Quanta Services, Inc. research snapshot

PWR AI Stock Analysis

PWR AI stock analysis reads Quanta Services as a high-quality infrastructure services company that just posted a record second quarter and raised its full-year plan. On July 30, 2026, Quanta reported Q2 2026 revenue of $9.56 billion, GAAP diluted EPS of $2.96, adjusted diluted EPS of $4.24, record total backlog of $53.4 billion, and free cash flow of $0.9 billion. Management raised 2026 guidance to revenue of $39.3 billion to $39.7 billion, adjusted diluted EPS of $16.45 to $16.95, and free cash flow of $2.0 billion to $2.5 billion. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, PWR closed at $667.36 on July 31, and market cap math using 150.34 million shares implies roughly $100.33 billion. The AI view stays constructive on backlog, craft labor scale, utility and data center power demand, and recent acquisitions, but the valuation still prices in years of strong growth. This PWR AI stock analysis uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction, and is for informational use only.

Current price

$667.36

Market cap

$100.33 billion verified market cap

AI score

76 / 100

Rating

High-quality infrastructure services compounder with record backlog and a demanding valuation

Trend status

Uptrend intact above the 200-day and 100-day moving averages, but price is below the 50-day average after a sharp earnings-driven rebound

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Quanta has long public history, audited SEC filings including the Q2 2026 10-Q and the 2025 Form 10-K, the July 30, 2026 earnings release, StockAnalysis market data, MacroTrends revenue history, Barchart technical data, and 30 sell-side analyst targets. The main AI research trap is letting the widely discussed AI and data center power demand narrative override price discipline.
bias Check
The reverse check asks why a smart investor might not buy PWR: the stock trades near 76x trailing GAAP EPS and 38x forward earnings, free cash flow yield is near 2.3%, the last four acquisitions add integration and debt risk, project timing can shift, and a construction services business still carries labor, safety, weather, permitting, and execution risk.
ai Confidence
High for Q2 2026 results, raised 2026 guidance, backlog, revenue history, shares, current market cap math, and valuation ratios cross-checked across the earnings release, MacroTrends, and StockAnalysis. Medium for technical levels because moving averages, volume, and momentum readings update continuously across vendors.
investment Certainty
High business quality certainty but medium investment certainty. Quanta is well positioned for long-duration power infrastructure demand, yet the stock price requires continued backlog conversion, margin control, and sustained willingness to pay a premium multiple.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityQuanta sells outsourced engineering, procurement, construction, fabrication, repair, and maintenance services for electric power, renewable, underground, communications, load center, industrial, and energy infrastructure.High
MoatThe moat comes from craft labor scale, self-perform capabilities, safety record, utility relationships, project execution history, an acquisition network, equipment depth, and the difficulty of staffing large energized infrastructure work.High
ManagementCEO Duke Austin has expanded Quanta through the Phalcon, Enerfab, Percheron, and PSD acquisitions, kept 2026 guidance raised across revenue, EPS, EBITDA, and cash flow, and supported a new $1 billion repurchase authorization.High
Financial trendFY2025 revenue was $28.48 billion and net income attributable to common stock was $1.028 billion. Q2 2026 revenue was $9.56 billion, GAAP diluted EPS was $2.96, adjusted diluted EPS was $4.24, and total backlog reached a record $53.4 billion.High
ValuationAt $667.36, PWR screens near 76.4x trailing GAAP EPS, 3.05x sales, 10.4x book value, and 43.9x trailing free cash flow, with a forward PE near 38x using 2026 adjusted EPS guidance.Medium-high
Technical trendThe stock closed at $667.36 on July 31, 2026, above the 100-day moving average near $655.74 and the 200-day average near $561.35, but below the 50-day average near $681.09, so the short-term trend is improving after the earnings move.Medium
Risk levelKey risks are premium multiple compression, integration of four recent acquisitions, project delays, permitting, weather, safety events, labor availability, utility capex cycles, debt load, and lower-margin backlog conversion.Medium-high
AI confidenceDescriptive confidence is high because filings, the Q2 2026 release, and market data are rich and cross-validated. Return confidence is lower because the market already prices in strong power infrastructure growth.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium. PWR is a strong business, but the current stock needs continued earnings growth and premium valuation support to produce attractive forward returns.Medium

PWR AI stock forecast

PWR AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The PWR AI stock forecast is scenario-based because Quanta value depends on backlog conversion, utility and data center power spending, execution margin, acquisition returns, labor capacity, interest rates, and market appetite for premium infrastructure multiples. Using the $667.36 price reference and the raised 2026 adjusted EPS midpoint of $16.70, the audited three-scenario model points to about $348 in a bear case, $587 in a base case, and $923 in a bullish case before dividends over three years. This range is not a guarantee.

