GE Vernova Inc. research snapshot
GEV AI stock analysis currently reads GE Vernova Inc. as a scarce power equipment and grid infrastructure platform tied to gas turbines, grid equipment, electrification, wind, services, and long-cycle demand from electrification and data centers. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, the reference quote was the July 31, 2026 close of $990.29, with a reported market capitalization near $263.75 billion, a 50-day moving average near $1,024.82, a 200-day moving average near $836.50, and RSI near 46.35. GE Vernova reported Q2 2026 orders of $24.2 billion, up 88% organically, a backlog of $176 billion, and raised 2026 revenue and free cash flow guidance. The stock still fell after the report because profit narrowly missed the high bar. This GEV AI stock forecast uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction, and the page is informational research only.
Current price
$990.29
Market cap
$263.75 billion reported market cap
AI score
74 / 100
Rating
High-quality power infrastructure compounder with record backlog and raised guidance, offset by elevated valuation and a post-earnings pullback
Trend status
Long-term uptrend intact above the 200-day average, but short-term below the 50-day average after the Q2 2026 selloff
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | GE Vernova sells gas power, grid equipment, electrification systems, wind technology, services, and related energy solutions into a long-cycle power infrastructure market. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from installed base services, gas turbine technology, grid equipment capacity, the expanded Prolec GE transformer platform, long customer relationships, technical know-how, and scale in critical power systems. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Scott Strazik and CFO Ken Parks raised 2026 revenue and free cash flow guidance, returned roughly $7 billion via buybacks, and kept the balance sheet investment grade. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was $38.1 billion and net income was $4.9 billion. Q2 2026 revenue rose 22% to $11.1 billion, free cash flow was $5.1 billion, and the cash balance reached about $13.1 billion. | High |
| Valuation | At $990.29, precise inputs imply about 28.3x TTM EPS, 46.5x forward EPS, 22.1x book value, 21.2x TTM free cash flow per share, and a 0.20% dividend yield. | High |
| Technical trend | GEV trades above the 200-day moving average near $836.50 but below the 50-day moving average near $1,024.82 after the July 22 selloff. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is medium-high because valuation, Wind losses, tariffs, one-time EPS gains, supply chain, energy policy, Prolec GE integration, and long-cycle project execution can change the thesis. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because core financial and quote data are source-backed. Return confidence is lower because market expectations are demanding. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | GEV has strong business momentum and record backlog, but the current price leaves less room for error if growth, margins, or backlog conversion disappoint. | Medium |
GEV AI stock forecast
The GEV AI stock forecast is scenario-based because reported TTM EPS includes large one-time gains from Prolec GE and the China XD Grid disposition. Using the $990.29 reference price and a normalized forward EPS base near $21.28, the audited three-year tool output was about $1,470.90 in a bullish case, $896.90 in a base case, and $478.70 in a bearish case. These are valuation scenarios, not price promises.
$1,300 to $1,470
More likely if Power and Electrification orders keep compounding, backlog approaches $200 billion by 2027, Prolec GE integration expands margins, Wind losses shrink, free cash flow stays at or above raised guidance, and investors keep valuing GEV as scarce power infrastructure.
$850 to $1,000
More likely if GEV executes raised 2026 guidance of $45.5 billion to $46.5 billion revenue and $11.5 billion to $12.5 billion free cash flow, earnings normalize as one-time gains fade, and the market holds the stock near current multiples.
$450 to $650
More likely if one-time gains reverse, Wind issues persist, tariffs compress margins, backlog converts slower than expected, gas orders peak sooner than guided, or the market derates high-growth power infrastructure stocks.
GEV AI technical analysis
GEV AI technical analysis is neutral to cautious as of the July 31, 2026 close. StockAnalysis showed a $990.29 close, a $979.14 intraday low, a $1,042.85 intraday high, and about 2.36 million shares of volume. The stock sits below its 50-day moving average near $1,024.82 and above its 200-day moving average near $836.50, with RSI near 46.35 and a 20-day average volume near 2.91 million shares.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $990.29 | StockAnalysis close used as the July 31, 2026 reference price. |
| Immediate support | $979 to $985 | This zone combines the July 31 intraday low of $979.14 with a nearby round-number area. |
| Deeper support | $900 to $930 | This area would require a fresh check of guidance, backlog, tariffs, and market sentiment before the 200-day moving average near $836.50. |
| Near resistance | $1,025 to $1,043 | This range brackets the 50-day moving average near $1,024.82 and the July 31 intraday high near $1,042.85. |
| Upper resistance | $1,128 to $1,196 | Public quote sources placed the recent 52-week high area around $1,181 to $1,195.94, with an interim zone near $1,128. |
| Moving averages | 50-day near $1,024.82, 200-day near $836.50 | Trading below the 50-day keeps the tactical setup weak, while holding above the 200-day keeps the longer trend intact. |
| Momentum | RSI near 46.35 | Momentum is neutral rather than deeply oversold, so price confirmation matters more than RSI alone. |
| Volume | 2.36 million versus 2.91 million 20-day average | Volume stayed below the 20-day average on the July 31 recovery, so follow-through still needs to build. |
| Volatility | High monitoring priority | GEV reacts to earnings, guidance, grid equipment demand, gas turbine backlog, Wind updates, tariffs, and AI power demand narratives. |
| Invalidation | Close below $979, then below $836 | A close below the immediate support zone would weaken the short-term setup. A move below the 200-day moving average would challenge the longer uptrend. |
GEV AI trading strategy
The GEV AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It connects chart levels with orders, backlog, margins, free cash flow, Prolec GE integration, Wind risk, tariffs, and management guidance.
