Logitech International S.A. research snapshot

LOGI AI Stock Analysis

LOGI AI stock analysis currently reads Logitech International S.A. as a high-quality, cash-generative peripherals leader. At the August 3, 2026 data cutoff, LOGI closed at $102.48 on July 31, 2026. Q1 FY2027 results beat estimates on tariff refunds and premium demand, but the stock fell 7.8% on July 29 after management warned that a supplier factory shutdown could cut third-quarter revenue by up to CHF 200 million. Sales have now grown for 10 consecutive quarters, the reported non-GAAP gross margin reached 49.8%, and the company keeps returning cash through dividends and buybacks. This page is for informational use only and is not investment advice.

Current price

$102.48 close on July 31, 2026

Market cap

About $14.6 billion, computed as $102.48 x 143.19 million shares, with StockAnalysis reporting $14.53 billion and Finviz reporting $14.71 billion

AI score

68 / 100

Rating

Quality, cash-generative peripherals leader with 10 straight quarters of sales growth, but a supplier factory shutdown, price below the 50-day moving average, and a not deeply discounted multiple keep the view cautious

Trend status

Price sits below the 50-day moving average near $106.21 and right at the 200-day moving average near $102.47 as of the July 31, 2026 close, after a 7.8% drop on July 29

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Logitech has long SEC filings, detailed quarterly earnings releases, third-party financial data, liquid market quotes, and direct competitor benchmarks in PC peripherals, gaming, and video collaboration.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is overweighting the Q1 earnings beat and the AI-peripheral narrative while underweighting the supplier shutdown impact on the holiday season, PC demand, tariff policy, and Middle East conflict exposure.
ai Confidence
High for FY2026 and Q1 FY2027 revenue, net income, EPS, cash, share count, market cap math, and valuation ratios. Medium for forecast price ranges and technical levels because supplier reopening timing and chart momentum are uncertain.
investment Certainty
Medium. The business is profitable, debt-light, and returns cash, but investment certainty is capped by the near-term supplier disruption, hardware cyclicality, and a valuation that is not deeply discounted.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityLogitech designs and sells software-enabled peripherals for gaming, productivity, video collaboration, and audio, with leading positions in pointing devices and keyboards, a strong Logitech G gaming brand, and certified enterprise video products used by more than 70% of the Fortune 500.High
MoatThe moat comes from brand trust, manufacturing scale, broad distribution, strong enterprise video-collaboration partnerships, and product breadth. Consumer switching costs are low, so the moat is real but not impenetrable.Medium-high
ManagementCEO Hanneke Faber and CFO Matteo Anversa are focused on offense, B2B expansion, and disciplined capital returns. They beat Q1 FY2027 estimates, reaffirmed high single-digit growth ambitions, and continued buybacks, while managing a semiconductor supplier shutdown.Medium-high
Financial trendTTM revenue is $4.92 billion (+6.6%), TTM net income is $800.87 million (+26.0%), TTM EPS is $5.45, TTM free cash flow is about $1.02 billion, and net cash is approximately $1.67 billion, or $11.63 per share.High
ValuationAt $102.48, LOGI trades near 18.1x TTM GAAP EPS, 14.3x TTM free cash flow, 6.2x book value per share, and a 1.55% dividend yield. The multiple is reasonable for a cash-generative brand but not a deep value.Medium-high
Technical trendLOGI is below the 50-day moving average near $106.21 and right at the 200-day moving average near $102.47, with RSI near 48.4 and volume spiking to about 4.0 million shares on the July 29 drop. The near-term trend is fragile.Medium
Risk levelMain risks include a semiconductor supplier factory shutdown that could cut Q3 revenue by up to CHF 200 million, PC demand cycles, tariff policy, the Middle East conflict, memory chip costs, low consumer switching costs, and the pace of AI peripheral adoption.Medium-high
AI confidenceHigh for reported facts and audited calculations; medium for forward scenario ranges and technical interpretation.High data confidence
Investment certaintyMedium certainty. The balance sheet, margins, and capital returns are strong, but the stock needs either clarity on supplier recovery or a lower entry price to improve the setup.Medium

LOGI AI stock forecast

LOGI AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The LOGI AI stock forecast uses a three-year scenario model around the $102.48 price and TTM GAAP EPS of $5.45. The audited framework points to a bullish area near $140 to $160, a base area near $95 to $115, and a bearish area near $70 to $85 before dividends, depending on how quickly the supplier shutdown resolves, sales growth, margin stability, buyback pace, and the multiple the market assigns to a hardware peripherals business.

