SunocoCorp LLC research snapshot
SUNC AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads SunocoCorp LLC as the C-Corp that owns a limited partner interest in Sunoco LP and consolidates the same fuel distribution, pipeline, terminal, and refinery business, offering 1099 tax reporting instead of an MLP Schedule K-1. SUNC closed at $75.91 on August 3, 2026, with a market capitalization near $3.91 billion, re-verified during this full refresh as $75.91 times 51.52 million shares, matching the StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics pages. The quarterly distribution was raised to $1.0023 per common unit on July 27, 2026, or $4.0092 annualized, after the 6.25% increase to $0.9899 in April, and the Q2 2026 report is due before the market opens on August 4, 2026 and had not been released at the data cutoff. Offsetting the momentum is a forward valuation near 9.5x the 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $7.98, total debt of $13.920 billion as reported at March 31, 2026, an enterprise value near $18.61 billion, and a negative TTM GAAP EPS of $1.99 that reflects the C-Corp attribution structure. This is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$75.91
Market cap
$3.91 billion
AI score
67 / 100
Rating
High-yield C-Corp consolidating Sunoco fuel distribution and infrastructure cash flow
Trend status
Uptrend above the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages, near the $77.57 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | SunocoCorp consolidates Sunoco fuel distribution and midstream infrastructure across 32 countries and territories, with TTM revenue near $30.71 billion and Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $858 million. | Medium-high |
| Moat | Scale, branded supply relationships, long-term dealer contracts, terminals, pipelines, and operating density create switching friction, but the underlying products remain largely commodity-linked. | Medium |
| Management | Joseph Kim has led the general partner since 2018, closed the NuStar, Parkland, and TanQuid acquisitions, and raised the distribution twice in 2026, while Energy Transfer controls the general partner and creates sponsor conflict risk. | Medium |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue rose to $30.71 billion and Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA rose to $858 million, but the growth is acquisition-driven, the quarter included a $102 million one-time inventory gain and a $444 million favorable inventory valuation adjustment, and TTM GAAP EPS is negative while the 2026 adjusted consensus is $7.98. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | The August 3 close was about 9.5x the 2026 adjusted EPS consensus, 4.80x trailing free cash flow, 1.51x book value, and 5.22% to 5.28% on the annualized distribution, so the shares are priced for continued execution rather than for a deep discount. | Medium |
| Technical trend | Price closed at $75.91 above its 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages with 14-day RSI near 65.9 and 14-day ADX near 36.2 confirming an uptrend toward the $77.57 52-week high. | Medium |
| Risk level | High monitoring priority because total debt was $13.920 billion as reported at March 31, 2026, leverage was about 4.0x, and fuel demand, commodity volatility, rates, regulation, weather, and sponsor conflicts can affect distributions. | High |
| AI confidence | Reported financials and ownership are well sourced and cross-validated. Forecast confidence is lower because the GAAP versus adjusted divergence, 2026 guidance, fuel margins, and integration results are still in motion. | Medium-high |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. SUNC can fit an income and infrastructure research screen, but the page does not establish personal suitability or distribution safety, and the valuation is fuller than it was in mid-2025. | Medium-low |
SUNC AI stock forecast
The SUNC AI stock forecast uses a three-year mechanical EPS and multiple framework combined with the analyst target band, not a point-price promise. Using forward adjusted EPS of $7.98, annual growth assumptions of 4%, 1.5%, and negative 8%, and target multiples of 11x, 10x, and 7x, the model produces central values of about $98.7, $81.8, and $43.5 before scenario ranges. The ranges below are widened toward the analyst target band of $73 to $87 because SUNC pays a 5% plus distribution and generates real free cash flow, so income support narrows the downside relative to the mechanical model. The inputs are sensitive to Parkland and TanQuid integration, fuel margins, interest expense, the C-Corp consolidation structure, distribution coverage, and leverage.
$92 to $105
More likely if Parkland and TanQuid integration delivers the promised 10% plus accretion and a $250 million plus synergy run rate, fuel margins hold, distributions keep growing 5% or more, leverage stays near the 4.0x target, and shares close above the $77.57 high with volume.
$76 to $88
More likely if 2026 guidance of $3.1 billion to $3.3 billion adjusted EBITDA is delivered, the C-Corp attracts a broader institutional base, distributions grow, interest costs and fuel margins stay broadly stable, and the market holds the current multiple near a 5.2% to 5.3% yield.
$54 to $66
More likely if fuel demand weakens, the favorable inventory and commodity effects reverse, integration synergies disappoint, refinancing becomes more expensive, leverage stays high, or a sustained break below support changes the income view.
