Avery Dennison Corporation research snapshot
AVY AI stock analysis currently reads Avery Dennison Corporation as a high-quality materials science and digital identification company with durable label materials demand, a growing Intelligent Labels opportunity, disciplined capital returns, and cyclical exposure to apparel, retail, logistics, raw materials, and tariff pressure. The page uses scenario analysis, not a certain price prediction. At the July 8, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified close was $164.35 on July 7, market capitalization was about $12.57 billion, and the main question was whether organic growth, productivity, and RFID adoption can justify a valuation near 18.5x TTM earnings. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$164.35
Market cap
$12.57 billion
AI score
70 / 100
Rating
Quality materials and digital ID compounder, valuation still needs proof
Trend status
Recovering short-term trend inside a weaker medium-term range
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Avery Dennison sells labeling materials, functional materials, RFID inlays, tags, software, and branded information solutions across consumer goods, apparel, retail, logistics, food, pharma, and automotive end markets. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from global scale, converter and brand relationships, technical adhesive and materials know-how, RFID manufacturing depth, product qualification, and supply chain integration rather than a pure network effect. | Medium-high |
| Management | Deon Stander has been president and CEO since September 2023. Capital allocation has combined dividends, buybacks, restructuring, bolt-on M&A, and the 2026 Wiliot minority investment. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | 2025 reported sales were about $8.9 billion and TTM revenue reached about $9.01 billion. Q1 2026 net sales rose 7 percent, but organic growth was only 1.1 percent and Solutions Group sales declined. | High |
| Valuation | At $164.35, verified ratios were about 18.51x TTM EPS, 5.48x book value, 14.40x TTM free cash flow, and a 6.94 percent FCF yield. The base case offers moderate upside, not a large margin of safety. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The stock closed below its 200-day moving average but above its 50-day moving average, with RSI near neutral. A move through the recent resistance zone would matter more than one strong day. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are apparel and retail softness, label material deflation, raw material spread compression, tariff and FX pressure, leverage, acquisition execution, RFID adoption timing, and customer destocking. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for quote math, 2025 filings, Q1 2026 facts, and balance sheet data; medium for forward technical levels and scenario valuation because those require live market confirmation. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. Avery Dennison has durable franchise traits, but the current setup still needs stronger organic growth and proof that Solutions Group can recover margins. | Medium |
AVY AI stock forecast
The AVY AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $164.35 close instead of a single target. The bullish case needs better organic growth, RFID and Intelligent Labels adoption, and margin recovery; the bearish case becomes more likely if Solutions Group weakness, tariff cost, or raw material pressure offsets productivity.
$220 to $250
More likely if EPS compounds near a low double digit rate, Intelligent Labels growth accelerates, Wiliot-related sensor opportunities add credible revenue optionality, and AVY clears the $172 to $180 resistance zone with volume.
$175 to $190
More likely if AVY sustains mid single digit EPS growth, converts free cash flow, keeps net debt under control, and investors value the business near 16x to 18x normalized earnings.
$105 to $125
More likely if apparel and retail demand weakens, organic growth stalls, leverage limits buybacks, raw material or tariff costs squeeze margins, or the stock loses the $156 to $160 support zone.
AVY AI technical analysis
AVY AI technical analysis starts from the $164.35 close on July 7, 2026. StockAnalysis reported a 50-day moving average of $160.56, a 200-day moving average of $172.42, RSI of 55.33, and 20-day average volume of about 725,843 shares. Because this static page does not fetch request-time chart data, intraday levels should be confirmed in a live charting tool before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $164.35 | Latest verified close used for this page, reported for July 7, 2026. |
| Near support | $156 to $160.56 | Planning zone around recent price action and the reported 50-day moving average. Treat it as a risk zone, not a guaranteed floor. |
| Near resistance | $172.42 to $180 | The first level is the reported 200-day moving average. A sustained move above this zone would improve medium-term trend evidence. |
| 50-day moving average | $160.56 | Reported by StockAnalysis as of July 7, 2026. |
| 200-day moving average | $172.42 | AVY was still below this longer-term trend marker at the data cutoff. |
| Momentum | RSI 55.33 | Momentum was neutral to modestly positive, not overbought, at the cutoff. |
| Volume | 499,140 shares on July 7 | MarketWatch reported volume below the 50-day average, so breakout confirmation needs stronger participation. |
| Volatility | Beta 0.83 | Price volatility has been below the market average, but earnings and guidance can still move the stock sharply. |
| Invalidation | Close below $156 | A decisive close below the support zone would weaken the recovery setup and shift attention back to lower valuation support. |
AVY AI trading strategy
The AVY AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework. It is not personalized advice and should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, live chart data, and fresh earnings or filing checks.
