Hafnia Limited research snapshot
HAFN AI stock analysis currently reads Hafnia Limited as one of the largest product tanker operators globally, with a fleet of approximately 100 vessels including LR2, LR1, MR, and Handy tankers serving oil majors and trading houses. The latest NYSE close was $6.93 on July 10, 2026, implying a market capitalization of about $3.55 billion on roughly 500 million shares. TTM revenue was about $2.41 billion and net income was about $447 million, reflecting a strong freight rate environment in 2025 and early 2026. The HAFN AI stock forecast is a range of freight rate, fleet utilization, balance sheet, and valuation scenarios, not a price promise. This page is for informational use only and is not investment advice.
Current price
$6.93
Market cap
About $3.55 billion by price times shares
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Large product tanker operator with a modern fleet and strong recent earnings, offset by cyclical freight rates and a high dividend payout that may not be sustainable through a downturn
Trend status
Price remains above the 52-week low of $5.11 but has corrected from the May 2026 all-time high of $9.54, with short-term consolidation near the $7 level
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 12, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Hafnia owns and operates a modern fleet of product and chemical tankers that transport clean petroleum products, vegetable oils, and chemicals for oil majors, trading houses, and chemical companies. Revenue depends on vessel utilization, spot and time-charter TCE rates, voyage costs, and fleet composition rather than recurring or subscription revenue. | High |
| Moat | The moat is a large-scale modern fleet with diverse vessel classes, long-standing charterer relationships, operational know-how in product logistics, and access to secured financing. These advantages are useful in a fragmented market but do not insulate Hafnia from a global freight rate downturn. | Medium |
| Management | Management has grown the fleet through acquisitions and newbuildings, maintained charter coverage, managed debt, and distributed substantial dividends. A planned CEO succession was announced in July 2026. BW Group is the largest shareholder, which aligns capital allocation with a major owner but introduces related-party considerations. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue was about $2.41 billion and net income about $447 million, supported by strong product tanker rates. FY2025 net income was about $350 million. Profit margin was about 19% and ROE about 19%, reflecting an efficient fleet and favorable market conditions in recent periods. | High |
| Valuation | At $6.93, PE(TTM) was about 7.7x, PB was about 1.43x, and the trailing dividend yield was about 10.1%. These multiples appear moderate only if current earnings and the dividend can withstand the next product tanker cycle downturn. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The price corrected from the May 2026 all-time high of $9.54 to the $6.93 area. The 52-week range is $5.11 to $9.53. Momentum indicators near neutral and the stock trades below the 50-day moving average based on recent price action, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated because product tanker spot TCE rates, refinery utilization shifts, trade route changes, competitor vessel supply, interest expense, vessel values, dry-dock costs, dividend variability, and the concentrated shareholder base can all affect per-share value quickly. | High |
| AI confidence | Historical financial data, fleet details, and valuation ratios are supported by verified sources. AI cannot reliably forecast product tanker freight rates, oil product trade flows, geopolitical changes, or the timing of the next cycle downturn. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is lower than data confidence because Hafnia is a capital-intensive, cyclical owner with a high dividend payout that may not persist through a freight rate normalization. | Low-medium |
HAFN AI stock forecast
The HAFN AI stock forecast uses a three-year scenario model around the $6.93 cutoff price. With TTM EPS of $0.90, annual EPS growth assumptions of 10%, 0%, and -20%, and terminal P/E multiples of 9x, 6x, and 3x, the model produces target prices of about $10.80, $5.40, and $1.40. The page widens those outputs into scenario ranges because product tanker rates, fleet utilization, and dividends are uncertain.
$9 to $13
More likely if product tanker rates remain elevated, refinery utilization supports medium-range trade volumes, fleet supply stays balanced, Hafnia maintains high utilization and charter coverage, and the dividend remains supported by recurring cash flow. The analyst consensus target near $10 per share is consistent with this range.
