EPR Properties research snapshot
EPR AI stock analysis reads EPR Properties as a specialized experiential net lease REIT that reported a strong second quarter of 2026. At the August 3, 2026 cutoff, EPR closed at $62.07 on July 31, 2026, with a market capitalization near $4.76 billion. The company posted double-digit revenue and FFO per share growth, set a post-COVID record for quarterly investment activity at $440.8 million, raised its 2026 FFO as adjusted and investment guidance, reduced theater concentration to roughly a third of the portfolio, and welcomed Netflix House as a new tenant. The investment case still depends on consumer spending on out-of-home entertainment, tenant health (especially AMC and theater operators), interest rate direction, the new $1.6 billion credit agreement, and the REIT valuation multiple. This page is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$62.07
Market cap
About $4.76 billion
AI score
68 / 100
Rating
Experiential REIT with record Q2 2026 investment activity, raised guidance, and a 6% dividend yield, balanced against higher leverage and a consensus Hold
Trend status
Constructive: trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages and near the upper end of the 52-week range after a strong Q2 earnings beat
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | EPR owns experiential net lease properties across theaters, amusement parks, ski resorts, eat-and-play venues, golf, and fitness. Triple-net leases provide stable cash flow with tenants responsible for operating costs, and the portfolio held 346 properties at 99% leased or operated as of June 30, 2026. | Medium-high |
| Moat | The moat comes from experiential property scarcity, long-term triple-net leases, diversification across 346 properties and multiple entertainment segments, and national tenant relationships including AMC, Regal, Six Flags operators, Topgolf, and Netflix House. Roughly half of the investment pipeline comes from repeat relationships. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Gregory Silvers has led EPR since 2015. In Q2 2026 the team set a post-COVID record with $440.8 million of investment at about an 8.5% initial cash yield, raised both 2026 FFO as adjusted and investment guidance, and signed a new $1.6 billion credit agreement that extends maturities. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | TTM revenue near $738.98 million, TTM net income $239.12 million, and TTM EPS $3.12. Q2 2026 FFO as adjusted rose 12.7% and AFFO rose 15.3% year over year. 2026 FFO as adjusted guidance was raised to $5.41 to $5.57 per share, up about 7.2% at the midpoint. | High |
| Valuation | Tool-checked valuation shows P/E near 19.89x TTM, Price/FFO near 11.85x, dividend yield 5.99%, and EV/EBITDA near 14.39x. The yield is attractive for income investors, but the stock trades slightly above the consensus 12-month analyst target of $61.95. | Medium |
| Technical trend | EPR trades near $62.07, above the 50-day moving average ($59.56) and 200-day moving average ($55.29), and near the upper end of the $48.11 to $64.97 52-week range. RSI near 55 is neutral to positive, so momentum is constructive with resistance near the $64.97 52-week high. | Medium |
| Risk level | Main risks are elevated leverage (pro forma net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDAre of 5.1x), high short interest near 10% of shares out, AMC and theater tenant concentration, interest rate sensitivity, experiential spending cyclicality, and integration risk from the Six Flags park portfolio and record 2026 investment pipeline. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for descriptive research, portfolio data, dividend history, Q2 results, and source-backed numbers. Medium for future returns because REIT multiples depend on interest rates and consumer sentiment that are inherently uncertain. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | The 6% dividend yield with a 65% AFFO payout ratio provides a partial floor, and raised guidance supports the growth case. Certainty improves if FFO as adjusted grows while leverage stays within the target range; the consensus Hold rating tempers certainty. | Medium |
EPR AI stock forecast
The EPR AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $62.07 quote and TTM EPS near $3.12. financial_rigor.py produced a 3-year bullish value near $78.60, a base case near $61.40, and a bearish case near $40.60. These are scenario outputs, not promised targets. For REITs, AFFO per share is more relevant than GAAP EPS, and Q2 2026 AFFO of $1.43 per share with raised 2026 FFO as adjusted guidance of $5.41 to $5.57 per share support the growth framework.
