Bullish case
$170 to $195
More likely if 2026 core EPS guidance proves conservative, transaction volumes recover, data center and infrastructure work keeps growing, and investors value CBRE near a premium services multiple.
CBRE Group, Inc. research snapshot
CBRE AI Stock Analysis
CBRE AI stock analysis currently reads CBRE Group, Inc. as the leading global commercial real estate services platform with a mix of resilient outsourcing revenue, cyclical advisory revenue, project management, and real estate investment exposure. The analysis is not a certain price prediction. At the July 8, 2026 cutoff, the latest verified price used here was $143.73, quoted market capitalization was about $42.7 billion, and the main question was whether rising core EPS guidance, commercial real estate recovery, data center and infrastructure demand, and buybacks can offset leverage, office-cycle risk, and a roughly 33x TTM GAAP earnings multiple. This is informational research and not investment advice.
Current price
$143.73
Market cap
$42.7 billion quoted, about $42.1 billion by price x shares
AI score
69 / 100
Rating
Strong operator, cyclical valuation risk
Trend status
Short-term recovery above the 50-day average, still below some 200-day references
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Research quality check
- information Richness
- A-level information richness. CBRE has long public history, SEC filings, company releases, active market data, and third-party financial and technical datasets.
- bias Check
- The main AI bias risk is assuming that the largest commercial real estate services company deserves a simple cycle-recovery multiple. This page separates filing-backed facts from scenarios and asks why a disciplined investor might still wait.
- ai Confidence
- High data confidence
- investment Certainty
- Medium. CBRE is well disclosed and easier to map than many service firms, but future returns depend on real estate transaction volumes, rates, leverage, integration execution, and the price paid.
Quick verdict table
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | CBRE combines outsourcing-like facility services and project work with more cyclical leasing, sales, mortgage, and investment-management activities. | High |
| Moat | The moat comes from global scale, client relationships, data, execution breadth, talent density, and the ability to serve multinational occupiers across markets. | Medium-high |
| Management | Management has used buybacks, acquisitions, and segment expansion to build scale. Integration discipline and leverage management remain key monitoring items. | Medium-high |
| Financial trend | Q1 2026 revenue rose 19% to $10.5 billion, TTM revenue was about $42.20 billion, and TTM net income attributable to CBRE was about $1.31 billion. | High |
| Valuation | The stock traded around 32.8x TTM GAAP EPS and 47.0x TTM free cash flow at the cutoff, while management guided to much higher 2026 core EPS. | Medium |
| Technical trend | CBRE recovered above the 50-day moving average, but Barchart and StockAnalysis still showed the stock below the 200-day average, making the long trend mixed. | Medium |
| Risk level | Key risks are commercial real estate transaction weakness, office exposure, rates, client budget cuts, acquisition integration, leverage, and valuation compression. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High confidence for filings, recent earnings, market cap math, and main risk categories. Lower confidence for real estate cycle timing. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium certainty. CBRE is a strong franchise, but the stock price already reflects a meaningful earnings recovery. | Medium |
CBRE AI stock forecast
CBRE AI Stock Forecast Scenarios
The CBRE AI stock forecast uses scenario ranges around the $143.73 cutoff price. It does not claim that AI can predict a specific future price. The bullish case requires stronger leasing and capital markets activity, resilient outsourcing growth, project management execution, and sustained core EPS upgrades. The base case assumes earnings improve but the multiple stays disciplined. The bearish case assumes a slower real estate cycle and multiple compression.
Base case
$125 to $145
More likely if revenue grows but GAAP earnings and free cash flow remain below core EPS optics, keeping the stock near a mid-20s forward earnings multiple.
Bearish case
$66 to $95
More likely if rates or office weakness delay transaction recovery, leverage worries rise, acquisitions disappoint, or investors reset CBRE toward a lower cyclical-services multiple.
CBRE AI technical analysis
CBRE AI Technical Analysis
CBRE AI technical analysis starts from the $143.73 latest verified price used for this July 8 static page. Public technical sources showed a short-term rebound above the 50-day moving average, but 200-day references were mixed, with Barchart and StockAnalysis placing the stock below their 200-day averages. Because this page does not fetch request-time market data, traders should confirm live levels before acting.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $143.73 | Latest verified price used for this page as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. |
| Near support | $135 to $139 | Support planning zone around the 20-day and 50-day moving-average cluster reported by Barchart, StockAnalysis, and Investing.com. |
| Secondary support | $128 to $130 | Pivot and support area reported by Intellectia. A sustained break would weaken the recent rebound setup. |
| Near resistance | $149 to $157 | Resistance zone around the 200-day moving-average area and upper pivot references. A breakout needs volume confirmation. |
| 50-day moving average | About $135.79 to $138.76 | StockAnalysis, Barchart, and Investing.com showed CBRE above the 50-day area around the cutoff. |
| 200-day moving average | About $133.02 to $149.40 | Investing.com showed a lower 200-day average, while StockAnalysis and Barchart placed it near $149, so the long-trend read is mixed. |
| Momentum | RSI about 64 to 65 | StockAnalysis and Barchart showed RSI in the low-to-mid 60s, while some oscillators looked stretched after the rebound. |
| Volume | About 2.9 million shares | The July 7 volume snapshot was above some recent average-volume references, improving confirmation of the rebound. |
| Volatility | ATR 14 near $3.84 | Position sizing should allow for normal daily movement around the cutoff price. |
| Invalidation | Close below $135, then $128 | A close below the 50-day area weakens the short-term setup. A break below the $128 area would challenge the recovery thesis. |
CBRE AI trading strategy
CBRE AI Trading Strategy Framework
The CBRE AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework, not personalized advice. It combines filing-backed business evidence, real estate cycle checks, technical confirmation, position sizing, and clear invalidation levels.
