BeOne Medicines AG research snapshot

ONC AI Stock Analysis

ONC AI stock analysis as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff reads BeOne Medicines AG as a profitable global oncology company whose commercial engine is led by BRUKINSA while its solid tumor pipeline creates both optionality and event risk. The stock closed at $316.01 on July 31, 2026, down 1.88% on the day, and implied a market capitalization near $35.13 billion, re-verified during this full refresh as $316.01 times 111.17 million shares with a 0.00% deviation. The latest reported quarter is Q1 2026, with revenue of $1.513 billion up 35.46% year over year and GAAP net income of $227.36 million, while trailing twelve month revenue reached about $5.67 billion and TTM net income about $513 million. BeOne holds a net cash position near $2.74 billion at March 31, 2026, and 28 analysts rate the stock a Strong Buy with an average target of $415.64, about 31.5% above the current price. Recent catalysts include positive Phase 3 MANGROVE results for BRUKINSA in frontline mantle cell lymphoma, an FDA orphan designation for the PRMT5 inhibitor in pancreatic cancer, and a more than $1 billion total U.S. manufacturing investment. Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 5, 2026. The page presents a scenario framework, not a certain price prediction, and is for information only.

Current price

$316.01

Market cap

$35.13 billion

AI score

73 / 100

Rating

Profitable oncology growth with strong analyst support and a premium valuation

Trend status

Uptrend holding above key moving averages with neutral momentum into the August 5 earnings date

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. BeOne Medicines AG is a large-cap oncology company with SEC filings, quarterly disclosures, segment revenue detail, analyst coverage from 28 firms, earnings call transcripts, and multiple third-party datasets. The August 2, 2026 full refresh re-fetched and re-validated the key figures: the $316.01 July 31, 2026 close, $35.13 billion market cap, $1.513 billion Q1 2026 revenue, $227.36 million Q1 2026 GAAP net income, TTM revenue near $5.67 billion, and the net cash position near $2.74 billion, all matched across StockAnalysis.com, Macrotrends, and Barchart.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is extrapolating recent BRUKINSA growth, pipeline hype, and the strong analyst consensus too far. The reverse check asks whether sales growth, margins, and the oncology pipeline can sustain the premium valuation if a trial disappoints, a competitor like Summit Therapeutics gains share, dilution continues, or China exposure adds friction.
ai Confidence
High for reported financials, market data, market cap math, and valuation ratios that cross-checked across StockAnalysis.com, Macrotrends, and Barchart during the August 2, 2026 refresh, with 0.00% deviation on the market cap calculation. Medium for forward value because drug approvals, trial readouts, pricing, competition, and market multiples can change the case quickly. The Q2 2026 earnings report due August 5, 2026 was not yet released at the cutoff.
investment Certainty
Medium. Reported data are detailed and the balance sheet is strong, but drug development outcomes, pricing, competition, and a high valuation multiple keep investment certainty lower than data confidence.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityBeOne commercializes oncology medicines globally, led by BRUKINSA, with TEVIMBRA, XGEVA, BLINCYTO, KYPROLIS, and POBEVCY contributing, and funds a broad hematology and solid tumor pipeline.High
MoatThe moat rests on clinical evidence, regulatory approvals, BRUKINSA leadership in BTK inhibition, manufacturing scale with over $1 billion U.S. investment, commercial reach, and accumulated development capability rather than a permanent monopoly.Medium-high
ManagementFounder-led management has scaled global commercialization and delivered profitable quarters, but must preserve capital discipline while the pipeline expands and share count rises 8.16% year over year.Medium
Financial trendQ1 2026 revenue rose 35.46% year over year to $1.513 billion with GAAP net income of $227.36 million and EPS of $1.95, while TTM revenue reached about $5.67 billion with TTM net income near $513 million and positive free cash flow.High
ValuationAt about 71.75x trailing PE, 45.42x forward PE, and 38.75x EV/EBITDA, the market already prices in continued execution and pipeline progress, leaving a narrow margin for error.Medium-low
Technical trendONC closed at $316.01 on July 31, 2026, just above the 20-day and 200-day moving averages near $314.83 and $314.02, with the 50-day near $294.51 and 100-day near $297.20, and a neutral 14-day RSI near 55.56.Medium
Risk levelClinical, regulatory, pricing, competition, China exposure, share dilution, pipeline spending, and valuation compression are material risks, with Q2 2026 earnings on August 5, 2026 an immediate event.High
AI confidenceHigh for reported financial data and business mapping that cross-checked across StockAnalysis.com, Macrotrends, and Barchart, but lower for drug approvals, trial readouts, and future market returns.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty because a strong reported quarter and a net cash balance sheet do not remove the binary risks embedded in oncology development and an elevated valuation.Medium

ONC AI stock forecast

ONC AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The ONC AI stock forecast uses ranges around the $316.01 July 31, 2026 closing price rather than a point target, and it explicitly flags the August 5, 2026 Q2 earnings report as an immediate event. The reported Q1 result, BRUKINSA growth, pipeline execution, regulatory events, competition, and the valuation multiple can all move the outcome.

