Diodes Incorporated research snapshot
DIOD AI stock analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff reads Diodes Incorporated as a mid-cap discrete, analog, and mixed-signal semiconductor supplier in the middle of a cyclical recovery that has already been priced richly. The stock traded at $83.25 on August 3, 2026 at 11:01 AM EDT, up 1.13% from the $82.32 prior close within a $79.17 to $83.49 day range, carrying a market capitalization near $3.82 billion reported by StockAnalysis.com. The stock has fallen roughly 34% from the $125.99 all-time high set on June 22, 2026, even though it remains up about 62% over the trailing 52 weeks. TTM revenue is near $1.56 billion with net income of about $85.5 million and TTM EPS of $1.85. The Q1 2026 report, released May 7, 2026, beat expectations with revenue of $405.47 million, up 22% year over year and 3.5% sequentially, and adjusted EPS of $0.43 against a $0.33 to $0.35 estimate, while Q2 2026 guidance points to revenue of about $435 million plus or minus 3% and adjusted EPS of $0.60 plus or minus $0.10. Management also agreed on July 13, 2026 to acquire fabless analog and mixed-signal company ElevATE Semiconductor for $250 million in cash, and on May 11, 2026 the board elected Angie Chen Button as Chairwoman after Dr. Keh-Shew Lu retired. The trailing P/E of about 45x and forward P/E near 26x leave limited room for error if the upcycle stalls. This DIOD AI stock analysis is informational only and is not investment advice.
Current price
$83.25 at the August 3, 2026, 11:01 AM EDT reading, up 1.13% from the $82.32 prior close, within a $79.17 to $83.49 day range
Market cap
$3.82 billion
AI score
56 / 100
Rating
Cyclical semiconductor recovery with a stronger Q1 2026 beat and a $250 million analog acquisition, still trading at a premium multiple after a sharp pullback from all-time highs
Trend status
Short-term bearish below the 50-day moving average near $100 and above the 200-day near $75, with a roughly 34% drawdown from the June 22, 2026 all-time high
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Diodes supplies thousands of standard and application-specific products across discrete, analog, logic, and mixed-signal categories serving automotive, industrial, computing, consumer, and communications markets. Q1 2026 revenue grew 22% year over year and 3.5% sequentially, but TTM gross margin near 31% and operating margin near 3.5% still trail larger peers. | Medium |
| Moat | The moat is moderate, built on decades of manufacturing expertise, an extensive product catalog, long-standing customer and distributor relationships, and in-house fab operations. Larger players like Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor, Infineon, and STMicroelectronics have deeper R&D budgets and broader portfolios. | Medium |
| Management | CEO Gary Yu has led since 2012 through multiple cycles. The company kept a conservative balance sheet, beat Q1 2026 estimates, raised full-cycle positioning through the $250 million ElevATE Semiconductor acquisition, and refreshed the board with Angie Chen Button as Chairwoman and Evan Yu as a new independent director in August 2026. | Medium |
| Financial trend | Revenue fell through the 2023-2024 downturn to $1.31 billion in 2024, recovered to $1.48 billion in 2025, and TTM revenue is near $1.56 billion. Q1 2026 revenue of $405.47 million grew 22% year over year, TTM net income is about $85.5 million, and margins improved from trough levels but remain below the 2021-2022 peak. | Medium-high |
| Valuation | At $83.25 and TTM EPS of $1.85, the trailing P/E is about 45x. Forward P/E is near 26x on FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus of $2.72, P/S is about 2.4x, and EV/EBITDA is near 17.7x. The valuation reflects recovery expectations that may already be partly priced in. | High for math, medium for forward value |
| Technical trend | The stock rallied from a $42.28 52-week low to a $125.99 all-time high on June 22, 2026, then pulled back roughly 34% to about $83. Price is below the 50-day moving average near $100.15 and above the 200-day near $74.68, with RSI near 37. The medium-term trend is intact but short-term momentum is negative. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risk is medium-high. Key risks are semiconductor industry cyclicality, customer and end-market concentration, pricing pressure from larger competitors, gross margin volatility, integration risk from the $250 million ElevATE acquisition, and a trailing multiple that magnifies downside if earnings disappoint. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | Reported financial data is well documented from SEC filings and public market data. Forecast confidence is lower because semiconductor cycles are hard to time, analyst coverage is thin, and the stock has shown extreme recent volatility. | Medium data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Low to medium certainty. The page supports a research process, not a buy or sell decision. Diodes has net cash and a diversified product base, but the elevated multiple and cyclical exposure warrant caution after a 34% drawdown from the high. | Low-medium |
DIOD AI stock forecast
The DIOD AI stock forecast uses three-year scenario ranges from the $83.25 reference price, the FY2026 adjusted EPS consensus near $2.72, and the FY2027 adjusted EPS consensus near $4.99, with explicit earnings-multiple assumptions. It is a scenario tool, not a price promise. The ranges change if semiconductor demand, end-market mix, margins, the ElevATE integration, or the market valuation changes.
