Alliant Energy Corporation research snapshot

LNT AI Stock Analysis

LNT AI stock analysis currently reads Alliant Energy as a regulated Midwest electric and gas utility with visible rate-base growth, dividend support, and a new data center load story, but with high leverage, heavy capital spending, weather sensitivity, and rate-case execution risk. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, LNT closed near $70.78 on July 31, 2026 with a verified market capitalization near $18.28 billion, about 10% below its July all-time high. This page uses scenario ranges and source checks, not a certain stock price prediction, and is for informational use only.

Current price

$70.78

Market cap

$18.28 billion

AI score

66 / 100

Rating

Solid regulated utility at a full valuation, data center load is the swing factor

Trend status

Corrective after a July peak, with a 52-week average near $69.33 and a data center driven growth story

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Alliant Energy has long public filings, SEC XBRL data, investor releases, utility rate disclosures, dividend history, and multiple quote and technical sources.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is treating a regulated utility as automatically safe because cash flows are regulated. The reverse check asks whether data center load growth, rate approvals, financing costs, weather, and capital spending can disappoint even while reported guidance looks stable.
ai Confidence
High for SEC-filed 2025 and H1 2026 financials, Q2 2026 results, EPS guidance, market cap math, dividend data, and debt balances. Medium for technical levels and forecast ranges because utility multiples move with interest rates, rate-case news, and bond-market expectations.
investment Certainty
Medium. Alliant is easier to underwrite than many cyclical businesses, but investment certainty is below data confidence because the stock trades near a full valuation and depends on regulators, financing markets, and execution of a large investment plan.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityAlliant sells essential electric and gas service through regulated utilities in Iowa and Wisconsin, serving about 1.01 million electric and roughly 435,000 gas customers at June 30, 2026.High
MoatThe moat is regulatory and infrastructure based, with franchise territories, grid assets, rate-base recovery, customer necessity, and local operating relationships.High
ManagementManagement under CEO Lisa Barton is focused on rate-base growth, renewable and storage investment, data center demand, dividend growth, and it reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance of $3.36 to $3.46 with results trending in the upper half.Medium-high
Financial trendFY2025 revenue rose to $4.362 billion, net income reached $810 million, and H1 2026 GAAP EPS rose to $1.52 from $1.50 while Q2 2026 EPS of $0.65 beat the consensus estimate near $0.58.High
ValuationAt $70.78, LNT traded near 22.2x to 22.5x trailing EPS, about 20.8x the 2026 ongoing EPS guidance midpoint, with a dividend yield near 3.02% and a price to book near 2.44x to 2.46x.Medium-high
Technical trendLNT pulled back about 10% from its July all-time high of $78.81 to $70.78; TradingView rated the daily view a sell with strong sell moving averages, neutral oscillators, and a buy on the one-month view.Medium
Risk levelMain risks include interest rates, equity and debt financing needs, regulatory disallowance, weather-normalized demand, customer concentration from data centers, and capital project execution.Medium-high
AI confidenceHigh for descriptive facts and audited calculations, medium for forward scenarios and technical timing.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty. The page frames valuation and monitoring rules, not a buy or sell instruction.Medium

LNT AI stock forecast

LNT AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The LNT AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $70.78 July 31, 2026 quote and the reaffirmed 2026 ongoing EPS guidance midpoint of $3.41. The audited three-year framework produced a bearish area near $58, a base area near $81, and a bullish area near $102 before dividends.

Bullish case

$99 to $105

More likely if Alliant compounds EPS near the high end of its long-term range, receives constructive Iowa and Wisconsin rate treatment, converts contracted data center load into rate-base growth, and keeps a utility multiple near 22x to 23x forward earnings.

Base case

$78 to $84

More likely if EPS grows near 6%, the dividend target remains covered, capital spending earns allowed returns, and investors value LNT around a low 20s earnings multiple.

Bearish case

$55 to $62

More likely if higher rates compress utility multiples, regulators limit recovery, weather and load are weaker than expected, data center projects slip or convert to on-site generation, or financing needs pressure per-share growth.

LNT AI technical analysis

LNT AI Technical Analysis

LNT AI technical analysis is corrective as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. Macrotrends reported a July 31, 2026 close of $70.78, roughly 10% below the $78.81 all-time high reached on July 7, 2026, while TradingView showed a sell on the daily timeframe, strong sell moving averages, neutral oscillators, and a buy on the one-month view.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$70.78Macrotrends reported LNT closing at $70.78 on July 31, 2026.
52-week average$69.33Macrotrends reported the 52-week average stock price near $69.33, a key reference zone.
Near support$69.33 to $63.28Macrotrends showed the 52-week average near $69.33 and the 52-week low near $63.28.
Near resistance$73 to $74TradingView price data suggested LNT needs to reclaim the low $70s area after its July breakdown before the recent high becomes relevant again.
52-week high$78.81TradingView and Macrotrends reported the all-time high of $78.81 reached on July 7, 2026.
MomentumSell on daily, buy on monthlyTradingView rated the 1-day technical view a sell, moving averages strong sell, oscillators neutral, and the 1-month view a buy.
VolumeNot confirmed for the pullbackThe July decline happened without a verified volume spike in the sources used here, so a decisive low is not yet confirmed.
VolatilityAbout 10% below the 52-week highLNT sits near its 52-week average, making multiple compression risk more relevant than a 52-week-low breakdown.
InvalidationClose below $63.28A decisive break below the 52-week low would shift the corrective view toward a deeper trend damage scenario.