Bullish case

$140 to $160

More likely if the supplier shutdown resolves quickly, AI-enabled peripherals, video collaboration, and gaming sustain mid-to-high single digit growth, gross and operating margins hold near record levels, and the market awards a roughly 22x to 24x earnings multiple.

Base case

$95 to $115

More likely if Logitech grows EPS near a low-to-mid single digit rate after a contained supplier disruption, continues disciplined buybacks, and the market assigns a roughly 16x to 19x earnings multiple.

Bearish case

$70 to $85

More likely if the supplier disruption drags into the holiday season, PC demand weakens, tariff or memory chip pressure rises, gaming or video collaboration growth stalls, margins compress, and the market applies a low-teens earnings multiple.

LOGI AI technical analysis

LOGI AI Technical Analysis

LOGI AI technical analysis is mixed as of the July 31, 2026 data cutoff. The price is below the 50-day moving average near $106.21 and right at the 200-day moving average near $102.47 after a 7.8% drop on July 29 following the supplier shutdown warning. RSI is neutral near 48.4, ATR is about 3.57, and the July 29 volume spike near 4.0 million shares versus a 1.24 million average shows selling pressure.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$102.48StockAnalysis, Finviz, and MacroTrends list LOGI closing at $102.48 on July 31, 2026.
50-day moving average$106.21StockAnalysis listed the 50-day simple moving average near $106.21; Finviz showed price about 3.5% below it around the cutoff.
200-day moving average$102.47StockAnalysis listed the 200-day simple moving average near $102.47; price is trading right at this level.
Near resistance$106.21 to $111.66The 50-day moving average near $106.21 is the first barrier, with the July 28 pre-drop close near $111.66 acting as the next resistance band.
52-week high$129.66MacroTrends and Yahoo Finance show a 52-week range of $83.32 to $129.66, with the all-time closing high at $126.69 on June 2, 2026.
Near support$100.00 to $101.57The psychological $100 round number and the July 30 close near $101.57 form the first support zone after the July 29 selloff.
Deeper support$93.00 to $96.00The band below $100 toward $93 to $96 is a prior consolidation area; GuruFocus GF Value of $98.86 sits just above it.
MomentumRSI about 48.4StockAnalysis and Finviz listed the 14-day RSI near 48.4, which is neutral rather than oversold or overbought.
VolumeAbout 1.2M on July 31 versus 4.0M on July 29Volume jumped to about 3.99 million shares on the July 29 drop versus a 1.24 million average, then settled near 1.2 million.
VolatilityATR (14) about 3.57Finviz listed ATR(14) near 3.57, implying short-term stops should allow for normal daily swings.
InvalidationClose below $93.00A decisive close below the $93 to $96 support band would weaken the range-bound framework and open the door toward the $85 area and the 52-week low of $83.32.

LOGI AI trading strategy

LOGI AI Trading Strategy Framework

The LOGI AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a cash-rich hardware leader facing a supplier disruption. It is not personal advice and should be paired with supplier reopening news, Q2 and Q3 FY2027 guidance, tariff updates, and a defined invalidation level.

Trend-following setup

Wait for LOGI to reclaim the 50-day moving average near $106.21 and the 200-day moving average near $102.47 on volume above the 1.24 million average, then confirm a break above the $111.66 gap area. Positive catalysts would include a supplier reopening date, stable Q2 FY2027 guidance, and no new tariff or memory chip shocks.

A failed breakout followed by a close back below the 200-day moving average near $102.47 should reduce confidence in the near-term trend setup.

Mean-reversion setup

If LOGI pulls back toward the $100.00 to $101.57 zone or the deeper $93.00 to $96.00 support band without deterioration in FY2027 outlook, gross margin, or buyback pace, compare the free cash flow yield and the $11.63 per share net cash position before assuming support is durable.

Do not average down without a maximum loss rule. A decisive close below $93.00 would signal a breakdown rather than a bounce.

Fundamental monitor

Track the supplier reopening date, Q2 FY2027 constant-currency growth guidance of 0% to 3%, the up-to-CHF-200-million Q3 revenue impact, gross margin near 44% to 45%, tariff refund developments, gaming and video collaboration growth, buyback pace, and the Middle East situation.