$120 to $140
More likely if the semiconductor upcycle continues, Diodes sustains double-digit revenue growth, adjusted EPS reaches the $6 to $7 range as the FY2027 consensus of $4.99 compounds, margins expand toward historical peaks, the ElevATE acquisition integrates well, and the market supports a 20x or higher multiple on higher earnings.
$85 to $100
More likely if revenue grows at a high single-digit to low double-digit rate, adjusted EPS drifts toward the FY2026 consensus of $2.72 and the FY2027 consensus of $4.99, margins stabilize near current levels, and the market assigns approximately a 17x to 19x P/E multiple on normalized earnings.
$45 to $60
More likely if semiconductor demand weakens again, inventory corrections return, gross margins compress below 30%, adjusted EPS falls toward the $2 to $3 range, the ElevATE deal faces integration problems, or the multiple contracts toward 13x to 15x on lower earnings.
DIOD AI technical analysis
DIOD AI technical analysis as of the August 3, 2026 data cutoff uses the $83.25 StockAnalysis.com real-time reading and public technical snapshots. The stock is below its 50-day moving average near $100.15 and above its 200-day moving average near $74.68, with 14-day RSI near 37 on StockAnalysis.com. Support, resistance, volume, and volatility must be rechecked in a live chart before use.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $83.25 | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote at the August 3, 2026, 11:01 AM EDT reading, up 1.13% from the $82.32 prior close within a $79.17 to $83.49 day range. |
| Near support | $79 to $80 | The $79.17 day low on August 3 marks nearby support. A loss of this zone requires a fresh chart review and a look at the 200-day moving average below. |
| Strong support | $74.68 (200-day moving average) | StockAnalysis.com reported the 200-day moving average near $74.68 as of August 3, 2026. A sustained close below it would signal a broken medium-term uptrend. |
| Near resistance | $88 to $95 | The breakdown zone and prior consolidation below the all-time high represent first resistance on any recovery attempt. |
| 50-day moving average | $100.15 | StockAnalysis.com reported the 50-day moving average near $100.15, well above the current price, confirming the recent pullback in the short-term trend. |
| 52-week high | $125.99 | All-time high reached on June 22, 2026. A reclaim would require strong catalysts and volume confirmation. |
| Momentum | Bearish short-term, neutral medium-term | RSI near 37 on StockAnalysis.com and price below the 50-day moving average indicate bearish short-term momentum. TradingView technicals showed sell today, neutral at 1 week, and buy at 1 month. |
| Volume | Near 438,000 average shares | StockAnalysis.com listed 20-day average volume near 438,051 shares on August 3, 2026. Use volume on any recovery attempt to confirm buying interest. |
| Volatility | Elevated | Beta is near 1.89 on StockAnalysis.com and 1.97 on TradingView, and the stock moved roughly 34% off its high in about six weeks, so position sizing should account for large swings. |
| Invalidation | Sustained close below $74.68 | This is a framework trigger, not a guaranteed stop price. Reassess the operating thesis and live chart if the 200-day moving average is lost. |
DIOD AI trading strategy
The DIOD AI trading strategy is a rules-based research framework for a cyclical semiconductor position after a sharp drawdown. It is not personalized advice. Position size, loss limits, and a fresh review of live price, volume, earnings guidance, and end-market conditions should come before any action.
Wait for DIOD to reclaim and hold the $88 to $95 zone with improving volume and a catalyst such as the August 5, 2026 Q2 report, better-than-expected guidance, or positive semiconductor sector data. Enter on a confirmed move back above the 50-day moving average near $100.
Exit or reassess if the recovery fails, price closes back below the entry level, the 200-day moving average near $74.68 is lost, or end-market indicators weaken.
If DIOD tests the $79 to $80 area or the $74 to $75 support cluster, assess whether the pullback is justified by fundamental deterioration or is mainly profit-taking after the 2026 rally. Look for insider buying, positive earnings revisions, or bullish divergence on RSI before acting.
Do not average down without a preset maximum loss and a revised thesis after the August 5, 2026 earnings report and industry data updates.
Track semiconductor industry indicators including SIA monthly sales data, lead times, book-to-bill ratios, Diodes' quarterly revenue and gross margin trends, inventory levels, the ElevATE Semiconductor integration, and end-market demand from automotive and industrial channels.
Reduce exposure when cycle indicators turn negative, inventory days rise, or guidance suggests margin compression.
Investment research summary
Customers pay Diodes for discrete, analog, and mixed-signal semiconductor components that power everyday electronics from cars and computers to industrial equipment and phones. The model depends on product breadth, manufacturing efficiency, distribution relationships, and application engineering support across thousands of standard and application-specific products.
The moat rests on decades of manufacturing know-how, an extensive product catalog, internal fab operations, and long-standing distributor and OEM relationships. It is moderate because larger peers like Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor, Infineon, and STMicroelectronics have deeper R&D budgets, broader portfolios, and more advanced process technology.
