CRH plc research snapshot

CRH AI Stock Analysis

CRH AI stock analysis currently reads CRH plc as a high-quality building materials and infrastructure company with strong scale, cash generation, and exposure to transportation, water, reindustrialization, and repair demand. The July 8, 2026 setup is not a simple momentum story: CRH reported record FY2025 revenue and EBITDA, reaffirmed 2026 guidance after Q1, and continues to return cash, but the stock trades below key moving averages and the CRH AI stock forecast depends on construction demand, acquisition returns, debt discipline, infrastructure budgets, and whether margins can keep expanding through the cycle.

Current price

$106.21

Market cap

About $70.97 billion using StockAnalysis share data, with Yahoo market data recently near $71.85 billion

AI score

68 / 100

Rating

High-quality infrastructure materials compounder, cyclical demand exposure, moderate valuation

Trend status

Fundamentals remain solid, while technical trend is weak to neutral with price below several moving averages

Data cutoff (updated weekly)

July 8, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. CRH has a long public history, SEC filings, a 2025 annual report, official Q1 2026 releases, S&P 500 inclusion, analyst coverage, third-party valuation data, and technical indicator coverage.
bias Check
The main AI research bias risk is over-relying on CRH management language about scale and long-term compounding while under-weighting cyclicality, weather, public funding timing, acquisition integration, debt, local aggregates regulation, and the possibility that margins normalize after a strong period.
ai Confidence
High for FY2025 revenue, net income, adjusted EBITDA, cash, net debt, Q1 2026 revenue, share count, market-cap math, and valuation ratios because company filings and third-party data are available. Medium for forward ranges because construction volumes, interest rates, infrastructure spending, acquisition timing, and multiples can change quickly.
investment Certainty
Medium. CRH has durable local positions, reserves, scale, and a strong capital allocation record, but materials demand remains cyclical and the stock still requires continued margin delivery to justify a premium to older building materials multiples.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityCRH sells aggregates, cementitious materials, asphalt, ready-mixed concrete, paving services, infrastructure products, and outdoor living products that customers need for roads, water, energy, commercial, residential, and reindustrialization projects.High
MoatThe moat comes from local quarry reserves, permitted assets, logistics density, scale purchasing, route proximity, public project relationships, and a connected portfolio across materials, products, and services.Medium-high
ManagementJim Mintern became CEO on January 1, 2025 after a long CRH career, and the company continues to emphasize acquisitions, margin expansion, cash returns, and disciplined portfolio management.Medium-high
Financial trendFY2025 revenue rose 5% to $37.4 billion, net income rose to $3.8 billion, adjusted EBITDA rose 11% to $7.7 billion, and Q1 2026 revenue rose 9% to $7.4 billion despite a seasonal net loss.High
ValuationAt $106.21, CRH trades near 19.6x trailing earnings, 3.1x book value, 23.7x free cash flow per share, and 1.9x sales based on StockAnalysis statistics and audited math inputs.Medium-high
Technical trendPrice sits below the 50-day, 60-day, 200-day, and 250-day moving-average references, while RSI near 46 is neutral rather than washed out.Medium
Risk levelKey risks are construction cyclicality, weather, infrastructure funding delays, acquisition overpayment, higher debt, quarry permitting, input costs, and valuation compression.Medium-high
AI confidenceDescriptive confidence is high because official filings and third-party data align closely. Return confidence is lower because CRH is exposed to macro demand and investor multiples.High data confidence
Investment certaintyCRH looks like a strong operator in an attractive niche, but the margin of safety is moderate rather than high unless 2026 guidance and acquisition returns convert into durable per-share growth.Medium

CRH AI stock forecast

CRH AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The CRH AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $106.21 price reference and trailing EPS near $5.41. The audited three-year model produced a bullish area near $160.30, a base area near $119.30, and a bearish area near $61.10 before dividends. These are scenario anchors, not exact predictions.

Bullish case

$150 to $162

More likely if U.S. infrastructure demand, reindustrialization projects, water infrastructure, and acquisition integration support high-single-digit revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA margin keeps moving higher, and investors keep valuing CRH near a low-20s earnings multiple.

Base case

$110 to $125

More likely if revenue grows at a mid-single-digit to high-single-digit pace, EPS compounds near 7%, buybacks offset dilution, and the market values CRH around a high-teens multiple.

Bearish case

$60 to $65

More likely if construction volumes weaken, infrastructure funding is delayed, acquisitions underperform, debt costs weigh on equity value, margins roll over, or the market re-rates CRH toward a low-teens earnings multiple.

CRH AI technical analysis

CRH AI Technical Analysis

CRH AI technical analysis is weak to neutral as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis showed price near $106.21 with a 50-day moving average near $108.50, a 200-day moving average near $115.31, and RSI near 45.99. Investing.com and Intellectia also showed neutral RSI near 46 but sell signals on several moving averages.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Current price$106.21Current market data reference used for market-cap and valuation math on July 8, 2026.
Immediate support$103 to $105Intellectia listed immediate support near $103.30 and a Fibonacci support near $105.33, close to the current quote.
Deeper support$97 to $99Intellectia listed deeper support near $97.60 and AltIndex highlighted a six-month support area near $98.54.
Near resistance$110 to $116The pivot area near $110.10, 60-day average near $109.91, and resistance near $115.80 create the first upside test.
Moving averages5-day about $106.70, 20-day about $108.05, 50-day about $108.50, 60-day about $109.91, 200-day about $115.31CRH is below most listed moving averages, which keeps the short-term trend under pressure.
MomentumRSI roughly 46, MACD slightly negativeRSI near 46 is neutral, but negative MACD readings show limited short-term momentum.
Volume20-day average volume near 4.7 million sharesUse volume confirmation to judge whether a move back above the $110 to $116 band has follow-through.
VolatilityAbove-market beta near 1.19StockAnalysis lists beta near 1.19, so position sizing should allow for wider swings than the broad market.
InvalidationClose below $103, then below $98A close below the immediate support area would weaken the setup. A break below the $97 to $99 zone would challenge the base-case technical view.

