Bullish case
$275 to $320
More likely if GTA VI launches on November 19, 2026, pre-orders and day-one sales exceed expectations, recurrent consumer spending stays healthy, and fiscal 2027 results land above the guide without a margin reset.
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. research snapshot
TTWO AI Stock Analysis
TTWO AI stock analysis currently reads Take-Two Interactive Software as a premium interactive entertainment publisher with unusually strong near-term dependence on Grand Theft Auto VI. The company reported FY2026 GAAP net revenue of $6.66 billion and net bookings of $6.72 billion, and it guides fiscal 2027 net bookings to $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion ahead of the November 19, 2026 GTA VI launch. At the August 2, 2026 cutoff, TTWO closed at $242.92 on July 31 with a market value near $45.42 billion, down from the July high around $265.94. The business quality is real, but the forecast should be treated as scenario analysis around GTA VI execution, recurrent consumer spending, pricing at $79.99, and valuation risk. This page is an informational research tool and is not investment advice.
Current price
$242.92
Market cap
$45.42 billion
AI score
67 / 100
Rating
High-quality IP franchise, catalyst-heavy valuation
Trend status
Uptrend intact above the 200-day average after a pullback from the July high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- A-level information richness. TTWO is a long-listed Nasdaq company with SEC filings, a recent FY2026 Form 10-K, official FY2027 outlook, liquid quote data, and broad analyst coverage.
- bias Check
- The main AI research bias is recency and consensus anchoring around GTA VI. The page separates verified FY2026 and FY2027 guidance data from forward-looking judgments about launch demand, live services, pricing, and margin recovery.
- ai Confidence
- High for FY2026 revenue, net bookings, FY2027 guidance, shares, cash, and quote math. Medium for technical levels because the chart can reprice quickly around GTA VI launch news and the August 7 earnings report.
- investment Certainty
- Medium. The business owns scarce entertainment IP, but the current stock price already embeds a large release-cycle catalyst and leaves less room for execution mistakes.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Take-Two owns scarce interactive entertainment IP across Grand Theft Auto, NBA 2K, Borderlands, Civilization, Red Dead, and Zynga mobile titles. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from brand IP, studio talent, production scale, player networks, and live services, but hit-driven gaming cycles still matter. | Medium-high |
| Management | Strauss Zelnick has led the company for many years and the team has built a large multi-label publisher, but capital allocation still carries Zynga integration and launch-cycle risk. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2026 revenue was $6.66 billion, net loss improved to $298.2 million, operating cash flow was $624.3 million, and net bookings rose 19%. | High |
| Valuation | At $242.92, TTWO trades near 6.8x sales and a forward P/E around 35, so the valuation depends on fiscal 2027 profit conversion and GTA VI scale. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The stock pulled back from its July high to around $242.92 but stayed above cited 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while RSI cooled to a neutral reading. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are GTA VI delay or quality disappointment, launch concentration, mobile monetization pressure, high amortization, and multiple compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High confidence for historical financials and market-cap math, lower confidence for any single launch-driven price path. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty because the business is strong, but the market has already pulled a large part of the GTA VI story into the share price. | Medium |
TTWO AI stock forecast
TTWO AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The TTWO AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges instead of a fixed price promise. Company guidance calls for fiscal 2027 net bookings of $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion and GAAP revenue of $7.9 billion to $8.1 billion, but the market response depends on GTA VI timing, launch quality, the $79.99 price, recurrent consumer spending, margins, and whether investors keep paying a premium multiple.
Base case
$230 to $275
More likely if GTA VI launches on schedule, fiscal 2027 net bookings land near the $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion guide, and valuation stays close to current market expectations.
Bearish case
$170 to $225
More likely if GTA VI slips again, launch quality disappoints, the $79.99 price slows demand, live services weaken, mobile growth slows, or investors compress TTWO toward a lower sales and cash flow multiple.
