Baker Hughes Company research snapshot

BKR AI Stock Analysis

BKR AI stock analysis reads Baker Hughes as a high-quality energy technology company that is executing well in 2026: Q2 results beat expectations, Industrial & Energy Technology orders hit a record, the Chart Industries acquisition closed, and full-year guidance was raised. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, BKR traded near $60.49 with an implied market capitalization of about $60.05 billion. The analysis supports a scenario framework, not a certain price call, and should be used for information only. The stock has improved technically and is now above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, though it still sits below its 100-day average and 52-week high.

Current price

$60.49

Market cap

$60.05 billion

AI score

70 / 100

Rating

Quality energy technology compounder with record order momentum

Trend status

Short-term uptrend above key moving averages with improving momentum

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Baker Hughes is a long-listed large-cap with SEC filings, earnings releases, investor presentations, analyst coverage, market data, and technical indicator coverage.
bias Check
The main AI research risk is consensus bias around AI data center power demand and LNG growth. This page checks the opposite case: declining global upstream spending, Middle East disruption, Chart integration and leverage risk, and backlog that converts at a slower pace than orders.
ai Confidence
High for reported Q2 2026 results, 2025 annuals, share count, technical data, and guidance. Medium for forward valuation because order conversion, oilfield spending, and acquisition execution can change quickly.
investment Certainty
Medium. Baker Hughes has a stronger industrial energy platform than a pure oilfield services name, but investment certainty is limited by cyclical upstream spending, Middle East exposure, and the post-acquisition leverage and integration work.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityBaker Hughes combines oilfield services and equipment with industrial energy technology, LNG, power systems, digital solutions, and new-energy exposure.Medium-high
MoatScale, installed base, engineering depth, long-cycle equipment contracts, and a record $37.1 billion IET backlog support the moat, though OFSE pricing remains competitive.Medium-high
ManagementLorenzo Simonelli has led the company since 2017, shifted the portfolio toward higher-margin industrial energy systems, and is executing the Chart acquisition with defined cost synergy targets.Medium-high
Financial trendQ2 2026 brought record total orders of $10.5 billion, record IET orders of $7.1 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18.3%, free cash flow of $1.1 billion, and raised full-year guidance.High
ValuationAt $60.49, the stock trades near 19.5x trailing EPS, 21.6x forward EPS, about 19x free cash flow, and 12.6x EV/EBITDA, a higher but still reasonable multiple for the order momentum.Medium
Technical trendBKR is above its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages but below the 100-day average, with RSI near 59 and ADX near 22, so momentum is improving without being overbought.Medium
Risk levelMain risks are declining global upstream spending, Middle East disruption, Chart integration and higher leverage, slower order conversion, and execution on the raised guidance.Medium-high
AI confidenceDescriptive confidence is high because reported financial and market data are rich. Return confidence is lower because energy-cycle, acquisition, and conversion assumptions can re-rate the stock quickly.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty. The business is improving and order momentum is real, but the higher price leaves less margin of safety than before the July 2026 rally.Medium

BKR AI stock forecast

BKR AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The BKR AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $60.49 quote and the FY2026 consensus adjusted EPS midpoint of about $2.64. The audited three-year framework produced a bearish area near $42, a base area near $67, and a bullish area near $96 before dividends, using EPS growth of 2%, 10%, and 15% and exit multiples of 15x, 19x, and 24x. These are ranges to test, not promises.

Bullish case

$88 to $100

More likely if IET orders convert at strong margins, gas turbine and power systems capacity ramps, LNG demand stays firm, Chart synergies land, and OFSE stabilizes despite weaker upstream budgets.

Base case

$62 to $72

More likely if EPS compounds near high single digits, record backlog converts on schedule, Chart integration stays on track, and investors hold the stock near a 19x to 21x forward multiple.

Bearish case

$40 to $47

More likely if global upstream spending falls sharply, Middle East disruption spreads, Chart integration or deleveraging stalls, or order conversion runs behind the raised guidance.

