Paramount Skydance Corporation research snapshot
PSKY AI stock analysis reads Paramount Skydance Corporation as a media turnaround whose equity is now dominated by the paused Warner Bros. Discovery merger litigation. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, StockAnalysis showed a July 31 close of $7.96, after-hours price of $7.95, market capitalization near $8.91 billion, and a 52-week range of $7.62 to $20.86. Twelve state attorneys general sued to block the $110 billion WBD acquisition, a federal judge granted a temporary restraining order, and Paramount agreed not to close until June 1, 2027 or five days after a merits ruling, whichever comes first. The AI view is cautious because standalone streaming and cost-savings progress is offset by linear TV pressure, a ticking merger consideration clock, $16.6 billion of debt, and termination-fee exposure. This page is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$7.96 close on July 31, 2026; $7.95 after-hours
Market cap
$8.91 billion
AI score
43 / 100
Rating
Paused WBD merger, media turnaround and leverage risk
Trend status
Downtrend near 52-week low with event risk
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Paramount Skydance owns recognizable media assets across CBS, Paramount Pictures, Paramount+, Pluto TV, Nickelodeon, MTV, BET, Comedy Central, Showtime, and Skydance studios. | Medium |
| Moat | The moat comes from content IP, broadcast scale, sports rights, studio relationships, and distribution, but streaming competition and cord cutting pressure the moat. | Medium |
| Management | David Ellison controls the strategy through the Ellison family and RedBird structure. The central test is capital allocation around the WBD deal, which now carries litigation, ticking consideration, and termination-fee exposure. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 revenue rose 2.15% to $7.347 billion and net earnings attributable to parent were $168 million, while TTM revenue is $29.05 billion, TTM net income is negative $605 million, cash is $1.941 billion, and total debt is $16.595 billion. | High for filed quarterly data |
| Valuation | The stock trades near 0.31x sales and 0.76x book value with a 10.47 forward PE, but TTM EPS remains negative and the WBD transaction could change the capital structure. | Medium |
| Technical trend | Price sits near the 52-week low of $7.62, below the 50-day average near $9.69 and the 200-day average near $11.76, with RSI near 30. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated because the merger is paused, linear advertising declines, debt is high, ticking consideration accrues after September 30, and a regulatory termination fee is on the table. | High |
| AI confidence | Medium confidence for facts, filings, quotes, and court-dated events. Lower confidence for forward synergies, trial outcomes, and price outcomes. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low certainty because the page gives a framework for monitoring PSKY, not a personalized buy or sell instruction, and the deal timeline is uncertain. | Low |
PSKY AI stock forecast
The PSKY AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $7.96 close rather than a certain price target. The bullish case requires the WBD merger to clear litigation and close with limited dilution. The base case assumes the deal stays paused into 2026 and 2027 while ticking consideration accrues. The bearish case assumes the merger is blocked or financing stress dominates.
$10.50 to $13.50
More likely if the court rules for the companies or the litigation resolves in Paramount favor, the merger closes with manageable dilution, Paramount+ subscriber and ARPU growth continues, and TV Media cash flow stabilizes.
$7.00 to $10.00
More likely if the deal remains in limbo through a November 2026 trial and into 2027, ticking consideration keeps accruing, standalone results track management guidance, and the stock trades between balance sheet concern and streaming improvement.
$4.00 to $6.50
More likely if the merger is blocked, the regulatory termination fee creates balance sheet stress, linear TV declines accelerate, debt costs stay high, or price breaks the 52-week low after the data cutoff.
PSKY AI technical analysis
PSKY AI technical analysis starts from the July 31, 2026 close of $7.96, the after-hours quote of $7.95, and the 52-week range of $7.62 to $20.86. Because this static page does not fetch request-time chart data, moving averages and live momentum should be confirmed in a charting tool before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $7.96 close, $7.95 after-hours | StockAnalysis quote snapshot used for this page as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $7.62 | The 52-week low and the low end of the July 31 trading range. Treat it as a monitoring level, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Major support zone | $7.60 to $8.00 | The stock has made lows near this band during the merger pause. A decisive break below $7.62 would weaken the short-term setup. |
| Near resistance | $8.53 to $9.69 | The July 21 closing reference near $8.53 and the 50-day moving average near $9.69. A close above this zone would improve short-term momentum. |
| 200-day moving average | $11.76 | StockAnalysis listed this as the 200-day average. Reclaiming it would be a stronger trend improvement signal. |
| 52-week resistance | $20.86 | The 52-week high. Reaching it would require a material change in fundamentals or deal outcome. |
| Momentum | Weak, RSI near 30 | The 52-week price change was negative 40.15% and RSI was near 30 at the data cutoff, which can suggest oversold conditions but also persistent weakness. |
| Volume | 15.14 million on July 31 versus 10.56 million average | The recent session ran above its 20-day average, so short-term moves need confirmation. |
| Short interest | 83.23 million shares, 7.44% of shares out | Short interest near 8.8 days to cover adds squeeze potential but also reflects skepticism. |
| Invalidation | Close below $7.62 | A close below the 52-week low would invalidate most rebound setups. |
PSKY AI trading strategy
The PSKY AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, and fresh court filings or deal updates.
