouts, liquid cooling, power distribution, thermal management, racks, services, and modular infrastructure. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, VRT closed near $241.57 on July 31, 2026 and the audited market cap check produced about $93.00 billion using 384.99 million shares outstanding, matching the reported market cap. The positive case is that Vertiv delivered 24% Q2 sales growth, 60% adjusted EPS growth, a 410 basis point adjusted operating margin gain, a net cash position, and raised full year 2026 guidance across all key metrics. The caution is that Q2 revenue missed consensus on temporary supply chain congestion and multi-phased project timing, the stock fell about 17% on the report before a partial rebound, and the VRT AI stock forecast still starts from a rich 54.7x trailing EPS multiple that requires strong execution and a durable AI data center capex cycle.
Current price
$241.57 close on July 31, 2026
Market cap
$93.00 billion verified market cap
AI score
70 / 100
Rating
High-growth AI data center power and cooling infrastructure leader with raised FY2026 guidance but a Q2 revenue timing miss and a corrective technical setup
Trend status
Corrective: price fell below the 50-day moving average and is testing the 200-day moving average near $246 after the July 29 post-earnings selloff, with RSI near 35
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Vertiv sells critical power, thermal management, liquid cooling, racks, integrated modular systems, monitoring, and lifecycle services for data centers, communication networks, and industrial customers. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from installed base, engineering depth, global service coverage, supply chain scale, product breadth, customer relationships, and execution credibility in high-density AI data center deployments. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Giordano Albertazzi and executive chair Dave Cote have pushed operating discipline, capacity expansion, margin improvement, and AI infrastructure positioning. The key test now is proving the Q2 revenue miss was temporary timing and maintaining execution quality at much larger scale. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was $10.23 billion, TTM revenue is about $11.48 billion, Q2 2026 net sales rose 24% to $3.27 billion with a 22.6% adjusted operating margin, and full year 2026 guidance was raised to about $14.0 billion at midpoint. | High |
| Valuation | At $241.57, audited math shows about 54.7x TTM EPS, 31.7x free cash flow, 8.1x sales, and a 0.10% dividend yield, with a forward PE near 31 based on consensus adjusted EPS. | High |
| Technical trend | The trend is corrective. Price closed below the 50-day moving average near $305.74 and just below the 200-day moving average near $246.31, with RSI near 35 and MACD negative. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are AI capex digestion, hyperscale order timing, customer concentration, supply chain congestion, thermal technology shifts, pricing pressure, competition, working-capital needs, and multiple compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive data confidence is high because company filings and third-party data align. Return confidence is lower because the stock now depends on the revenue timing recovery and continued investor willingness to pay a premium multiple. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | VRT looks like a real AI infrastructure winner with raised guidance, but the corrective price action and the unresolved revenue timing debate lower near-term investment certainty. | Medium-low |
VRT AI stock forecast
The VRT AI stock forecast uses the $241.57 price reference and a forward adjusted EPS framework. The audited model produced a bearish value near $139, a base value near $340, and a bullish value near $514 based on consensus forward EPS, and the consensus analyst target is $339.35. These are scenario ranges, not promises.
$480 to $520
More likely if the Q2 revenue miss proves to be temporary timing, Q3 and Q4 convert backlog into revenue, AI data center demand stays broad, liquid cooling and power systems scale without execution issues, EPS compounds above 25%, and investors re-assign a premium infrastructure-growth multiple.
$320 to $370
More likely if sales growth remains above industrial peers, adjusted operating margin keeps improving toward the 23% to 24% full year guide, free cash flow tracks the $2.4 to $2.6 billion guidance, and the market accepts a mid-to-high 20s forward earnings multiple for high-quality AI infrastructure exposure.
$130 to $160
More likely if the revenue miss is not just timing, AI data center capex pauses, orders fail to convert, pricing weakens, supply chain execution slips, liquid cooling competition intensifies, or investors compress VRT toward a lower industrial multiple.
VRT AI technical analysis
VRT AI technical analysis uses market data available at the August 2, 2026 cutoff. StockAnalysis showed VRT closed near $241.57 on July 31, 2026, with a 50-day moving average near $305.74, a 200-day moving average near $246.31, RSI near 34.81, and 20-day average volume near 6.0 million shares. The post-earnings selloff on July 29 broke the stock below both moving averages, so the technical read is corrective rather than bullish.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $241.57 | July 31, 2026 close used for this static page at the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Immediate resistance | $246 to $250 | This zone includes the 200-day moving average near $246.31 and a round number that the stock must reclaim to stabilize the chart. |
| Near support | $230 to $240 | This range brackets the July 29 to July 31 reaction lows after the earnings selloff. |
| Moving-average resistance | 50-day near $305.74, 200-day near $246.31 | Price is below both averages, which keeps the short-term and intermediate trend reads negative until a reclaim happens. |
| Major downside zone | $200 to $210 | A decisive close below $230 would put the $200 psychological zone and the 52-week low near $118.70 on the radar for the corrective path. |
| Momentum | RSI near 35 | Momentum is weak and approaching oversold territory after the earnings drop, but RSI alone is not a reliable price prediction. |
| Volume | About 6.0 million 20-day average volume | Volume was elevated around the July 29 earnings, and follow-through volume will matter for any attempt to reclaim the 200-day moving average. |
| Volatility | High beta near 2.03 | The stock can react sharply to AI capex commentary, Nvidia ecosystem sentiment, earnings, margin guidance, and industrial growth expectations. |
| Invalidation | Close below $230 | A decisive daily close below the $230 support would confirm a deeper correction, while a close back above $250 would start to repair the short-term setup. |
VRT AI trading strategy
The VRT AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It connects chart levels with AI data center demand, liquid cooling adoption, power systems orders, margins, free cash flow, guidance, the Q2 revenue timing recovery, and valuation discipline.