BKR AI technical analysis

BKR AI Technical Analysis

BKR AI technical analysis is constructive as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed near $60.49 on July 31, 2026, above its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, below its 100-day average near $61.26, with 14-day RSI near 59, 14-day ADX near 22, and a 52-week high of $70.41 still overhead.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$60.49StockAnalysis.com and Barchart quote snapshots at the July 31, 2026 close, up about 0.98% on the day.
Near support$57 to $58Barchart placed the 20-day moving average near $57.24, a natural first pullback support zone.
Next support$56.50The 200-day moving average was near $56.52, the key medium-term trend line to hold on any pullback.
Near resistance$61 to $62The 100-day moving average was near $61.26, the first overhead zone a breakout would need to clear.
Upper resistance$70.41The 52-week high of $70.41 from April 2026 is the major overhead level, about 16% above the July 31 close.
50-day moving average$59.78Barchart and StockAnalysis.com reported the 50-day moving average near $59.78, just below the current price.
200-day moving average$56.52Barchart and StockAnalysis.com reported the 200-day trend line near $56.52, below the current price.
MomentumRSI near 59, ADX near 2214-day RSI was near 58.6 and 14-day ADX near 22, showing improving momentum that is not yet overbought.
VolumeAbout 10.2 million average sharesBarchart listed 20-day average volume near 10.16 million shares, useful for checking breakout quality.
VolatilityElevated near earningsBarchart reported 14-day historical volatility near 34%, so position sizing should account for larger swings around earnings and Middle East headlines.
InvalidationClose below $56.50A decisive close below the 200-day moving average near $56.52 would weaken the medium-term uptrend and shift the technical bias.

BKR AI trading strategy

BKR AI Trading Strategy Framework

The BKR AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It combines order momentum, technical confirmation, Chart integration progress, and predefined invalidation levels, and should be paired with fresh chart data, filings, position sizing, and a defined risk limit.

Trend-following setup

Watch for BKR to reclaim and hold the 100-day moving average near $61 and to build volume on a move toward the $70.41 high, with the 200-day trend line still rising.

Use a daily close back below the 100-day average or below the 200-day average near $56.50 as a rules-based invalidation signal.

Mean-reversion setup

If BKR pulls back toward the $57 to $58 zone or the $56.50 area without new guidance or integration damage, compare the reaction with order conversion data and quarterly results.

Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because upstream spending cuts or Middle East headlines can turn a support zone into a falling knife.

Fundamental monitor

Track IET order and RPO conversion, power systems bookings, LNG awards, OFSE revenue outside the Middle East, Chart cost synergy progress, net leverage, free cash flow, and capital returns.

Reduce confidence if adjusted EPS growth depends mainly on buybacks or one-time items rather than organic demand and operating cash flow, or if leverage stays above plan for too long.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Baker Hughes sells mission-critical energy equipment, oilfield services, turbomachinery, gas turbines, LNG technology, power systems, digital software, and industrial technology. Customers pay for reliability, uptime, safety, project execution, and increasingly for integrated power and data center solutions.

Moat

The moat comes from global scale, an installed base with recurring services, engineering depth, long-cycle equipment contracts, and a record IET backlog near $37.1 billion that provides multi-year revenue visibility. The moat is narrower in OFSE, where pricing follows the commodity cycle.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if energy customers cut budgets sharply, IET backlog converts at weaker margins than booked, Chart integration distracts management or misses synergies, higher debt reduces capital return flexibility, or the Middle East disruption deepens.

Management

Management has moved Baker Hughes toward industrial energy technology, power, LNG, and new-energy markets, closed Chart Industries as a third segment, and raised 2026 guidance. The key test is disciplined integration and capital allocation while returning to a 1x to 1.5x net leverage target within 24 months.

Industry trend

Baker Hughes sits at the intersection of energy security, LNG infrastructure, AI-driven data center power demand, industrial decarbonization, and upstream oilfield activity. Long-term demand is favorable, but global upstream spending is expected to decline modestly in 2026 and can dominate short-term results.