$72 to $82
More likely if consumer spending on experiences stays strong, box office momentum continues, the Six Flags parks and Netflix House ramp as expected, theater concentration keeps falling, and interest rates decline or stabilize, allowing the REIT multiple to expand.
$56 to $66
More likely if AFFO compounds at a mid-single-digit rate, the 2026 guidance range is delivered, the dividend grows modestly, the P/FFO multiple stays near the current level, and the record investment pipeline is absorbed without major disruption.
$38 to $48
More likely if consumer spending on experiential entertainment weakens, AMC or other theater tenants face operating pressure, interest rates rise and push leverage and refinancing costs higher, or the market lowers REIT multiples on economic concerns.
EPR AI technical analysis
EPR AI technical analysis is constructive but faces resistance near the top of its range. As of the August 3, 2026 cutoff, EPR closed at $62.07 on July 31, 2026, above its 50-day moving average ($59.56) and 200-day moving average ($55.29), and near the upper end of the $48.11 to $64.97 52-week range. YTD total return was near +32% versus roughly +7% for the S&P 500 through late July.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $62.07 | EPR closed at $62.07 on July 31, 2026, used as the data-cutoff reference for this page. |
| Near support | $59.50 to $60.50 | The area near the 50-day moving average ($59.56) and a psychological round number. A pullback to this zone would be normal consolidation after a strong run. |
| Near resistance | $63.85 to $64.97 | The 52-week high of $64.97 is the key resistance, with the recent session high near $63.85 as a nearer hurdle. A sustained close above $64.97 would open a new higher range. |
| 50-day moving average | $59.56 | EPR trades above the 50-day MA, a positive near-term signal, per StockAnalysis statistics as of August 2, 2026. |
| 200-day moving average | $55.29 | The 200-day MA has provided long-term support. EPR trades well above this level as of the data cutoff. |
| Momentum | Positive, RSI near 55 | YTD total return was near +32% versus roughly +7% for the S&P 500 through July 29, 2026 (Yahoo Finance). RSI near 55.17 reads neutral to positive. |
| Volume | Requires live chart confirmation | This static page does not fetch request-time volume data. Average 20-day volume was near 666,000 shares per StockAnalysis; check live volume before acting on a breakout or breakdown. |
| Volatility | Moderate | As a mid-cap REIT, EPR typically exhibits moderate volatility. A beta of 1.02 suggests roughly market-matching price movement. |
| Invalidation | Close below $55.29 | A decisive close below the 200-day moving average near $55.29 would weaken the technical setup and suggest a deeper correction toward the lower end of the range. |
EPR AI trading strategy
The EPR AI trading strategy is a research and risk-control framework, not personalized advice. It pairs the income-oriented REIT thesis with technical levels, leverage and tenant monitoring, and clear invalidation points.
For dividend-oriented investors, the 5.99% yield with a monthly payout and a 65% AFFO payout ratio is the primary return driver. Monitor AFFO payout ratio, rent coverage (about 2x), tenant credit quality, and portfolio acquisition yield.
Reduce the position if the AFFO payout ratio rises above roughly 80%, or if tenant concentration risk (AMC, theater operators, Six Flags) increases materially.
If EPR breaks above the $64.97 52-week high with volume confirmation, a trend-following approach would target the next resistance zone. Use the 50-day MA near $59.56 as a trailing reference.
A close below the 50-day MA or a reversal from the 52-week high without fundamental support should trigger a re-evaluation of the momentum thesis.
Track FFO as adjusted and AFFO per share growth, portfolio occupancy, rent coverage, net debt to annualized adjusted EBITDAre (5.1x pro forma), theater concentration, Six Flags park performance, Netflix House traction, and AMC tenant health.
Reduce exposure if FFO as adjusted declines year over year, net debt to adjusted EBITDAre rises above about 6x, or if experiential consumer spending shows sustained weakness.