Bullish case

$890 to $960 before dividends

More likely if adjusted EPS compounds near 20% a year, total backlog keeps rising above $53 billion, electric segment margins hold, data center and utility grid demand remain strong, the 2026 acquisitions integrate cleanly, and investors keep valuing PWR near a 30x to 32x forward earnings multiple.

Base case

$560 to $620 before dividends

More likely if Quanta meets the raised 2026 guidance, adjusted EPS compounds near 12% a year, backlog converts without major margin leakage, project timing stays manageable, and valuation settles near a 24x to 26x forward earnings multiple.

Bearish case

$330 to $370 before dividends

More likely if utility or data center project starts slow, acquisition integration strains margins, labor and safety costs rise, debt costs stay elevated, weather or permitting delays hurt execution, or PWR rerates toward a 17x to 19x multiple more typical of construction services.

PWR AI technical analysis

PWR AI Technical Analysis

PWR AI technical analysis is mixed but improving as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis reported a July 31, 2026 close of $667.36, up 1.43% on the day and up 62.33% over the past 52 weeks, with a 52-week range of $363.01 to $788.75. Barchart listed the 5-day moving average near $619.02, the 20-day near $641.48, the 50-day near $681.09, the 100-day near $655.74, and the 200-day near $561.35, with 14-day RSI near 53.07. Price is above the 100-day and 200-day averages, so the longer-term trend is intact, while the 50-day average overhead marks the main short-term resistance.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$667.36StockAnalysis reported the July 31, 2026 close at $667.36, up 1.43% for the session and 62.33% over 52 weeks.
Immediate support$641 to $657This zone brackets the 20-day moving average near $641.48 and the 100-day moving average near $655.74 from Barchart.
Major support$560 to $610The 200-day moving average was near $561.35, with the year-to-date average near $606.78, forming a wide support band.
Deeper support$330 to $370This overlaps the bearish three-year scenario range and would imply a major valuation reset rather than a normal pullback.
Near resistance$681 to $700The 50-day moving average near $681.09 from StockAnalysis and Barchart sits overhead, so PWR needs to reclaim it to repair short-term momentum.
Upper resistance$788.75StockAnalysis reported the 52-week high at $788.75, and prior MarketWatch data dated the high to May 6, 2026.
Moving averages5-day near $619, 20-day near $641, 50-day near $681, 100-day near $656, 200-day near $561The 50-day average is overhead while the 100-day and 200-day averages remain below price.
Momentum14-day RSI near 53, improving after earningsBarchart showed 14-day RSI near 53.07 and 14-day ADX near 25.83 on July 31, 2026, a neutral to constructive momentum read.
VolumeAbout 1.1 million to 1.2 million shares averageStockAnalysis listed 20-day average volume near 1.12 million shares, and Barchart near 1.16 million, so rebound participation should be checked against these baselines.
VolatilityElevated, with 14-day historical volatility near 79%Barchart reported 14-day historical volatility near 78.87% and a 14-day average true range near $34.27, so position sizing should account for larger swings.
InvalidationClose below $641, then below $561A sustained break below the 20-day and 100-day area near $641 to $657 would weaken the rebound setup. A break below the 200-day average near $561 would challenge the longer-term trend.

PWR AI trading strategy

PWR AI Trading Strategy Framework

The PWR AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with the raised 2026 guidance, backlog, acquisition integration, electric power demand, labor capacity, and free cash flow.

Trend-following setup

Watch for PWR to reclaim and hold the $681 to $700 resistance zone while company updates continue to support 2026 revenue of $39.3 billion to $39.7 billion, adjusted EPS of $16.45 to $16.95, and record backlog.

A failed reclaim followed by a close below the 100-day average near $656 should reduce trend confidence, especially if backlog conversion, margins, or free cash flow guidance weaken.

Mean-reversion setup

If PWR pulls back toward the $641 to $657 support band without a guidance cut, compare the lower price with backlog quality, utility and data center demand, acquisition integration, free cash flow conversion, and the expected earnings base.

Do not treat every pullback as attractive. A premium multiple near 38x forward earnings can compress quickly if project timing slips or investors question the durability of power infrastructure growth.

Fundamental monitor

Track total backlog, remaining performance obligations, adjusted EBITDA margin, 2026 free cash flow guidance of $2.0 billion to $2.5 billion, net debt, integration of the Phalcon, Enerfab, Percheron, and PSD acquisitions, labor availability, safety performance, and utility capex commentary.

Position sizing should reflect that PWR is a high-expectation infrastructure stock, not a guaranteed AI power demand winner or a substitute for a diversified investment plan.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay Quanta because electric utilities, renewable developers, data center power users, communications providers, load centers, and industrial customers need scarce skilled labor and proven execution for complex infrastructure work.