Valuation and margin of safety

At about 19.5x trailing EPS, 21.6x forward EPS, and roughly 19x free cash flow, BKR no longer trades as a cheap cyclical. Margin of safety depends on backlog conversion, Chart synergy delivery, and deleveraging, after the stock rallied more than 30% in the past year.

Source-backed data

BKR Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
BKR closing price$60.49 on July 31, 2026, up 0.98% on the dayStockAnalysis.com quote snapshotAugust 2, 2026
Shares outstanding992.67 millionStockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 1, 2026
Market capitalization$60.05 billion, verified as $60.49 x 992.67 million sharesfinancial_rigor.py market cap verificationAugust 2, 2026
Q2 2026 adjusted resultsAdjusted diluted EPS $0.64 vs consensus $0.49, GAAP diluted EPS $0.68, revenue about $6.7 billionBaker Hughes Q2 2026 earnings release and TheFly summaryJuly 27, 2026
Q2 2026 ordersTotal orders $10.5 billion, IET orders record $7.1 billion, total RPO $40.1 billion, record IET RPO $37.1 billionBaker Hughes Q2 2026 earnings releaseJuly 27, 2026
Q2 2026 profitabilityAdjusted EBITDA $1.23 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin 18.3%, up 70 basis points year over yearBaker Hughes Q2 2026 earnings call transcriptJuly 27, 2026
Q2 2026 free cash flow$1.1 billionBaker Hughes Q2 2026 earnings call transcriptJuly 27, 2026
FY2026 guidance raisedRevenue of $27.35 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $4.85 billion, IET orders guidance raised to $17.5 to $19.5 billionBaker Hughes Q2 2026 earnings call transcriptJuly 27, 2026
Chart Industries acquisitionClosed in July 2026 as the third reporting segment, with $325 million of annualized cost synergies targeted by year threeBaker Hughes Q2 2026 earnings call transcriptJuly 27, 2026
FY2025 revenue$27.733 billionStockAnalysis.com income statement and Baker Hughes 10-K cross-checkAugust 1, 2026
FY2025 net income attributable to Baker Hughes$2.588 billion, diluted EPS $2.60StockAnalysis.com income statementAugust 1, 2026
TTM free cash flow$3.128 billion, or about $3.14 per shareStockAnalysis.com cash flow statementAugust 1, 2026
Cash and total debtNet cash of $771 million on $17.02 billion cash and $16.25 billion total debtStockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 1, 2026
Valuation check19.45x trailing PE, 21.58x forward PE, 2.17x sales, 19.20x free cash flow, 12.55x EV/EBITDA, 1.52% dividend yieldfinancial_rigor.py valuation verification and StockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Analyst consensusBuy with an average target of $71.27 across 23 analysts, low $51, median $72.50, and high $85StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratingsJuly 29, 2026
Analyst rating mix, July 202614 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, 4 Hold, 0 Sell, 1 Strong Sell out of 23 analystsStockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trendsJuly 29, 2026
Recent analyst target updatesBank of America $71 to $74, UBS $73 to $71, BMO $75, Susquehanna $70 to $72, J.P. Morgan $74, TD Cowen $77 to $78StockAnalysis.com forecast latest forecastsJuly 29, 2026
2026 and 2027 consensus estimatesFY2026 revenue estimate $29.09 billion with EPS $2.64, FY2027 revenue estimate $32.75 billion with EPS $3.18StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecastJuly 29, 2026
Short interest26.64 million shares short, 2.68% of shares outstanding, 2.79 days to coverStockAnalysis.com statistics short sellingAugust 1, 2026
Technical snapshot50-day SMA near $59.78, 200-day SMA near $56.52, 100-day SMA near $61.26, RSI near 58.6, 14-day ADX near 22Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshotsJuly 31, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This BKR AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available filings, earnings releases, quote snapshots, and third-party data as of the stated cutoff date. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, oilfield spending changes, Middle East developments, Chart integration news, market moves, or macro conditions.