Wynn Resorts, Limited research snapshot
WYNN AI stock analysis as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff reads Wynn Resorts as a premium integrated resort company whose equity value depends on Macau premium gaming demand, Las Vegas luxury travel, Encore Boston Harbor cash flow, Wynn Al Marjan Island execution, the new Enclave at Wynn Palace project, capital returns, and leverage discipline. At the cutoff, WYNN traded at $99.31 at the July 31, 2026 close with a market capitalization near $10.16 billion, re-verified as $99.31 times 102.27 million shares with a 0.04% deviation. Q2 2026 earnings are scheduled for August 4, 2026, after this cutoff, and were not included. The WYNN AI stock forecast is scenario-based, not a precise prediction, because gaming win rates, China travel, Gulf-region conditions, Las Vegas room demand, debt, construction spending, and market multiples can change quickly. This page is an informational research tool, not investment advice.
Current price
$99.31
Market cap
$10.16 billion
AI score
61 / 100
Rating
Premium integrated resort operator with scarce assets, improving earnings, high leverage, and Gulf execution risk on its growth project
Trend status
Neutral-to-cautious technical trend: price sits between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with RSI near 52
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | WYNN earns from casino gaming, luxury hotel rooms, restaurants, retail, entertainment, conventions, and resort amenities across Macau, Las Vegas, and Boston, with TTM revenue near $7.29 billion. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from premium brand equity, scarce gaming concessions, luxury resort locations, capital intensity, service reputation, and customer databases. Switching costs are lower than in software, but replacement cost and concession scarcity matter. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Craig Billings is balancing strong Las Vegas share gains, Macau premium-mass growth, the Wynn Al Marjan Island build amid Gulf uncertainty, the new Enclave at Wynn Palace project, buybacks, dividends, and debt management. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | TTM net income rose to $375.04 million with EPS near $3.49. Q1 2026 revenue was $1.86 billion and net income attributable to Wynn Resorts was $120.5 million, up from $72.7 million a year earlier. | High |
| Valuation | At $99.31, audited tool math shows about 28.46x TTM EPS, 14.67x free cash flow per share, 1.39x sales, and a 1.01% dividend yield. StockAnalysis cites forward PE near 22.71. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is below the cited 200-day moving average near $110 and hovering near the 50-day average near $100, with RSI near 52. The chart needs a reclaim of the $100 to $101 zone and then the $110 area to improve momentum. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is elevated because WYNN combines casino cyclicality, Macau regulation, China consumer exposure, Las Vegas travel sensitivity, leverage near 4.4x net, Q2 earnings on August 4, and Gulf-region delay risk on the UAE project. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because public data is rich and math cross-validated. Return confidence is medium because future equity value depends on a cyclical resort cycle, Gulf conditions, and project execution. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium-low. The assets are real and scarce, but the margin of safety depends on cash flow durability, leverage reduction, and whether new growth projects earn attractive returns. | Medium-low |
WYNN AI stock forecast
The WYNN AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a guaranteed target. Using the August 2, 2026 research cutoff, the July 31, 2026 close of $99.31, and the $4.64 FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus, the audited three-year model produced about $160.70 in a bull case, $111.10 in a base case, and $63.50 in a bear case before dividends.
$150 to $165
More likely if Macau premium-mass demand keeps compounding, Las Vegas retains gaming market share and pricing, Wynn Al Marjan Island opens in 2027 despite only a modest delay, Enclave at Wynn Palace ramps as expected, debt declines, and investors value WYNN near a premium resort multiple.
$105 to $118
More likely if adjusted EPS grows in the mid single digits to low double digits, Macau and Las Vegas remain healthy but uneven, buybacks and dividends continue, the UAE delay stays modest, and the market keeps WYNN near a 19x to 21x forward earnings multiple.
