Teledyne Technologies Incorporated research snapshot

TDY AI Stock Analysis

TDY AI stock analysis reads Teledyne Technologies as a high-quality industrial technology and defense electronics company with durable niches in digital imaging, infrared systems, marine instrumentation, aerospace electronics, and engineered systems. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, TDY traded near $655.57 with a verified market cap near $30.39 billion, a trailing PE near 31.72x, and free cash flow yield near 3.76%. The TDY AI stock forecast is positive on business quality after a record second quarter and a raised 2026 outlook, but scenario-based on price because the stock trades well above its historical valuation range.

Current price

$655.57

Market cap

$30.39 billion verified market cap

AI score

71 / 100

Rating

High-quality imaging, instrumentation, and defense electronics compounder with record second-quarter momentum and valuation discipline required after the rally

Trend status

Uptrend re-energized after record Q2 results, trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages near the 52-week high

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Teledyne has long public-company history, SEC filings, audited annual reports, the Q2 2026 earnings release and 10-Q, StockAnalysis market data, analyst forecasts, and broad institutional coverage.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is over-weighting the attractive defense, space, infrared, and sensor narrative while under-weighting acquisition integration, government budget timing, commercial instrumentation cyclicality, and the high valuation multiple that now prices in durable growth.
ai Confidence
High for Q2 2026 and H1 2026 sales, EPS, free cash flow, FY2026 guidance, share count, market cap math, and major valuation ratios. Medium for technical ranges and forward scenarios because price, order timing, defense funding, and acquisition execution can change quickly.
investment Certainty
Medium. Teledyne is a stronger business than the average cyclical industrial and its second-quarter momentum is real, but investment certainty is lower than data confidence because the current price already reflects record results and a premium multiple.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityTeledyne sells specialized sensors, imaging systems, instrumentation, aerospace and defense electronics, marine systems, and engineered products where reliability matters more than lowest price.High
MoatThe moat comes from niche engineering depth, installed systems, customer qualification, defense and space program positions, switching costs, and a long acquisition integration record.High
ManagementGeorge C. Bobb III is CEO while Robert Mehrabian remains executive chairman. Raising 2026 guidance after a record quarter supports confidence in execution and capital allocation.Medium-high
Financial trendQ2 2026 net sales rose 9.8% to a record $1.6625 billion, GAAP EPS was $5.37, non-GAAP EPS was $6.28, and full year 2026 non-GAAP EPS guidance was raised to $24.45 to $24.65.High
ValuationAt $655.57, TDY screens at about 31.72x TTM EPS, 26.61x free cash flow per share, 2.78x book value, and 4.77x sales, above its historical valuation range.High
Technical trendThe stock trades above its 50-day moving average near $630.05 and 200-day moving average near $598.76, about 5.5% below the $693.38 52-week high.Medium
Risk levelRisks include government budget timing, export restrictions, acquisition integration, tariff and supply-chain pressure, commercial instrumentation demand, and multiple compression after the rally.Medium-high
AI confidenceDescriptive confidence is high because company filings and market data agree. Forecast confidence is lower because defense orders and valuation multiples are unstable.High data confidence
Investment certaintyTDY is a quality compounder candidate with record momentum, but the current price leaves only moderate margin of safety unless earnings keep compounding near the raised outlook.Medium

TDY AI stock forecast

TDY AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The TDY AI stock forecast uses the $655.57 price reference, TTM EPS near $20.67, and a three-year scenario model. The audited model produced a bearish area near $452, a base area near $677, and a bullish area near $871 before any future capital returns. The range is wide because Teledyne pairs high business quality with a valuation that already assumes durable growth and a forward PE near 30x.

Bullish case

$860 to $920

More likely if defense electronics, space infrared, unmanned systems, marine instrumentation, and digital imaging keep growing while acquisitions add earnings without balance-sheet strain and management confirms guidance strength in Q3.

Base case

$660 to $710

More likely if EPS compounds in the high-single-digit to low-double-digit range and the market holds TDY near a high-20s earnings multiple as the Q2 strength normalizes.

Bearish case

$440 to $480

More likely if government awards slow, commercial instrumentation weakens, acquisition synergies disappoint, tariffs or export rules pressure margins, or the market re-rates TDY toward a low-20s multiple after the rally.

TDY AI technical analysis

TDY AI Technical Analysis

TDY AI technical analysis is constructive as of the August 2, 2026 cutoff. StockAnalysis showed a July 31, 2026 close of $655.57, a 50-day moving average near $630.05, a 200-day moving average near $598.76, RSI near 57.58, and 20-day average volume near 425,162 shares. The stock sits about 5.5% below its $693.38 52-week high after a strong post-earnings move.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$655.57Market-data reference used for valuation and market-cap checks at the August 2, 2026 data cutoff.
Immediate support$625 to $635This zone brackets the 50-day moving average reference near $630.05 and the late-July pullback lows.
Deeper support$598 to $610This area overlaps the 200-day moving average reference near $598.76 and the early-June lows near $600.
Near resistance$670 to $695July peaks near $672 to $674 come first, then the 52-week high near $693.38 would be the next test.
Moving averages50-day near $630.05, 200-day near $598.76Price remains above both references, which supports the trend but leaves the setup sensitive to failed breakouts.
MomentumRSI near 57.58Momentum is positive but not extreme, so the next directional signal depends on whether price holds above the 50-day area.
Volume20-day average near 425,162 sharesVolume jumped to about 1.13 million shares on the July 22 earnings day, confirming institutional participation in the move.
VolatilityWatch Q3 earnings, defense order language, and acquisition updatesThe next earnings update can reset revenue expectations, margin guidance, and investor appetite for the premium multiple.
InvalidationClose below $625, then below $598A close below the 50-day area weakens the short-term setup. A break below the 200-day area would challenge the broader trend framework.