Watch for VRT to reclaim and hold the $246 to $250 area above the 200-day moving average with improving volume while Q3 results confirm order strength, revenue conversion, adjusted operating margin, free cash flow, and full-year guidance.
A failed reclaim of the 200-day moving average, another revenue timing miss, or signs of AI infrastructure demand digestion should reduce trend-following confidence.
If VRT holds the $230 to $240 support without a break in AI data center fundamentals, compare the lower price with forward EPS growth, free cash flow, customer demand, backlog quality, and the base scenario.
Do not treat a lower price as automatically attractive if the cause is order cancellation, pricing pressure, margin compression, supply chain stress, or a durable slowdown in hyperscale capex.
Track organic sales growth, the timing of supply chain congestion relief, multi-phase project conversion, liquid cooling wins, power and thermal product capacity, adjusted operating margin, adjusted EPS guidance, free cash flow, net leverage, inventory, customer concentration, and analyst EPS revisions.
Position sizing should reflect that VRT is a high-growth industrial AI infrastructure stock with high valuation sensitivity, above-market beta, and elevated post-earnings volatility.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Vertiv because AI data centers and other critical facilities need reliable power, cooling, racks, monitoring, modular infrastructure, and service support to keep high-density compute running.
Vertiv has a moat from engineering depth, installed base, global service coverage, product breadth, manufacturing scale, long customer relationships, and execution know-how in complex power and thermal projects.
The thesis fails if the Q2 revenue miss turns out to be demand rather than timing, AI capex slows, customers overordered capacity, liquid cooling changes reduce Vertiv economics, competitors pressure price, working capital absorbs cash, or the market no longer pays a premium multiple.
Giordano Albertazzi and Dave Cote have improved execution and margin discipline while scaling for AI infrastructure demand and raised full year 2026 guidance despite the revenue miss. The management test is whether rapid growth can continue without quality, capacity, or capital allocation mistakes.
The industry trend is favorable because AI training and inference require more power density, heat removal, grid integration, prefabricated deployment, monitoring, and lifecycle services across global data center fleets.
At $241.57, VRT has strong growth and a lower entry price than July, but margin of safety is still limited. The price implies the revenue timing recovers, EPS growth continues, durable AI infrastructure spending holds, and investors keep supporting a premium multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| VRT quote reference | $241.57 close on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis VRT overview | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $93.00 billion calculated from $241.57 x 384.99 million shares, matching reported market cap within 0.00% | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis VRT market cap | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 384.99 million current shares outstanding, up 1.06% year over year, with institutions owning 84.84% | StockAnalysis VRT statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 revenue, EPS, and margin | $3,274 million Q2 2026 net sales up 24%, $1.27 diluted EPS up 53%, $1.52 adjusted diluted EPS up 60%, and 22.6% adjusted operating margin up 410 basis points | Vertiv Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 and Q3 2026 guidance | Full year 2026 net sales $13.8 to $14.2 billion, organic growth 30% to 32%, adjusted diluted EPS $6.65 to $6.75, and adjusted free cash flow $2.4 to $2.6 billion, with Q3 2026 net sales $3.65 to $3.85 billion and adjusted diluted EPS $1.77 to $1.83 | Vertiv Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash, debt, and free cash flow | $3.11 billion cash and equivalents, $3.34 billion total debt, about $227.6 million negative net cash, and $2.93 billion TTM free cash flow, with a net cash position reported at the end of Q2 2026 | StockAnalysis VRT statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM valuation metrics | 54.67x PE, 31.74x free cash flow, 19.55x book value, 8.10x sales, 36.39x EV/EBITDA, and 0.10% dividend yield from audited inputs, with a forward PE near 31 | Pineify financial_rigor.py valuation check | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical moving averages | 50-day moving average near $305.74, 200-day moving average near $246.31, RSI near 34.81, and average 20-day volume near 6.0 million shares | StockAnalysis VRT statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy from 28 analysts with an average price target of $339.35, a low target of $236, and a high target of $416, with several firms lowering targets after Q2 results | StockAnalysis VRT forecast | August 2, 2026 |
| Business profile | Vertiv provides power, thermal, rack, integrated, monitoring, and service infrastructure for data centers, communication networks, and commercial and industrial environments | Vertiv company website and investor materials | August 2, 2026 |
This VRT AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data at the stated cutoff date and can be wrong. Always verify current filings, market data, valuation, and risk factors before making financial decisions.
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