$55 to $70
More likely if Macau GGR weakens, China travel slows, Las Vegas demand cools against difficult comps, Gulf-region conditions delay Wynn Al Marjan Island further or raise costs, debt refinancing becomes more expensive, or the market compresses the multiple toward the low end of the analyst range.
WYNN AI technical analysis
WYNN AI technical analysis is neutral-to-cautious as of the August 2, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed WYNN at $99.31 at the July 31, 2026 close with a 50-day moving average near $100.39, a 200-day moving average near $110.07, and RSI near 52.00. The 52-week range is $92.52 to $134.72, and the stock has spent recent weeks between the 50-day and 200-day averages. An independent technical cross-check was not available on the refresh date.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $99.31 | Used as the July 31, 2026 reference price for market-cap, valuation, and scenario math at the August 2, 2026 cutoff. |
| Immediate support | $96 to $98 | The stock rebounded from the July 23 low through this band; buyers need to defend it to avoid another leg lower. |
| Deeper support | $92.50 to $94 | This includes the July 23 intraday low near $92.52, which sits at the low end of the 52-week range and is the key line in the sand. |
| Near resistance | $100 to $101 | This zone includes the cited 50-day moving average near $100.39 and a round number; it is the first repair area for short-term momentum. |
| Major resistance | $110 to $112 | StockAnalysis cited the 200-day moving average near $110.07, making this the broader trend test after the recent decline. |
| 50-day moving average | About $100.39 | The stock closed just below this marker, so reclaiming it would be the first short-term positive signal. |
| 200-day moving average | About $110.07 | The stock remains below the cited long-term average, keeping the broader chart cautious until price recovers this zone. |
| Momentum | RSI near 52.00 | Momentum is neutral after improving from earlier weakness. A bullish read needs price confirmation above resistance, not only an RSI recovery. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 1.38 million shares | The July 23 rebound printed about 3.04 million shares, showing participation on the reversal; breakouts above resistance should still be judged against volume. |
| Volatility | Macau, Las Vegas, Gulf, and rates sensitive | Q2 earnings on August 4, Macau gross gaming revenue, Gulf-region updates, and Wynn Al Marjan Island milestones can reset volatility quickly. |
| Invalidation | Close below $92.50 | A close below the July low would make a new 52-week low and weaken the base-case technical setup, shifting attention to earnings and leverage risk. |
WYNN AI trading strategy
The WYNN AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It links price action with Macau gaming demand, Las Vegas room and casino trends, Encore Boston Harbor, free cash flow, debt, buybacks, dividends, and Wynn Al Marjan Island execution.
Watch for WYNN to reclaim the $100 to $101 zone and then the $110 area with improving volume, stable Macau data, no negative Gulf update, and no surprise in the August 4 Q2 report.
Treat a failed move above the 50-day zone followed by a close back below $96 as a warning. A close below $92.50 weakens the setup and points to new lows.
If WYNN pulls back toward $93 to $96 without permanent deterioration in Macau demand, Las Vegas profitability, liquidity, or project economics, compare the reset price with the base and bear scenarios.
Do not average down only because Wynn assets are premium. Require evidence that free cash flow covers interest, capital spending, dividends, and the remaining Al Marjan and Enclave commitments.
Track Macau visitation and gross gaming revenue, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau EBITDAR, Las Vegas ADR and casino volume, Boston stability, buybacks, dividend coverage, net debt, the Al Marjan delay size, and Enclave construction milestones.
Lower confidence if Q2 earnings disappoint while WYNN still trades near a premium multiple, if Gulf conditions push the UAE opening past 2027, or if debt reduction and project funding crowd out shareholder returns.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Wynn Resorts for premium gaming, hotel stays, restaurants, entertainment, retail, conventions, and luxury resort service in scarce licensed markets. The business turns high-end hospitality and casino licenses into recurring resort cash flow.
WYNN benefits from brand, scarce gaming concessions, expensive resort real estate, service reputation, premium customer databases, and scale in Macau and Las Vegas. The moat is real but cyclical because customers can shift trips and gaming budgets when macro or regional conditions weaken.
