Coeur Mining, Inc. research snapshot
CDE AI stock analysis reads Coeur Mining as a much larger North American gold, silver, and copper producer after the March 2026 New Gold transaction, but it now faces a clear metal-price headwind. First-quarter 2026 revenue was $856 million, free cash flow was $267 million, and cash was $843 million, while the share count grew to about 1.03 billion. Since those record first-quarter results, gold has fallen from an average realized price of about $4,383 in Q1 to roughly $4,000 per ounce, and silver has fallen from about $82.85 to roughly $58 to $60, pulling the stock down. At the August 3, 2026 data cutoff the latest NYSE close was $14.91 on July 31 and the calculated market capitalization was about $15.42 billion. The CDE AI stock forecast below uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction. This page is informational research, not investment advice.
Current price
$14.91 (July 31, 2026 close)
Market cap
About $15.42 billion
AI score
56 / 100
Rating
A scaled-up North American gold, silver, and copper producer with record recent cash flow but direct exposure to a sharp metal-price pullback
Trend status
Short-term corrective: the price is below the 50-day average of $16.57 and the 200-day average of $18.68, roughly 46% below the 52-week high near $27.77
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | A producing seven-operation platform with record recent margins, but earnings are tied to metal prices that have already fallen from first-quarter peaks. | High |
| Moat | Scale, permits, reserves, processing assets, and operating know-how matter; consumer brand and switching-cost advantages are limited. | Medium |
| Management | Long-tenured CEO, improved financial policy, a record exploration budget, and a new dividend are positives, while the large New Gold integration is the key execution test. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue reached $2.07 billion, net income $586 million, and free cash flow $666 million; Q1 2026 set records but benefited from peak metal prices. | High |
| Valuation | About 12.33x TTM P/E and 16.86x TTM P/FCF at $14.91, below the $18.75 lowest analyst target, but TTM earnings reflect peak metal prices and a weighted share count. | Medium |
| Technical trend | The latest close is below the 50-day average of $16.57 and 200-day average of $18.68, with RSI near 44. | High |
| Risk level | High: commodity sensitivity, acquisition integration, operating incidents, jurisdiction, capital intensity, dilution, and elevated short interest all matter. | High |
| AI confidence | Reported data is well supported; the forward view is less certain because metal prices are falling and Q2 2026 results are not yet reported. | High |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low: the business is understandable, but per-share value depends on metal prices, execution, and the enlarged share base. | Medium |
CDE AI stock forecast
The Coeur Mining, Inc. AI stock forecast is a scenario framework, not a guaranteed target. The model starts from the 2026 analyst consensus adjusted EPS of about $1.52, which already reflects a full year of New Afton and Rainy River and current metal prices. The bullish case compounds EPS near 20% toward roughly $2.20 and exits near 18x for a reference near $39. The base case compounds toward roughly $1.85 and exits near 14x for a reference near $24. The bearish case cuts EPS toward roughly $0.80 and exits near 8x for a reference near $6. These references are then widened into ranges. Metal prices, 2026 guidance delivery, New Gold integration, costs, and balance-sheet decisions determine which case becomes more likely. Analyst targets were set mostly before the July silver pullback, and the stock already trades below the lowest target of $18.75.
$30 to $40
Gold and silver hold near current levels or recover toward first-quarter averages, Coeur reaches the upper half of 2026 guidance, New Afton and Rainy River integrate without major disruption, and cash flow supports debt control and the buyback. This aligns with the high end of analyst targets.
$19 to $28
Metal prices remain supportive but below Q1 2026 peaks, production lands near the middle of guidance, the enlarged portfolio performs close to plan, and investors assign a mid-cycle multiple to cash flow. This is broadly consistent with the analyst consensus price target of $24.84.
$5 to $10
Gold and silver retreat further, as the World Gold Council downside scenario suggests, or costs and grades disappoint, or New Gold synergies are delayed, and the market applies a low-cycle multiple to earnings that are partly peak-driven.