Moat

PWR has scale, craft labor density, self-perform and fabrication capabilities, safety systems, utility relationships, specialized equipment, project history, and an acquisition platform. The moat is practical and execution-based rather than patent-based.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if backlog does not convert to earnings, labor becomes unavailable or more expensive, projects are delayed, the four 2026 acquisitions overreach or dilute returns, safety events damage trust, debt reduces flexibility, or the market refuses to pay a growth multiple for construction services.

Management

Management has built a broader infrastructure platform through organic growth and acquisitions, and raised 2026 guidance after a record Q2. The next test is whether Quanta can integrate added capacity, protect margins, and convert record backlog into cash rather than only revenue.

Industry trend

Quanta sits inside long-duration trends: grid hardening, electrification, AI and data center power demand, renewable interconnection, industrial reshoring, and replacement of aging utility assets. These trends are favorable but already well recognized.

Valuation and margin of safety

The verified scenario model shows that the current price needs continued adjusted EPS growth and a premium multiple. Margin of safety is modest unless the stock pulls closer to major support or fundamentals keep compounding faster than expected.

Source-backed data

PWR Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
Current price$667.36 close on July 31, 2026, up 1.43% for the sessionStockAnalysis PWR real-time quoteJuly 31, 2026
Market cap$100.33 billion, verified as $667.36 x 150.34 million shares with 0.00% deviationfinancial_rigor.py market cap verificationAugust 2, 2026
Shares outstanding150.34 million current shares outstandingStockAnalysis PWR statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Q2 2026 revenue$9.56 billion, cross-checked at $9.557 billion on MacroTrendsQuanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS$2.96, up from $1.52 in Q2 2025Quanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
Q2 2026 adjusted diluted EPS$4.24, up from $2.48 in Q2 2025Quanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
Q2 2026 net income and cash flowNet income attributable to common stock of $451.4 million, cash flow from operations of $1.1 billion, and free cash flow of $0.9 billionQuanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
Q2 2026 backlogRecord total backlog of $53.4 billion and remaining performance obligations of $33.6 billionQuanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
2026 outlookRevenue $39.3 billion to $39.7 billion, adjusted diluted EPS $16.45 to $16.95, adjusted EBITDA $4.09 billion to $4.21 billion, free cash flow $2.0 billion to $2.5 billionQuanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
Q2 2026 acquisitionsPhalcon, Enerfab, Percheron, and PSD acquired for about $1.24 billion net of cash, expected to add $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion of revenue and $120 million to $140 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2026Quanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026
FY2025 revenue$28.480 billion, cross-checked across MacroTrends and the 2025 Form 10-KMacroTrends PWR revenue historyAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 net income and EPSNet income attributable to common stock of $1.028 billion and diluted EPS of $6.80Quanta Services 2025 Form 10-KAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 backlog$43.976 billion total backlog at December 31, 2025Quanta Services 2025 Form 10-KAugust 2, 2026
Valuation ratios76.36x trailing GAAP EPS, 3.05x sales, 10.40x book value, 43.85x trailing free cash flow, 0.07% dividend yieldfinancial_rigor.py valuation verificationAugust 2, 2026
Forward valuationForward PE near 38.15, EV/EBITDA near 34.71, PEG ratio near 2.18StockAnalysis PWR statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Analyst consensusBuy rating with an average target of $762.08 across 30 analysts, low $410, high $976, median $790StockAnalysis PWR forecastJuly 31, 2026
Recent analyst actionsGuggenheim upgraded to Buy with $800 target, UBS reiterated Buy at $900, Citi raised to $871, Baird lowered to $728, and JPMorgan downgraded to Neutral at $714StockAnalysis PWR forecast and newsJuly 31, 2026
Technical levels5-day MA near $619.02, 20-day MA near $641.48, 50-day MA near $681.09, 100-day MA near $655.74, 200-day MA near $561.35Barchart PWR technical analysisJuly 31, 2026
Momentum and volatility14-day RSI near 53.07, 14-day ADX near 25.83, 14-day historical volatility near 78.87%, 14-day average true range near $34.27Barchart PWR technical analysisJuly 31, 2026
52-week price performanceUp 62.33% over 52 weeks, range $363.01 to $788.75StockAnalysis PWR statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Credit ratingMoody’s upgraded senior unsecured notes to Baa2 from Baa3 and commercial paper to Prime-2 in June 2026Quanta Services Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 30, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell PWR. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data, stated assumptions, and current market prices as of the data cutoff. They can be wrong if business conditions, valuation multiples, rates, project timing, acquisition integration, or market sentiment change.