JBS N.V. research snapshot
JBS AI stock analysis currently reads JBS N.V. as a large, diversified animal-protein processor whose scale spans beef, pork, poultry, prepared foods, and multiple geographies. Fiscal 2025 revenue reached $86.18 billion and net income attributable to JBS was $2.02 billion, but first-quarter 2026 profitability weakened as North American beef and Pilgrim's Pride faced pressure. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, the latest verified quote reference was $11.75 and market capitalization was about $12.58 billion. The low earnings multiple needs to be weighed against $21.01 billion of net debt, a negative first-quarter free cash flow result, and material governance and ESG risks. This JBS AI stock analysis is informational only and is not investment advice.
Current price
$11.75
Market cap
$12.58 billion, verified from price and 1.071 billion shares
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Global protein scale at a low earnings multiple, offset by cattle-cycle losses, high net debt, governance concentration, and execution risk
Trend status
Weak near-term trend, below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with RSI near 38
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | JBS processes and sells beef, pork, lamb, poultry, prepared foods, leather, collagen, packaging, biodiesel, and related products across the Americas, Australia, Europe, and other markets. | High |
| Moat | Scale, global sourcing, processing assets, distribution, brands, customer relationships, and a multi-protein portfolio matter, but commodity spreads and retailer bargaining power limit pricing durability. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Gilberto Tomazoni leads a global operating platform, while the Batista family retains concentrated control through Class B shares. Capital allocation, debt reduction, and governance remain central tests. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Fiscal 2025 sales grew 11.7% to $86.18 billion and net income rose to $2.02 billion, but Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA fell 26% year over year and free cash flow was negative $1.5 billion. | High |
| Valuation | At $11.75, financial_rigor.py calculates about 7.25x TTM EPS, 1.53x book value, 41.96x TTM free cash flow per share, and a 17.02% indicated dividend yield. | High |
| Technical trend | The setup is weak. StockAnalysis listed a $13.22 50-day average, $14.56 200-day average, and 37.95 RSI against the $11.75 July 9 quote reference. | Medium-high |
| Risk level | Risk is high because JBS combines protein-cycle volatility, leverage, working-capital demands, food and labor risks, litigation and regulation, environmental exposure, and dual-class control. | High |
| AI confidence | Historical data confidence is high, while forecast confidence is medium-low because earnings depend on cattle, feed, poultry, export, currency, and capital-market conditions. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | A low multiple is not by itself a margin of safety. Investment certainty improves only if cash conversion and beef profitability recover while leverage and governance risks stay contained. | Low-medium |
JBS AI stock forecast
The JBS AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $11.75 quote and $1.62 TTM EPS. The audited three-year framework produced values near $20.40 in the bullish case, $14.20 in the base case, and $7.60 in the bearish case before dividends. These are scenario outputs, not price promises.
$18 to $21
More likely if North American beef spreads recover as the cattle cycle normalizes, Seara and USA Pork sustain margins, Pilgrim's Pride operations improve, free cash flow turns positive, net leverage declines, and investors apply about 10x higher earnings.
$13 to $15
More likely if earnings grow near low single digits, beef remains difficult but does not deteriorate further, other protein units offset part of the pressure, cash conversion recovers after seasonal working-capital use, and the market applies about 8x earnings.
$7 to $9
More likely if cattle costs and weak spreads persist, poultry margins soften, working capital consumes cash, debt stays elevated, dividend expectations reset, or governance and ESG events raise the risk premium toward a 6x earnings multiple.
JBS AI technical analysis
JBS AI technical analysis is weak as of the July 11, 2026 data cutoff. The latest accessible July 9 quote was $11.75, below StockAnalysis moving-average references of $13.22 for 50 days and $14.56 for 200 days. RSI of 37.95 shows weak momentum, but it is not a standalone reversal signal.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $11.75 | StockAnalysis July 9, 2026 quote reference used in market-cap verification. |
| Near support | $11.50 to $11.75 | The current quote area is the first zone to monitor. A durable break below it would keep the weak trend intact. |
| Lower support | $10 to $11 | A round-number risk zone rather than a vendor-derived pivot. Confirm it with live chart data before acting. |
| Near resistance | $13.22 | StockAnalysis 50-day moving-average reference as of the cutoff. |
| Higher resistance | $14.56 | StockAnalysis 200-day moving-average reference. Reclaiming this area would be stronger trend evidence. |
| Moving averages | 50-day $13.22 and 200-day $14.56 | Price was below both averages in the latest available snapshot. |
| Momentum | RSI 37.95 | Momentum was weak but not proof of an oversold reversal. |
| Volume | 20-day average 6.85 million shares | Watch whether a move above $13.22 occurs with materially stronger-than-average volume. |
| Volatility | Event and commodity sensitive | Earnings, cattle pricing, currency, dividend news, ESG headlines, and regulatory developments can widen volatility. |
| Invalidation | Failure to hold the $11.50 to $11.75 area | A sustained break below the current support zone would invalidate a short-term stabilization thesis. |
JBS AI trading strategy
The JBS AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework, not personalized advice. It links price action to cattle spreads, protein margins, cash conversion, leverage, working capital, dividend policy, governance disclosures, and regulatory or ESG developments.