Bullish case

$410 to $470

More likely if BRUKINSA keeps growing, the solid tumor pipeline reads positively, the PRMT5 program advances, margins hold, dilution slows, and investors keep assigning a premium multiple to the oncology platform, moving toward targets such as RBC at $451 and the consensus high of $501.30.

Base case

$345 to $410

More likely if commercial execution remains solid, Q2 2026 results meet the strong consensus, R&D spending and competition keep valuation expectations balanced, and the stock trades near the consensus average target of $415.64.

Bearish case

$255 to $320

More likely if product growth slows, a trial or regulatory event disappoints, a competitor such as Summit Therapeutics gains share, pricing pressure rises, dilution continues, or the market compresses the multiple toward the 52-week low of $253.95 and below the analyst low target of $340.

ONC AI technical analysis

ONC AI Technical Analysis

ONC AI technical analysis starts from the $316.01 July 31, 2026 closing price, which sat just above the 20-day moving average near $314.83 and the 200-day moving average near $314.02, with the 50-day near $294.51 and the 100-day near $297.20 forming a support cluster below. The 14-day RSI near 55.56 was neutral and 14-day ADX near 28.96 showed a moderate trend. The 52-week range is $253.95 to $385.22.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$316.01StockAnalysis.com and Macrotrends both confirmed the $316.01 close at the July 31, 2026 market close.
Near support$294 to $298The 50-day moving average near $294.51 and the 100-day near $297.20 form a support cluster. It is not a guaranteed floor.
Near resistance$322 to $330The prior close of $322.08 and the July 31 day high of $320.86 mark the nearest overhead zone before the 52-week high area.
Major resistance$385.22The 52-week high is the main overhead level, about 21.9% above the current price per Macrotrends.
20-day moving average$314.83Barchart reported the 20-day moving average near $314.83, roughly at the current price.
50-day moving average$294.51StockAnalysis.com and Barchart both placed the 50-day moving average near $294.51, below price and confirming the medium-term uptrend.
100-day moving average$297.20Barchart reported the 100-day moving average near $297.20, part of the support cluster.
200-day moving average$314.02StockAnalysis.com and Barchart both reported the 200-day trend line near $314.02, just below the current price.
MomentumRSI near 56, ADX near 2914-day RSI near 55.56 was neutral, and 14-day ADX near 28.96 showed a moderate trend on Barchart as of July 31, 2026.
VolumeAbout 375,000 average sharesBarchart listed 20-day average volume near 374,895 shares and StockAnalysis.com near 374,937, useful for checking breakout quality.
VolatilityModerate, elevated near eventsBarchart reported 14-day historic volatility near 22.91% and a 14-day ATR near $9.06, with drug and earnings news able to cause gaps.
InvalidationSustained close below $294A confirmed break below the $294 to $298 support cluster would weaken the short-term uptrend; a break below the 52-week low of $253.95 would turn it bearish.

ONC AI trading strategy

ONC AI Trading Strategy Framework

The ONC AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. Pair any setup with position sizing, event-risk awareness, and current filing and chart checks, especially around the August 5, 2026 Q2 earnings report.

Trend-following setup

Wait for ONC to hold above the $294 to $298 support cluster and to clear the $322 to $330 zone on rising volume, with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages rising to confirm improving momentum.

A failed breakout or a sustained close below the defined support zone invalidates the setup.

Mean-reversion setup

If ONC approaches the $294 to $298 support cluster without a business or clinical thesis break, compare the move with the latest BRUKINSA sales, cash position, guidance, and the upcoming trial and earnings calendar before acting.

Do not average down through a negative regulatory, safety, or trial-data change without reassessing the thesis.

Event-risk monitor

Track quarterly product revenue, gross margin, R&D, the August 5, 2026 Q2 report, regulatory decisions, trial data such as MANGROVE and the PRMT5 program, competitor readouts, and dilution pace.

Reduce exposure assumptions before binary events when a gap through a stop would exceed the planned loss.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

BeOne sells oncology medicines worldwide, led by BRUKINSA, and reinvests commercial cash generation into hematology and solid tumor development including a PRMT5 program granted FDA orphan designation.

Moat

Clinical data, approved medicines, regulatory infrastructure, manufacturing with over $1 billion U.S. investment, and a global commercial organization make replication difficult, but patent and clinical advantages can erode.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis can fail through weaker BRUKINSA growth, clinical setbacks, approval delays, safety signals, payer pressure, competitor launches such as Summit ivonescimab, continued dilution, or escalating development costs.