SUNC AI technical analysis
SUNC AI technical analysis is constructive but extended as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff. The stock closed at $75.91 on August 3, 2026, above its 5-day average of about $76.12 and the rising 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages, with 14-day RSI near 65.9 and 14-day ADX near 36.2 confirming an uptrend. The 52-week high of $77.57 was set intraday on July 29, 2026, and this static page does not fetch request-time charts, so levels should be re-confirmed with a live feed before any trade. SUNC is a relatively new C-Corp listing, so the 200-day moving average and a full 52-week trading history are not yet published.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $75.91 | StockAnalysis.com quote at the August 3, 2026 close, with an after-hours print of $75.91; market cap math uses 51.52 million shares. |
| 5-day moving average | $76.12 | Barchart reported the 5-day average near $76.12 on August 3, 2026, just above the close, meaning near-term momentum stayed firm into early August. |
| Near support | $73.50 to $74.50 | The 20-day moving average near $73.84 on August 3 is the first pullback support zone. |
| Next support | $69.00 to $71.00 | The 50-day moving average near $69.42 and the early July breakout zone form the next support area. |
| Major support | $66.00 to $67.50 | The 100-day moving average near $66.60 marks the longest published trend line; a move toward this zone would signal a much weaker setup. |
| Near resistance | $77.57 to $80.00 | The 52-week high was $77.57 on July 29, 2026, with the $80 round number as the next psychological level. |
| 50-day moving average | $69.42 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 50-day moving average near $69.42 on August 3, 2026. |
| 100-day moving average | $66.60 | Barchart reported the 100-day trend line near $66.60 on August 3, 2026. |
| 200-day moving average | Not available | SUNC is a newer C-Corp listing without a published 200-day moving average yet; use the 100-day line and a live chart for the longer trend. |
| Momentum | RSI near 66, ADX near 36 | 14-day RSI near 65.86 is strong but not overbought, and 14-day ADX near 36.22 with +DI near 25.7 against -DI near 10.7 confirms a bullish trend rather than a range. |
| Volume | About 408,000 to 436,000 average shares | 20-day average volume near 435,795 on Barchart and 407,630 on StockAnalysis, with a 1,614,511-share spike on July 29; compare future breakout volume with this average before drawing a signal. |
| Volatility | ATR near $1.77, HV near 17% | 14-day ATR near $1.77 or about 2.33% of price, with 14-day historical volatility near 17.15%, so position sizing should allow for swings around earnings on August 4. |
| Invalidation | Close below $73.84 | A sustained close below the 20-day moving average near $73.84 would weaken the near-term uptrend; a close below the 50-day near $69.42 would signal a deeper correction. |
SUNC AI trading strategy
The SUNC AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for a C-Corp that consolidates a growing fuel distribution and infrastructure business with material leverage. It is not personalized advice. Pair every setup with position sizing, a maximum loss rule, current filings, distribution coverage, and a review of the C-Corp structure and its tax treatment, especially after the Q2 2026 report on August 4, 2026.
Wait for a close above the $77.57 to $80.00 resistance zone with volume above the roughly 436,000-share 20-day average and no deterioration in distribution coverage or leverage commentary.
A failed breakout followed by a close below the $73.84 support zone invalidates the near-term setup, and a close below the 50-day near $69.42 calls for a broader review.
If SUNC pulls back toward $69.00 to $71.00, compare the price move with the Q2 2026 results, fuel margins, acquisition integration, debt balances, and distribution coverage before acting.
Do not average down solely because the yield rises. Recheck whether the decline reflects a temporary chart move or a permanent cash-flow problem, and keep a defined loss limit.
Track distributable cash flow as adjusted, coverage near 1.9x, the $1.0023 quarterly distribution, maintenance and growth capital, interest expense, total debt, leverage near 4.0x, and Parkland and TanQuid performance.
Treat the distribution as variable. Reduce confidence if coverage falls toward 1.0x, leverage rises above target, refinancing costs increase, or cash distributions are no longer comfortably supported by operating cash flow.
Investment research summary
SunocoCorp consolidates Sunoco fuel distribution and midstream infrastructure, moving more than 15 billion gallons annually through over 14,000 pipeline miles and more than 160 terminals to about 11,000 branded and partner locations, plus a small refinery, across 32 countries and territories.
The practical moat comes from route density, storage and pipeline assets, branded supply relationships, long-term dealer agreements, and the cost and disruption of moving a fuel supplier. Commodity products limit pricing power.
The thesis can fail through weaker fuel demand, electric vehicle adoption, a reversal of the favorable inventory and commodity effects, margin compression, expensive refinancing, operational incidents, regulatory costs, failed integrations, a rising leverage ratio, or a distribution cut.
CEO Joseph Kim has led the general partner since 2018, closed the NuStar, Parkland, and TanQuid acquisitions, and raised the distribution twice in 2026, targeting at least 5% multi-year distribution growth, while Energy Transfer owns the general partner and creates sponsor conflict risk.
Fuel distribution and midstream infrastructure remain supported by transport demand, storage needs, and consolidation. The countertrend is a gradual shift toward efficiency, alternative fuels, and lower-carbon energy.
Revenue rose from $22.693 billion in 2024 to $25.201 billion in 2025 and near $30.71 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis, mostly from acquisitions. Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA rose to $858 million, but the quarter included a $102 million one-time inventory gain and a $444 million favorable inventory valuation adjustment, and TTM GAAP EPS of negative $1.99 reflects C-Corp income attribution, while the 2026 adjusted EPS consensus is $7.98.
