GE Aerospace research snapshot
GE AI stock analysis currently reads GE Aerospace as a focused aircraft engine and aerospace systems company with strong commercial services demand, a large backlog, and improving operating performance. At the July 8, 2026 data cutoff, GE traded near $366.98, with a verified market value near $382.88 billion. The bull case is tied to engine installed base growth, spare parts demand, services pricing, defense propulsion, and FLIGHT DECK execution. The caution is valuation: GE trades at a high earnings and free cash flow multiple, so the GE AI stock forecast depends on sustained earnings growth rather than a simple low-multiple value setup.
Current price
$366.98
Market cap
$382.88 billion verified market cap
AI score
72 / 100
Rating
High-quality aerospace engine franchise with strong backlog and valuation risk
Trend status
Long-term uptrend intact, short-term momentum overbought after a sharp advance
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | GE Aerospace sells commercial engines, engine services, spare parts, defense propulsion, and aerospace systems into long-cycle aviation markets with recurring aftermarket demand. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from certified engine technology, installed base, service contracts, safety-critical qualification, defense relationships, manufacturing know-how, and switching costs once an engine platform is selected. | High |
| Management | Larry Culp has led the portfolio simplification and now runs a focused aerospace company using FLIGHT DECK for lean operating improvement, capital returns, and margin discipline. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue was about $45.9 billion, earnings were about $8.7 billion, adjusted revenue rose 21%, operating profit rose 25%, and free cash flow rose 24% to $7.7 billion. | High |
| Valuation | At $366.98, audited math shows about 44.4x EPS, 21.2x book value, 51.3x free cash flow per share, 7.9x sales per share, and a 0.51% dividend yield. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The larger trend remains positive because GE is above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, but RSI readings from public technical sources show a stretched near-term setup. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are aircraft delivery delays, supplier bottlenecks, tariff costs, airline demand cycles, defense budget shifts, engine durability issues, warranty costs, and valuation compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because data coverage is deep. Forecast confidence is medium because the stock price is sensitive to growth expectations and multiple changes. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium at this price. GE owns a strong franchise, but the current valuation leaves less room for normal aerospace-cycle disappointment. | Medium |
GE AI stock forecast
The GE AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $366.98 data cutoff price. The audited three-year model used EPS of $8.27, annual EPS growth assumptions of 15%, 8%, and 0%, and target PE multiples of 45x, 35x, and 25x. It produced valuation anchors near $566, $365, and $207 before dividends. These are scenario ranges, not guaranteed targets.
$540 to $580
More likely if commercial engine services keep growing, backlog converts into profitable revenue, LEAP and widebody engine demand remain strong, defense propulsion improves, tariffs are offset, and the market keeps assigning GE a premium aerospace multiple.
$345 to $385
More likely if GE delivers solid earnings growth but the stock stays near a mid-to-high 30s PE multiple as investors balance backlog strength against supplier constraints and high starting valuation.
$190 to $220
More likely if shop visit growth slows, new engine losses or warranty costs rise, aircraft production is delayed, tariff or supply-chain costs persist, or the market rerates GE closer to a mature industrial multiple.
GE AI technical analysis
GE AI technical analysis is positive but stretched as of the July 8, 2026 cutoff. StockAnalysis showed GE near $366.98 after a July 7 close, a 52-week range of $243.34 to $382.97, a 50-day moving average near $322.67, a 200-day moving average near $310.22, and RSI near 63.37. Investing.com showed a daily Strong Buy signal but weaker short-term oscillator readings, including RSI near 38.46 and MACD near -1.95. TipRanks showed moving averages as Strong Buy but RSI in overbought territory on its July 7 snapshot.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $366.98 | July 7, 2026 close from Macrotrends and the quote reference used for market-cap verification. |
| Immediate support | $363 to $366 | Investing.com pivot data showed classic S3 near $363.32 and S1 near $365.24, close to the cutoff price. |
| Short moving average | $366.58 to $375.34 | Investing.com listed a 5-day moving average near $366.58, while TipRanks listed its July 7 MA5 near $375.34. |
| 50-day trend area | $322 to $373 | StockAnalysis showed the 50-day average near $322.67, while Investing.com showed a higher daily 50-day reference near $372.92. The spread reflects source timing and calculation differences. |
| 200-day support | $309 to $345 | StockAnalysis and TipRanks showed 200-day averages near $309 to $310, while Investing.com showed a higher daily reference near $345.12. |
| Near resistance | $378 to $383 | The July 6 all-time closing high near $378.68 and the 52-week high near $382.97 define the first major resistance zone. |
| Momentum | Mixed RSI readings from 38.46 to 76.60 | Different sources and timestamps disagree on oscillator state, so live confirmation is needed before using momentum signals. |
| Volume | About 4.3 million shares versus 5.1 million 20-day average | StockAnalysis showed July 8 quote volume near 4.26 million and 20-day average volume near 5.14 million. |
| Volatility | ATR near 9.67 on TipRanks | A roughly $10 ATR argues for wider stop distances and smaller position sizing than a low-volatility industrial setup. |
| Invalidation | Close below $363, then below the 50-day area | A close below the immediate pivot band would weaken the short-term setup. A sustained break below the 50-day area would challenge the current trend. |
GE AI trading strategy
The GE AI trading strategy below is a rules-based framework, not personal financial advice. It connects price action with Q2 2026 earnings, commercial engine services growth, backlog conversion, free cash flow, tariff mitigation, supplier progress, and valuation discipline.