Wait for PSKY to reclaim the $8.53 to $9.69 band with volume above its recent average and no new adverse merger ruling.
A failed breakout back below $8.00 or a new legal setback should invalidate the setup.
If PSKY trades near the $7.62 to $8.00 support band without a fresh thesis break, compare price action with the next earnings release, court schedule, cash balance, debt balance, and streaming KPIs.
Do not average down below the 52-week low unless the business evidence and personal loss limit have been reset.
Track the November 2026 trial request, any merits ruling, the June 1, 2027 pause date, ticking consideration accrual after September 30, Paramount+ subscriber metrics, DTC revenue, TV Media cash flow, and debt movement.
Reduce confidence when price moves depend on merger headlines rather than filed financial evidence.
Investment research summary
Paramount Skydance sells entertainment, sports, news, advertising inventory, subscriptions, licensing rights, and studio output across broadcast, streaming, cable, film, and games.
The moat is real but uneven: CBS, Paramount Pictures, sports rights, Nickelodeon, and film libraries matter, while streaming scale is smaller than Netflix, Disney, Amazon, and YouTube.
The thesis can fail if the WBD merger is blocked, if the $7 billion regulatory termination fee or ticking consideration creates balance sheet stress, if linear TV declines faster than streaming profit grows, or if content spending fails to produce durable subscriber economics.
David Ellison and the Ellison family control the voting structure, creating strategic speed but also governance concentration. The WBD financing structure relies on Ellison trust equity, RedBird, new permanent financing, and a bridge facility.
Media consumption continues shifting from linear bundles to streaming, sports, short-form video, and global platforms. That trend supports DTC growth but raises scale and content cost requirements.
Low price-to-sales and price-to-book ratios suggest market skepticism, not automatic cheapness. Margin of safety depends on free cash flow, debt control, and whether the merger terms, ticking consideration, and termination fee can be absorbed.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSKY price | $7.96 close on July 31, 2026; $7.95 after-hours | StockAnalysis quote page | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $8.91 billion, verified as $7.96 x 1.12 billion shares with 0.06% variance | StockAnalysis and financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 1.12 billion total shares; 1.09 billion current share class | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue | $7.347 billion reported, up 2.15% year over year | StockAnalysis quarterly income statement | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 net earnings attributable to parent | $168 million | StockAnalysis quarterly income statement | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and net income | TTM revenue $29.05 billion; TTM net income negative $605 million | StockAnalysis financial overview | August 2, 2026 |
| Cash and equivalents | $1.941 billion at March 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| Total debt | $16.595 billion carrying value at March 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold rating from 20 analysts; average price target $11.79, range $2.00 to $20.00 | StockAnalysis forecast page | July 29, 2026 |
| WBD merger pause | Paramount agreed not to close the WBD acquisition until June 1, 2027 or five days after a merits ruling, whichever comes first; 12 states are plaintiffs | California Attorney General press release and Forbes | August 2, 2026 |
| Merger consideration and ticking fee | WBD stockholders get $31 per share in cash; additional consideration accrues about $7 million per day after September 30 if the deal has not closed | Paramount Skydance 8-K summary via StockTitan and Forbes | August 2, 2026 |
| Termination fee exposure | Under specified regulatory circumstances Paramount could owe WBD a $7 billion regulatory termination fee | Forbes citing merger agreement terms | August 2, 2026 |
This PSKY AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of August 2, 2026 and may be wrong if filings, market prices, merger rulings, trial dates, regulation, financing, or business conditions change.
Design trading strategies visually with 10+ indicators. Set entry/exit conditions and risk management, then generate Pine Script code with no coding required.
Filter and discover stocks based on market cap, dividend yield, P/E ratio, sector, and more. Screen thousands of stocks with real-time data.
Smart AI-driven stock selection with fundamental screening, analyst estimates, and key metrics. Filter by P/E, market cap, dividends, and more.