LNT AI trading strategy

LNT AI Trading Strategy Framework

The LNT AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for watching a regulated utility that just corrected from a record high. It is not personal advice and should be paired with current chart data, rate-case updates, position sizing, and a defined invalidation level.

Trend-following setup

Watch for LNT to reclaim the low $70s resistance zone and hold above the $69.33 52-week average before treating the pullback as over. Confirmation should include a retest of the $78.81 high on volume and stable Treasury yields.

A failed reclaim followed by a close back below the $69.33 average should keep confidence low in the near-term trend setup.

Mean-reversion setup

If LNT holds near the $69.33 to $63.28 zone without a guidance cut, compare the yield, allowed-return outlook, and sector multiple with peers before assuming support is durable.

Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because regulated utilities can reprice quickly when rates, equity issuance, or regulatory rulings change.

Fundamental monitor

Track 2026 ongoing EPS guidance, rate-base growth, the expected 60% load growth by 2031, data center contracted demand, Iowa and Wisconsin rate decisions, capital spending, debt issuance, dividend coverage, and operating cash flow.

Reduce confidence if earnings growth depends mainly on leverage or weather benefits rather than authorized returns, load growth, and timely cost recovery.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Alliant Energy provides essential electricity and natural gas service. Customers pay because reliable grid access, heating, cooling, and business power are necessities with few practical alternatives inside regulated service territories.

Moat

The moat comes from regulated utility franchises, grid infrastructure, scale in Iowa and Wisconsin, rate-base recovery, customer necessity, and the difficulty of replicating transmission, distribution, and generation assets.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if regulators disallow recovery, financing costs stay high, data center load growth is overestimated or moves to on-site generation, large projects overrun budgets, severe weather creates cost shocks, or the stock multiple compresses as bond yields rise.

Management

Management should be judged by rate-case discipline, capital project execution, dividend coverage, financing mix, data center contract quality, and whether growth benefits existing customers as well as shareholders.

Industry trend

Alliant sits inside long-duration electrification, renewable generation, grid modernization, and data center power demand, with management targeting about 60% load growth by 2031, but these trends require large capital spending and constructive regulation to become per-share value.

Valuation and margin of safety

At roughly 20.8x the 2026 ongoing EPS guidance midpoint and near 22.5x trailing earnings, LNT trades above most regulated utility peers. Margin of safety improves if price retreats toward the $69.33 to $63.28 zone while guidance, rate outcomes, and funding costs remain intact.

Source-backed data

LNT Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
LNT price$70.78 close on July 31, 2026Macrotrends price history, cross-checked with TradingViewAugust 2, 2026
Market capitalization$18.28 billion, verified as $70.78 x 259.285 million sharesfinancial_rigor.py market cap verification and SEC shares outstandingAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 revenue$4.362 billion, cross-checked against Macrotrends and TradingViewSEC Company FactsAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 net income and EPS$810 million net income and $3.14 diluted EPSSEC Company FactsAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 operating cash flow and capex$1.169 billion operating cash flow and $2.277 billion property, plant, and equipment cash additionsSEC Company FactsAugust 2, 2026
Cash and debt at FY2025$556 million cash, $1.074 billion current long-term debt, and $10.954 billion noncurrent long-term debtSEC Company FactsAugust 2, 2026
Q2 2026 results$971 million revenue, $170 million net income, and $0.65 GAAP EPS, beating a consensus estimate near $0.58Alliant Energy Q2 2026 release and SEC 10-QAugust 2, 2026
H1 2026 results$2.155 billion revenue, $394 million net income, $1.52 GAAP EPS, and $1.47 ongoing EPSAlliant Energy Q2 2026 releaseAugust 2, 2026
2026 ongoing EPS guidance$3.36 to $3.46 per share, reaffirmed on July 30, 2026 and trending in the upper half of the rangeAlliant Energy Q2 2026 releaseAugust 2, 2026
Load growth outlookAbout 60% expected load growth by 2031, with a roughly 370 MW Iowa data center agreement signed in April 2026 and three data centers under constructionAlliant Energy Q2 2026 release and SEC 10-QAugust 2, 2026
Dividend$0.535 quarterly rate, $2.14 TTM dividend, and a yield near 3.02%Alliant Energy Q2 2026 release and MacrotrendsAugust 2, 2026
Technical snapshotTradingView daily sell, strong sell moving averages, neutral oscillators, one-month buy; 52-week range $63.28 to $78.81TradingView technical analysisAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This LNT AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell securities, and not a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 2, 2026 and may be wrong if fundamentals, rates, regulation, market conditions, or source data change.