RPM International Inc. research snapshot
RPM AI stock analysis currently reads RPM International as a diversified specialty coatings, sealants, and building materials company with durable brands, a long dividend-growth record, and MAP-driven efficiency gains, tempered by soft DIY demand, acquisition integration work, and a mid-cycle earnings multiple. At the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, the reference price was $105.10, market capitalization was about $13.41 billion, and the stock traded near 20.25x TTM EPS of $5.19. This RPM AI stock analysis uses scenario ranges rather than a certain price prediction, and it is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$105.10
Market cap
$13.41 billion
AI score
64 / 100
Rating
Quality specialty coatings compounder, cycle and valuation watch
Trend status
Below 52-week high, mid-range after mixed FY2026 execution and MAP actions
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | RPM is a specialty coatings, sealants, and building materials company operating Consumer, Construction Products, and Performance Coatings segments with trusted brands for homes, infrastructure, and industrial customers. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from brand equity, formulation know-how, contractor and retail distribution, product specification in construction and industrial uses, and a broad portfolio, but DIY retail competition and commodity raw materials limit absolute pricing power. | Medium-high |
| Management | Frank C. Sullivan leads a long-tenured capital-allocation culture focused on MAP operational improvement, bolt-on acquisitions, dividend growth, and share repurchases, with meaningful personal ownership reported near 0.8%. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 net sales were $7.37 billion with record net income near $688.7 million. In Q3 FY2026, sales rose 8.9% to $1.61 billion while adjusted EBIT jumped 48.8%, and nine-month operating cash flow was $656.7 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $105.10, RPM traded near 20.25x TTM EPS, 4.68x book value, and about a 2.06% dividend yield, leaving limited margin of safety if DIY stays weak or MAP benefits disappoint. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The stock sat well below the $129.12 52-week high and above the $92.92 52-week low; reclaiming the low $110s would improve momentum, while a break of the low $100s would weaken the setup. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate: DIY softness, raw-material and energy costs, FX, acquisition integration, higher debt after deals, MAP restructuring charges, tariffs, and construction-cycle swings can pressure earnings. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Source depth is strong, and key market cap, shares, revenue, net income, valuation, and three-scenario math were checked with financial_rigor.py. | High |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is lower than data confidence because the thesis depends on MAP savings, DIY recovery or mix shift, acquisition returns, and the market multiple assigned to normalized specialty coatings earnings. | Medium |
RPM AI stock forecast
The RPM AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $105.10 reference price. It is not a promise of where RPM International stock will trade. The bullish case needs sustained organic growth in construction and performance coatings, MAP savings conversion, and a higher quality multiple; the base case assumes mid-single-digit sales growth near management guidance with a mid-cycle PE; the bearish case assumes DIY remains weak, costs outrun pricing, or the multiple compresses.
$145 to $155
More likely if EPS compounds near 7% for three years toward about $6.36, the market values RPM near 24x earnings, MAP SG&A optimization delivers durable margin gains, high-performance building demand stays firm, and price clears the $110 to $129 resistance band with stronger volume.
$95 to $110
More likely if EPS grows about 3% annually toward roughly $5.67, management delivers mid-single-digit sales growth and low- to high-single-digit adjusted EBIT growth in the near term, and valuation stays near a mid-cycle 18x earnings multiple.
$55 to $70
More likely if EPS contracts toward about $4.45, DIY and residential repair demand stay soft, raw-material inflation outruns pricing, acquisition leverage weighs on returns, or investors value RPM closer to a trough-cycle specialty chemicals multiple near 14x.
RPM AI technical analysis
RPM AI technical analysis starts from the July 12, 2026 reference price of $105.10. Around the cutoff, public quote snapshots placed RPM between a $92.92 52-week low and a $129.12 52-week high, with market capitalization near $13.4 billion on about 127.63 million shares. Recent closes clustered in the low-to-mid $100s after a multi-month pullback from the February-area highs. Because this page is static, live chart levels and moving averages should be checked before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $105.10 | Reference close used for this page as of the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, based on major quote snapshots near that date. |
| Near support | $100 to $103 | Round-number and recent trading-range support zone below the reference price. A decisive close below this area would weaken short-term structure. |
| Secondary support | $92 to $95 | Zone around the reported $92.92 52-week low. A break here would point to a larger risk reset toward prior cycle lows. |
| Near resistance | $110 to $115 | First upside band above the mid-$100s base. Reclaiming it with stronger volume would improve short-term momentum. |
| Major resistance | $125 to $129 | Area under the reported $129.12 52-week high. A clean breakout would signal a fuller recovery of the prior advance. |
| 52-week range context | $92.92 to $129.12 | Yahoo Finance and peer quote services listed this range near the cutoff, placing $105.10 in the lower half of the yearly band. |
| Momentum | Mixed to soft | Price recovered from the low $90s area earlier in the year but remained well below the 52-week high into mid-July 2026, so confirmation matters. |
| Volume | Moderate average daily volume near 0.7 to 0.8 million shares | MarketBeat and Yahoo snapshots cited average volume near this band. Above-average volume on breakouts or breakdowns would carry more signal. |
| Volatility | Moderate specialty chemicals and construction-cycle volatility | RPM can move on DIY retail data, construction spending, raw materials, FX, acquisition news, MAP charges, and earnings guidance. |
| Invalidation | Close below $100 | A decisive close below the $100 support zone would invalidate the near-term trend-following setup into the mid-$100s. |
RPM AI trading strategy
The RPM AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for research and monitoring. It does not tell any individual investor to buy, sell, or hold RPM International stock.