Management

John V. Oyler co-founded and leads BeOne. The key test is whether the company converts a large pipeline into durable returns without losing cost discipline as share count rises 8.16% year over year.

Industry trend

Oncology demand and targeted therapy innovation support long-run opportunity, while payer scrutiny, trial complexity, and fast-moving standards of care constrain predictability.

Valuation and margin of safety

At $316.01, the market capitalization was verified at about $35.13 billion. At about 71.75x trailing PE and 45.42x forward PE, the valuation depends on continued product growth and pipeline value, leaving a limited margin for execution errors.

Source-backed data

ONC Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
ONC closing price$316.01 at the July 31, 2026 closeStockAnalysis.com real-time quote, cross-checked with MacrotrendsAugust 2, 2026
Market capitalization$35.13 billion, computed as $316.01 x 111.17 million shares with 0.00% deviationStockAnalysis.com share statistics and financial_rigor.pyAugust 2, 2026
Q1 2026 revenue$1.513 billion, up 35.46% year over year from $1.117 billion in Q1 2025StockAnalysis.com quarterly financialsAugust 2, 2026
Q1 2026 GAAP net income$227.36 million, with EPS of $1.95StockAnalysis.com quarterly financialsAugust 2, 2026
Q1 2026 BRUKINSA revenue$1.095 billion of total Q1 2026 product revenueStockAnalysis.com quarterly financials by segmentAugust 2, 2026
TTM revenue$5.67 billion, up 36.75%StockAnalysis.com financials overviewAugust 2, 2026
TTM net income$513.02 million, with TTM EPS of $4.40StockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 revenue$5.343 billion, up 40.23% from $3.810 billion in FY2024StockAnalysis.com financials and MacrotrendsAugust 2, 2026
FY2025 net income$286.93 million, versus a -$644.79 million loss in FY2024StockAnalysis.com financialsAugust 2, 2026
Cash and investments$4.792 billion at March 31, 2026StockAnalysis.com balance sheetAugust 2, 2026
Total debt$2.053 billion at March 31, 2026StockAnalysis.com balance sheetAugust 2, 2026
Net cash$2.738 billion at March 31, 2026, about $24.63 per share, computed as cash and investments of $4.792 billion minus total debt of $2.053 billionStockAnalysis.com statistics and balance sheetAugust 2, 2026
TTM operating cash flow and free cash flowOperating cash flow of $1.285 billion, capital expenditures of $170.22 million, free cash flow of $1.111 billionStockAnalysis.com cash flow statementAugust 2, 2026
Valuation check71.75x trailing PE, 45.42x forward PE, 6.12x sales, 7.38x book value, 31.52x free cash flow, 38.75x EV/EBITDA, no dividendStockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Profitability and returnsTTM gross margin 88.31%, operating margin 11.95%, profit margin 8.94%, ROE 12.42%, ROIC 28.01%StockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Analyst consensusStrong Buy with an average target of $415.64 across 28 analysts, low $340 and high $501.30, median $414.46StockAnalysis.com forecastAugust 2, 2026
Analyst rating mix, July 202620 Strong Buy and 8 Buy out of 28 analysts, 0 Hold, 0 SellStockAnalysis.com forecast recommendation trendsAugust 2, 2026
Recent analyst target updatesJ.P. Morgan $415 to $425 on July 23, 2026, Morgan Stanley $395, RBC Capital $436 to $451, Truist $413 to $416, Jefferies upgraded to Buy at $380, Barclays $409 to $403StockAnalysis.com forecastAugust 2, 2026
FY2026 and FY2027 consensus estimatesFY2026 revenue estimate $6.51 billion with adjusted EPS $0.50, FY2027 revenue $7.45 billion with adjusted EPS $0.76StockAnalysis.com forecastAugust 2, 2026
Short interest926,986 shares short, 1.31% of shares outstanding, 2.80 days to coverStockAnalysis.com statistics short sellingAugust 2, 2026
Share count and dilution111.17 million shares outstanding, up 8.16% year over year and 0.34% quarter over quarterStockAnalysis.com statisticsAugust 2, 2026
52-week range$253.95 to $385.22, with an average 52-week price of about $315.78StockAnalysis.com and Macrotrends price historyAugust 2, 2026
Technical snapshot20-day SMA near $314.83, 50-day SMA near $294.51, 100-day SMA near $297.20, 200-day SMA near $314.02, 14-day RSI near 55.56, 14-day ADX near 28.96, 14-day historic volatility near 22.91%Barchart and StockAnalysis.com technical snapshotsAugust 2, 2026
Next earnings dateQ2 2026 results scheduled for August 5, 2026, before market openStockAnalysis.com overviewAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This ONC AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of August 2, 2026, may be incomplete, and can be wrong if clinical results, filings, market prices, company events, or macro conditions change. The Q2 2026 earnings report due August 5, 2026 was not yet released at the cutoff.