Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated research snapshot

RGA AI Stock Analysis

RGA AI stock analysis currently reads Reinsurance Group of America as a leading global life and health reinsurer coming off a strong 2025 and a solid first quarter of 2026, with the stock trading near its 52-week high. At the August 3, 2026 data cutoff, RGA closed at $236.85 on July 31, 2026 with a verified market capitalization near $15.52 billion. This page uses scenario ranges and source checks, not a certain stock price prediction, and is for informational use only.

Current price

$236.85

Market cap

$15.52 billion

AI score

74 / 100

Rating

Global life and health reinsurer with a strong 2025 and 2026 start, now near its 52-week high

Trend status

Uptrend above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with neutral momentum, but near the $245.00 52-week high

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. RGA has long public filings, quarterly financial supplements, annual reviews, proxy statements, investor presentations, and broad analyst coverage across life and health reinsurance.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is extending the strong 2025 and Q1 2026 results into the future while the stock sits near its 52-week high. The reverse check asks whether the upcoming Q2 2026 report on August 6, the CFO transition, the dependence on investment income, and the Equitable block economics are being under-weighted.
ai Confidence
High for audited FY2025 and Q1 2026 financials, share count, market cap math, book value, and common valuation ratios. Medium for technical levels and forward ranges because price, volume, earnings revisions, and the August 6 Q2 report can move quickly.
investment Certainty
Medium. RGA is a well-disclosed, understandable business, but investment certainty is lower than data confidence because the stock already prices in strong results, the reinsurance cycle is sensitive to claims, interest rates, and capital markets, and a CFO transition is underway.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityRGA is a leading global life and health reinsurer with diversified regional operations, long-duration liabilities, and recurring economics from large in-force blocks.High
MoatMoat comes from decades of mortality and morbidity data, underwriting expertise, global scale, long client relationships, and the ability to execute large block transactions. The moat is moderate because pricing is competitive and contracts renew.Medium-high
ManagementCEO Tony Cheng has deep actuarial and regional experience. The team delivered strong FY2025 and Q1 2026 results with disciplined capital allocation, but the CFO role transitioned from Axel André to Laura Cockrill in June 2026 and a new board member joined in July 2026.Medium
Financial trendFY2025 revenue rose to $23.70 billion, net income available to shareholders rose to $1.18 billion, and diluted EPS reached $17.69. Q1 2026 revenue was $6.49 billion and diluted EPS was $4.98. Adjusted operating ROE excluding notable items was 15.7% for FY2025 and 16.2% on a trailing twelve month basis at Q1 2026.High
ValuationAt $236.85, RGA trades near 12.9x trailing earnings and 1.17x book value, below many peers but with the stock near its 52-week high of $245.00.Medium-high
Technical trendUptrend with price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, the 50-day above the 200-day, but momentum is neutral with RSI near 55.7 and MACD slightly bearish, and resistance near $242.64 to $245.00 is close.Medium
Risk levelMain risks include mortality and morbidity volatility, interest rate and investment portfolio swings, longevity risk, catastrophe events, regulatory changes, currency exposure, the August 6 Q2 2026 report, and block transaction assumptions including the Equitable Holdings block.Medium-high
AI confidenceHigh for descriptive facts and audited calculations, medium for forward scenarios and chart levels.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty. The page frames scenarios and monitoring rules, not a buy or sell instruction.Medium

RGA AI stock forecast

RGA AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The RGA AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $236.85 quote and trailing twelve month EPS near $18.40. The audited three-year framework points to a bearish area near $190 to $205, a base area near $265 to $280, and a bullish area near $355 to $375 if the stated EPS growth and valuation assumptions hold.

Bullish case

$355 to $375

More likely if adjusted operating EPS keeps growing near double digits, the Equitable transaction contribution exceeds expectations, investment income stays strong, ROE stays above 15%, and the market keeps a mid-teens earnings multiple.

Base case

$265 to $280

More likely if RGA compounds EPS around mid single digits, continues disciplined capital deployment, and investors value the company around a low-teens earnings multiple.

Bearish case

$190 to $205

More likely if claims experience deteriorates, investment income falls, the Equitable transaction drags, the CFO transition disrupts execution, ROE compresses, or the market reprices the stock below 11x earnings.

RGA AI technical analysis

RGA AI Technical Analysis

RGA AI technical analysis is constructive but not stretched as of the July 31, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $236.85, above its 50-day moving average near $225.40 and its 200-day moving average near $211.20, with the 50-day above the 200-day. RSI is neutral near 55.7, MACD is slightly bearish, six-month support sits near $194.71, and resistance runs from $242.64 to the $245.00 52-week high.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$236.85Quote snapshot at the July 31, 2026 close, from Google Finance and stockanalysis.com.
Near support$225.40AltIndex listed the 50-day MA near $225.40, the key near-term pivot on pullbacks.
Deeper support$211.20AltIndex listed the 200-day MA near $211.20, which defines the longer trend floor.
Chart support$194.71AltIndex identified support near $194.71 based on the last six months of closing prices.
Near resistance$242.64AltIndex identified six-month resistance near $242.64.
Long-term resistance$245.00Google Finance listed the 52-week high near $245.00, set in July 2026.
MomentumRSI 55.7AltIndex 14-day RSI was 55.7, neutral, with MACD slightly bearish and STOCH near 45.4, so the rally lacks strong momentum confirmation.
VolumeAverage 382,080 sharesGoogle Finance listed 30-day average volume around 382,080 shares; the July 31 session saw about 238,200 shares.
VolatilityATR near $1.7AltIndex 14-day ATR near $1.7 implies roughly 0.7% daily moves.
InvalidationClose below $211A decisive close below the 200-day moving average would weaken the uptrend thesis and open the path toward chart support near $194.71.