CRH AI trading strategy

CRH AI Trading Strategy Framework

The CRH AI trading strategy below is a rules-based research framework, not personal financial advice. It combines infrastructure demand checks, margin and acquisition discipline, debt monitoring, valuation ranges, and technical invalidation levels.

Trend-following setup

Watch for CRH to reclaim the $110 to $116 resistance zone while Q2 data confirms 2026 guidance, infrastructure demand, acquisition contribution, and adjusted EBITDA margin resilience.

A failed reclaim followed by a close below $103 should reduce setup confidence because price would remain below key moving averages.

Mean-reversion setup

If CRH pulls back toward $97 to $99 without a cut to guidance or evidence of margin deterioration, compare the valuation reset with cash generation, buybacks, dividend support, and infrastructure backlog.

Do not treat the pullback as attractive if net debt rises without matching EBITDA growth, organic volume weakens, or management reduces 2026 guidance.

Fundamental monitor

Track organic revenue, adjusted EBITDA margin, Americas Materials performance, International Solutions recovery, net debt, free cash flow conversion, acquisition spend, buybacks, dividends, and public infrastructure funding.

Position sizing should reflect that CRH is still a cyclical materials company even when long-term infrastructure demand is attractive.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Customers pay CRH because roads, water systems, buildings, and industrial projects need local materials, permitted reserves, logistics, engineering know-how, and reliable project delivery. The business turns hard-to-replicate local assets into recurring infrastructure demand.

Moat

CRH benefits from quarry reserves, permits, route density, local market share, vertical integration, public project relationships, and scale. The moat is local and operational rather than purely brand-based, which makes it durable but still exposed to cycles.

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if public infrastructure demand slows, weather disrupts volumes, acquisitions dilute returns, debt rises faster than EBITDA, pricing weakens, or investors stop paying a premium for a cyclical materials compounder.

Management

Management has focused on portfolio reshaping, acquisitions, buybacks, dividends, margin expansion, and the New York listing strategy. The key test for Jim Mintern is whether CRH can keep compounding per-share value after the strong Manifold era.

Industry trend

CRH sits in long-term demand for infrastructure modernization, road repair, water systems, reindustrialization, energy projects, and commercial construction. The offset is that construction activity is tied to rates, budgets, weather, and local economic cycles.

Valuation and margin of safety

At roughly 19.6x trailing earnings and 23.7x free cash flow per share, CRH is not distressed. Margin of safety depends on sustained EBITDA growth, disciplined acquisitions, buybacks, and evidence that infrastructure demand offsets cyclical weakness.

Source-backed data

CRH Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
CRH quote reference$106.21 current market data reference on July 8, 2026StockAnalysis CRH market cap pageJuly 8, 2026
Market capitalization verification$70.97 billion calculated from $106.21 x 668.20 million shares, matching StockAnalysis reported market capPineify financial_rigor.py and StockAnalysis CRH statisticsJuly 8, 2026
Shares outstanding668.20 million shares outstanding, with 666.56 million float and insider ownership near 0.12%StockAnalysis CRH statisticsJuly 8, 2026
FY2025 revenue and net income$37.447 billion revenue, $3.790 billion net income, $7.681 billion adjusted EBITDA, and $5.51 diluted EPSCRH 2025 annual reportJuly 8, 2026
FY2025 segment revenueAmericas Materials $17.029 billion, Americas Building $7.122 billion, International $13.296 billionCRH 2025 annual report segment noteJuly 8, 2026
Cash and net debt$4.096 billion cash and equivalents, $4.147 billion including restricted cash, $17.653 billion total debt, and $14.151 billion net debt at year-end 2025CRH 2025 annual report cash flow and net debt reconciliationJuly 8, 2026
Q1 2026 performance$7.4 billion total revenue, up 9%; $0.2 billion net loss; $0.6 billion adjusted EBITDA, up 18%CRH Q1 2026 results releaseJuly 8, 2026
FY2026 guidanceManagement reaffirmed FY2026 net income guidance of $3.9 billion to $4.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $8.1 billion to $8.5 billionCRH Q1 2026 results announcementJuly 8, 2026
Valuation ratiosTrailing P/E 19.63, forward P/E 17.94, P/S 1.86, P/B 3.08, P/FCF 23.66, EV/EBITDA 11.63StockAnalysis CRH statisticsJuly 8, 2026
Technical indicatorsRSI near 45.99, 50-day moving average near $108.50, 200-day moving average near $115.31, and average 20-day volume near 4.7 million sharesStockAnalysis CRH statisticsJuly 8, 2026
Support and resistanceImmediate support near $103.30, pivot near $110.10, and resistance near $115.80, with deeper support near $97.60Intellectia CRH technical analysisJuly 8, 2026
Management transitionJim Mintern became CEO effective January 1, 2025 after CRH announced the succession in September 2024SEC CRH 2024 current reportJuly 8, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This CRH AI stock analysis is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a promise of future returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 8, 2026 and can be wrong if fundamentals, market prices, interest rates, construction demand, or investor sentiment change.