At $75.91, SUNC trades near 9.5x to 10.3x forward adjusted earnings, 1.51x book value, 4.80x trailing free cash flow, and a 5.22% to 5.28% distribution yield, with a mechanical three-year model central value near $81.8 against the current price. The margin of safety is thinner after a roughly 54% year-to-date gain and near the 52-week high.
A five-year owner must be comfortable with the C-Corp structure, variable distributions, about 4.0x leverage, Energy Transfer sponsor control, 1099 tax reporting, and acquisition integration risk. The page supports a watchlist or research process, not an automatic buy decision.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUNC price | $75.91 at the August 3, 2026 close, with an after-hours print of $75.91 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization and shares | $3.91 billion, computed as $75.91 x 51.52 million shares, with a 0.02% calculation variance | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics, verified with financial_rigor.py | August 3, 2026 |
| 52-week range and price change | $47.00 to $77.57 with a year-to-date gain of about 54% | StockAnalysis.com quote and price history | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM and FY2025 revenue | TTM revenue of $30.71 billion, up 11.1%, from $25.201 billion in FY2025 and $22.693 billion in FY2024 | StockAnalysis.com financials and SEC EDGAR | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM earnings | TTM net income of negative $102 million and TTM GAAP EPS of negative $1.99, versus a 2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $7.98 | StockAnalysis.com statistics and forecast | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 operating results | $10.690 billion revenue, $605 million consolidated net income, $110 million net income attributable to members, $2.14 per common unit, and $858 million adjusted EBITDA | Sunoco Q1 2026 earnings release and Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment adjusted EBITDA | Fuel Distribution $529 million, Pipeline Systems $179 million, Terminals $107 million, and Refinery $43 million | Sunoco Q1 2026 earnings release | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $718 million cash and $13.920 billion net long-term debt as reported at March 31, 2026, with the StockAnalysis standardized balance sheet showing $15.42 billion total debt including operating leases | Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com balance sheet | August 3, 2026 |
| Leverage and liquidity | Net debt to adjusted EBITDA near 4.0x under the credit facility definition and about $2.2 billion available on the revolving credit facility at March 31, 2026 | Sunoco Q1 2026 earnings release and call | August 3, 2026 |
| Distribution | $1.0023 per common unit for Q2 2026 announced July 27, 2026, or $4.0092 annualized, after $0.9899 for Q1 2026; StockAnalysis lists a $3.96 annual dividend and a 5.22% yield on the prior basis | Sunoco July 27, 2026 distribution announcement and StockAnalysis.com dividends | August 3, 2026 |
| Distribution coverage | Trailing twelve-month coverage ratio near 1.9x and a multi-year distribution growth target of at least 5% | Sunoco Q1 2026 earnings call | August 3, 2026 |
| TanQuid and Parkland integration | TanQuid closed in January 2026, making Sunoco Germany largest independent terminal operator, with Parkland integration on track for 10% plus accretion and a $250 million plus synergy run-rate floor | Sunoco Q1 2026 earnings release and call | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation check | Forward PE near 9.5x on the $7.98 2026 adjusted EPS consensus, PS 0.13x, PB 1.51x, P/FCF 4.80x, and a 5.22% to 5.28% distribution yield at $75.91; the statistics page also lists a 10.32 forward PE and a 51.06 EV/EBITDA on its own TTM EBITDA basis | StockAnalysis.com statistics and financial_rigor.py arithmetic | August 3, 2026 |
| Forward estimates | 2026 consensus revenue of $44.0 billion, up 74.6%, and 2026 adjusted EPS of $7.98, up from $5.02 in 2025, with 2027 EPS of $6.86 and a 2026 dividend forecast of $4.01 per share | StockAnalysis.com forecast | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy across 4 analysts with an average target of $80.25, a median of $80.50, and a range of $73 to $87 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | August 3, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Mizuho initiated at $83 on July 29, Barclays raised to $78 on July 14, Citi holds at $73, and Raymond James raised to $80 on May 7 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | August 3, 2026 |
| Operating footprint | More than 14,000 pipeline miles, over 160 terminals, more than 15 billion gallons distributed annually, and approximately 11,000 branded or partner locations across 32 countries and territories | Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com profile | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day SMA near $76.12, 20-day SMA near $73.84, 50-day SMA near $69.42, 100-day SMA near $66.60, 14-day RSI near 65.86, 14-day ADX near 36.22, and 14-day ATR near $1.77 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshots | August 3, 2026 |
This SUNC AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice and is not a recommendation or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff, may be incomplete, and can be wrong if new filings, market prices, company events, tax rules, or macro conditions change. SunocoCorp LLC is a C-Corp that owns a limited partner interest in Sunoco LP and consolidates the partnership results, so prospective shareholders should review the applicable tax treatment, distribution, and leverage risks, and the Q2 2026 results due August 4, 2026 were not yet released at the data cutoff.
Design trading strategies visually with 10+ indicators. Set entry/exit conditions and risk management, then generate Pine Script code with no coding required.
Filter and discover stocks based on market cap, dividend yield, P/E ratio, sector, and more. Screen thousands of stocks with real-time data.
Smart AI-driven stock selection with fundamental screening, analyst estimates, and key metrics. Filter by P/E, market cap, dividends, and more.