Reduce confidence if revenue growth and margins weaken while the multiple stays elevated, or if the supplier disruption extends past the fourth quarter.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Logitech makes the tools that connect people to digital work, play, and creation: mice, keyboards, gaming gear, webcams, video conferencing systems, headsets, and tablet accessories. Customers pay for design, reliability, cross-platform compatibility, and certified enterprise products.

Moat

The moat is a mix of brand trust, manufacturing scale, global distribution, certified enterprise video collaboration products used by more than 70% of the Fortune 500, and a broad portfolio spanning consumer and business channels. It is strongest in pointing devices and keyboards, but consumer switching costs are low.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if the supplier factory shutdown drags into the holiday season, if PC and gaming demand enter a prolonged downturn, if tariff refunds do not recur, if memory chip prices spike, or if enterprise video collaboration competition intensifies.

Management

Management should be judged by the durability of gross and operating margin, the speed of supplier recovery, the success of new AI-enabled products, disciplined capital allocation between dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment, and the ability to keep share count shrinking while revenue grows.

Industry trend

Logitech sits at the edge of hybrid work, gaming, content creation, and AI-enabled hardware, and video collaboration has now grown for five straight quarters. The long-term trend is supportive, but the business also depends on PC refresh cycles, trade policy, and component supply.

Valuation and margin of safety

At roughly 18x TTM GAAP EPS and 14x TTM free cash flow with a 7% FCF yield and $11.63 per share of net cash, LOGI is not obviously cheap. Margin of safety improves if the price falls toward the $93 to $100 support while cash, margins, and buyback discipline remain intact.

Source-backed data

LOGI Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
LOGI price$102.48 close on July 31, 2026StockAnalysis, Finviz, and MacroTrendsAugust 3, 2026
Market capitalizationAbout $14.6 billion, computed as $102.48 x 143.19 million shares, with StockAnalysis reporting $14.53 billion and Finviz reporting $14.71 billionStockAnalysis statistics and FinvizAugust 3, 2026
Q1 FY2027 net salesAbout $1.2 billion, up 7% in USD and 5% in constant currency, marking 10 consecutive quarters of growthLogitech Q1 FY2027 earnings call via MarketBeatAugust 3, 2026
Q1 FY2027 GAAP EPS$1.63, beating estimates on tariff refunds and premium demandGuruFocus Q1 FY2027 earnings summaryAugust 3, 2026
TTM revenue$4.92 billion for the twelve months ending June 30, 2026, up 6.6%StockAnalysis financialsAugust 3, 2026
TTM net income$800.87 million for the twelve months ending June 30, 2026, up 26.0%StockAnalysis financialsAugust 3, 2026
TTM diluted EPS$5.45 for the twelve months ending June 30, 2026, up 29.9%StockAnalysis financialsAugust 3, 2026
Cash and net debtCash and cash equivalents of $1.75 billion and total debt of $84.39 million, producing net cash of about $1.67 billion, or $11.63 per shareStockAnalysis statisticsAugust 3, 2026
Valuation multiplesPE 18.1x, PS 2.95x, PB 6.18x, P/FCF 14.3x, EV/EBITDA 13.56x, FCF yield 7.0%, dividend yield 1.55%StockAnalysis statistics and FinvizAugust 3, 2026
Technical snapshot50-day MA $106.21, 200-day MA $102.47, RSI 48.37, ATR(14) about 3.57, volume about 4.0 million on July 29 versus 1.24 million averageStockAnalysis and FinvizAugust 3, 2026
Analyst consensusHold rating from 10 analysts with an average price target near $108.60, low $84, high $141; recent cuts include JPMorgan to $120, Wedbush to $130, and Deutsche Bank to $93StockAnalysis forecastAugust 3, 2026
Supplier disruptionA semiconductor supplier factory shutdown is expected to reduce Q2 FY2027 revenue by about CHF 20 million and could cut Q3 revenue by up to CHF 200 million, with the issue largely resolved by Q4Logitech Q1 FY2027 earnings call via MarketBeatAugust 3, 2026
Capital returnsReturned about CHF 115 million through share repurchases in Q1 FY2027; a new $1.4 billion buyback program was approved in March 2026 and launched in May 2026Logitech press releasesAugust 3, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This LOGI AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell securities, and not a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of August 3, 2026 and may be wrong if the supplier shutdown extends, fundamentals, tariffs, PC demand, gaming cycles, component costs, or market conditions change.