Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. research snapshot
SEI AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads Solaris Energy Infrastructure as a fast-growing modular power company for data centers that is now in a sharp technical correction. The stock closed at $51.41 on July 31, 2026, with an after-hours print of $51.56 and a market capitalization near $3.93 billion, re-verified during this full refresh as $51.41 times 76.42 million shares outstanding. The Q1 2026 report, released April 27, 2026, showed revenue of $196 million up 55% year over year, consolidated net income of $32 million, adjusted EBITDA of about $84 million up 22% sequentially, and a raised second quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $83 million to $93 million. The data center power backlog is the core story: roughly 3,100 MW of pro forma generation capacity, a Stateline joint venture of about 900 MW, and three long-term contracts with investment-grade global technology customers totaling more than 2 GW of contracted generation capacity. The stock nearly tripled from a $24.57 52-week low to an $86.19 high in June 2026, then fell about 40% from the mid-July high to a $43.42 intraday low on July 29 before a +18% rebound to $51.41 by July 31. The valuation is still rich at about 59.5x trailing earnings and 44x forward earnings, free cash flow is deeply negative because of growth capex, shares outstanding have risen sharply, and short interest is elevated near 19.9% of shares outstanding. This page is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$51.41
Market cap
$3.93 billion
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
High-growth data center power transition with execution, dilution, and volatility risk
Trend status
Sharp correction below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages after peaking near $86.19 in June 2026
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Solaris provides modular and scalable power generation, control, and distribution equipment for data centers, energy, and industrial customers, plus logistics equipment and last-mile services for oil and gas well completion, with TTM revenue near $692 million. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat is moderate and developing. Scale in modular power solutions, long-term contracts with investment-grade technology customers, customer relationships, and specialized equipment design create switching costs, but large competitors in power generation and oilfield services have deeper resources. | Medium |
| Management | Co-CEOs Bill Zartler and Amanda Brock have executed a fast pivot from oilfield services to data center power through the Stateline joint venture, the Genco acquisition in March 2026, and the GESA acquisition closed July 1, 2026, while raising full-year guidance. Capital allocation and dilution control are the key open questions. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 revenue of $196 million grew 55% year over year with adjusted EBITDA of about $84 million, and second quarter guidance was raised to $83 million to $93 million. TTM net income of about $44.5 million is modest relative to the $3.93 billion market cap, and free cash flow of about -$583 million reflects aggressive growth capex. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | The stock traded at about 59.5x trailing earnings, 44x forward earnings, 5.7x sales, and 20.6x EV/EBITDA at the cutoff. The premium multiple reflects the data center power thesis and requires sustained high growth and successful execution to justify. | Low-medium |
| Technical trend | SEI closed at $51.41 on July 31, 2026, below its 5-day average near $49.20 but also below the 20-day near $60.68, the 50-day near $68.97, the 100-day near $67.27, and the 200-day near $58.82, after a sharp correction from the $86.19 high, with 14-day RSI near 37.8 and historic volatility above 100%. | Medium |
| Risk level | High. Risks include data center power contract execution, Genco and GESA integration, heavy share dilution, negative free cash flow, about $1.62 billion in total debt, high short interest, extreme volatility, oilfield logistics cyclicality, and a premium valuation that leaves little room for disappointment. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive facts and cross-checked math that matched across StockAnalysis.com, SEC EDGAR XBRL, the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q, and the Q1 2026 earnings release. Lower for forward return estimates because contract ramp, share count, financing, and multiple assumptions are uncertain. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low-medium. The data center power thesis is real and contracted, but the current price embeds aggressive expectations, and the drawdown and extreme volatility show how quickly sentiment can change. The page gives a research framework, not a buy or sell instruction. | Low-medium |
SEI AI stock forecast
The SEI AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the July 31, 2026 close of $51.41 and the FY2026 consensus adjusted EPS estimate of $1.15. The three-scenario framework produced a bearish area near $20, a base area near $56, and a bullish area near $110 over three years using EPS growth of 5%, 25%, and 40% and exit multiples of 15x, 25x, and 35x. These are scenarios, not price commitments.
