Flutter Entertainment plc research snapshot
FLUT AI stock analysis currently sees Flutter Entertainment as a scale leader in online sports betting and iGaming, led by FanDuel in the United States and supported by international brands including Sky Betting & Gaming, Paddy Power, Betfair, PokerStars, Sisal, Snai, and Sportsbet. At the July 11, 2026 data cutoff, the reference price was $111.32 and exact market-cap math using 174.4 million March shares was about $19.41 billion. Revenue growth and market positions are real strengths, while high debt, regulatory and tax changes, customer-friendly sporting results, acquisition integration, prediction-market investment, and weak GAAP earnings raise the risk. This is an informational research tool, not investment advice.
Current price
$111.32 reference close
Market cap
$19.41 billion verified market cap
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Leading online betting and iGaming operator with valuable scale, fast revenue growth, substantial debt, regulatory exposure, and uncertain earnings conversion
Trend status
Mixed: the June 29 technical snapshot placed price above the 50-day average but below the 200-day average; a recent quote remained far below the 52-week high
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 11, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Flutter earns betting and iGaming revenue across the United States, UK and Ireland, Australia, and International markets. Q1 2026 revenue was $4.304 billion, up 17% year over year. | High |
| Moat | FanDuel scale, product data, brand, licenses, customer wallets, media relationships, and multi-brand geographic reach are advantages, but bettors can switch apps and regulation can alter economics. | Medium-high |
| Management | Management is allocating capital among buybacks, debt service, acquisition integration, product and technology investment, and new prediction-market initiatives. The key test is disciplined returns on those uses of cash. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose about 17% to $16.4 billion and Q1 2026 revenue rose 17% to $4.304 billion, but FY2025 reported net income was negative and Q1 US adjusted EBITDA fell as Flutter invested in prediction markets and launches. | High |
| Valuation | At the $111.32 reference price, tool-checked TTM GAAP EPS was negative, while price to free cash flow per share was about 25.13x. Enterprise-value metrics require attention because March total debt was $11.965 billion. | High |
| Technical trend | The most recent cited technical snapshot was mixed: $110.08 was above a $102.55 50-day average but below a $167.92 200-day average. The July reference price therefore needs a fresh chart check before any trade. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because Flutter faces betting volatility, gambling regulation and tax changes, leverage, interest costs, acquisition execution, customer acquisition costs, cyber and responsible-gaming obligations, and aggressive competition. | High |
| AI confidence | The public record supports a high-confidence description of the business and reported figures, but it does not turn sports outcomes, policy decisions, or future margins into reliable predictions. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium-low: scale and growth are attractive, but the margin of safety depends on durable profitability, debt reduction, and regulation rather than headline revenue alone. | Medium-low |
FLUT AI stock forecast
The FLUT AI stock forecast uses audited scenario math rather than a precise promise. A three-year model using $3.50 normalized EPS as an illustrative earnings anchor produced $133.10 in the bullish case, $88.20 in the base case, and $48.60 in the bearish case. Those outputs are sensitivity ranges, not price targets, because the starting EPS is a normalized assumption rather than the negative reported TTM GAAP EPS.
$125 to $140
More likely if FanDuel retains US leadership, iGaming and International growth stay strong, acquisition integration improves margins, prediction-market investment earns an adequate return, and debt falls relative to cash generation.
$80 to $95
More likely if revenue grows near management expectations but margins improve slowly, regulation and taxes absorb part of the gain, and investors apply a mid-teen earnings multiple to normalized profitability.
$45 to $60
More likely if sports results remain customer-friendly, share loss or higher promotions pressure FanDuel, regulation and taxes tighten, acquisition benefits disappoint, debt service stays heavy, or the market de-rates the sector.
FLUT AI technical analysis
FLUT AI technical analysis is mixed as of the July 11, 2026 research cutoff. A TipRanks snapshot dated June 29 placed FLUT at $110.08, above its $102.55 50-day simple moving average and below its $167.92 200-day simple moving average. StockAnalysis listed a $111.32 close on July 8 and a 52-week range of $91.52 to $313.69. The stale moving-average snapshot is a source gap, so these levels are a monitoring framework rather than a live signal.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Reference price | $111.32 | StockAnalysis quoted $111.32 at the July 8, 2026 close. This is the page reference, not a live quote. |
| Immediate support | $102 to $103 | This zone brackets the June 29 50-day simple moving average of $102.55 reported by TipRanks. |
| Deeper support | $91 to $92 | StockAnalysis listed a 52-week low of $91.52. A sustained break below it would invalidate the current range thesis. |
| Near resistance | $120 to $125 | A recovery above this round-number supply area would be an initial sign that the July reference range is improving. |
| Longer-term resistance | $165 to $170 | This band surrounds the June 29 200-day simple moving average of $167.92, a level the cited snapshot treated as bearish resistance. |
| Moving averages | 50-day $102.55, 200-day $167.92 | TipRanks values dated June 29, 2026. Recalculate them from a current chart before acting. |
| Momentum | Neutral, not independently refreshed | No current RSI value was used because the available cited snapshot did not provide one. Treat price and volume confirmation as more important than a guessed oscillator reading. |
| Volume | About 1.44 million shares on July 6 | StockAnalysis listed 1,442,391 shares for its July 6 quote. Compare any breakout volume with a current average rather than this single day. |
| Volatility | High event sensitivity | Earnings, sports outcomes, state and country regulation, tax changes, prediction-market updates, and acquisition news can all produce gaps. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $91.52 | A break below the cited 52-week low would invalidate a range-based long thesis and require a new fundamental review. |
FLUT AI trading strategy
This FLUT AI trading strategy is a research framework, not personal financial advice. It ties chart levels to the operational drivers that matter most: FanDuel share and profitability, sports outcomes, iGaming growth, International integration, regulation and taxes, debt, interest cost, and the return on prediction-market investment.
