The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. research snapshot
GS AI stock analysis reads The Goldman Sachs Group as a premier investment banking, trading, asset management, and wealth management franchise that delivered record Q2 2026 results. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, GS traded near $1,018 with market capitalization near $300.43 billion after the stock pulled back from a $1,153.99 52-week high. The business quality score is high, but the GS AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a single price prediction because capital markets revenue, credit costs, regulation, and valuation multiples can move quickly. This page is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$1,018
Market cap
$300.43 billion
AI score
76 / 100
Rating
Record Q2 2026 results with 23.5% ROE, but the stock pulled back below key moving averages after a strong run
Trend status
Below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages after touching a $1,153.99 52-week high, with neutral RSI near 45
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Goldman combines investment banking, equities, FICC, asset and wealth management, financing, and global institutional relationships that are difficult to replicate. Q2 2026 produced a record $20.34 billion in net revenues and 23.5% annualized ROE. | High |
| Moat | Moat comes from brand trust, talent density, institutional relationships, trading infrastructure, balance sheet access, regulatory permissions, and cross-border execution. | High |
| Management | David Solomon has refocused the firm around Global Banking & Markets and Asset & Wealth Management while shrinking the drag from Platform Solutions, and Q2 2026 showed the strategy working. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 net revenues were $58.28 billion and net earnings were $17.18 billion. Q2 2026 net revenues rose 39% year over year to $20.34 billion and net earnings reached $6.63 billion with 23.5% ROE. | High |
| Valuation | At $1,018, financial_rigor.py calculates about 15.7x EPS, 2.77x book value, 17.6% ROE proxy, and a 1.96% dividend yield using current inputs. | High |
| Technical trend | Barchart showed GS below its 20-day moving average near $1,061 and 50-day moving average near $1,049, above its 200-day moving average near $916, with 14-day RSI near 44.8. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Main risks are capital markets cyclicality, trading revenue normalization, credit losses, regulatory capital requirements, the Epstein-related legal overhang, compensation inflation, and leverage to global risk appetite. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for disclosed historical facts and math. Medium for the forecast because GS earnings can change fast with market volatility, underwriting windows, and credit conditions. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. Goldman has an elite franchise and record near-term earnings, but the stock still needs durable ROE and continued capital markets strength to justify upside. | Medium |
GS AI stock forecast
The GS AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $1,018 quote. A three-year EPS framework using TTM EPS of $64.80 produced a bullish value near $1,725, a base value near $1,235, and a bearish value near $610 before dividends. The spread is wide because investment banking, trading, credit, and valuation multiples are all cyclical, and the stock is coming off a record quarter.
$1,650 to $1,780
More likely if advisory and underwriting backlogs keep converting, equities and FICC stay strong, Asset & Wealth Management assets keep growing, credit costs stay contained, and the market rewards GS with a low-20s earnings multiple.
$1,150 to $1,280
More likely if EPS grows at a mid-single-digit to high-single-digit rate from the elevated base, ROE stays in the high teens, buybacks offset dilution, and the market applies a mid-teens earnings multiple.
$580 to $650
More likely if capital markets weaken after the record quarter, trading revenue normalizes, credit provisions rise, regulators demand more capital, the Epstein-related legal overhang weighs on the multiple, or investors price GS closer to book value during a risk-off period.
GS AI technical analysis
GS AI technical analysis shows a stock that pulled back from a strong run as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. Barchart showed GS below its 20-day moving average near $1,060.90 and 50-day moving average near $1,049.39 after touching a $1,153.99 52-week high, while holding above the 100-day average near $967.51 and 200-day average near $916.48. The 14-day RSI near 44.83 is neutral, and 14-day ATR near $39.03 keeps risk per share high.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $1,018 | StockAnalysis and Google Finance close for Jul 31, 2026, used for this static page and market cap verification. |
| Near support | $967 to $1,008 | The recent low near $1,008 and the 100-day moving average near $967 are the first areas to monitor. |
| Secondary support | $916 to $940 | The 200-day moving average near $916 and the area around $940 define the deeper trend support zone. |
| Near resistance | $1,050 to $1,154 | The 50-day moving average near $1,049 and the 52-week high near $1,154 define the first resistance band. |
| 50-day SMA | $1,049.39 | Barchart reported GS trading below the 50-day moving average after the pullback. |
| 200-day SMA | $916.48 | Barchart reported GS trading well above the 200-day moving average. |
| Momentum | 14-day RSI 44.83 | Momentum is neutral after the pullback, neither oversold nor overbought by common thresholds. |
| Volume | About 2.0 million shares | The 20-day average volume near 2.0 million shares provides a liquidity baseline for judging breakouts and pullbacks. |
| Volatility | 14-day ATR $39.03 | Normal daily movement is large in dollar terms, so position sizing should use volatility rather than share price alone. |
| Invalidation | Close below $967, then $916 | A close below the 100-day average near $967 would weaken the setup. A break toward the 200-day area near $916 would signal broader trend damage. |
GS AI trading strategy
The GS AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a global investment bank and asset manager. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with live chart data, earnings dates, capital return updates, credit trends, underwriting activity, and clear invalidation levels.
