JBS N.V. research snapshot

JBS AI Stock Analysis

JBS AI stock analysis currently reads JBS N.V. as a large, diversified animal-protein processor whose scale spans beef, pork, poultry, prepared foods, and multiple geographies. Fiscal 2025 revenue reached $86.18 billion and net income attributable to JBS was $2.02 billion, but first-quarter 2026 profitability weakened as North American beef and Pilgrim's Pride faced pressure. At the August 2, 2026 data cutoff, the latest accessible quote reference was $14.02 from the July 31, 2026 close and market capitalization was about $15.0 billion. The stock has moved above its 50-day moving average and analyst consensus is Buy with an average target near $18.11, but the low earnings multiple still needs to be weighed against $21.01 billion of net debt, a negative first-quarter free cash flow result, and material governance and ESG risks. This JBS AI stock analysis is informational only and is not investment advice.

Current price

$14.02

Market cap

$15.01 billion, verified from price and 1.07 billion shares

AI score

62 / 100

Rating

Global protein scale at a low earnings multiple with a recovering technical trend, offset by cattle-cycle losses, negative quarterly free cash flow, high net debt, and governance concentration

Trend status

Improving near-term trend: price is above the 50-day moving average with RSI near 69, but still below the 200-day moving average

Data cutoff (updated monthly)

August 4, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. JBS has audited annual and interim SEC financial statements, segment disclosures, earnings releases, market data, and broad coverage after its NYSE listing. The U.S. listed share history is still short, so technical history and market behavior have less depth than for long-listed peers.
bias Check
The key AI bias risk is treating JBS scale, the low headline P/E, the high dividend yield, and the recent price recovery as sufficient evidence of value. The counterweight is the cattle cycle, highly variable protein spreads, $21.01 billion net debt, negative Q1 2026 free cash flow, a 36.92% one-year share increase, a dual-class control structure, regulatory history, and deforestation, labor, food-safety, and animal-welfare exposure.
ai Confidence
High for reported fiscal 2025 revenue, net income, first-quarter 2026 results, shares, cash, debt, market-cap math, and valuation ratios because SEC and StockAnalysis data align. Medium for technical levels and forward scenarios because the NYSE listing is recent, commodity margins can move quickly, and the stock already rallied sharply into the cutoff.
investment Certainty
Low to medium. The business has global scale and multiple protein platforms, but investment certainty is lower than data confidence because cyclicality, leverage, concentrated voting control, dividend coverage, and non-financial stakeholder risks can change the outcome.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityJBS processes and sells beef, pork, lamb, poultry, prepared foods, leather, collagen, packaging, biodiesel, and related products across the Americas, Australia, Europe, and other markets.High
MoatScale, global sourcing, processing assets, distribution, brands, customer relationships, and a multi-protein portfolio matter, but commodity spreads and retailer bargaining power limit pricing durability.Medium
ManagementCEO Gilberto Tomazoni leads a global operating platform, while the Batista family retains concentrated control through Class B shares. Capital allocation, debt reduction, and governance remain central tests.Medium
Financial trendFiscal 2025 sales grew 11.7% to $86.18 billion and net income rose to $2.02 billion, but Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA fell 26% year over year and free cash flow was negative $1.5 billion.High
ValuationAt $14.02, financial_rigor.py calculates about 8.65x TTM EPS, 1.82x book value, 50.07x TTM free cash flow per share, and a 14.27% indicated dividend yield.High
Technical trendThe setup improved. StockAnalysis listed a $12.39 50-day average, a $14.44 200-day average, and a 69.21 RSI against the $14.02 July 31, 2026 close, with price above the 50-day average.Medium-high
Risk levelRisk is high because JBS combines protein-cycle volatility, leverage, working-capital demands, food and labor risks, litigation and regulation, environmental exposure, and dual-class control.High
AI confidenceHistorical data confidence is high, while forecast confidence is medium-low because earnings depend on cattle, feed, poultry, export, currency, and capital-market conditions.High data confidence
Investment certaintyA low multiple is not by itself a margin of safety. Investment certainty improves only if cash conversion and beef profitability recover while leverage and governance risks stay contained.Low-medium