Watch for RPM to reclaim the $110 to $115 area and then test $125 to $129 with above-average volume while company commentary confirms mid-single-digit sales growth, MAP savings, and stable high-performance building and protective coatings demand.
A close below $100, weak breakout volume, or a guidance cut tied to DIY or cost inflation should invalidate the setup.
If RPM pulls back toward $95 to $100 while filings still show resilient operating cash flow, dividend coverage, and MAP progress, compare the price with normalized EPS, free-cash-flow conversion, and the long dividend-growth record.
Do not treat every decline as value if the selloff is tied to lower DIY volumes, failed acquisition integration, rising net leverage, or sustained margin compression.
Track FY2026 full-year results after the July 22, 2026 report date, organic versus acquisition growth, Consumer DIY trends, Construction Products roofing and wall systems, Performance Coatings protective and fire-protection demand, MAP SG&A savings, raw materials, FX, debt, buybacks, and dividends.
Reduce confidence when price strength is not matched by volume, segment margin evidence, cash-flow conversion, and progress on MAP cost actions.
Investment research summary
Customers pay RPM for specialty coatings, sealants, cleaners, roofing and wall systems, concrete admixtures, protective coatings, fire protection, and related services that protect, repair, beautify, and extend the life of homes, buildings, infrastructure, and industrial assets.
RPM has brand recognition across Rust-Oleum, DAP, Zinsser, Tremco, Carboline, Euclid, Dryvit, Stonhard, and related lines, plus formulation know-how, contractor relationships, retail placement, and acquisition-built product breadth. The moat is real but not absolute because DIY demand, construction activity, and raw-material costs remain cyclical.
The thesis fails if DIY stays weak, MAP savings are offset by volume losses or one-time charges, acquisition leverage rises without adequate returns, raw-material inflation outruns pricing, construction end markets slow, or investors stop treating RPM as a premium specialty compounder.
Frank C. Sullivan and the RPM team are evaluated on MAP operational improvement, bolt-on acquisition discipline, dividend growth, buybacks, capital structure after deals, and whether brand systems and operating culture outlast any single executive.
Specialty coatings and building materials benefit from infrastructure repair, high-performance buildings, protective industrial coatings, housing maintenance, and product premiumization, but near-term demand depends on DIY retail traffic, construction spending, FX, energy costs, and customer inventory cycles.
The current price embeds a mid-cycle specialty coatings multiple near 20x TTM earnings. Margin of safety depends on RPM converting MAP actions and mid-single-digit sales growth into durable EPS and free-cash-flow growth without a deeper DIY or construction downturn.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| RPM price | $105.10 | Yahoo Finance quote snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $13.41 billion calculated; $13.43 billion MarketBeat | financial_rigor.py market-cap check and MarketBeat | July 12, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 127.63 million | MarketBeat company profile | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 net sales | $7.37 billion | RPM 2025 Summary Annual Report and MarketBeat | July 12, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | About $688.7 million | RPM company release / MarketBeat profitability snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Q3 FY2026 net sales | $1.61 billion, up 8.9% year over year | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
| Q3 FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS | $0.57, up 62.9% year over year | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
| Nine-month FY2026 net sales | $5.63 billion | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
| Nine-month operating cash flow | $656.7 million | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
| Total debt | $2.56 billion as of February 28, 2026 | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
| Total liquidity | $1.02 billion including cash and committed revolvers | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM EPS | $5.19 | MarketBeat profitability snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Book value per share | $22.48 | MarketBeat sales and book value snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Dividend context | About 2.06% yield; 52 consecutive years of dividend increases | Robinhood / Fool quote snapshots and RPM dividend release | July 12, 2026 |
| CEO ownership context | Frank Sullivan direct ownership about 0.81% | Simply Wall St management snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| 52-week high and low | $129.12 high, $92.92 low | Yahoo Finance quote snapshot | July 12, 2026 |
| Q4 FY2026 outlook | Mid-single-digit sales growth; low- to high-single-digit adjusted EBIT growth | RPM Q3 FY2026 earnings release PDF | July 12, 2026 |
This RPM AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a personalized trading plan. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of the stated cutoff date and can be wrong if earnings, guidance, rates, raw-material costs, DIY or construction demand, market sentiment, or company fundamentals change.
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