$95 to $115
More likely if Solaris scales power solutions revenue and contracted MW faster than expected, Genco and GESA integrations deliver margins, additional long-term contracts are signed, free cash flow turns toward breakeven, dilution slows, and the market keeps a 30x to 35x forward multiple.
$50 to $65
More likely if Solaris grows adjusted EPS at a mid-20s annual rate, the power solutions segment compounds with the existing 3,100 MW pro forma capacity, oilfield logistics stabilizes, and the multiple stays near 20x to 25x forward earnings as dilution offsets some growth.
$18 to $28
More likely if data center contract deployments slip, Genco or GESA integration disappoints, financing needs force more equity dilution, negative free cash flow persists, oilfield logistics declines, or the multiple compresses below 15x as the premium growth story is challenged.
SEI AI technical analysis
SEI AI technical analysis is based on the July 31, 2026 close of $51.41 used for this August 3, 2026 static page. The stock peaked near $86.19 in June 2026, corrected about 40% into a $43.42 low on July 29, and rebounded about 18% to $51.41 by July 31. Price is still below the 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, so the primary trend is down until that structure repairs. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm levels on a live chart before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $51.41 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the July 31, 2026 close; market cap math uses 76.42 million shares outstanding. |
| 5-day moving average | $49.20 | Barchart reported the 5-day moving average near $49.20, below the July 31 close, which shows the late-July rebound is starting to turn the very short term. |
| Near support | $43 to $47 | The $43.42 intraday low from July 29 and the $47 zone are the first support area. A hold here would keep the rebound intact ahead of the August 5 earnings report. |
| Next support | $38 to $40 | If the rebound fails and price breaks below $43, the next technical support is the $38 to $40 area, which would signal a deeper correction toward the round $40 level. |
| 20-day moving average | $60.68 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 20-day moving average near $60.68, which is the first overhead resistance and the level that would need to be reclaimed to repair the trend. |
| 50-day moving average | $68.97 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 50-day moving average near $68.97, well above price and a key resistance zone on any recovery attempt. |
| 100-day moving average | $67.27 | Barchart reported the 100-day moving average near $67.27, which groups with the 50-day to form heavy overhead supply. |
| 200-day moving average | $58.82 | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com both reported the 200-day trend line near $58.82, below price but still above it on a closing basis, confirming the medium-term trend has turned down. |
| Momentum | RSI near 38, ADX near 27 | 14-day RSI was near 37.77 on Barchart and StockAnalysis.com, weak but near oversold after the drawdown, and 14-day ADX near 26.87 with negative directional movement above positive, confirming a downtrend. |
| Volume | About 3.8 million average shares | Barchart listed 20-day average volume near 3.81 million shares and StockAnalysis.com near 3.79 million. The July 30 rebound traded about 5.9 million shares, above average, which supports the bounce. |
| Volatility | Extremely elevated | Barchart reported 14-day historic volatility near 114% and 20-day near 102%, among the highest readings on the stock, so position sizing must account for daily swings of 10% or more. |
| Invalidation | Close below $43 | A decisive close below the $43.42 low would resume the downtrend and invalidate the rebound. A close above the 20-day moving average near $60.68 would be the first sign the correction is over. |
SEI AI trading strategy
The SEI AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for a high-growth, high-volatility data center power stock that has already corrected sharply in 2026. It is not personalized advice. Confirm live price, volume, moving averages, share count, financing news, and position-sizing rules before acting.
For SEI to re-establish an uptrend, price needs to close back above the 20-day moving average near $60.68 on above-average volume and then reclaim the $65 to $69 zone around the 50-day and 100-day averages before treating the correction as over. The fundamental data center power story supports a recovery, but only with clear technical confirmation.
A close back below $43 would invalidate the rebound and signal the downtrend is continuing. Given 100% plus historic volatility, position size must be small and stops must be strict.