Trend-following setup
Look for CBRE to hold above the $135 to $139 moving-average area and break the $149 to $157 resistance zone with strong volume before treating the rebound as confirmed.
A failed breakout or daily close below the 50-day area should reduce confidence in the setup.
Mean-reversion setup
If CBRE pulls back toward $135 to $139 without a thesis break, compare price stabilization with leasing trends, capital markets activity, core EPS guidance, and net leverage.
Do not average down only because CBRE is the industry leader. Define maximum loss and review cycle risk first.
Fundamental monitor
Track Q2 2026 results, core EPS guidance, Advisory transaction volumes, Building Operations growth, Project Management margins, data center and infrastructure demand, buybacks, and debt.
Lower the rating if GAAP earnings or free cash flow fail to converge with core EPS while the stock keeps a premium multiple.
Investment research summary
Four-master Research Compression
Business essence
CBRE helps owners, occupiers, investors, and developers operate, lease, finance, transact, manage, and build commercial real estate across global markets.
Moat
The moat is scale, local market coverage, multinational client relationships, service breadth, data, execution reputation, and the cost of replacing a global operating partner.
Munger risk inversion
The thesis can fail if real estate transactions stay weak, office demand disappoints, rates remain restrictive, acquisitions dilute returns, or free cash flow lags core earnings.
Management
Bob Sulentic and the leadership team have expanded CBRE through services, project management, acquisitions, and buybacks. The next test is disciplined capital allocation after higher leverage.
Industry trend
CBRE benefits from outsourcing, infrastructure demand, data centers, and eventual transaction recovery, while office cyclicality and interest-rate sensitivity remain structural headwinds.
Valuation and margin of safety
At about 32.8x TTM GAAP EPS and 47.0x TTM free cash flow, margin of safety depends on management turning core EPS growth into durable GAAP earnings and cash flow.
Source-backed data
CBRE Data Table
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE price | $143.73 latest verified market quote on July 7, 2026 | Market quote snapshot and MarketWatch daily report | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $42.7 billion quoted; financial_rigor.py calculated $42.1 billion from $143.73 x 292.82 million shares | Market quote snapshot, StockAnalysis share count, and financial_rigor.py | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 revenue | $10.527 billion, up 19% | CBRE Q1 2026 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $40.550 billion, up 13.4% | CBRE FY2025 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| TTM revenue | $42.20 billion, cross-validated from CBRE Q1 2026 plus FY2025 less Q1 2025 and StockAnalysis | CBRE releases and StockAnalysis | July 8, 2026 |
| TTM net income attributable to CBRE | $1.312 billion from CBRE, cross-checked against StockAnalysis $1.31 billion | CBRE Q1 2026 earnings release and StockAnalysis | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 segment revenue | Advisory $2.024B, Building Operations & Experience $6.491B, Project Management $1.838B, Real Estate Investments $199M | CBRE Q1 2026 segment results | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash, debt, and leverage | $1.664B cash, $7.013B total debt excluding non-recourse debt, $5.349B net debt, 1.54x net leverage | CBRE Q1 2026 leverage table | July 8, 2026 |
| Source gap on debt | StockAnalysis showed $10.58B total debt, higher than CBRE leverage-table debt because CBRE excludes non-recourse debt in net debt | CBRE Q1 2026 release and StockAnalysis | July 8, 2026 |
| Free cash flow | $1.657 billion for the 12 months ended March 31, 2026 | CBRE Q1 2026 free cash flow reconciliation | July 8, 2026 |
| 2026 core EPS outlook | $7.60 to $7.80, raised from $7.30 to $7.60 | CBRE Q1 2026 earnings release | July 8, 2026 |
| Moving averages and momentum | 50-day MA about $135.79 to $138.76, 200-day MA about $133.02 to $149.40, RSI about 64 to 65 | StockAnalysis, Barchart, and Investing.com technical snapshots | July 8, 2026 |
| Valuation math | 32.82x TTM PE, 46.97x TTM P/FCF, 2.13% FCF yield from financial_rigor.py | financial_rigor.py valuation verification | July 8, 2026 |
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This CBRE AI stock analysis is an informational tool for research and education only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available data as of July 8, 2026 and can be wrong.