Jacobs Solutions Inc. research snapshot

J AI Stock Analysis

J AI stock analysis currently reads Jacobs Solutions as a high-quality professional services and engineering platform tied to infrastructure, advanced manufacturing, environmental work, data centers, life sciences, energy, and advisory services. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, J closed near $134.93 on July 31, 2026 with a verified market capitalization near $15.93 billion. The J AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges, not a single price prediction, because Jacobs has record backlog of about $27.0 billion, raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance, and just completed the PA Consulting acquisition, but GAAP earnings, integration costs, leverage, client budgets, and government or infrastructure funding cycles can materially change the outcome.

Current price

$134.93

Market cap

$15.93 billion verified market cap

AI score

68 / 100

Rating

Quality infrastructure and advanced facilities consultant with record backlog, a completed PA Consulting integration, and leverage to manage

Trend status

Short-term bullish setup above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages after the July 31 close

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Jacobs has long public company filings, quarterly releases, industry recognition, management disclosures, third-party market data, and analyst coverage.
bias Check
The main AI research bias is treating record backlog, AI infrastructure exposure, and ENR ranking strength as a permanent moat without testing PA Consulting integration, higher leverage, contract execution, public budget, GAAP versus adjusted earnings quality, and valuation risk.
ai Confidence
High for current price, share count, market-cap math, FY2025 revenue and net earnings, Q2 FY2026 revenue, Q2 FY2026 backlog, cash, debt including operating leases, dividend, and valuation ratios. Medium for technical levels because chart references update daily. Medium for forecast ranges because adjusted EPS guidance excludes items that GAAP results still absorb.
investment Certainty
Medium. Jacobs is data-rich and has a durable position in complex design and consulting markets, but investment certainty is limited by PA Consulting integration, leverage after the acquisition, project timing, public funding cycles, and the gap between adjusted and GAAP earnings.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityJacobs sells high-skill consulting, design, engineering, program management, and technical services for infrastructure, advanced manufacturing, environmental, energy, technology, life sciences, and advisory clients.High
MoatThe moat comes from technical talent, client trust, regulated project know-how, global delivery, PA Consulting advisory depth, and scale in complex programs, but most contracts still face procurement and execution discipline.Medium-high
ManagementCEO and chair Bob Pragada has led the portfolio shift toward higher-value consulting and advanced infrastructure work. The current test is PA Consulting integration, leverage reduction, margin delivery, and capital allocation after heavy buybacks.Medium-high
Financial trendFY2025 revenue was $12.03 billion and net earnings attributable to Jacobs were $289.3 million. Q2 FY2026 gross revenue rose 27% year over year to $3.695 billion, adjusted EPS was $1.75, and backlog reached $27.0 billion.High
ValuationAt $134.93, audited math shows about 41.26x TTM EPS, 4.84x book value, 32.91x free cash flow per share, and a 1.07% dividend yield, with a forward PE near 17.60 on adjusted FY2026 earnings.High
Technical trendThe stock closed at $134.93 on July 31, 2026, above both the 50-day moving average near $125.58 and the 200-day moving average near $133.97, with RSI near 58, which is a more constructive read than prior months.Medium
Risk levelMain risks include PA Consulting integration, higher debt after the acquisition, adjusted versus GAAP earnings quality, project delays, government budget changes, client concentration by megaproject, litigation, and margin pressure.Medium-high
AI confidenceDescriptive confidence is high because company filings and third-party statistics line up on key data. Return confidence is lower because the stock depends on execution, multiples, and adjusted EPS credibility.High data confidence
Investment certaintyJacobs has solid business quality, record backlog, and rising guidance, but the current price needs adjusted EPS delivery, PA integration progress, debt reduction, and confirmation above resistance to improve certainty.Medium

J AI stock forecast

J AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The J AI stock forecast is scenario-based because Jacobs depends on backlog conversion, public and private infrastructure budgets, advanced manufacturing and data center demand, PA Consulting synergies, debt reduction, and the market multiple assigned to adjusted earnings. A GAAP EPS model using TTM EPS of $3.27 produces higher mechanical valuation, while a separate adjusted EPS model using the midpoint of company FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance near $7.22 supports a much lower forward multiple and wider upside if management converts backlog into cash earnings.

Bullish case

$180 to $205 before dividends

More likely if Jacobs compounds adjusted EPS near low double digits, keeps backlog above $27 billion, expands adjusted EBITDA margin toward the top of guidance, captures PA Consulting synergies, reduces leverage, and investors value the business in the low-20s adjusted earnings multiple, consistent with recent analyst targets of $171 to $181.

Base case

$145 to $160 before dividends

More likely if adjusted EPS lands near the $7.10 to $7.35 guidance midpoint, adjusted net revenue grows 8% to 10.5%, PA integration is orderly, and the market values Jacobs near a 20x forward adjusted earnings multiple, aligned with the $156.53 consensus price target.

Bearish case

$95 to $110 before dividends

More likely if project awards slow, GAAP adjustments persist, leverage stays elevated, PA Consulting synergies disappoint, public budgets tighten, or the market shifts toward a mid-teens multiple on lower adjusted earnings.

