PVH Corp. research snapshot
PVH AI stock analysis reads PVH Corp. as a company with globally iconic Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brands, TTM revenue of $8.99 billion, and a price near $87.62 as of the August 3, 2026 trading session. Market capitalization is about $4.04 billion on 46.1 million shares. The company is recovering from a fiscal 2026 (ended February 1, 2026) in which net income collapsed 95.8% to $25.3 million, and it still carries roughly $3.63 billion of net debt against a $4.9 billion book value. A 20.2% single-day drop on June 4, 2026 followed the Q1 FY27 report, the stock bottomed near $69, and it has since reclaimed both major moving averages. This page uses scenario analysis, not a certain stock price prediction, and is an informational tool rather than investment advice.
Current price
$87.62
Market cap
$4.04 billion
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Recovering profit base with cheap forward valuation but high leverage and heavy EMEA exposure
Trend status
Above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages after a June 2026 crash and recovery
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | PVH designs and markets Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger and a small Heritage Brands wholesale business globally through wholesale, retail, digital commerce and licensing. The brands have global recognition, but TTM net margin is only 1.76% and fiscal 2026 net income was just $25.3 million. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat is moderate and brand-driven. Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger have global awareness, licensing income and distribution scale, but switching costs are low and fashion cycles create risk. Heritage Brands have been wound down, concentrating the portfolio in two large global brands. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Stefan Larsson has led restructuring, cost discipline and brand elevation since 2021. A new CFO, Alexis Rollier from Sephora, was named in July 2026. Management has repurchased about 13.8% of shares over the last year, but execution against EMEA headwinds remains the central challenge. | Medium |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue of $8.99 billion is up about 3.5% year over year, but fiscal 2026 (ended February 1, 2026) net income collapsed 95.8% to $25.3 million on EMEA weakness and an unusually high 74% effective tax rate. TTM free cash flow of about $550 million is strong and is funding buybacks. | High |
| Valuation | At $87.62, the trailing P/E of about 26x on $3.30 GAAP TTM EPS is expensive, while the forward P/E of about 7.2x on the $12.09 FY2027 non-GAAP consensus implies a sharp earnings recovery. P/S is 0.45x, P/B is 0.84x and EV/EBITDA is about 8x. | High for math, low for forward reliability |
| Technical trend | PVH crashed 20.2% to $78.16 on June 4, 2026 after the Q1 FY27 report, hit an intraday low near $69, and has recovered to trade at $87.62, above both the 50-day MA near $81.53 and the 200-day MA near $76.66. The short-term and medium-term trends are constructive. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | High. Net debt of about $3.63 billion, Debt/EBITDA of 4.43x, a negative tangible book value of about $204 million, an Altman Z-score of 2.24, 11.1% of shares sold short, and EMEA exposure of roughly two thirds of revenue compound the balance sheet risk. | High |
| AI confidence | High confidence for reported financials, market-cap math and valuation ratios. Lower confidence for the forward EPS recovery path, the pace of EMEA stabilization and the timing of multiple expansion. | High data, lower forward confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low to medium. PVH generates real free cash flow and buys back stock aggressively, but fiscal 2026 GAAP earnings nearly vanished and the stock is a leveraged bet on European recovery and margin expansion with material downside if execution slips. | Low-medium |
PVH AI stock forecast
The PVH AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $87.62 quote. The bullish case requires the $12.09 FY2027 non-GAAP EPS consensus to be met or beaten, European demand to stabilize, debt to fall and the forward multiple to expand. The base case assumes the earnings recovery is delivered but the market stays near the current forward valuation. The bearish case assumes EMEA weakness persists, margins stay compressed and the forward multiple contracts.
$120.00 to $156.00
More likely if Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger stabilize in Europe, non-GAAP EPS reaches $12.50 to $13.00, gross margin holds above 57%, debt is reduced, and the stock re-rates to a 10-12x forward multiple, consistent with the analyst high target of $128.