$4 to $7
More likely if product tanker rates normalize toward mid-cycle levels, Hafnia benefits from a diversified charter portfolio and a modern fuel-efficient fleet, debt service remains manageable, and the market assigns a P/E closer to mid-cycle product tanker valuation.
$1 to $3
More likely if product tanker supply grows faster than refined product demand, trade routes shorten due to refinery regionalization, vessel values decline, Hafnia faces refinancing pressure, or the dividend is cut or suspended after a sharp TCE drop.
HAFN AI technical analysis
HAFN AI technical analysis uses the Yahoo Finance snapshot and TradingView summary data together with the July 10 close. The stock corrected from its May 2026 all-time high of $9.54 and trades near $6.93. Momentum is mixed and volume should be confirmed in a live chart before any decision. This page is static, so confirm all levels in a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $6.93 | NYSE close on July 10, 2026, from the Yahoo Finance data feed. |
| Near support | $6.50 to $6.70 | The area above the recent trading range low. A monitoring zone, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Deeper support | $5.11 to $5.50 | The 52-week low from the July 2025 to July 2026 range. A sustained break would signal a bearish structural change. |
| Near resistance | $7.20 to $7.50 | The recent trading range and the area below the previous close of $7.28 on July 9, 2026. |
| Higher resistance | $8.50 to $9.54 | The zone from prior consolidation to the all-time high of $9.54 reached in May 2026. |
| 50-day moving average | Approximately $7.50 to $8.00 | Estimated based on recent price decline from the May high. Price is trading below the 50-day SMA, which is a short-term bearish signal. |
| 200-day moving average | Approximately $6.50 to $7.00 | Estimated range. Price near the 200-day MA suggests a potential trend decision point. |
| Momentum | RSI near 40-45; MACD mixed | RSI below 50 suggests bearish short-term momentum. MACD signal should be checked in a live chart for crossovers. |
| Volume | Approximately 1.9 million shares average daily | Average volume reported by Yahoo Finance. Compare with current volume before treating a breakout as confirmed. |
| Volatility | ATR(14) approximately $0.30 to $0.45 | Estimated daily range. Material for position sizing in a shipping stock with moderate liquidity. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $5.11 | A confirmed break of the 52-week low should trigger a fresh review of product tanker rates, fleet utilization, debt levels, and the dividend outlook. |
HAFN AI trading strategy
The HAFN AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. It should be paired with live price and volume data, a defined position size, an invalidation level, product tanker rate data, and the next company filing.
Wait for HAFN to reclaim the 50-day moving average area near $7.50 to $8.00 with expanding volume and positive product tanker TCE rate momentum. Then check charters, fleet utilization, and the next earnings update before treating the move as a trend resumption.
A failed breakout followed by a close below the $5.50 area invalidates the setup. Do not widen the risk limit because a high dividend yield can appear attractive during a cycle peak.
If HAFN approaches $5.50 to $6.00 with RSI in oversold territory, compare the price move with product tanker rates, industry supply data, peer performance, and company charter coverage before calling it mean reversion rather than a cycle turn.
Do not average down solely because the stock trades near a 52-week low. A product tanker rate decline can make a low P/E and high dividend yield misleading for several quarters.
Track LR2, LR1, and MR TCE rates, fleet utilization and charter coverage, vessel acquisitions and sales, newbuilding deliveries, debt facilities, cash, dry-dock spending, dividend declarations, share count, refined product demand, trade routes, and fleet supply.
Reduce confidence if TCE rates approach cash breakeven, debt rises faster than operating cash flow, newbuildings require equity financing, vessel values fall meaningfully, or dividends rely on retained earnings rather than current cash flow.
Investment research summary
Hafnia turns product tanker capacity, crews, fuel, financing, and chartering expertise into ocean transportation for clean and dirty petroleum products, vegetable oils, and chemicals. Customers pay for available vessel capacity and completed voyages. The economic engine is daily TCE revenue minus voyage costs, ship operating expenses, depreciation, interest, dry-dock spending, and capital commitments across a fleet of about 100 vessels.
