Curtiss-Wright Corporation research snapshot
CW AI stock analysis currently views Curtiss-Wright as a supplier of engineered aerospace, defense, naval, nuclear power, process, and industrial products with rising margins and a $4.1 billion year-end backlog. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, the $751.05 reference price and 36.95 million March share count imply a verified $27.75 billion market value. FY2025 sales rose 12% to $3.50 billion, while Q1 2026 sales rose 13% and management raised full-year guidance. The trade-off is valuation: verified trailing P/E was about 55.02x and P/FCF about 47.60x, leaving little room for a growth or execution miss.
Current price
$751.05
Market cap
$27.75 billion verified market cap
AI score
71 / 100
Rating
High-quality engineered defense and power supplier with strong execution, durable demand, and valuation risk
Trend status
Neutral short-term momentum, with price above the 200-day average and near the 50-day average
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Curtiss-Wright sells specialized components, electronics, services, and systems for mission-critical aerospace, defense, naval, nuclear, process, and industrial applications. | High |
| Moat | Customer qualification, engineering know-how, installed equipment, security and regulatory requirements, long program cycles, and service relationships create meaningful switching costs. | High |
| Management | Chair and CEO Lynn M. Bamford has emphasized Pivot to Growth, margin expansion, bolt-on acquisitions, debt discipline, repurchases, and investment in growth markets. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 sales grew 12% to $3.50 billion, operating income grew 20% to $633.5 million, net earnings reached $484.2 million, and free cash flow was $553.7 million. Q1 2026 sales grew 13% to $914 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $751.05, verified math shows about 55.02x TTM EPS, 10.54x book value, 47.60x free cash flow per share, and a 0.13% dividend yield. | High |
| Technical trend | The reference price sits above the 200-day moving average near $651.04 but close to the 50-day average near $742.63. RSI near 49.70 is neutral rather than strongly overbought. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is moderate to high because aerospace and defense demand is favorable, yet a premium multiple, program execution, budget timing, acquisition integration, supply chains, and nuclear or industrial demand can move results. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Reported-data confidence is high. Scenario confidence is medium because AI cannot know contract awards, cost performance, policy, or future market multiples. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium at this price. The business quality is clear, but margin of safety depends on earnings and cash flow continuing to compound at a demanding valuation. | Medium |
CW AI stock forecast
The CW AI stock forecast is scenario math, not a precise price prediction. Using the July 11, 2026 research cutoff, a $751.05 price reference, $13.65 trailing EPS, and a three-year model, the tested anchors are about $1,171.80 in a bull case, $817.60 in a base case, and $491.30 in a bear case before dividends.
$1,140 to $1,200
More likely if 2026 sales grow 7% to 8%, adjusted EPS reaches the $14.90 to $15.30 guidance range, free cash flow reaches $580 million to $600 million, backlog converts cleanly, and investors retain a premium multiple for defense and nuclear exposure.
$790 to $840
More likely if earnings compound near 10%, margin expansion holds, backlog supports normal revenue conversion, and the market values CW near 45x earnings after growth moderates.
$470 to $510
More likely if defense orders or commercial nuclear growth slow, program or acquisition costs pressure margins, cash conversion misses guidance, or the market applies a lower industrial multiple.
CW AI technical analysis
CW AI technical analysis uses a $751.05 reference price implied by the July 11, 2026 StockAnalysis market-cap and March share-count snapshot. StockAnalysis listed a 50-day moving average of $742.63, a 200-day moving average of $651.04, RSI of 49.70, beta of 0.86, and 20-day average volume of 296,035 shares. Refresh live chart data before acting because these levels can move daily.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $751.05 | Reference price calculated from the reported $27.75 billion market cap and 36.948 million March 2026 shares. |
| Immediate support | $740 to $743 | The 50-day moving average was $742.63 at the data snapshot. Sustained trading below this band would weaken the short-term setup. |
| Deeper support | $645 to $655 | The 200-day moving average near $651.04 is the broader trend reference, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Near resistance | $760 to $770 | The July 8 historical close was $760.57, making the recent high-$700s area a practical level to reassess with current price and volume data. |
| 50-day moving average | $742.63 | StockAnalysis snapshot near the cutoff. Price was only modestly above the short-term reference. |
| 200-day moving average | $651.04 | StockAnalysis snapshot near the cutoff. Price remained above the longer-term trend reference. |
| Momentum | RSI 49.70, neutral | The cited RSI did not show an oversold or overbought extreme. |
| Volume | 296,035 shares, 20-day average | Compare any breakout or breakdown with this recent average participation level. |
| Volatility | Beta 0.86 | CW has lower reported beta than the broad market, but earnings, defense budgets, contract awards, and valuation changes can still cause sharp moves. |
| Invalidation | Sustained loss of $740, then $651 | A break below the 50-day area weakens the near-term case. A sustained break below the 200-day area would challenge the broader trend. |
CW AI trading strategy
The CW AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized investment advice. It connects price action to Q2 earnings due August 5, 2026, raised 2026 guidance, orders, backlog conversion, segment margins, free cash flow, debt, and live technical data.
