Bullish case
$285 to $325
More likely if GTA VI launches on November 19, 2026, early sales and engagement exceed expectations, recurrent consumer spending remains healthy, and fiscal 2027 guidance moves higher without a margin reset.
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. research snapshot
TTWO AI Stock Analysis
TTWO AI stock analysis currently reads Take-Two Interactive Software as a premium interactive entertainment publisher with unusually important near-term dependence on Grand Theft Auto VI. The company has durable franchises across Rockstar Games, 2K, and Zynga, FY2026 net bookings rose 19% to $6.72 billion, and fiscal 2027 guidance points to $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion of net bookings. At the July 8, 2026 cutoff, TTWO traded at $257.79 with a verified market value near $47.86 billion. The stock quality is real, but the forecast should be treated as scenario analysis around GTA VI execution, recurrent consumer spending, release timing, and valuation risk. This page is an informational research tool and is not investment advice.
Current price
$257.79
Market cap
$47.86 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
High-quality IP franchise, catalyst-heavy valuation
Trend status
Bullish momentum near 52-week highs, with GTA VI expectations priced in
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- A-level information richness. TTWO is a long-listed Nasdaq company with SEC filings, a recent FY2026 10-K, company guidance, liquid quote data, and broad analyst coverage.
- bias Check
- The main AI research bias is recency and consensus anchoring around GTA VI. The page separates verified FY2026 data from forward-looking judgments about launch demand, live services, pricing, and margin recovery.
- ai Confidence
- High for FY2026 revenue, net bookings, shares, cash, and quote math. Medium for technical levels because the chart can reprice quickly around GTA VI launch news and analyst revisions.
- investment Certainty
- Medium. The business owns scarce entertainment IP, but the current stock price already embeds a large release-cycle catalyst and leaves less room for execution mistakes.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Take-Two owns scarce interactive entertainment IP across Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, Borderlands, Civilization, Red Dead, and Zynga mobile titles. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from brand IP, studio talent, production scale, player networks, and live services, but hit-driven gaming cycles still matter. | Medium-high |
| Management | Strauss Zelnick has led the company for many years and the team has built a large multi-label publisher, but capital allocation still carries Zynga integration and launch-cycle risk. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2026 revenue was $6.66 billion, net loss improved to $298.2 million, operating cash flow was $624.3 million, and net bookings rose 19%. | High |
| Valuation | At $257.79, TTWO trades near 7.2x sales and over 100x FY2026 free cash flow per share, so the valuation depends on fiscal 2027 and 2028 profit conversion. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The stock was near its 52-week high and above cited 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while short-term RSI readings suggested overbought risk. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are GTA VI delay or quality disappointment, launch concentration, mobile monetization pressure, high amortization, and multiple compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High confidence for historical financials and market-cap math, lower confidence for any single launch-driven price path. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty because the business is strong, but the market has already pulled a large part of the GTA VI story into the share price. | Medium |
TTWO AI stock forecast
TTWO AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The TTWO AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges instead of a fixed price promise. Company guidance calls for fiscal 2027 net bookings of $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion, but the market response depends on GTA VI timing, launch quality, recurrent consumer spending, margins, and whether investors keep paying a premium multiple.
Base case
$235 to $285
More likely if GTA VI launches on schedule, fiscal 2027 net bookings land near the $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion guide, and valuation stays close to current market expectations.
Bearish case
$170 to $220
More likely if GTA VI slips again, launch quality disappoints, live services weaken, mobile growth slows, or investors compress TTWO toward a lower sales and cash flow multiple.
