Bullish case
$100 to $120
More likely if upstream spending stabilizes, Weatherford beats Q3 and Q4 2026 estimates, free cash flow holds near recent levels, and the stock re-rates toward the analyst mean target of $117.33.
Weatherford International plc research snapshot
WFRD AI stock analysis reads Weatherford International as a profitable, smaller oilfield services and equipment company that emerged from Chapter 11 in December 2021 with a cleaner balance sheet and a focused technology portfolio. The company sells drilling, evaluation, well construction, completion, production, and intervention services and tools to oil and gas operators, competing with larger peers such as SLB, Halliburton, and Baker Hughes. At the August 3, 2026 reference price of $87.35, the market capitalization is about $6.26 billion. The AI rating is neutral-positive: the business generates real earnings, positive free cash flow, and now pays a dividend, but revenue fell roughly 8% over the trailing twelve months and the June 2026 quarter missed consensus estimates. This page is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$87.35
Market cap
About $6.26 billion based on 71.69 million shares
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
Profitable post-bankruptcy oilfield technology company with declining near-term revenue and a modest valuation
Trend status
Rebounding off mid-July lows, back above the 20-day average but still below the 50-day and 200-day averages
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Weatherford provides drilling, evaluation, well construction, completion, production, and intervention services and technologies to oil and gas operators worldwide. It is profitable with roughly 30% gross margin and about 19% EBITDA margin. | Medium |
| Moat | The moat is narrower than larger competitors. Weatherford has proprietary downhole tools, drilling technologies, and artificial lift systems, but its scale, global reach, and brand weight are smaller than SLB, Halliburton, and Baker Hughes. | Low-medium |
| Management | CEO Girish Saligram has led the post-bankruptcy restructuring, debt reduction, and operational focus. The company generates positive free cash flow, carries modest net debt, and started paying a dividend of $1.10 per share annually. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Reported revenue declined to about $1.105 billion in the June 2026 quarter from $1.232 billion a year earlier, and net income fell to $39 million. FY2025 revenue was $4.92 billion with $431 million in net income, down from FY2024 revenue of $5.51 billion. | Medium |
| Valuation | At $87.35, WFRD trades at about 17.2x trailing EPS of $5.07, 12.0x the 2027 EPS estimate of $7.27, 3.5x book value, and about 11.2x trailing free cash flow per share. The trailing free cash flow yield is near 8.9%. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The stock rebounded from about $77 in mid-July to $87.35. It is back above the 20-day average near $83.75 but remains below the 50-day average near $91.18 and the 200-day average near $89.74. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated. Key risks include oil and gas spending cycles, the recent revenue decline and earnings miss, competitive pressure from larger peers, customer concentration, and commodity price swings. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high for reported data from Yahoo Finance. Forward confidence is lower because revenue is contracting and analyst estimates have been revised down over the past month. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium-low. The valuation is reasonable on forward numbers and free cash flow, but near-term revenue is falling, the most recent quarter missed, and the oilfield cycle adds uncertainty. | Medium-low |
WFRD AI stock forecast
The WFRD AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges rather than a precise price target. At an August 3, 2026 reference price of $87.35, with 2026 consensus EPS near $5.56 and a 2027 consensus near $7.27, the three-year framework points to a bullish case near $100 to $120, a base case near $65 to $80, and a bearish case near $30 to $45. Analyst targets from Yahoo Finance average $117.33. These are scenarios, not guaranteed outcomes.
$100 to $120
More likely if upstream spending stabilizes, Weatherford beats Q3 and Q4 2026 estimates, free cash flow holds near recent levels, and the stock re-rates toward the analyst mean target of $117.33.
$65 to $80
More likely if revenue keeps declining at a mid-single-digit pace, margins hold near current levels, and the stock keeps a low-teens forward multiple consistent with mid-cap oilfield services.
$30 to $45
More likely if upstream budgets contract sharply, Weatherford posts more earnings misses like the June 2026 quarter, free cash flow falls, or the dividend is cut.