The thesis fails if semiconductor demand enters another down cycle, pricing pressure from larger competitors intensifies, gross margins compress further, the $250 million ElevATE Semiconductor acquisition underperforms or creates integration drag, key customers shift suppliers, or the company loses manufacturing competitiveness in a consolidating industry.
CEO Gary Yu has led since 2012 and has navigated multiple cycles. Management beat Q1 2026 estimates, kept a conservative balance sheet with net cash, and is expanding the analog portfolio through the ElevATE Semiconductor acquisition announced July 13, 2026. The key question is whether organic product development and operating leverage can lift margins in a highly competitive industry.
The semiconductor industry benefits from secular growth in automotive electrification, AI infrastructure, industrial automation, and connectivity, but it remains cyclical with periodic inventory corrections. The Baird conference materials cited AI and data center demand for advanced power and analog solutions, silicon carbide, and isolation technologies, with a stated multi-year revenue target near $2 billion.
The $83.25 price equals about 45x TTM EPS of $1.85 and near 26x forward EPS. Margin of safety is low at current levels given the high multiple and the 34% drawdown from the high. A meaningful margin of safety would require either a lower price or a demonstrated jump in earnings power from margin expansion and revenue growth.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current price | $83.25 at the August 3, 2026, 11:01 AM EDT reading, up 1.13% from the $82.32 prior close within a $79.17 to $83.49 day range | StockAnalysis.com real-time quote | August 3, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $3.82 billion | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | Approximately 45.94 million, with float near 45.04 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Trailing 12-month revenue | Approximately $1.56 billion, up about 16% | StockAnalysis.com financials | August 3, 2026 |
| TTM GAAP net income and EPS | Approximately $85.54 million net income and $1.85 EPS | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 quarterly results | Revenue of $405.47 million, up 22% year over year and 3.5% sequentially, with Q1 2026 GAAP net income of $14.96 million and operating income of $19.77 million per the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q | Q1 2026 Form 10-Q and StockAnalysis.com financials | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 adjusted EPS and Q2 2026 guidance | Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.43 versus a $0.33 to $0.35 estimate, with Q2 2026 guidance of about $435 million revenue plus or minus 3% and adjusted EPS of $0.60 plus or minus $0.10 | TradingView DIOD earnings data and Q1 2026 press release | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and debt | Cash and cash equivalents of $394.06 million as of March 31, 2026 per the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q, with total debt near $104.88 million and net cash near $299 million per StockAnalysis.com | Q1 2026 Form 10-Q via SEC EDGAR XBRL and StockAnalysis.com | August 3, 2026 |
| Free cash flow | Operating cash flow of $223.08 million and free cash flow of $128.74 million over TTM | StockAnalysis.com cash flow statement | August 3, 2026 |
| Profitability and returns | Gross margin 31.28%, operating margin 3.47%, profit margin 5.50%, ROE 4.61%, ROIC 2.74%, EBITDA near $196.98 million | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation ratios | Trailing PE 44.99, forward PE 26.43, P/S 2.43, PB 2.00, P/FCF 29.38, EV/EBITDA 17.68, EV/Sales 2.24 | StockAnalysis.com statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy from two analysts with an average 12-month price target of $129.50, range $120 to $139, up about 55.6% from the current price | StockAnalysis.com forecast and analyst ratings | August 3, 2026 |
| Recent analyst actions | Truist raised its price target to $139 from $98 on May 8, 2026, and Baird raised to $120 from $100 on May 8, 2026; Benchmark reiterated Buy at $80 in February 2026 | StockAnalysis.com forecast and news feed | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2026 and FY2027 consensus estimates | FY2026 revenue estimate $1.78 billion with adjusted EPS $2.72, FY2027 revenue estimate $2.07 billion with adjusted EPS $4.99 | StockAnalysis.com forecast financial forecast | August 3, 2026 |
| 52-week range and performance | 52-week range $42.28 to $125.99, up about 62% over the trailing 52 weeks, with a roughly 34% drawdown from the June 22, 2026 all-time high | StockAnalysis.com quote and statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| ElevATE Semiconductor acquisition | Definitive agreement announced July 13, 2026 to acquire ElevATE Semiconductor, a fabless analog and mixed-signal company based in San Diego, for $250 million in cash | Business Wire press release | July 13, 2026 |
| Next earnings date | Q2 2026 results scheduled for August 5, 2026 after market close | StockAnalysis.com and TradingView earnings calendar | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical snapshot | 50-day moving average near $100.15, 200-day moving average near $74.68, RSI near 37.27, beta 1.89, 20-day average volume near 438,051 shares | StockAnalysis.com statistics and technical indicators | August 3, 2026 |
| Short interest | 1.97 million shares short, about 4.28% of shares outstanding, about 3.0 days to cover | StockAnalysis.com statistics short selling | August 3, 2026 |
This DIOD AI stock analysis is an informational research tool, not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future return. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available filings, quote snapshots, and third-party data as of the stated cutoff date. They may be wrong, incomplete, or outdated after new earnings, acquisitions, market moves, or macro conditions.
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