Monitor whether CW holds above the $740 to $743 50-day area and reclaims the $760 to $770 area with volume near or above the 20-day average. Confirm that earnings and orders support the raised 2026 outlook.
Treat a sustained close below the 50-day reference, a guidance reduction, or a material margin miss as a reason to reassess rather than average down automatically.
If CW pulls back toward the 50-day average without weaker backlog, guidance, or cash-flow evidence, compare the reset valuation with the base scenario and watch for stabilization in price and volume.
Do not assume the 200-day average is a floor. Reduce confidence if a pullback is paired with order weakness, supply-chain pressure, poor acquisition integration, or lower cash conversion.
Track Q2 2026 results, Aerospace and Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval and Power sales and margins, orders, book-to-bill, backlog, commercial nuclear demand, cash, debt, repurchases, and capital spending.
Lower the rating if EPS growth slows while valuation remains elevated, or if a backlog increase fails to translate into margin expansion and free cash flow.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Curtiss-Wright for components, electronics, systems, and services that must perform reliably in demanding aerospace, defense, naval, nuclear, process, and industrial environments where failure costs are high.
The moat is built on qualification cycles, engineering depth, proprietary designs, installed base, security requirements, regulated applications, service relationships, and the cost of replacing a proven supplier in a critical program.
The thesis fails if a favorable demand narrative masks weaker conversion: orders can be delayed, programs can carry cost pressure, acquisitions can dilute returns, industrial markets can soften, and a premium multiple can compress even if earnings still grow.
Management has focused on growth investments, margin expansion, acquisitions, debt capacity, and share repurchases. The key test is whether capital allocation remains disciplined while investing for demand in defense and commercial nuclear markets.
CW is exposed to long-duration trends in defense modernization, naval programs, commercial aerospace content, nuclear maintenance and advanced reactors, automation, and electrification. These themes are favorable but remain dependent on budgets, regulation, and project execution.
The verified trailing valuation of roughly 55.02x EPS and 47.60x free cash flow prices in continued execution. Margin of safety improves only if earnings, cash flow, and backlog conversion meet expectations or if price resets toward a lower multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| CW price and market capitalization | $751.05 reference price and $27.75 billion market cap, verified as $751.05 x 36.948 million shares | StockAnalysis statistics and Pineify financial_rigor.py | July 11, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 36.948 million shares outstanding at March 31, 2026, cross-checked with the January 31, 2026 10-K share count of 36.870 million | Curtiss-Wright Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net earnings | $3.4984 billion sales and $484.2 million net earnings, cross-checked with StockAnalysis $3.498 billion and $484.23 million | Curtiss-Wright 2025 Annual Report | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 segments and cash flow | Aerospace and Industrial $976.8M, Defense Electronics $1.0186B, Naval and Power $1.503B, and free cash flow $553.7M | Curtiss-Wright 2025 Annual Report | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results and outlook | $914M sales, $160M operating income, $3.46 diluted EPS, $1.2B orders, 1.3x book-to-bill, $14.90 to $15.30 EPS guidance, and $580M to $600M free cash flow guidance | Curtiss-Wright Q1 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 cash and debt | $343.447M cash, $200M current debt, and $757.635M long-term debt, or about $805M net debt | Curtiss-Wright Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis | July 11, 2026 |
| TTM valuation inputs | $13.65 EPS, $15.78 free cash flow per share, $71.23 book value per share, and $0.96 annual dividend per share | StockAnalysis financials and statistics | July 11, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day MA $742.63, 200-day MA $651.04, RSI 49.70, beta 0.86, and 20-day average volume 296,035 | StockAnalysis statistics | July 11, 2026 |
This page is an informational research tool, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Forecast ranges are scenario outputs based on available data and assumptions, may be wrong, and should not replace independent research or professional advice.
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