Wait for JBS to reclaim and hold the $13.22 50-day area on stronger-than-average volume, with supporting evidence that beef losses are narrowing and group cash flow is recovering.
A failed reclaim or a close below the $11.50 to $11.75 support zone weakens the setup. Avoid treating a low P/E as technical confirmation.
If JBS stabilizes near the current area, compare live price with updated earnings, free cash flow, net debt, cattle costs, segment margins, and dividend coverage before considering a reversal thesis.
Do not average down solely because the share price falls. A lower price can reflect a longer cattle cycle, weaker cash generation, or a higher governance risk premium.
Track JBS Beef North America spreads, Seara margin, USA Pork profit, Pilgrim's Pride results, working capital, capex, free cash flow, net leverage, debt maturities, dividends, Class A and Class B ownership, and environmental and legal disclosures.
Size risk for a cyclical, highly levered protein processor. Reassess if free cash flow stays negative outside the normal seasonal pattern or if governance and regulatory risks intensify.
Investment research summary
Customers pay JBS for dependable supply of animal protein and related food products across retail, foodservice, industrial, and export channels. The business earns when procurement, plant utilization, yield, logistics, branded products, and protein spreads work together.
JBS has scale in sourcing, slaughter and processing capacity, distribution, multi-country operations, brands such as Seara and Pilgrim's, and customer relationships. This is a scale moat, not a permanent pricing-power moat, because livestock and feed markets can compress margins quickly.
The thesis fails if cattle availability keeps U.S. beef spreads negative, poultry demand or margins weaken, working capital repeatedly consumes cash, debt constrains flexibility, food-safety or labor events disrupt operations, or governance and environmental controversy raise the cost of capital.
Gilberto Tomazoni leads a broad operating group with recurring tests in capital allocation, debt discipline, portfolio integration, and environmental controls. The Batista family controls 85.68% of aggregate voting power through the dual-class structure, so minority shareholders must weigh execution against control concentration.
Global protein demand can grow with population, incomes, convenience foods, and export trade, but it remains cyclical. Cattle supply, feed, disease, trade restrictions, currency, consumer affordability, retailer power, labor, and regulation can outweigh secular volume growth in any year.
At about 7.25x TTM EPS, JBS looks inexpensive on earnings but not on TTM free cash flow, which was only $0.28 per share. The margin of safety depends on normalized cash conversion and debt reduction, not on the headline multiple alone.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiscal 2025 revenue and net income | $86.184 billion revenue and $2.024 billion net income attributable to JBS | JBS fiscal 2025 earnings release filed with the SEC | July 11, 2026 |
| Fiscal 2025 free cash flow and leverage | $400 million free cash flow and 2.4x net debt to adjusted EBITDA | JBS fiscal 2025 earnings release filed with the SEC | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue, EBITDA, net income, and EPS | $21.609 billion revenue, $1.133 billion IFRS adjusted EBITDA, $221 million net income, and $0.21 EPS | JBS Q1 2026 earnings release filed with the SEC | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment and cash-flow context | North American beef adjusted EBITDA was negative $267 million and quarterly free cash flow was negative $1.5 billion | JBS Q1 2026 earnings release filed with the SEC | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash and basic shares outstanding | $3.295 billion cash and 1.071 billion weighted-average basic shares at March 31, 2026 | JBS Q1 2026 interim financial statements filed with the SEC | July 11, 2026 |
| TTM fundamentals and technical indicators | $88.27 billion revenue, $1.62 EPS, $3.29 billion cash, $24.30 billion debt, $296.18 million free cash flow, 50-day $13.22, 200-day $14.56, RSI 37.95 | StockAnalysis statistics | July 11, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $12.58 billion verified as $11.75 multiplied by 1.071 billion shares, a 0.02% difference from reported market cap | financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis market capitalization | July 11, 2026 |
| Voting control | Joesley and Wesley Batista held 100% of Class B shares and 31.28% of Class A shares, representing 85.68% of aggregate voting power | JBS 2025 Form 20-F summary | July 11, 2026 |
This JBS AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available data as of the cutoff date and can be wrong if JBS fundamentals, protein markets, leverage, governance, regulatory exposure, or market conditions change.
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