The practical moat is a scaled, modern fleet and commercial platform with diversified vessel classes. Hafnia can combine spot voyages with time charters, serve multiple customer segments across clean and chemical trades, and access secured financing. The advantage is narrower than a brand or network effect because fleet scale cannot prevent a global oversupply of product tankers or a shift in refined product trade routes.
The thesis fails if product tanker supply grows faster than refined product demand, freight rates normalize below cash breakeven, or refinery regionalization shortens trade routes. Other failure paths include weak vessel values, dry-dock overruns, refinancing pressure, high interest expense, dividend cuts, accidents, environmental regulation changes, sanctions, and related-party capital allocation decisions that reduce per-share value.
The current CEO Mikael Opstun Skov leads a structure in which Hafnia Management handles commercial and operational execution. In July 2026 the company announced a planned CEO succession. BW Group is the dominant shareholder, providing stability but also introducing related-party governance considerations. The key test is whether fleet management, chartering strategy, and capital allocation create value across the product tanker cycle.
Product tanker shipping benefits when refined product trade volumes grow, trade routes become longer, or the fleet ages and requires replacement. Hafnia operates across LR2, LR1, MR, and Handy segments covering both clean and chemical transportation. The industry remains exposed to refinery capacity shifts, energy transition policies, sanctions, canal access, and newbuilding supply that can change the balance of vessel supply and cargo demand quickly.
At $6.93, the local audit produced about 7.7x TTM EPS, 1.43x book value, 26.65x TTM free cash flow, and a 10.1% trailing dividend yield. The three-year scenario model ranges from $1.40 to $10.80 before being widened into scenario bands because current earnings reflect a strong product tanker market. A margin of safety requires normalized cash flow and dividend visibility, not just a low headline PE.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latest NYSE close | $6.93 on July 10, 2026 | Yahoo Finance HAFN summary page | July 12, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | Approximately 500 million ordinary shares (including ADR-equivalent) | Derived from market cap and price; TradingView reports shares float of 242.86 million | July 12, 2026 |
| Market capitalization audit | $3.55 billion from $6.93 x approximately 500 million shares; third-party snapshots varied with refresh timing from $3.47B to $3.55B | Pineify financial_rigor.py, Yahoo Finance, and TradingView | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | About $2.41 billion TTM revenue; FY2025 reported revenue was about $2.35 billion | Yahoo Finance key statistics and TradingView financials overview | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM net income and cash | TTM net income about $447 million (midpoint of $439M to $456M sources); cash of $146.46 million most recent quarter | Yahoo Finance key statistics and TradingView financials | July 12, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 operating result | Revenue of $282.5 million and net income of about $148 million to $180 million in Q1 2026 | Yahoo Finance earnings data and news reports | July 12, 2026 |
| Fleet and operations | About 100 vessels across LR2, LR1, MR, Handy, and chemical segments; 4,880 employees; headquartered in Singapore | Hafnia company profile and TradingView profile | July 12, 2026 |
| TTM valuation inputs | Yahoo Finance reported TTM EPS of $0.90, book value per share of about $4.85, TTM FCF per share of about $0.26, and dividend per share of about $0.70 | Yahoo Finance key statistics and financial_rigor.py verification | July 7, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 52-week range $5.11 to $9.53; all-time high $9.54 on May 5, 2026; average volume about 1.9 million shares; beta of 0.61 | TradingView and Yahoo Finance summary | July 12, 2026 |
| Financial-rigor verification | Market cap, revenue, net income, valuation ratios, and three-scenario values were calculated locally with exact decimal arithmetic | Pineify tools/financial_rigor.py local run | July 12, 2026 |
This HAFN AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a guarantee of returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on public data available as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong if product tanker rates, refined product demand, trade routes, fleet supply, debt financing, dividends, fleet execution, or market valuation change.
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