Watch for price to hold the $102 to $103 area and move above $120 to $125 on stronger volume while quarterly revenue, US market position, and adjusted EBITDA support the move.
Treat a failed reclaim followed by a close below $102 as a warning. Do not rely on price action alone when results are being affected by sports outcomes or policy news.
If FLUT retests the $91 to $92 area, compare the reset valuation with normalized earnings, cash generation, debt service, and evidence that FanDuel and International margins have not structurally deteriorated.
Do not average down solely because the stock is below its prior high. Require an updated balance-sheet, regulatory, and earnings review first.
Monitor quarterly revenue and adjusted EBITDA, US sportsbook and iGaming share, customer-friendly sports results, promotion intensity, prediction-market economics, acquisitions, debt repayment, buybacks, regulatory developments, and tax rates.
Reduce confidence if revenue growth is acquisition-led while organic margin and cash conversion weaken, or if higher taxes and debt costs consume the benefit of scale.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Flutter to place sports bets, play casino and poker games, and access entertainment products. Flutter monetizes regulated licenses, product technology, odds and risk management, customer wallets, media reach, and cross-sell across a global portfolio of brands.
Flutter has advantages in FanDuel scale, brand awareness, regulated licenses, data and pricing systems, product investment, customer history, and a diversified multi-brand footprint. The moat is limited by low switching costs, promotion-led competition, and the power of regulators and tax authorities.
The thesis fails if regulation or taxes raise the cost of betting, customer-friendly outcomes reduce hold, competitors take share, promotions rise, prediction markets cannibalize or dilute returns, acquired businesses fail to integrate, or debt and interest cost outgrow cash generation.
Management must prove that investment in technology, FanDuel Predicts, launches, and acquisitions creates more value than debt reduction or repurchases. The cleanest evidence will be recurring operating profit and cash flow after interest, taxes, and responsible-gaming costs.
Online betting and iGaming can benefit from digital adoption and legal-market expansion, but the direction is not one-way. Licensing, advertising limits, gambling-harm rules, tax policy, sports rights, and local competition can change the economics by market.
At $111.32, FLUT reflects confidence that scale can become durable normalized earnings. The margin of safety improves if operating cash flow funds debt reduction and profitable growth, and weakens if reported losses, leverage, regulation, or spending continue to delay that conversion.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| FLUT quote reference | $111.32 close on July 8, 2026 | StockAnalysis FLUT financials | July 11, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $19.41 billion calculated from $111.32 x 174.4 million March 31 issued shares | Pineify financial_rigor.py and Flutter Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 173.972 million ordinary shares outstanding as of April 30, 2026; 174.400 million issued at March 31, 2026 | Flutter Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $16.383 billion from Macrotrends and $16.409 billion from StockAnalysis; 0.08% difference | Macrotrends FLUT revenue history | July 11, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income | Flutter reported a $407 million total GAAP net loss and a $310 million loss attributable to Flutter shareholders; StockAnalysis shows a negative $502 million standardized net-income figure, a material classification difference that should not be treated as interchangeable | Flutter FY2025 Form 10-K and StockAnalysis financials | July 11, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA | $4.304 billion revenue, $209 million net income, and $631 million adjusted EBITDA | Flutter Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| US business indicators | Q1 US revenue was $1.763 billion, up 6%; Flutter reported 39% US sportsbook and 27% US iGaming GGR shares | Flutter Q1 2026 earnings release | July 11, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | $1.512 billion cash and cash equivalents, $11.965 billion total debt, and $11.794 billion long-term debt at March 31, 2026 | Flutter Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | July 11, 2026 |
| Valuation math | Negative 52.51x TTM GAAP PE, 26.32x book value, 25.13x price to free cash flow per share, and 0.00% dividend yield | Pineify financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 11, 2026 |
| Scenario valuation anchors | Bull $133.10, base $88.20, and bear $48.60 from Pineify three-scenario math using a $3.50 normalized EPS input | Pineify financial_rigor.py three-scenario model | July 11, 2026 |
| Technical reference | June 29 snapshot: $110.08 price, $102.55 50-day SMA, and $167.92 200-day SMA; values require refreshing before use | TipRanks FLUT technical analysis | July 11, 2026 |
This FLUT AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 11, 2026 and can be wrong if sports results, regulation, taxes, competition, acquisitions, debt costs, or market multiples change.
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