Watch for GEV to reclaim the $1,025 to $1,043 resistance zone and hold above it with rising volume, while company news confirms continued Power and Electrification order strength.
Invalidate the setup if price fails the reclaim and closes below the $979 to $985 support zone, especially if guidance, backlog quality, or tariff commentary weakens.
If GEV retests the $900 to $930 zone or the 200-day moving average area without a thesis break, compare price action with Q2 2026 cash generation, raised guidance, Prolec GE contribution, and Wind losses.
Do not average down solely because the stock pulled back. Define maximum loss, position size, data refresh, and a post-cutoff news check first.
Track orders, backlog, gas turbine gigawatts under contract, Electrification data-center orders, Prolec GE integration, Wind margins, free cash flow, cash balance, buybacks, dividends, and tariff commentary.
Reduce confidence when price strength is driven only by AI power demand sentiment without matching updates in margins, cash flow, or backlog conversion.
Investment research summary
Customers pay GE Vernova because reliable electricity, grid capacity, gas power, electrification hardware, and energy services are mission-critical for utilities, industrial customers, data centers, and governments.
GEV has scale in gas power, grid equipment, installed base services, technical expertise, long-cycle customer relationships, and an expanded transformer platform after Prolec GE. The moat is real but still depends on execution and product quality.
The thesis can fail if Wind losses persist, tariffs compress margins, supply chain issues delay deliveries, one-time EPS gains reverse, Prolec GE integration underdelivers, power equipment demand cools, or investors stop paying a premium multiple.
Scott Strazik and Ken Parks raised guidance, grew backlog to $176 billion, generated record free cash flow, and returned about $7 billion via buybacks. The test is whether they can scale much larger output without quality or execution slippage.
Electrification, AI data centers, grid upgrades, gas power demand, energy security, and decarbonization support long-cycle demand. Policy, permitting, supply chains, and commodity costs limit certainty.
At $990.29, GEV already discounts strong multi-year execution. Margin of safety improves if the stock moves closer to the base-case range while guidance holds, or if recurring earnings prove stronger than the one-time-gain-distorted TTM EPS suggests.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| GEV quote reference | $990.29 close, $979.14 intraday low, $1,042.85 intraday high, and about 2.36 million shares of volume | StockAnalysis public quote | July 31, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $263.74 billion calculated from $990.29 x 266.33 million shares, versus $263.75 billion reported market cap with 0.00% variance | Pineify financial_rigor.py using StockAnalysis inputs | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 266.33 million shares, down 2.33% year over year | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 orders and backlog | Orders of $24.2 billion, up 88% organically, and backlog of $176 billion, up $13 billion sequentially | GE Vernova Q2 2026 financial results | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 revenue and net income | Revenue of $11.1 billion, up 22%, and net income of $0.6 billion with a 5.8% net income margin | GE Vernova Q2 2026 financial results | July 22, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 cash and free cash flow | Cash balance of about $13.1 billion and free cash flow of $5.1 billion, more than all of 2025 | GE Vernova Q2 2026 financial results | July 22, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and net income | $38.068 billion revenue and $4.879 billion net income, cross-validated with GE Vernova FY2025 release and StockAnalysis | GE Vernova FY2025 financial results and StockAnalysis | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM valuation inputs | $34.94 TTM EPS (gain-distorted), $44.89 book value per share, $46.70 free cash flow per share, and $2.00 annual dividend | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day moving average near $1,024.82, 200-day moving average near $836.50, RSI near 46.35, and 20-day average volume near 2.91 million | StockAnalysis statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| 2026 guidance | Revenue guidance raised to $45.5 billion to $46.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at 12% to 14%, and free cash flow guidance raised to $11.5 billion to $12.5 billion | GE Vernova Q2 2026 financial results | July 22, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Average rating of Buy with a 12-month price target of $1,233.10, about 24.52% above the reference price, based on 38 analysts | StockAnalysis analyst forecast | August 2, 2026 |
This GEV AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, financial advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of August 2, 2026 and can be wrong. Always verify live market data, company filings, and your own risk constraints before making decisions.
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