HEICO Corporation research snapshot
HEI AI stock analysis currently sees HEICO Corporation as a high-quality aerospace and defense compounder built around FAA-approved aftermarket parts, repair services, and mission-critical electronics. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, the latest available HEI close was $347.78 on July 8, with a verified market capitalization of about $48.57 billion. Record fiscal second-quarter results support the operating thesis, but the stock already prices in sustained growth and disciplined acquisitions, so this is a scenario-based assessment rather than a precise AI stock prediction.
Current price
$347.78
Market cap
$48.57 billion verified market cap
AI score
74 / 100
Rating
High-quality aerospace compounder with strong execution, acquisition leverage, and elevated valuation risk
Trend status
Constructive, above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages but below the 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | HEICO sells FAA-approved replacement parts, repair and distribution services, and mission-critical electronic, defense, space, medical, and industrial products where reliability and certification matter. | High |
| Moat | Certification, engineering know-how, niche product breadth, customer qualification, decentralized operating expertise, and a long acquisition record create meaningful barriers, though they do not eliminate program and cycle risk. | High |
| Management | Co-CEOs Eric and Victor Mendelson continue the company's decentralized model and acquisition-led capital allocation. The central test is preserving return discipline as debt and deal activity rise. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue reached $4.911 billion and net income attributable to HEICO reached $789.63 million. Fiscal Q2 2026 sales rose 25% and net income attributable to HEICO rose 49% year over year. | High |
| Valuation | At $347.78, HEI traded near 62.1x TTM EPS, 52.9x free cash flow per share, and roughly 9.9x sales. Strong quality is already reflected in the price. | High |
| Technical trend | The latest available close was above the 50-day average near $320.35 and 200-day average near $315.66. RSI near 57.23 was positive without being extreme. | Medium |
| Risk level | The major risks are premium-multiple compression, acquired-business integration, higher debt, aerospace and defense demand disruption, supplier constraints, and margin pressure from mix or execution. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Public financial and operating data are rich enough for high descriptive confidence, but technical timing and return forecasts remain conditional. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. The operating model has a durable record, while the current valuation leaves less room for execution mistakes. | Medium |
HEI AI stock forecast
The HEI AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a fixed prediction. A three-year mechanical model using the $347.78 reference price, $5.60 TTM EPS, and different growth and valuation assumptions produces roughly $282 in a bear case, $444 in a base case, and $598 in a bullish case. Those outputs are not price targets and exclude the possibility that acquisitions, margins, earnings quality, or market multiples change materially.
$570 to $610
More likely if HEICO sustains high-teens earnings growth, commercial aftermarket and defense demand remain strong, acquired businesses integrate well, cash conversion improves, and investors continue to pay a mid-60s earnings multiple.
$420 to $465
More likely if EPS compounds near the low teens, organic demand stays healthy across Flight Support and Electronic Technologies, acquisition leverage remains manageable, and the multiple settles near the mid-50s.
$265 to $300
More likely if aerospace or defense demand slows, acquisition integration dilutes margins, debt costs rise, free cash flow disappoints, or the market resets HEI closer to a 40x earnings multiple.
HEI AI technical analysis
HEI AI technical analysis is constructive but requires risk discipline as of the July 11, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis reported a latest available July 8 close of $347.78, a 52-week range of $256.11 to $369.48, a 50-day moving average of $320.35, a 200-day moving average of $315.66, RSI of 57.23, and 20-day average volume of 454,546 shares.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $347.78 | Latest available StockAnalysis close, dated July 8, 2026. |
| Immediate support | $345 to $350 | This is the nearest price area around the latest close and needs to hold for short-term stability. |
| Moving-average support | $320.35 | The 50-day moving average is the first trend support reference after a pullback. |
| Major support | $315.66 | The 200-day moving average is the larger trend test. |
| Near resistance | $352 to $355 | This area brackets the latest reported intraday range and is the first confirmation zone for renewed upside. |
| Major resistance | $369.48 | The reported 52-week high is the next major breakout reference. |
| Momentum | RSI 57.23 | Momentum was positive but not overbought at the latest source update. |
| Volume | 454,546 shares, 20-day average | A move through resistance carries more weight when volume exceeds the recent average. |
| Volatility | Beta 1.03 | HEI has recently shown market-like sensitivity, but earnings and valuation repricing can cause larger single-stock moves. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $320, then $316 | A break below the 50-day average weakens the near-term structure; a break below the 200-day average challenges the larger trend. |
HEI AI trading strategy
The HEI AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal advice. It combines technical confirmation with quarterly organic sales, segment margins, acquisition spending, leverage, cash conversion, commercial aviation activity, defense demand, and valuation discipline.