$85.00 to $110.00
More likely if the FY2027 non-GAAP EPS consensus of about $12.09 is delivered, revenue stays flat to slightly up around $8.9 billion, buybacks continue, and the stock trades near an 8-9x forward P/E, in line with the analyst average target of $90.67.
$55.00 to $75.00
More likely if EMEA demand deteriorates again, the effective tax rate stays elevated, margins stay compressed, the stock needs to refinance debt at higher rates, or forward EPS falls back toward the trailing GAAP level, consistent with the BofA price target of $70.
PVH AI technical analysis
PVH AI technical analysis starts from the $87.62 quote in the August 3, 2026 session, the $59.60 to $100.75 52-week range, and the 50-day moving average near $81.53 and 200-day moving average near $76.66 reported by StockAnalysis and S&P Global. Because this static page does not fetch request-time chart data, live price, volume, RSI and moving averages should be confirmed before trading.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $87.62 | Intraday price in the August 3, 2026 session. The most recent confirmed close was $86.66 on July 31, 2026. |
| Near support | $81.50 to $83.00 | The 50-day moving average near $81.53 and the early August consolidation zone. Holding this area keeps the recovery trend intact. |
| Deeper support | $78.00 to $80.00 | The July 2026 base and the $78.16 level where the stock landed after the June 4, 2026 crash. A loss of this zone would weaken the recovery. |
| Key support | $69.00 to $72.00 | The June 4, 2026 intraday low near $69 and the June swing low. This zone must hold to preserve the longer-term recovery thesis. |
| Near resistance | $88.00 to $92.00 | The recent recovery highs near $90 and the round $90 to $92 area where sellers emerged in late July and early August 2026. |
| Key resistance | $97.00 to $100.75 | The June 2026 highs and the 52-week high of $100.75. A break above this zone would signal a full reversal of the June 4 crash. |
| 50-day moving average | $81.53 | Reported by StockAnalysis and S&P Global on August 3, 2026. PVH trades above it, a short-term bullish condition. |
| 200-day moving average | $76.66 | Reported by StockAnalysis and S&P Global on August 3, 2026. PVH reclaimed this level in July 2026, a medium-term bullish signal. |
| Momentum | RSI near 62 | The RSI of 62.21 on August 3, 2026 is positive but approaching overbought. It leaves room to run but warns against chasing near resistance. |
| Volume | 20-day average about 857,000 shares | The June 4, 2026 crash printed about 5.3 million shares. Recent recovery volume is moderate, so a breakout should be confirmed with rising volume. |
| Volatility | Beta of 1.75 | The elevated beta means PVH moves more than the market. This amplifies gains in an uptrend and losses in a downtrend, especially on earnings days. |
| Invalidation | Close below $78.00 | A decisive close below the July base near $78.00 would suggest the recovery is failing and open a retest of the $69.00 to $72.00 zone, with the $59.60 52-week low as the deeper floor. |
PVH AI trading strategy
The PVH AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a leveraged global apparel company that is recovering from a profit collapse and an earnings-driven crash. It is not personalized advice. Any setup should be paired with position sizing, stop levels, updated filings and live chart confirmation.
Wait for PVH to hold above the 50-day MA near $81.53 and the 200-day MA near $76.66, then confirm a break above $90 with rising volume. Stronger confirmation would come from a quarter with positive EMEA trends, debt reduction, or a reaffirmed FY2027 guidance of about $12 non-GAAP EPS.
A close back below $81.50 or a failed breakout near $90 should invalidate the setup. The high beta and leverage mean stop losses are especially important around the August 25, 2026 earnings date.
If PVH pulls back toward the $78.00 to $81.00 zone without a new credit or earnings thesis break, evaluate whether the forward P/E of about 7.2x offers enough compensation for the EMEA and leverage risk.
Do not average down. Set a maximum loss that accounts for the leverage risk. A close below $78.00 would require a full thesis review, and a break below $69.00 would be a stronger exit signal.