Watch for GS to reclaim the 50-day moving average near $1,049 on above-average volume and then clear the $1,050 to $1,154 resistance band on improving capital markets news.
A close back below the 100-day moving average near $967, or a failed reclaim of the 50-day while bank stocks weaken, should invalidate the near-term trend setup.
If GS pulls back toward $967 or the $916 area without a deterioration in ROE, credit costs, investment banking backlog, or capital ratios, compare the price move with the earnings thesis.
Do not use brand quality or a single record quarter as a substitute for stop discipline because bank stocks can rerate quickly when confidence or liquidity changes.
Track advisory fees, underwriting, equities revenue, FICC revenue, assets under supervision, book value per share, capital returns, credit provisions, compensation ratio, litigation items, and regulatory capital.
Reduce confidence if FICC weakness broadens, advisory backlog fails to convert, credit provisions rise faster than revenue, the Epstein-related legal overhang escalates, or valuation stays rich while ROE normalizes.
Investment research summary
Goldman Sachs helps corporations, governments, institutions, and wealthy clients raise capital, manage risk, trade markets, finance positions, invest assets, and complete strategic transactions.
The moat is built from global client relationships, trusted execution in complex transactions, trading systems, risk management culture, regulatory licenses, balance sheet scale, and a brand that attracts talent and clients.
The thesis fails if capital markets volumes contract after a record quarter, trading gains reverse, risk controls miss a large exposure, credit losses rise, compensation absorbs too much upside, regulators force lower leverage and returns, or the Epstein-related legal overhang escalates.
David Solomon has pushed Goldman toward a cleaner institutional and wealth strategy after the consumer banking reset. Q2 2026 delivered the strongest results of that strategy so far, and the current test is whether capital allocation, buybacks, and risk controls can keep ROE durable through cycles.
Goldman benefits from long-running demand for global capital formation, risk transfer, private wealth management, alternatives, and market liquidity, but the industry remains cyclical and highly regulated.
At about 15.7x EPS and 2.77x book value after a record quarter, GS is not priced as a distressed bank. Margin of safety improves if the stock pulls back further while book value, ROE, and capital returns remain healthy.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| GS price | $1,018.38 close on Jul 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $300.43 billion, verified as $1,018.38 x 295.01 million shares | CompaniesMarketCap and financial_rigor.py | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 295.01 million shares | Google Finance | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 net revenues | $58.28 billion, cross-checked with Macrotrends at $58.283 billion | Goldman Sachs 2025 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 net earnings | $17.18 billion, with $51.32 diluted EPS and 15.0% annualized ROE | Goldman Sachs 2025 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 results | $20.34 billion net revenues, $6.63 billion net earnings, $20.98 diluted EPS, and 23.5% annualized ROE | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 segment mix | $15.52 billion Global Banking & Markets, $4.60 billion Asset & Wealth Management, and $221 million Platform Solutions net revenues | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 SEC earnings exhibit | August 2, 2026 |
| H1 2026 results | $37.57 billion net revenues, $12.26 billion net earnings, $38.51 diluted EPS, and 21.7% annualized ROE | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Book value per share | $367.67 at Q2 2026, up from $361.19 at Q1 2026 | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Assets under supervision | $4,041 billion at Q2 2026, up from $3,650 billion at Q1 2026 | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Dividend | Quarterly dividend raised to $5.00 per share on July 13, 2026, paid September 29, 2026, about 1.96% annualized yield | Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 earnings release | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 15.72x EPS, 2.77x book value, 17.62% ROE proxy, and 1.96% dividend yield | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day SMA $1,049.39, 200-day SMA $916.48, 14-day RSI 44.83, 14-day ATR $39.03 | Barchart technical analysis | August 2, 2026 |
| Three-scenario model | Bullish $1,725, base $1,235, bearish $610 based on financial_rigor.py EPS growth and PE assumptions | financial_rigor.py three-scenario model | August 2, 2026 |
This GS AI stock analysis is an informational tool based on public filings, market data, technical indicators, and scenario math available at the stated data cutoff. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast ranges can be wrong, and Goldman Sachs stock can move sharply after earnings, regulatory updates, credit events, market volatility, or changes in investor risk appetite.
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