Wynn Resorts, Limited research snapshot
WYNN AI stock analysis currently reads Wynn Resorts as a premium integrated resort company whose value depends on Macau gaming demand, Las Vegas luxury travel, Encore Boston Harbor cash flow, Wynn Al Marjan Island execution, capital returns, and leverage discipline. At the July 9, 2026 data cutoff, WYNN traded near $96.49 with a verified market capitalization near $9.87 billion. The WYNN AI stock forecast is scenario-based, not a precise prediction, because gaming win rates, China travel, Las Vegas room demand, debt, construction spending, and market multiples can change quickly. This page is an informational research tool, not investment advice.
Current price
$96.49
Market cap
$9.87 billion verified market cap
AI score
62 / 100
Rating
Premium integrated resort operator with scarce assets, strong brand positioning, high debt, and travel-cycle exposure
Trend status
Cautious technical trend: price is below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, with RSI in a weak-to-neutral zone
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 9, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | WYNN earns from casino gaming, luxury hotel rooms, restaurants, retail, entertainment, conventions, and resort amenities across Macau, Las Vegas, and Boston. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from premium brand equity, scarce gaming licenses, luxury resort locations, capital intensity, service reputation, and customer databases. Switching costs are lower than in software, but replacement cost and concession scarcity matter. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Craig Billings is balancing Macau recovery, Las Vegas margins, shareholder returns, debt management, and the Wynn Al Marjan Island development expected to open in early 2027. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | FY2025 operating revenue was about $7.14 billion and net income attributable to Wynn Resorts was $327.3 million. Q1 2026 revenue rose to $1.86 billion and net income attributable to Wynn Resorts rose to $120.5 million. | High |
| Valuation | At $96.49, audited tool math shows about 27.57x TTM EPS, 14.21x free cash flow per share, 1.35x sales, and a 1.04% dividend yield. StockAnalysis cited forward PE near 21.20x. | High |
| Technical trend | The stock is below cited 50-day and 200-day moving averages, while RSI is weak-to-neutral. The chart needs a reclaim of the $100 to $103 zone before momentum improves. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is high because WYNN combines casino cyclicality, Macau regulation, China consumer exposure, Las Vegas travel sensitivity, leverage, construction funding, and premium valuation risk. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Descriptive confidence is high because public data is rich. Return confidence is medium because future equity value depends on a cyclical resort cycle and project execution. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Investment certainty is medium-low. The assets are real and scarce, but the margin of safety depends on cash flow durability, leverage reduction, and whether new growth projects earn attractive returns. | Medium-low |
WYNN AI stock forecast
The WYNN AI stock forecast uses scenarios rather than a guaranteed target. Using the July 9, 2026 research cutoff, a $96.49 reference price, and forward EPS implied by StockAnalysis forward PE, the audited three-year model produced about $159.80 in a bull case, $113.80 in a base case, and $49.60 in a bear case before dividends.
$150 to $165
More likely if Macau premium-mass and VIP demand keep improving, Las Vegas luxury demand remains resilient, Wynn Al Marjan Island opens on schedule with credible returns, debt declines, and investors value WYNN near a premium resort multiple.
$108 to $118
More likely if EPS grows in the mid single digits, Macau and Las Vegas remain healthy but uneven, free cash flow supports dividends and selective buybacks, and the market keeps WYNN near a low-20s earnings multiple.
$45 to $55
More likely if China travel weakens, Macau regulation or win-rate volatility hurts margins, Las Vegas room demand cools, debt refinancing costs rise, or the UAE project consumes more capital than expected.
WYNN AI technical analysis
WYNN AI technical analysis is cautious as of the July 9, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed WYNN at $96.49 with a 50-day moving average near $101.76, a 200-day moving average near $112.45, and RSI near 37.27. Investing.com showed a similar sell-leaning setup with RSI near 39.5, a 50-day moving average near $99.57, and a 200-day moving average near $102.83.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $96.49 | Used as the July 9, 2026 reference price for market-cap, valuation, and scenario math. |
| Immediate support | $94 to $96 | This is the current trading band where buyers need to defend the stock to avoid another lower-low signal. |
| Deeper support | $88 to $90 | A move into this area would imply the market is discounting weaker Macau or Las Vegas demand, not only normal volatility. |
| Near resistance | $100 to $103 | This range includes cited 50-day moving-average references and is the first repair zone for short-term momentum. |
| Major resistance | $112 to $113 | StockAnalysis cited the 200-day moving average near $112.45, making this the broader trend test. |
| 50-day moving average | About $99.57 to $101.76 | Provider values differ, but both readings put the stock below the short-term trend marker. |
| 200-day moving average | About $102.83 to $112.45 | The stock is below cited long-term averages, keeping the broader chart cautious until price recovers this zone. |
| Momentum | RSI about 37.27 to 39.50 | Momentum is weak but not deeply oversold. A bullish read needs price confirmation above resistance, not only an RSI bounce. |
| Volume | 20-day average near 1.5 million shares | Breakouts above $103 should be judged against participation because casino stocks can reverse after macro or gaming-data headlines. |
| Volatility | Macau, Las Vegas, rates, and UAE project sensitive | Earnings, Macau gross gaming revenue, China travel data, financing updates, and Wynn Al Marjan Island milestones can reset volatility quickly. |
| Invalidation | Close below $88 | A close below deeper support would weaken the base-case technical setup and shift attention back to earnings and leverage risk. |
WYNN AI trading strategy
The WYNN AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It links price action with Macau gaming demand, Las Vegas room and casino trends, Encore Boston Harbor, free cash flow, debt, buybacks, dividends, and Wynn Al Marjan Island execution.