TDY AI trading strategy

TDY AI Trading Strategy Framework

The TDY AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. It connects price behavior with defense electronics demand, digital imaging recovery, marine instrumentation, acquisition execution, free cash flow, and valuation discipline after the record second quarter.

Trend-following setup

Watch for TDY to hold above the $625 to $635 support area and then reclaim the $670 to $695 resistance band while Q3 results confirm order quality, margin stability, and guidance strength.

A failed reclaim followed by a close below $625 should reduce trend confidence, especially if management commentary points to weaker defense awards, commercial demand, or acquisition integration issues.

Mean-reversion setup

If TDY pulls back toward the $598 to $610 zone without damage to free cash flow, funded backlog, or program demand, compare the lower price with the company quality and base-case valuation range.

Do not treat a lower price as automatically attractive if earnings revisions fall, debt reduction stalls, or the market stops rewarding the premium multiple.

Fundamental monitor

Track Digital Imaging growth, Aerospace and Defense Electronics orders, Instrumentation demand, funded backlog, free cash flow conversion, debt reduction, acquisition returns, export controls, and 2026 EPS guidance delivery.

Position sizing should reflect that TDY is a specialized industrial technology company with defense exposure, not a guaranteed AI or defense growth trade.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay Teledyne because defense, space, marine, industrial, environmental, and scientific systems need accurate sensing, imaging, measurement, and electronics that work in demanding conditions.

Moat

The moat is strongest in specialized engineering, customer qualification, product reliability, embedded program positions, installed equipment, software and data workflows, and Teledyne FLIR brand assets. It is weaker where products face shorter-cycle industrial demand.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if defense and space orders slow, acquisition integration reduces returns, export controls limit addressable markets, commercial instrumentation remains soft, or investors stop paying a premium multiple for steady niche growth after the recent rally.

Management

The transition to George C. Bobb III as CEO keeps Teledyne inside an experienced executive bench, while Robert Mehrabian remains executive chairman. The key test is whether management keeps acquisition discipline, converts high-margin niches into cash, and delivers the raised 2026 outlook.

Industry trend

Teledyne benefits from defense modernization, counter-unmanned systems, infrared sensing, space-based detection, unmanned systems, ocean and environmental monitoring, and industrial automation. The offset is exposure to government timing, commercial capex, and regulated export markets.

Valuation and margin of safety

At $655.57, the market is paying for quality, record momentum, and continued order strength. Margin of safety is thinner after the rally and improves if the stock resets toward the base-case range or if EPS growth proves strong enough to justify the premium multiple.

Source-backed data

TDY Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
TDY quote reference$655.57 close on July 31, 2026StockAnalysis TDY overview pageAugust 2, 2026
Market capitalization verification$30.39 billion reported and $30.39 billion calculated from $655.57 x 46.36 million sharesPineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis TDY statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Shares outstanding46.36 million shares outstandingStockAnalysis TDY statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Q2 2026 sales and earnings$1,662.5 million net sales, $251.7 million net income, $5.37 GAAP EPS, and $6.28 non-GAAP EPSTeledyne Q2 2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
H1 2026 sales and earnings$3,222.6 million net sales, $478.5 million net income, $10.20 GAAP EPS, and $12.06 non-GAAP EPSTeledyne Q2 2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
FY2026 guidanceGAAP diluted EPS of $20.73 to $20.99 and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $24.45 to $24.65, both raisedTeledyne Q2 2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
TTM revenue, net income, and EPS$6.37 billion revenue, $974.8 million net income, and $20.67 EPSStockAnalysis TDY statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Free cash flow$1.14 billion TTM free cash flow, $24.64 FCF per share, and Q2 2026 free cash flow of $284.7 millionStockAnalysis TDY statistics and Teledyne Q2 2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
Cash, debt, and net debt$340.1 million cash, $2.027 billion total debt, and $1.687 billion net debt as of June 28, 2026Teledyne Q2 2026 earnings release and Q2 2026 10-QAugust 2, 2026
Funded backlogApproximately $5.0 billion funded backlog at quarter endTeledyne Q2 2026 earnings releaseAugust 2, 2026
Valuation ratios31.72x PE, 30.36x forward PE, 4.77x sales, 2.78x book, and 26.61x free cash flowStockAnalysis TDY statistics and Pineify financial_rigor.py verificationAugust 2, 2026
Technical indicators50-day moving average $630.05, 200-day moving average $598.76, RSI 57.58, and 20-day average volume 425,162 sharesStockAnalysis TDY statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Analyst forecast12 analysts, consensus Buy, average target $753.50, and target range $640 to $877StockAnalysis TDY forecast pageAugust 2, 2026
Management and leadershipGeorge C. Bobb III is President, CEO and Director, while Dr. Robert Mehrabian is Executive ChairmanStockAnalysis TDY company profileAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This TDY AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell Teledyne Technologies securities. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 2, 2026 and can be wrong if fundamentals, valuation, technical conditions, or market liquidity change.