Track Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger regional same-store sales, gross margin, the effective tax rate, debt reduction pace, free cash flow generation, inventory, EMEA consumer trends and the August 25, 2026 earnings report.
Reduce or exit if forward EPS guidance drops toward or below trailing GAAP EPS near $3.30, if the company needs to refinance debt at materially higher rates, if the effective tax rate stays above 50%, or if EMEA sales decline accelerates.
Investment research summary
Customers pay PVH for Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger brand identity, design and global lifestyle positioning across apparel, underwear, fragrance and accessories. Revenue comes from wholesale, company-operated retail, e-commerce and licensing, with roughly two thirds of sales generated internationally.
The moat is moderate and brand-driven. Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger enjoy global awareness, distribution scale and licensing income. Weaknesses include low customer switching costs and fashion-cycle risk, and the wind-down of Heritage Brands leaves less diversification.
The thesis can fail if the European economy weakens further, tariffs or currency moves raise costs, the effective tax rate stays unusually high, consumer preferences shift away from these brands, or the company cannot service its roughly $3.63 billion net debt in a high-rate refinancing environment.
CEO Stefan Larsson has driven operational improvement and brand elevation since joining in 2021, and the company has bought back about 13.8% of shares in the last year. A new CFO, Alexis Rollier, was named in July 2026. Results so far show strong cost discipline and cash generation but a fiscal 2026 profit collapse.
Global apparel benefits from population and emerging-market growth, but the sector is cyclical, fashion-sensitive, fragmented and exposed to trade policy, currency and consumer confidence shifts. Brand power, global distribution and cost efficiency are the key differentiators.
A trailing P/E of about 26x on $3.30 GAAP TTM EPS offers little margin of safety on current earnings, while the forward P/E of about 7.2x prices in a recovery to the $12.09 FY2027 non-GAAP consensus. The 0.84x P/B and 0.45x P/S suggest the market has limited confidence in sustainable profitability until EMEA stabilizes.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| PVH price | $87.62 intraday on August 3, 2026; latest confirmed close $86.66 on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance PVH quote | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $4.04 billion, verified as $87.62 x 46.11 million shares (0.00% deviation) | financial_rigor.py market cap verification and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Share count | 46.11 million shares outstanding, down 13.76% year over year from buybacks | StockAnalysis.com and S&P Global | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $8.99 billion (8,992 million), up about 3.5% year over year | StockAnalysis.com, Yahoo Finance and S&P Global cross-check | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM net income and EPS | TTM net income $158.1 million; TTM EPS $3.30 per Yahoo Finance, $3.35 per S&P Global | Yahoo Finance, StockAnalysis.com and S&P Global | August 3, 2026 |
| Fiscal 2026 (ended Feb 1, 2026) | Revenue $8.95 billion; net income $25.3 million, down 95.8% from $598.5 million; GAAP EPS $0.52 | StockAnalysis.com / Fiscal.ai income statement | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $592.5 million cash; $4.22 billion total debt; net debt approximately $3.63 billion; Debt/Equity 0.86 | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet and Yahoo Finance | August 3, 2026 |
| Free cash flow | $550.5 million TTM operating free cash flow ($705.3 million operating cash flow less $154.8 million capex); Yahoo levered FCF $465.64 million | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 26.1x trailing P/E, 7.1-7.3x forward P/E, 0.45x P/S, 0.84x P/B, ~8x EV/EBITDA, ~13.6% FCF yield | financial_rigor.py valuation verification and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical range and averages | 52-week range $59.60 to $100.75; 50-day MA $81.53; 200-day MA $76.66; RSI 62.21 | StockAnalysis.com and Yahoo Finance | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst view | Consensus Buy with 13 analysts; average price target $90.67, low $70, high $128; BofA downgraded to Underperform on June 25, 2026 with a $70 target | StockAnalysis.com forecast page and S&P Global | August 3, 2026 |
This PVH AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 3, 2026 and can be wrong if fundamentals, price action, filings, earnings results or market conditions change.
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