The thesis fails if Macau demand weakens, regulation compresses economics, Las Vegas luxury travel slows, high debt limits flexibility, Gulf-region conditions delay or raise the cost of Wynn Al Marjan Island, the Enclave capital commitment underperforms, or the market values casino assets at lower cyclical multiples.
Craig Billings has to convert brand and asset quality into durable free cash flow while balancing dividends, buybacks, debt, Macau reinvestment, the UAE development, and the new Enclave tower. Capital allocation during a Gulf-related delay is the central management test.
WYNN sits in Asian travel, casino gaming, luxury hospitality, conventions, and destination entertainment. These trends can compound over time, but they are sensitive to consumer confidence, travel policy, regulation, FX, interest rates, Gulf-region stability, and resort supply.
At 28.46x TTM EPS and 14.67x free cash flow per share, WYNN is not priced as a distressed operator. Margin of safety improves if Macau and Las Vegas cash flow grow while debt falls and the UAE project opens on schedule, and weakens if the stock stays premium while earnings disappoint.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| WYNN quote reference | $99.31 close as of July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis WYNN overview | August 2, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $10.16 billion calculated from $99.31 x 102.27 million shares; reported market cap was $10.16 billion with a 0.04% deviation | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 102.27 million shares outstanding, down 4.69% year over year | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM financials | $7.29 billion revenue, $375.04 million net income, $3.49 EPS, $1.37 billion operating cash flow, and $692.77 million free cash flow | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| FY2025 results | Operating revenue of $7.14 billion and earnings of $327.33 million, down 34.67% from FY2024 | StockAnalysis WYNN financials overview | August 2, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | $1.86 billion operating revenue, $120.5 million net income attributable to Wynn Resorts, diluted EPS of $1.04, and Adjusted Property EBITDAR of $562.4 million | Wynn Resorts Q1 2026 press release | August 2, 2026 |
| Balance sheet at March 31, 2026 | $1.19 billion cash, plus $607.6 million of Wynn Macau short-term investments, against $10.52 billion of current and long-term debt as reported by the company; StockAnalysis S&P classification shows $12.16 billion total debt including leases and net cash of about negative $10.37 billion | Wynn Resorts Q1 2026 press release and StockAnalysis WYNN balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 28.43x trailing PE, 22.71x forward PE, 1.39x sales, 14.66x price to free cash flow, 11.67x EV to EBITDA, and a 1.01% dividend yield | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus and forward estimates | Strong Buy from 20 analysts with an average target of $133.32, a low of $118, and a high of $145; FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $4.64 and FY2027 of $5.26 | StockAnalysis WYNN forecast | August 2, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day moving average near $100.39, 200-day moving average near $110.07, RSI near 52.00, 20-day average volume near 1.38 million shares, and a 52-week range of $92.52 to $134.72 | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics and price history | August 2, 2026 |
| Wynn Al Marjan Island | Q1 2026 contribution of $100.1 million brought life-to-date equity to $1.01 billion, with $962.3 million drawn on the construction loan, roughly $350 million to $450 million of remaining equity including the Geneve project, and management expecting only a modest opening delay with a 2027 opening target | Wynn Resorts Q1 2026 earnings call and press release | August 2, 2026 |
| Enclave at Wynn Palace | A 432 all-suite hotel expected to cost $900 million to $950 million, increasing Wynn Palace room count by 25% and suite count by 50%, with the company citing roughly $400 million of incremental gross gaming revenue and $150 million to $175 million of EBITDA potential | Wynn Resorts Q1 2026 earnings call | August 2, 2026 |
This WYNN AI stock analysis is for informational and educational use only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of August 2, 2026 and can be wrong if company fundamentals, market prices, regulation, Gulf-region conditions, interest rates, or investor sentiment change.
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