If SEI holds above the $43 to $47 support zone into the August 5 earnings report without a change in the fundamental thesis, compare the price reaction with power solutions megawatt growth, contract signings, financing, and dilution news before acting.
Do not catch a falling knife. The stock has shown 10% to 18% daily moves in both directions, and high short interest near 19.9% of shares outstanding can fuel violent short squeezes and sharp reversals. Define maximum loss and check liquidity before entering.
Track power solutions revenue and earning megawatts, adjusted EBITDA versus the raised $83 million to $93 million Q2 guidance, new long-term contracts, Genco and GESA integration, free cash flow and capex, total debt near $1.62 billion, share count growth, and insider or short-interest changes.
Lower the rating if revenue growth decelerates, margins in power solutions fail to improve, dilution accelerates, free cash flow worsens materially, or insider selling and short interest rise further after the correction.
Investment research summary
Solaris provides modular and scalable power generation, control, and distribution equipment to data centers, energy companies, and industrial customers, plus specialized logistics equipment and last-mile services for oil and gas well completion, and customers pay for reliable power delivered faster than traditional grid build-out.
The moat comes from specialized equipment design, long-term contracts with investment-grade technology customers, the Stateline joint venture, customer relationships in power and energy, and first-mover positioning in modular data center power. Scale advantages exist but competitors in power generation and oilfield services have substantial resources.
The thesis can fail if data center power demand growth slows, contract deployments slip, Genco or GESA acquisitions fail to deliver expected margins, heavy dilution and negative free cash flow force additional financing, oilfield logistics revenue declines, or large competitors enter the modular power space more aggressively.
Co-CEOs Bill Zartler and Amanda Brock led the pivot from Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure to Solaris Energy Infrastructure, signing the third long-term power contract in April 2026, closing the Genco acquisition in March 2026, completing a $2 billion financing in May 2026, and closing the GESA acquisition on July 1, 2026. The open question is whether capital allocation and integration keep pace with the growth narrative.
Data center power demand is surging because of AI compute growth, grid constraints, and the need for modular, rapid-deployment power. This structural tailwind supports the Solaris pivot, but the industry is becoming more competitive as traditional power equipment companies and oilfield service firms pursue the same opportunity.
At $51.41, the stock trades at roughly 59.5x trailing earnings, 44x forward earnings, 5.7x sales, and 20.6x EV/EBITDA. The margin of safety is thin because the premium valuation requires sustained high growth and successful execution, while negative free cash flow and dilution add uncertainty. Meaningful returns depend on the transition thesis playing out better than current expectations.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEI price and shares snapshot | $51.41 close on July 31, 2026 with $51.56 after hours; 76.42 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis.com SEI quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $3.93 billion, verified as $51.41 x 76.42 million shares with financial_rigor.py (0.03% deviation) | financial_rigor.py market-cap verification and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue | $196.24 million, up 55% year over year, matching SEC EDGAR XBRL (196239000) from the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and SEC EDGAR XBRL | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 earnings and EBITDA | Consolidated net income of $32.06 million, net income attributable to Solaris of $21.44 million, adjusted pro forma net income of $39.39 million or $0.44 per fully diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA of about $84 million up 22% sequentially | Q1 2026 earnings release and Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | April 27, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 guidance | Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $83 million to $93 million from $76 million to $84 million, with Q3 2026 guidance of $80 million to $95 million | Q1 2026 earnings release guidance update | April 27, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $622.21 million, up 98.7% from $313.09 million, cross-checked across StockAnalysis.com and SEC EDGAR XBRL | StockAnalysis.com financials and SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM financials | TTM revenue of $692.11 million, net income of $44.53 million, EPS of $0.86, operating income of $163.89 million, and EBITDA of $252.87 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Balance sheet | Cash and cash equivalents of $344.47 million and total debt of about $1.62 billion as of March 31, 2026, with long-term debt current portion of $319.7 million, long-term debt noncurrent of $395.4 million, and convertible notes of $881.6 million | Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com balance sheet | August 3, 2026 |