Watch for WYNN to reclaim the $100 to $103 resistance zone with improving volume, stable Macau data, and no negative update on Las Vegas margins, debt, or UAE project timing.
Treat a failed move above the 50-day zone followed by a close back below $96 as a warning. A close below $88 weakens the setup.
If WYNN pulls back toward $88 to $96 without a permanent deterioration in Macau demand, Las Vegas profitability, liquidity, or project economics, compare the reset price with the base and bear scenarios.
Do not average down only because Wynn assets are premium. Require evidence that free cash flow covers interest, capital spending, dividends, and remaining development commitments.
Track Macau visitation and gross gaming revenue, Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau EBITDAR, Las Vegas ADR and casino volume, Boston stability, buybacks, dividend coverage, net debt, and Wynn Al Marjan Island milestones.
Lower confidence if EPS growth slows while WYNN still trades near a premium multiple, or if debt reduction and project funding crowd out shareholder returns.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Wynn Resorts for premium gaming, hotel stays, restaurants, entertainment, retail, conventions, and luxury resort service in scarce licensed markets. The business turns high-end hospitality and casino licenses into recurring resort cash flow.
WYNN benefits from brand, scarce gaming concessions, expensive resort real estate, service reputation, premium customer databases, and scale in Macau and Las Vegas. The moat is real but cyclical because customers can shift trips and gaming budgets when macro conditions weaken.
The thesis fails if Macau demand weakens, regulation compresses economics, Las Vegas luxury travel slows, high debt limits flexibility, Wynn Al Marjan Island overruns budget or opens into weak demand, or the market values casino assets at lower cyclical multiples.
Craig Billings has to convert brand and asset quality into durable free cash flow while balancing dividends, buybacks, debt, Macau reinvestment, and the UAE development. Capital allocation is the central management test.
WYNN sits in Asian travel, casino gaming, luxury hospitality, conventions, and destination entertainment. These trends can compound over time, but they are sensitive to consumer confidence, travel policy, regulation, FX, interest rates, and resort supply.
At 27.57x TTM EPS and 14.21x free cash flow per share, WYNN is not priced as a distressed operator. Margin of safety improves if Macau and Las Vegas cash flow grow while debt falls, and weakens if the stock stays premium while earnings disappoint.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| WYNN quote reference | $96.49 reference price as of July 8, 2026 | StockAnalysis WYNN market cap | July 9, 2026 |
| Market capitalization verification | $9.87 billion calculated from $96.49 x 102.27 million shares; reported market cap was $9.87 billion | Pineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | July 9, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 102.27 million shares outstanding | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | July 9, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $7.14 billion cross-validated across Wynn FY2025 release, StockAnalysis, and Macrotrends or MarketBeat rounded datasets | Wynn Resorts FY2025 results | July 9, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable | $327.3 million cross-validated across Wynn FY2025 release, Macrotrends, and StockTitan | Wynn Resorts FY2025 results | July 9, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue and net income | $1.86 billion operating revenue and $120.5 million net income attributable to Wynn Resorts | Wynn Resorts Q1 2026 results | July 9, 2026 |
| Cash, short-term investments, and debt | $1.19 billion cash, plus $607.6 million WML short-term investments, against $10.52 billion current and long-term debt at March 31, 2026 | Wynn Resorts Q1 2026 results | July 9, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | 27.59x trailing PE, 21.20x forward PE, 1.35x sales, 14.22x price to free cash flow, and 11.49x EV to EBITDA | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | July 9, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day moving average near $101.76, 200-day moving average near $112.45, RSI near 37.27, and 20-day average volume near 1.5 million shares | StockAnalysis WYNN statistics | July 9, 2026 |
| Independent technical cross-check | Investing.com showed RSI near 39.5, 50-day moving average near $99.57, and 200-day moving average near $102.83 | Investing.com WYNN technical analysis | July 9, 2026 |
| Wynn Al Marjan Island | Company said the UAE project had topped out and was expected to open in the first quarter of 2027 | Wynn Resorts FY2025 results | July 9, 2026 |
This WYNN AI stock analysis is for informational and educational use only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast scenarios are based on available public data as of July 9, 2026 and can be wrong if company fundamentals, market prices, regulation, interest rates, or investor sentiment change.