Wait for AVY to reclaim the $172.42 to $180 resistance zone, then confirm the move with volume, Q2 earnings quality, organic growth above Q1 levels, and no deterioration in Solutions Group margin.
A failed reclaim of the 200-day moving average or a close back below the support zone should invalidate the setup.
If AVY tests the $156 to $160.56 support band without a thesis break, compare the price move with free cash flow, net debt, raw material spreads, apparel demand, and management guidance.
Do not average down without a maximum loss level and a fresh review of organic sales, customer inventory behavior, tariff exposure, and balance sheet leverage.
Track organic sales, Materials Group margin, Solutions Group recovery, Intelligent Labels growth, Wiliot execution, free cash flow conversion, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, buybacks, and dividend coverage.
Reduce confidence when price strength is not backed by better organic growth, margin recovery, or debt-adjusted capital return discipline.
Investment research summary
Avery Dennison is paid when brands, retailers, converters, logistics operators, and manufacturers need labels, adhesives, graphics, RFID tags, digital IDs, and product information systems that make goods identifiable and trackable.
The moat is practical and industrial: global scale, trusted product qualification, converter channels, adhesive and materials knowledge, RFID manufacturing depth, and embedded relationships with brands and retailers.
The thesis can fail if RFID adoption disappoints, apparel and retail stay soft, raw material deflation hurts price, tariffs and FX pressure margins, debt reduces flexibility, or Wiliot remains optionality rather than earnings power.
The key management test is balanced capital allocation: protect margins, fund high-value categories, keep leverage reasonable, return cash through dividends and buybacks, and avoid paying too much for growth optionality.
Labels and functional materials are mature but necessary. Digital identification, RFID, supply chain transparency, loss reduction, and sustainability create a long-term growth layer on top of cyclical base demand.
The verified three-scenario model produced about $249.50 in the bull case, $184.90 in the base case, and $108.70 in the bear case. At $164.35, the stock has base-case upside but not a deep value margin of safety.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| AVY price | $164.35 close on July 7, 2026 | StockAnalysis quote page | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $12.57 billion, verified as $164.35 x 76.490385 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 76.490385 million as of May 2, 2026 | SEC Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 8, 2026 |
| 2025 sales | About $8.9 billion, cross-validated against SEC 10-K and company release | Avery Dennison FY2025 results | July 8, 2026 |
| TTM revenue and net income | $9.01 billion revenue and $689.8 million net income | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 sales | $2.2985 billion, up 7.0 percent; organic sales up 1.1 percent | Avery Dennison Q1 2026 results | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segments | Materials Group sales $1.6493 billion; Solutions Group sales $649.2 million | Avery Dennison Q1 2026 results | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $301.7 million cash and $3.79 billion total debt | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| TTM free cash flow | $872.9 million, or $11.41 per share | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical markers | 50-day MA $160.56, 200-day MA $172.42, RSI 55.33 | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Wiliot investment | $75 million minority investment announced April 27, 2026 | Avery Dennison Wiliot investment release | July 8, 2026 |
| Management | Deon Stander, president and CEO since September 2023 | Avery Dennison leadership profile | July 8, 2026 |
This AVY AI stock analysis is an informational tool, not investment advice, tax advice, legal advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell Avery Dennison Corporation. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data at the stated cutoff and can be wrong. Always verify live market data, filings, and your own risk tolerance before making financial decisions.