TTWO AI technical analysis
TTWO AI Technical Analysis
TTWO AI technical analysis starts from the $257.79 quote on July 8, 2026. The stock was trading near the top of its 52-week range and above cited 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which supports trend-following momentum. The same setup also raises pullback risk because RSI and recent price action showed stretched conditions.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $257.79 | Quote snapshot used for the July 8, 2026 research pass and market-cap verification. |
| Near support | $248 to $250 | Planning zone around recent short-term moving-average references. A loss of this area would show momentum cooling. |
| Major support | $229 to $231 | Area around cited 200-day moving-average references. A break below it would weaken the larger uptrend. |
| Near resistance | $266 to $285 | The upper end starts near the July 8 day range high and extends toward the cited analyst target area. Treat it as a planning zone, not a target promise. |
| 50-day moving average | About $250.20 | Investing.com cited this 50-day moving average during the July 8, 2026 research pass. |
| 200-day moving average | About $229.72 | Investing.com cited this 200-day moving average during the July 8, 2026 research pass. |
| Momentum | Strong buy but stretched | Investing.com listed daily technical indicators as strong buy, while TipRanks referenced RSI above 70 on July 7, 2026. |
| Volume | About 2.06 million shares snapshot | StockAnalysis showed this volume snapshot near the data cutoff. Breakouts need confirmation above normal activity. |
| Volatility | $256.86 to $265.94 day range | The July 8 quote range leaves enough short-term volatility to require position sizing discipline. |
| Invalidation | Close below $229 | A decisive close below the 200-day area would invalidate the current trend-following setup and require fresh chart work. |
TTWO AI trading strategy
TTWO AI Trading Strategy Framework
The TTWO AI trading strategy below is a research framework, not personalized advice. Because TTWO is tied to a major release cycle, any setup should pair chart levels with launch timing, guidance revisions, pre-order signals, reviews, and recurrent consumer spending data.
Trend-following setup
Watch for TTWO to hold above the $248 to $250 support zone and reclaim or extend above the $266 area with volume that confirms institutional demand.
A close below $248 weakens short-term momentum, and a close below $229 should invalidate the larger trend setup.
Mean-reversion setup
If TTWO pulls back toward $229 to $231 without negative GTA VI news, compare the new price with fiscal 2027 bookings guidance, cash flow, and analyst estimate revisions.
Do not average down after a launch delay, weak review cycle, or guidance cut unless the operating thesis is rebuilt from current filings.
Catalyst monitor
Track GTA VI launch date confirmation, pre-order signals, pricing mix, console attach rates, recurrent consumer spending, NBA 2K performance, and mobile ad trends.
Keep position size modest around earnings and launch headlines because one update can change both the fundamental and technical setup.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
Customers pay Take-Two for premium games, mobile games, and ongoing digital content that deliver entertainment, identity, competition, and social play. The business is strongest when major releases create a new base for live services and recurrent spending.
Moat
The moat is strongest in Rockstar and 2K brands, long-lived IP, studio talent, production scale, marketing reach, and player communities. It is weaker where mobile games and annual sports titles face lower switching costs.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis fails if GTA VI is delayed, underwhelms players, or monetizes below expectations. It also weakens if Zynga growth slows, development costs rise faster than bookings, or gamers shift attention to competing platforms.
Management
Strauss Zelnick has been central to Take-Two since 2007 and CEO since 2011. Management has created major shareholder value, but the next test is converting the largest pipeline in company history into durable cash flow.
Industry trend
Gaming remains a large global entertainment category with long-term support from digital distribution, live services, mobile gaming, user-generated content, and AI-assisted production. Growth is still hit-driven and consumer budgets are finite.
Valuation and margin of safety
At $257.79, TTWO has limited obvious statistical cheapness. Financial rigor checks showed roughly 7.2x sales and a low FY2026 free cash flow yield, so margin of safety depends on fiscal 2027 profit recovery and not just brand quality.
Source-backed data
TTWO Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTWO price | $257.79 | Investing.com quote snapshot | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $47.86 billion | StockAnalysis market cap and financial rigor calculation | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 185.67 million | Take-Two FY2026 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2026 net revenue | $6.656 billion | Take-Two FY2026 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2026 net bookings | $6.721 billion | Take-Two FY2026 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2026 net loss | $298.2 million | Take-Two FY2026 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2026 operating cash flow | $624.3 million | Take-Two FY2026 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2027 net bookings outlook | $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion | Take-Two FY2026 results release | July 8, 2026 |
| GTA VI release plan | November 19, 2026 | Take-Two FY2026 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical moving averages | 50-day about $250.20, 200-day about $229.72 | Investing.com technical snapshot | July 8, 2026 |
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This TTWO AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 8, 2026 and may be wrong if company fundamentals, GTA VI timing, market prices, or investor expectations change.