RGA AI trading strategy

RGA AI Trading Strategy Framework

The RGA AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for a life and health reinsurer trading near its 52-week high ahead of the August 6, 2026 Q2 report. It is not personal advice and should be paired with fresh chart data, filings, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.

Trend-following setup

Watch for RGA to hold above the $225.40 moving average zone, then clear the $242.64 resistance and the $245.00 52-week high on volume above average. A sustained move toward the base-case forecast area would require follow-through in earnings and capital deployment.

A close below the 200-day moving average near $211 or a failed breakout after the August 6 Q2 report should invalidate the trend-following setup.

Mean-reversion setup

If RGA pulls back toward the $225 to $211 zone without a negative claims or investment income reset, compare price action with the broader insurance and reinsurance group before assuming support is durable.

Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because reinsurance stocks can gap on claims, mortality, rate, macro, or earnings news.

Fundamental monitor

Track net premiums, adjusted operating income, investment income, claims experience, ROE, in-force transaction contributions, capital deployment, buyback execution, and the Q2 2026 report on August 6.

Reduce confidence if EPS growth depends mainly on investment income or one-time block gains rather than underwriting margin, recurring investment income, and cash conversion.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

RGA helps life and health insurers around the world manage mortality, morbidity, longevity, and capital risk. Clients pay because RGA can absorb large, long-duration liabilities and provide underwriting, pricing, and capital relief that primary insurers cannot easily replicate at scale.

Moat

Moat is moderate. Decades of mortality and morbidity data, global relationships, underwriting expertise, and the ability to execute multi-billion dollar block transactions make it hard for new entrants to compete. But reinsurance pricing is competitive, barriers are partly capital-based, and clients can place business with other global reinsurers.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if mortality or morbidity assumptions are wrong, investment income collapses, interest rates move adversely, a large block transaction such as the Equitable Holdings block underperforms, catastrophic claims emerge, or regulators raise capital requirements.

Management

CEO Tony Cheng is an actuary with regional leadership experience. Laura Cockrill became CFO in June 2026 after Axel André resigned, and former Aviva Group CEO Maurice Tulloch joined the board in July 2026, so leadership is stable at the top but transitioning at the CFO level.

Industry trend

RGA sits inside long-duration demand for life and health reinsurance, aging populations, pension risk transfer growth, and mortality risk management. The business also depends on interest rates, capital markets, and regulatory treatment of long-duration insurance liabilities.

Valuation and margin of safety

At roughly 12.9x trailing earnings and 1.17x book value, RGA does not look expensive, but the stock is near its 52-week high of $245.00. Margin of safety improves if the price revisits the moving average support zone while adjusted operating earnings, ROE, and book value growth stay intact.

Source-backed data

RGA Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
RGA price$236.85Google Finance quote snapshotJuly 31, 2026
Market capitalization$15.52 billion, verified as $236.85 x 65.51 million sharesfinancial_rigor.py market cap verificationJuly 31, 2026
Shares outstanding65.51 millionGoogle Finance / stockanalysis.com (65.46 million per Q1 2026 10-Q)July 31, 2026
TTM EPS and P/ETTM EPS $18.40, P/E 12.87xstockanalysis.com (S&P Global Market Intelligence)July 31, 2026
FY2025 total revenues$23.70 billionSEC 10-K filed February 20, 2026February 20, 2026
FY2025 net income available to RGA shareholders$1.18 billion ($17.69 per diluted share)SEC 10-K filed February 20, 2026February 20, 2026
Q1 2026 results$6.49 billion revenue, $330 million net income, $4.98 diluted EPSRGA Q1 2026 press release (8-K filed May 7, 2026)May 7, 2026
Adjusted operating resultsFY2025 $22.72 diluted EPS and 15.7% adjusted operating ROE excluding notable items; Q1 2026 $6.97 diluted EPS and 16.2% on a trailing twelve month basisRGA earnings press releasesMay 7, 2026
Book value per share$202.93 as of March 31, 2026RGA Q1 2026 press releaseMay 7, 2026
Cash and long-term debt$4.99 billion cash and $6.11 billion long-term debt as of March 31, 2026SEC 10-Q filed May 8, 2026May 8, 2026
52-week high / low$245.00 / $165.52Google Finance quote snapshotJuly 31, 2026
Technical snapshot50-day MA near $225.40, 200-day MA near $211.20, RSI 55.7, ATR near $1.7, support $194.71, resistance $242.64AltIndex technical analysisJuly 31, 2026
Analyst view6 Buy, 3 Hold, 0 Sell among 9 analysts; average 12-month target near $260Google Finance analyst ratingsJuly 22, 2026
Equitable Holdings transaction$32 billion in-force reinsurance transaction closed July 31, 2025RGA press releaseJuly 31, 2025
CFO transitionLaura Cockrill appointed EVP and CFO effective June 22, 2026; predecessor Axel André resigned effective July 17, 2026SEC 8-K filed June 22, 2026June 22, 2026
ManagementTony Cheng, President and CEO since January 2024RGA executive leadershipJuly 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell RGA stock. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data, technical snapshots, and stated assumptions as of the data cutoff date and may be wrong. Always verify current filings, prices, risks, and personal suitability before making financial decisions.