Investment research summary
EPR Properties owns experiential real estate and triple-net leases it to operators of movie theaters, amusement parks, ski resorts, eat-and-play venues, golf, fitness, and education. The tenant pays taxes, insurance, and maintenance while EPR collects predictable rent. As of June 30, 2026, the portfolio held 346 properties at 99% leased or operated.
The moat comes from experiential property scarcity, long-duration triple-net leases, diversification across 346 properties and multiple entertainment segments, and relationships with national tenants like AMC, Regal, Six Flags operators, Topgolf, and Netflix House. Roughly half of the investment pipeline comes from repeat relationships.
The thesis fails if experiential consumer spending declines in a recession, streaming permanently erodes theater attendance, AMC or other key tenants face financial distress, interest rates stay higher for longer and pressure REIT valuations and refinancing, or if the record 2026 investment pipeline underperforms its underwriting.
CEO Gregory Silvers has led the company since 2015. The team delivered a post-COVID record $440.8 million of Q2 2026 investment at about an 8.5% initial cash yield, reduced theater concentration from 36% to roughly a third of the portfolio, and raised 2026 FFO as adjusted and investment guidance.
Experiential entertainment keeps benefiting from consumer demand for out-of-home experiences, with box office up about 10% year to date and AMC reporting one of its best quarters ever. The Netflix House partnership reinforces the shift toward physical, immersive experiences built around popular IP.
At roughly 19.89x TTM EPS, 11.85x P/FFO, and a 5.99% dividend yield, EPR is reasonably valued for an experiential REIT, though the quote sits slightly above the consensus analyst target of $61.95. Margin of safety depends on sustained AFFO growth, stable interest rates, tenant credit quality, and leverage staying in the target range.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPR price | $62.07 (close July 31, 2026) | StockAnalysis.com market snapshot | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | About $4.76 billion, verified by financial_rigor.py ($62.07 x 76.61M shares, 0.10% deviation) | StockAnalysis.com and financial_rigor.py | August 3, 2026 |
| Enterprise value | About $8.26 billion | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $738.98 million (StockAnalysis), cross-validated at $742.59 million (Fiscal.ai) | StockAnalysis.com and Fiscal.ai | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM net income | $239.12 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| TTM EPS | $3.12 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| P/E ratio (TTM) | 19.89x (confirmed by financial_rigor.py) | StockAnalysis.com and financial_rigor.py | August 2, 2026 |
| Price/FFO and forward P/E | Price/FFO 11.85x; forward P/E 20.35x | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Dividend and yield | $3.72 per year (5.99% yield), paid monthly | StockAnalysis.com | August 2, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 FFO as adjusted | $1.42 per share, up 12.7% year over year | EPR Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 30, 2026 |
| Q2 2026 AFFO | $1.43 per share, up 15.3% year over year, above consensus of $1.35 | EPR Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 30, 2026 |
| 2026 FFO as adjusted guidance | $5.41 to $5.57 per share, up about 7.2% at the midpoint | EPR Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 30, 2026 |
| AFFO payout ratio | 65% for Q2 2026 | EPR Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 30, 2026 |
| Net debt to adjusted EBITDAre | 5.1x pro forma (target range 5 to 5.6x) | EPR Q2 2026 earnings call transcript | July 30, 2026 |
| Cash and total debt | $16.2 million cash and $3,525 million total debt as of June 30, 2026 | StockAnalysis.com balance sheet | August 2, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $48.11 to $64.97 | StockAnalysis.com summary | August 3, 2026 |
| 50-day and 200-day moving averages | $59.56 and $55.29 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Short interest | 7.72 million shares, about 10.08% of shares outstanding | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Beta (5Y monthly) | 1.02 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 2, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Hold, average target $61.95 (12 analysts) | StockAnalysis.com | August 2, 2026 |
This EPR AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only. It is not investment advice, tax advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on public filings, quote snapshots, technical data, and third-party sources as of August 3, 2026. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, interest rate changes, tenant credit events, acquisition integration updates, market moves, or macro conditions.
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