Watch for HEI to clear and hold above $352 to $355 with volume above the 20-day average, while quarterly sales, segment margins, and cash flow remain consistent with the growth thesis.
A failed breakout followed by a sustained close below $320 should reduce trend confidence, particularly if it follows weaker margins, slower organic growth, or acquisition-related leverage pressure.
If HEI pulls back toward the $320 to $316 moving-average area, compare the lower price with forward earnings, free cash flow, net debt, organic growth, acquisition integration, and peer aerospace valuations.
Do not treat a pullback as automatically attractive if demand slows, margin gains reverse, debt rises faster than earnings, or the multiple remains disconnected from conservative earnings assumptions.
Track fiscal Q3 results, Flight Support and Electronic Technologies organic growth, segment margins, acquisition announcements, debt and net-debt-to-EBITDA, operating cash flow, free cash flow, aircraft utilization, and defense or space demand.
Position size should reflect both execution risk and the fact that a premium multiple can decline even when HEICO remains a strong company.
Investment research summary
Customers pay HEICO to obtain certified replacement parts, repair services, distribution, and high-reliability electronic components where downtime, performance, certification, or mission failure can be costly. The company turns niche engineering and customer qualification into recurring aerospace and electronics demand.
HEICO benefits from FAA approvals, engineering knowledge, customer qualification, specialized product portfolios, repair capabilities, a decentralized operating model, and long-built relationships across commercial aviation, defense, space, medical, and industrial markets. Its moat is real but must be replenished through product execution and careful acquisitions.
The thesis can fail if commercial aviation or defense demand weakens, program mix damages margins, acquisitions are overpaid or poorly integrated, leverage rises faster than earnings, suppliers constrain output, customers change sourcing, or a premium valuation falls despite healthy operations.
Eric and Victor Mendelson lead HEICO as Co-Chairmen and Co-CEOs. The management case rests on decades of decentralized operations, selective acquisitions, and focus on long-term value. The key question is whether that discipline remains intact as the company grows and debt funds additional deals.
Commercial fleet utilization, aircraft maintenance demand, defense modernization, space and electronic-system complexity, and the need for reliable components support long-term demand. The industry remains exposed to airline cycles, government budgets, supply-chain capacity, and program-level concentration.
At $347.78, HEI implies continued high-quality growth. A margin of safety depends less on the headline quality of the franchise and more on entry price, organic growth persistence, cash conversion, acquisition returns, and whether investors keep paying a premium multiple.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| HEI quote reference | $347.78 close on July 8, 2026, with a $344.41 to $354.89 reported day range and a $256.11 to $369.48 52-week range | StockAnalysis HEI overview | July 11, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $48.57 billion reported and $48.57 billion calculated from $347.78 x 139.66 million shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis HEI overview | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $4.485 billion, cross-validated between Macrotrends and StockAnalysis | Macrotrends HEICO revenue history | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | $745.55 million consolidated net income, cross-validated between HEICO SEC reporting and StockAnalysis | HEICO fiscal 2025 Form 10-K and StockAnalysis HEI financials | July 11, 2026 |
| Fiscal Q2 2026 operating results | $1.376 billion net sales, $350.4 million operating income, $233.8 million net income attributable to HEICO, and $1.66 diluted EPS | HEICO fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Segment growth | Fiscal Q2 2026 Flight Support Group sales of $929.4 million and Electronic Technologies Group sales of $459.5 million, with strong reported organic growth in both groups | HEICO fiscal Q2 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $210.34 million cash and cash equivalents and $2.59 billion total debt at April 30, 2026, cross-checked with the HEICO 10-Q and StockAnalysis | HEICO fiscal Q2 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash flow | $997.11 million TTM operating cash flow, $925.97 million TTM free cash flow, and $6.63 TTM free cash flow per share | StockAnalysis HEI statistics | July 11, 2026 |
| Valuation metrics | About 62.1x TTM PE, 10.2x price to book, 52.9x price to free cash flow, 1.89% free-cash-flow yield, and 0.07% dividend yield verified by financial_rigor.py | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis HEI statistics | July 11, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day moving average $320.35, 200-day moving average $315.66, RSI 57.23, 20-day average volume 454,546 shares, and beta 1.03 | StockAnalysis HEI statistics | July 11, 2026 |
This HEI AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of July 11, 2026 and can be wrong if earnings, aviation demand, defense budgets, acquisition execution, debt costs, valuation, or investor sentiment change.
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