Watch for GE to reclaim and hold the $378 to $383 resistance zone while Q2 results confirm services growth, backlog durability, margin execution, and free cash flow conversion.
A failed breakout followed by a close below $363 should reduce confidence because the stock already prices in strong aerospace execution.
If GE pulls back toward the 50-day trend area without a cut to revenue, EPS, backlog, or free cash flow expectations, compare the reset price with the audited base scenario and peer aerospace multiples.
Do not average down solely because GE is a high-quality aerospace franchise. Require evidence that services volume, pricing, and supply-chain progress remain intact.
Track Q2 2026 earnings, Commercial Engines & Services revenue, shop visits, spare parts growth, Defense & Propulsion performance, backlog, cash, debt, buybacks, dividend policy, tariffs, and supplier delivery commentary.
Lower the rating if EPS growth slows while GE still trades near a premium multiple or if cash conversion falls behind operating profit growth.
Investment research summary
Customers pay GE Aerospace because certified jet engines, propulsion systems, and safety-critical services are hard to design, certify, operate, and replace once embedded in an aircraft fleet.
GE benefits from engine IP, certification barriers, installed base, service networks, long-term customer agreements, defense relationships, and scale. The moat is strongest in aftermarket services, where reliability and uptime matter more than lowest upfront price.
The thesis fails if aircraft production delays reduce equipment volume, if shop visits normalize faster than expected, if engine durability or warranty costs rise, if tariffs and suppliers pressure margins, or if a high PE multiple compresses.
Larry Culp simplified the former GE portfolio and now leads a focused aerospace company. The key test is whether FLIGHT DECK can keep improving operations after the easy benefits of separation and cycle recovery fade.
Commercial air travel, fleet modernization, widebody recovery, defense propulsion, and high-utilization engine services support a long-cycle demand backdrop. The industry remains exposed to airline economics, supply constraints, and geopolitics.
At about 44x EPS and 51x free cash flow per share, GE offers quality and momentum, but margin of safety is limited unless earnings compound and the market sustains a premium aerospace valuation.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE quote reference | $366.98 latest closing stock price as of July 7, 2026 | Macrotrends GE Aerospace stock price history | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $382.88 billion reported market cap, audited against $366.98 x about 1.043 billion shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis GE statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | About 1.04 billion shares outstanding, down 2.37% year over year | StockAnalysis GE statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue and earnings | $45.86 billion revenue and about $8.70 billion earnings, cross-checked against GE FY2025 release revenue of $45.9 billion | StockAnalysis GE financials and GE Aerospace FY2025 release | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 operating profit and free cash flow | $9.1 billion operating profit and $7.7 billion free cash flow, both non-GAAP company measures | GE Aerospace 2025 annual report | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | $17.3 billion orders, $8.9 billion Commercial Engines & Services revenue, and $3.2 billion Defense & Propulsion Technologies revenue | GE Aerospace Q1 2026 results release | July 8, 2026 |
| Backlog | Backlog was over $210 billion in Q1 2026, after ending 2025 near $190 billion | GE Aerospace Q1 2026 investor update and 2025 annual report | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $11.0 billion total cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash in Q1 2026; StockAnalysis showed $10.58 billion cash and $21.32 billion debt | GE Aerospace Q1 2026 10-Q and StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 45.56x trailing PE, 7.93x sales, 21.20x book value, 51.36x free cash flow, and 0.50% dividend yield | StockAnalysis GE statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day average near $322.67, 200-day average near $310.22, RSI near 63.37, and 52-week range of $243.34 to $382.97 | StockAnalysis GE quote and statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical cross-check | Investing.com daily signal Strong Buy with RSI near 38.46, MACD near -1.95, 5-day average near $366.58, 50-day average near $372.92, and 200-day average near $345.12 | Investing.com GE technical analysis | July 8, 2026 |
This GE AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data at the July 8, 2026 cutoff and may be wrong if earnings, valuation, technical conditions, or market risk change.