J AI technical analysis

J AI Technical Analysis

J AI technical analysis turned more constructive as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $134.93 on July 31, 2026, above the 50-day moving average of $125.58 and the 200-day moving average of $133.97, with RSI near 58.26. That combination shows the rebound extending above the prior overhead resistance.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$134.93StockAnalysis close reference from July 31, 2026, used for the August 2 market-cap and valuation verification.
Immediate support$131 to $133This area covers the recent trading band and the July 31 day range, and it is the first zone where buyers need to defend the advance.
Deeper support$125 to $126The 50-day moving average was $125.58, making this a key pullback reference for trend-following risk control.
Near resistance$135 to $137A sustained close above the July 31 high near $135.49 would confirm the breakout and open the way toward higher analyst targets.
Upper resistance$150 to $158This zone lines up with analyst price targets near $149 to $160 and the $156.53 consensus average target.
52-week high$168.44The 52-week high sits near $168.44, and a move there would represent a full recovery from the 2026 low.
Moving averagesAbove 50-day and 200-dayPrice holding above both averages is a bullish setup, though durability still depends on volume and earnings confirmation.
MomentumRSI near 58Momentum is positive and not yet extreme, which supports the rebound read while still requiring confirmation above resistance.
VolumeWatch the 838,000 20-day averageBreakouts above $135 to $137 should be tested against volume, earnings, backlog, and PA integration commentary.
VolatilityLower beta, project-cycle sensitivityStockAnalysis lists beta near 0.67, but earnings releases, backlog updates, acquisition news, and guidance changes can still move the stock sharply.
InvalidationClose below $125.58, then below $121A sustained break below the 50-day average weakens the bullish setup. A deeper break below $121 would challenge the recovery thesis.

J AI trading strategy

J AI Trading Strategy Framework

The J AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It combines moving-average levels with backlog, adjusted net revenue growth, adjusted EPS guidance, debt, free cash flow, PA Consulting integration, and margin delivery.

Trend-following setup

Watch for J to hold the $131 to $133 support area and close above $135 to $137 with volume confirmation, improving backlog conversion, and management commentary that supports FY2026 adjusted EPS of $7.10 to $7.35.

A failed breakout followed by a close below the 50-day average should reduce trend confidence, especially if GAAP adjustments, debt, or working-capital pressure remain elevated.

Mean-reversion setup

If J pulls back toward support without a permanent earnings reset, compare the lower price with backlog quality, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow margin, debt reduction, PA Consulting synergies, and client funding visibility.

Do not treat a lower price as automatically attractive if project awards slow, government budgets tighten, or the adjusted-to-GAAP earnings gap widens.

Fundamental monitor

Track quarterly gross revenue, adjusted net revenue, adjusted EPS, backlog, book-to-bill, PA Consulting integration costs and synergies, debt, free cash flow margin, buybacks, and dividend coverage.

Position sizing should reflect that Jacobs can screen inexpensive on adjusted FY2026 EPS but expensive on GAAP TTM EPS, so the earnings quality assumption must be explicit.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay Jacobs to solve complex infrastructure, advanced facilities, environmental, technology, energy, life sciences, and advisory problems where domain expertise, project execution, compliance, and trust matter more than low-cost labor.

Moat

The moat is strongest in technical talent, regulated project knowledge, long client relationships, ENR-recognized design scale, PA Consulting advisory capabilities, and global delivery. It is weaker in commoditized procurement where price dominates.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if PA Consulting integration misses targets, adjusted earnings overstate cash earnings, debt constrains capital allocation, public budgets tighten, large projects slip, litigation or claims increase, or competitors compress margins.

Management

Bob Pragada is CEO and chair, and management has repositioned Jacobs toward higher-value consulting and technical solutions. The management test is whether buybacks, PA Consulting ownership, leverage, and margin targets produce durable per-share value.

Industry trend

Jacobs sits in long-cycle markets tied to infrastructure renewal, energy transition, water, environmental compliance, advanced manufacturing, data centers, AI infrastructure, and resilient supply chains. These trends are attractive but still depend on funding and execution.

Valuation and margin of safety

At $134.93, J has a limited margin of safety on GAAP TTM EPS but a more reasonable setup on FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance. The key question is whether adjusted earnings convert into free cash flow while leverage moves lower.

Source-backed data

J Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
Current price reference$134.93 close on July 31, 2026StockAnalysis J overviewAugust 2, 2026
Market capitalization$15.93 billion, verified from $134.93 x 118.08 million sharesPineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis J statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Shares outstanding118.08 million shares outstandingStockAnalysis J statisticsAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 revenue and net earnings$12.030 billion revenue and $289.3 million net earnings attributable to JacobsJacobs FY2025 Form 10-KAugust 2, 2026
Q2 FY2026 operating snapshot$3.695 billion gross revenue, $1.75 adjusted EPS, and $27.0 billion record backlogJacobs Q2 FY2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
FY2026 guidanceAdjusted EPS guidance of $7.10 to $7.35, adjusted net revenue growth of 8.0% to 10.5%, and adjusted EBITDA margin of 14.6% to 14.9%Jacobs Q2 FY2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
Cash and debt$1.372 billion cash and about $4.56 billion debt including operating lease liabilitiesJacobs Q2 FY2026 balance sheet and StockAnalysis statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Valuation ratios41.26x TTM EPS, 4.84x book value, 32.91x FCF per share, and 1.07% dividend yield, with StockAnalysis listing PE near 39.33Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis J statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Technical references50-day moving average $125.58, 200-day moving average $133.97, RSI 58.26StockAnalysis J statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Analyst consensusBuy rating with an average 12-month price target of $156.53, range $131 to $181 across 16 analystsStockAnalysis J forecastAugust 2, 2026
ManagementBob Pragada is chief executive officer and chair of Jacobs SolutionsJacobs leadership profileAugust 2, 2026
Industry positionJacobs ranked No. 1 on ENR 2026 Top 500 Design Firms list and No. 1 in ManufacturingJacobs ENR 2026 ranking announcementAugust 2, 2026
PA Consulting acquisitionJacobs completed the acquisition of the remaining PA Consulting stake and raised the cost synergy estimate to at least $20 million per year within 24 monthsJacobs Q2 FY2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This J AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 2, 2026, and may be wrong if revenue growth, margins, backlog conversion, PA Consulting integration, debt, rates, client budgets, or market multiples change.