JBS AI stock forecast

JBS AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The JBS AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $14.02 quote and $1.62 TTM EPS. The audited three-year framework produced values near $22.80 in the bullish case, $15.00 in the base case, and $9.70 in the bearish case before dividends. These are scenario outputs, not price promises, and the stock already rose about 19% between the July 11 and August 2, 2026 checks.

Bullish case

$20 to $24

More likely if North American beef spreads recover as the cattle cycle normalizes, Seara and USA Pork sustain margins, Pilgrim's Pride operations improve, free cash flow turns positive, net leverage declines, and investors apply about 10x higher earnings.

Base case

$13 to $17

More likely if earnings stay near flat to low single digits, beef remains difficult but does not deteriorate further, other protein units offset part of the pressure, cash conversion recovers after seasonal working-capital use, and the market applies about 8x earnings.

Bearish case

$8 to $12

More likely if cattle costs and weak spreads persist, poultry margins soften, working capital consumes cash, debt stays elevated, dividend coverage tightens, or governance and ESG events raise the risk premium toward a 6x earnings multiple.

JBS AI technical analysis

JBS AI Technical Analysis

JBS AI technical analysis improved as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. The latest accessible July 31, 2026 close was $14.02, above the StockAnalysis 50-day moving-average reference of $12.39 but still below the 200-day reference of $14.44. RSI of 69.21 shows strengthening momentum after the recovery off the July lows, though it is no longer an oversold signal.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$14.02StockAnalysis July 31, 2026 close used in market-cap verification.
Near support$12.39StockAnalysis 50-day moving-average reference. The first zone to monitor if the rally pauses.
Lower support$11.50 to $12The July consolidation area rather than a vendor-derived pivot. Confirm it with live chart data before acting.
Near resistance$14.44StockAnalysis 200-day moving-average reference as of the cutoff. A durable reclaim would be stronger trend evidence.
Higher resistance$14.86 to $15Near the low end of analyst price targets and a round-number zone. Watch whether buyers defend or reject this area.
Moving averages50-day $12.39 and 200-day $14.44Price was above the 50-day and slightly below the 200-day in the latest available snapshot.
MomentumRSI 69.21Momentum strengthened after the July rebound, moving from near oversold toward overbought.
Volume20-day average 4.68 million sharesWatch whether a move above $14.44 occurs with materially stronger-than-average volume.
VolatilityEvent and commodity sensitiveEarnings, cattle pricing, currency, dividend news, ESG headlines, and regulatory developments can widen volatility.
InvalidationFailure to hold the $12.39 50-day areaA sustained break below the 50-day moving average would weaken the recovery thesis.

JBS AI trading strategy

JBS AI Trading Strategy Framework

The JBS AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. It links price action to cattle spreads, protein margins, cash conversion, leverage, working capital, dividend policy, governance disclosures, and regulatory or ESG developments.

Trend-following setup

Wait for JBS to reclaim and hold the $14.44 200-day area on stronger-than-average volume, with supporting evidence that beef losses are narrowing and group cash flow is recovering.

A failed reclaim or a close back below the $12.39 50-day support zone weakens the setup. Avoid treating the post-recovery P/E as technical confirmation.

Mean-reversion setup

If JBS pulls back toward the $12.39 50-day area, compare live price with updated earnings, free cash flow, net debt, cattle costs, segment margins, and dividend coverage before considering a reversal thesis.

Do not chase the stock after the recent sharp rally solely on momentum. A lower entry still depends on cash conversion and beef profitability, not on price alone.