TTWO AI technical analysis
TTWO AI Technical Analysis
TTWO AI technical analysis starts from the $242.92 close on July 31, 2026. The stock pulled back from the July high near $265.94 but stayed above the cited 50-day moving average around $234.13 and the 200-day moving average around $229.77. RSI cooled to a neutral zone near 53, which lowers immediate overbought risk and keeps the larger uptrend intact until support fails.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $242.92 | July 31, 2026 close used for the August 2, 2026 research pass and market-cap verification. |
| Near support | $234 to $238 | Planning zone around the cited 50-day moving average near $234.13 and the late-July day low. A loss of this area would show momentum cooling. |
| Major support | $229 to $232 | Area around the cited 200-day moving average near $229.77. A break below it would weaken the larger uptrend. |
| Near resistance | $247 to $266 | The near end sits near the late-July swing high and the upper end is the 52-week high around $265.94. Treat it as a planning zone, not a target promise. |
| 50-day moving average | About $234.13 | StockAnalysis cited this 50-day moving average during the August 2, 2026 research pass. |
| 200-day moving average | About $229.77 | StockAnalysis cited this 200-day moving average during the August 2, 2026 research pass. |
| Momentum | Neutral, no longer overbought | RSI was cited near 52.94 at the cutoff, down from the overbought readings seen in early July. |
| Volume | About 1.93 million shares on July 31 | StockAnalysis showed this snapshot with a 20-day average near 1.79 million. Breakouts need confirmation above normal activity. |
| Volatility | $237.96 to $247.08 day range | The July 31 quote range leaves enough short-term volatility to require position sizing discipline, especially ahead of August 7 earnings. |
| Invalidation | Close below $229 | A decisive close below the 200-day area would invalidate the current trend-following setup and require fresh chart work. |
TTWO AI trading strategy
TTWO AI Trading Strategy Framework
The TTWO AI trading strategy below is a research framework, not personalized advice. Because TTWO is tied to a major release cycle and reports fiscal first quarter results on August 7, 2026, any setup should pair chart levels with launch timing, guidance revisions, pre-order signals, reviews, and recurrent consumer spending data.
Trend-following setup
Watch for TTWO to hold above the $234 to $238 support zone and reclaim the $247 area with volume that confirms institutional demand. A move toward the 52-week high near $265.94 only counts after the August 7 report clears the setup.
A close below $234 weakens short-term momentum, and a close below $229 should invalidate the larger trend setup.
Mean-reversion setup
If TTWO pulls back toward $229 to $234 without negative GTA VI news, compare the new price with fiscal 2027 bookings guidance, cash flow, and analyst estimate revisions around the August 7 earnings print.
Do not average down after a launch delay, weak review cycle, or guidance cut unless the operating thesis is rebuilt from current filings.
Catalyst monitor
Track the August 7 fiscal first quarter report, GTA VI launch date confirmation, pre-order signals, the $79.99 pricing mix, console attach rates, recurrent consumer spending, NBA 2K performance, and mobile ad trends.
Keep position size modest around earnings and launch headlines because one update can change both the fundamental and technical setup.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
Customers pay Take-Two for premium games, mobile games, and ongoing digital content that deliver entertainment, identity, competition, and social play. The business is strongest when major releases create a new base for live services and recurrent spending, which was 78% of FY2026 net bookings.
Moat
The moat is strongest in Rockstar and 2K brands, long-lived IP, studio talent, production scale, marketing reach, and player communities. It is weaker where mobile games and annual sports titles face lower switching costs.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis fails if GTA VI is delayed, underwhelms players, or monetizes below expectations at the $79.99 price. It also weakens if Zynga growth slows, development costs rise faster than bookings, or gamers shift attention to competing platforms.
Management
Strauss Zelnick has been central to Take-Two since 2007 and CEO since 2011. Management has created major shareholder value, but the next test is converting the largest pipeline in company history into durable cash flow.
Industry trend
Gaming remains a large global entertainment category with long-term support from digital distribution, live services, mobile gaming, user-generated content, and AI-assisted production. Growth is still hit-driven and consumer budgets are finite.
Valuation and margin of safety
At $242.92, TTWO has limited obvious statistical cheapness. Financial rigor checks showed roughly 6.8x sales and a low trailing free cash flow yield, so margin of safety depends on fiscal 2027 profit recovery and GTA VI scale, not just brand quality.
Source-backed data
TTWO Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTWO price | $242.92 | StockAnalysis quote snapshot | July 31, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $45.42 billion | StockAnalysis market cap and financial rigor calculation | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 186.98 million | StockAnalysis share statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 GAAP net revenue | $6.656 billion | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 net bookings | $6.72 billion | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 net loss | $298.2 million | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2026 operating cash flow | $624.3 million | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2027 net bookings outlook | $8.0 billion to $8.2 billion | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2027 GAAP revenue outlook | $7.9 billion to $8.1 billion | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release | August 2, 2026 |
| GTA VI release plan and price | November 19, 2026 at $79.99 | Take-Two fiscal 2026 results release and Reuters | August 2, 2026 |
| Next earnings date | August 7, 2026 | Take-Two press release via Business Wire | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical moving averages and RSI | 50-day about $234.13, 200-day about $229.77, RSI about 52.94 | StockAnalysis statistics page | August 2, 2026 |
Frequently Asked Questions
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This TTWO AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 2, 2026 and may be wrong if company fundamentals, GTA VI timing, market prices, or investor expectations change.
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