| Net debt | Net debt of about -$1.27 billion, or -$16.66 per share, computed as $344.47 million cash minus $1.62 billion total debt | StockAnalysis.com statistics and Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash flow and capex | TTM operating cash flow of $262.40 million, capital expenditures of -$845.78 million, and free cash flow of -$583.39 million as the company invests heavily in equipment held for lease | StockAnalysis.com cash flow statement | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | Trailing PE of 59.53, forward PE of 44.26, price/sales of 5.68, price/book of 3.84, EV of $5.20 billion, EV/Sales of 7.52, and EV/EBITDA of 20.57 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Share count and dilution | 76.42 million shares outstanding with shares up 87.6% year over year and 44.9% quarter over quarter, reflecting the Genco acquisition, convertible notes, and the 2,880,682 Class A shares issued for GESA on July 1, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com statistics and GESA 8-K | August 3, 2026 |
| GESA acquisition | Closed July 1, 2026 for about $55 million in cash plus 2,880,682 shares of Class A common stock, acquiring a full cycle power generation operations, maintenance, and technical solutions provider | GESA acquisition 8-K filed July 6, 2026 | August 3, 2026 |
| $1.3 billion senior notes | Issued $1.3 billion aggregate principal of 6.375% Senior Notes due 2031 on May 12, 2026, at par, for net proceeds of about $1.28 billion | 8-K filed May 12, 2026 | August 3, 2026 |
| Power capacity and backlog | Pro forma generation capacity of about 3,100 MW, a Stateline joint venture of about 900 MW, and three long-term contracts with investment-grade global technology customers totaling more than 2 GW of contracted generation capacity, including a 600+ MW, 10-year contract signed April 24, 2026 | Q1 2026 earnings release | April 27, 2026 |
| Segment results Q1 2026 | Power Solutions revenue of about $129 million up 24% sequentially with roughly 910 MW earning revenue, and Logistics Solutions revenue of about $68 million down 11% sequentially with 104 fully utilized systems | Q1 2026 earnings release | April 27, 2026 |
| Dividend | Quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, about $0.48 annualized for a 0.93% yield, representing the 31st consecutive quarterly dividend when paid in June 2026 | Q1 2026 earnings release and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| 52-week range and beta | $24.57 to $86.19 with beta of 1.18 and a 52-week price change of +54.6% | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Short interest | 15.24 million shares short, about 19.94% of shares outstanding, 26.13% of float, and 5.27 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 3, 2026 |
| Risk scores | Altman Z-Score of 1.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 5 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Buy with an average target of $94.34 across 14 analysts, low $80 and high $120, median $91.50 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | July 22, 2026 |
| Analyst rating mix, July 2026 | 8 Strong Buy, 5 Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell out of 14 analysts | StockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trends | July 22, 2026 |
| Recent analyst target updates | Morgan Stanley reiterates Buy $90 on July 22, Barclays reiterates Buy $86 on July 16, Northland reiterates Buy $104 on July 7, Wolfe Research initiates Buy $120 on July 6, and Needham initiates Buy $97 on June 29 | StockAnalysis.com analyst ratings | July 22, 2026 |
| Consensus financial forecast | FY2026 revenue estimate of $819.56 million up 31.7% with adjusted EPS of $1.15, and FY2027 revenue of $1.23 billion up 49.6% with adjusted EPS of $2.33 | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | July 22, 2026 |
| Index inclusion | SEI joined the S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the opening of trading on July 15, 2026, replacing Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | PRNewswire July 9, 2026 announcement | July 9, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 5-day SMA near $49.20, 20-day SMA near $60.68, 50-day SMA near $68.97, 100-day SMA near $67.27, 200-day SMA near $58.82, 14-day RSI near 37.77, 14-day ADX near 26.87, 14-day historic volatility near 114% | Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshots | August 3, 2026 |
This SEI AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 3, 2026 and can be wrong, especially for a high-volatility growth company where share count, financing, contract timing, and execution can change the picture quickly. Verify live data, filings, personal risk tolerance, and investment constraints before making any investment decision.
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