Fundamental monitor

Track JBS Beef North America spreads, Seara margin, USA Pork profit, Pilgrim's Pride results, working capital, capex, free cash flow, net leverage, debt maturities, dividends, share count changes, Class A and Class B ownership, and environmental and legal disclosures.

Size risk for a cyclical, highly levered protein processor. Reassess if free cash flow stays negative outside the normal seasonal pattern, if dividend coverage tightens, or if governance and regulatory risks intensify.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay JBS for dependable supply of animal protein and related food products across retail, foodservice, industrial, and export channels. The business earns when procurement, plant utilization, yield, logistics, branded products, and protein spreads work together.

Moat

JBS has scale in sourcing, slaughter and processing capacity, distribution, multi-country operations, brands such as Seara and Pilgrim's, and customer relationships. This is a scale moat, not a permanent pricing-power moat, because livestock and feed markets can compress margins quickly.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if cattle availability keeps U.S. beef spreads negative, poultry demand or margins weaken, working capital repeatedly consumes cash, debt constrains flexibility, food-safety or labor events disrupt operations, or governance and environmental controversy raise the cost of capital.

Management

Gilberto Tomazoni leads a broad operating group with recurring tests in capital allocation, debt discipline, portfolio integration, and environmental controls. The Batista family controls 85.68% of aggregate voting power through the dual-class structure, so minority shareholders must weigh execution against control concentration.

Industry trend

Global protein demand can grow with population, incomes, convenience foods, and export trade, but it remains cyclical. Cattle supply, feed, disease, trade restrictions, currency, consumer affordability, retailer power, labor, and regulation can outweigh secular volume growth in any year.

Valuation and margin of safety

At about 8.65x TTM EPS, JBS looks inexpensive on earnings and carries a high 14.27% indicated dividend yield, but TTM free cash flow per share was only $0.28. The margin of safety depends on normalized cash conversion and debt reduction, not on the headline multiple or yield alone.

Source-backed data

JBS Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
Fiscal 2025 revenue and net income$86.184 billion revenue and $2.024 billion net income attributable to JBSJBS fiscal 2025 earnings release filed with the SECAugust 2, 2026
Fiscal 2025 free cash flow and leverage$400 million free cash flow and 2.4x net debt to adjusted EBITDAJBS fiscal 2025 earnings release filed with the SECAugust 2, 2026
Q1 2026 revenue, EBITDA, net income, and EPS$21.609 billion revenue, $1.133 billion IFRS adjusted EBITDA, $221 million net income, and $0.21 EPSJBS Q1 2026 earnings release filed with the SECAugust 2, 2026
Q1 2026 segment and cash-flow contextNorth American beef adjusted EBITDA was negative $267 million and quarterly free cash flow was negative $1.5 billionJBS Q1 2026 earnings release filed with the SECAugust 2, 2026
Cash and basic shares outstanding$3.295 billion cash and 1.071 billion weighted-average basic shares at March 31, 2026JBS Q1 2026 interim financial statements filed with the SECAugust 2, 2026
TTM fundamentals and technical indicators$88.27 billion revenue, $1.62 EPS, $3.29 billion cash, $24.30 billion debt, $296.18 million free cash flow, 50-day $12.39, 200-day $14.44, RSI 69.21StockAnalysis statisticsAugust 2, 2026
Market capitalization verification$15.01 billion verified as $14.02 multiplied by 1.07 billion shares, a 0.04% difference from reported market capfinancial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis market capitalizationAugust 2, 2026
Analyst consensusConsensus Buy with an $18.11 average price target from 15 analysts, range $14.86 to $20.21StockAnalysis forecast based on S&P Global Market IntelligenceAugust 2, 2026
Voting controlJoesley and Wesley Batista held 100% of Class B shares and 31.28% of Class A shares, representing 85.68% of aggregate voting powerJBS 2025 Form 20-F summaryAugust 2, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This JBS AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of the cutoff date and can be wrong if JBS fundamentals, protein markets, leverage, governance, regulatory exposure, or market conditions change.