WFRD AI technical analysis
WFRD AI technical analysis uses the August 3, 2026 reference price of $87.35 from Yahoo Finance chart data. The stock rebounded off a mid-July low near $77 and is back above the 20-day average, but it remains below the 50-day and 200-day averages, so the recovery is not yet a confirmed uptrend. Investors should verify live technical data before making decisions.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $87.35 | Yahoo Finance chart data shows $87.35 as the regular close on August 3, 2026. |
| Near support | $83 to $84 | The 20-day average near $83.75 is the first support zone below the current quote. |
| Major support | $77 to $80 | The mid-July low near $77 is a key zone. A sustained close below it would signal renewed weakness. |
| Near resistance | $91 to $92 | The 50-day average near $91.18 is the first hurdle for the recovery. |
| Key resistance | $95 to $100 | The 100-day average near $95.70 and the round $100 level cap the prior supply zone. |
| Momentum | Improving but unconfirmed | Price strength off the July low is positive, but momentum stays neutral until the 50-day average is reclaimed. |
| Volume | Around 1.3 million shares average daily | Average daily volume of roughly 1.3 million shares is typical for a mid-cap energy name. |
| Volatility | Elevated for mid-cap energy | The 52-week range spans about $52.70 to $113.15, so percentage swings can be large. |
| Invalidation | Close below $77 | A sustained close below the $77 area would invalidate the rebound unless fresh fundamental evidence offsets it. |
WFRD AI trading strategy
The WFRD AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for research, not a personalized buy, sell, or hold recommendation. Traders should pair any setup with position sizing, stop logic, earnings dates, oilfield activity evidence, and news checks.
Wait for WFRD to reclaim the $91 to $92 area on above-average volume and then hold the 50-day average as support before treating momentum as confirmed.
A close back below the 20-day average near $83.75 or a failure at the $91 to $92 zone should invalidate the setup.
If WFRD pulls back toward the $83 to $84 support zone without a thesis break, compare the pullback with fresh earnings, margin, free cash flow, and upstream spending commentary.
Do not average down unless the maximum loss, position size, and news risk are defined before entry.
Track quarterly revenue growth, EBITDA margins, free cash flow conversion, dividend coverage, competitive win rates against larger peers, and management guidance changes.
Lower confidence if the stock rallies on recovery optimism while reports still show contracting revenue and widening earnings misses.
Investment research summary
Weatherford is paid to provide drilling, evaluation, well construction, completion, production, and intervention technologies and services to oil and gas operators. Customers pay because uptime, well performance, and reservoir knowledge affect well economics.
Weatherford has proprietary downhole tools, drilling technologies, and artificial lift systems in several oilfield niches, but its moat is narrower than the largest competitors. The company lacks the same scale, global reach, and brand weight as SLB, Halliburton, or Baker Hughes.
The thesis fails if upstream budgets keep falling and revenue keeps contracting, if Weatherford repeats the June 2026 earnings miss, if free cash flow weakens enough to pressure the dividend, or if pricing competition from larger peers forces margin compression. The 2021 Chapter 11 filing is a reminder the business can fail at scale.
Girish Saligram became CEO in 2022, leading the company through its post-bankruptcy phase. Management has reduced debt, focused the portfolio, generated positive free cash flow, and initiated a $1.10 annual dividend. The open question is whether the team can stabilize revenue against a contracting upstream cycle.
Oilfield services and equipment spending are tied to global upstream energy investment. Long-term demand is supported by energy security and maturing fields, but the industry is cyclical and current revenue is already contracting. Energy transition policy is a structural long-term headwind.
At about $87.35, WFRD trades at roughly 17.2x trailing EPS, 12.0x the 2027 EPS estimate, and 11.2x trailing free cash flow per share, with a free cash flow yield near 8.9%. The valuation is reasonable on forward numbers, but the base case scenario still points to downside if revenue keeps falling.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reference price | $87.35 | Yahoo Finance chart API | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $6.26 billion, calculated as $87.35 x 71.69 million shares | financial_rigor.py calculation | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | Approximately 71.69 million | Yahoo Finance quote API | August 3, 2026 |
| Sector and industry | Energy, Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Yahoo Finance asset profile | August 3, 2026 |
| Trailing EPS | $5.07 | Yahoo Finance quote API | August 3, 2026 |
| Forward EPS estimate | $7.27 for calendar 2027 | Yahoo Finance earnings trend | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | PE 17.2x trailing, 12.0x forward, PB 3.5x, P/FCF 11.2x, FCF yield 8.9%, dividend yield 1.3% | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 results | Revenue $4.92 billion, net income $431 million | Yahoo Finance income statement history | August 3, 2026 |
| June 2026 quarter | Revenue $1.105 billion, net income $39 million, EPS $0.61 vs $0.90 consensus (miss) | Yahoo Finance income statement history and earnings history | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy rating, mean target $117.33, high $151, low $93 (12 analysts) | Yahoo Finance recommendation trend | August 3, 2026 |
| Competitor peer prices | SLB $49.53, HAL $31.85, BKR $60.21 | Yahoo Finance chart API | August 3, 2026 |
| Post-bankruptcy emergence | December 2021 (Chapter 11, old ticker: WFT) | Public company history | August 3, 2026 |
This WFRD AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Data points are sourced from Yahoo Finance as of August 3, 2026 and may not reflect the most recent filings. Forecast scenarios are based on available data and can be wrong if earnings, oilfield spending, valuation multiples, or market conditions change.
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