CDE AI technical analysis
CDE AI technical analysis is soft at the August 3, 2026 data cutoff. The July 31 close of $14.91 was below the 50-day moving average of $16.57 and the 200-day moving average of $18.68. RSI was 44.14, 20-day average volume was about 27.2 million shares, beta was 1.34, and short interest was about 55.8 million shares or 5.4% of shares outstanding. Recent price history suggests support around $14.50 to $15.00 and $14.00 to $14.20, with resistance around $15.40 to $16.00, but these levels must be refreshed in a live chart.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate support | $14.50 to $15.00 | The July 31 intraday low was $14.51 and recent closes have held near $14.90. A reversal here would need confirmation from price and volume. |
| Breakdown support | $14.00 to $14.20 | The July 29 intraday low was $14.02. A sustained close below this zone weakens the short-term setup and opens the lower part of the 52-week range. |
| Near resistance | $15.40 to $16.00 | This zone contains the July 30 close of $15.40 and the July 14 close of $16.00. A move above it would improve momentum. |
| 50-day moving average | $16.57 | The current technical trend remains below this average as reported by StockAnalysis. |
| 200-day moving average | $18.68 | A higher trend test and possible resistance until price reclaims it with sustained volume. |
| Momentum and volume | RSI 44.14; 20-day volume 27.2M | Momentum is neutral, while elevated short interest and commodity beta can amplify both metal-price moves and company-specific news. |
CDE AI trading strategy
This CDE AI trading strategy is a research framework, not personal advice. Track gold and silver prices, copper exposure, production updates, realized prices, adjusted costs, cash flow, debt, share count, and New Gold integration. Use position sizing and a predefined invalidation rule because a precious-metals equity can move more than the underlying metal, and the Q2 2026 report is scheduled for August 5, 2026.
Wait for a close back above the $16.57 50-day average, then look for follow-through toward the $18.68 200-day average with volume that confirms participation. This setup is stronger if gold and silver also hold their trends.
A failed reclaim or a close back below the $14.50 to $15.00 support zone invalidates the short-term thesis.
Treat $14.00 to $14.20 as a watch zone rather than an automatic buy. Require a reversal signal, stable metal prices, and no adverse mine or integration disclosure before considering a rebound framework.
A sustained move below $14.00 signals that support failed. Do not average down without a separate fundamental review.
Size positions for high beta and commodity volatility, keep the August 5, 2026 earnings date visible, and compare share-count growth with per-share cash flow. Monitor production, grades, recovery, costs, taxes, capital spending, cash, debt, reserve replacement, and buyback execution.
The strategy is invalidated by a lasting drop in metal prices, material guidance cuts, failed integration, a major mine interruption, or financing and dilution that erode per-share value.
Investment research summary
Coeur is paid to extract and process gold, silver, and copper, then sell the recovered metals at market-linked prices. Revenue is not subscription-like: reserve depletion, grades, recovery, throughput, realized prices, and sustaining capital determine the economic engine. The 2026 portfolio adds New Afton and Rainy River, increasing scale but also integration complexity. Question: would this still be a good business if gold and silver returned to the levels implied by Coeur reserve assumptions of $2,200 gold and $26 silver per ounce?
The practical moat is a collection of permitted mines, processing infrastructure, reserves, local relationships, technical teams, and the capital needed to build and expand operations. Coeur has scale, a more balanced North American footprint after New Gold, and a record $158 million 2026 exploration program, but it has little brand or customer lock-in. Year-end 2025 proven and probable reserves were 4.4 million ounces of gold and 274.4 million ounces of silver. Question: which asset or permit would be hardest for a well-funded competitor to reproduce?
The thesis fails if metal prices keep falling while costs rise, if grades or recoveries disappoint, if an accident or permit issue interrupts a mine, or if New Gold integration consumes cash without delivering the expected production and synergies. The March 2026 transaction issued roughly 393 million shares, so the company must grow cash flow faster than the share count to create per-share value. The recent silver price decline is the clearest live version of this failure path. Question: which single operational or commodity assumption is doing the most work in the bull case?
Mitchell J. Krebs is Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer; Thomas S. Whelan is Chief Financial Officer, and Michael Routledge is Chief Operating Officer. Recent actions include the March 2026 New Gold all-stock acquisition, a $1 billion revolving credit facility, a $750 million repurchase authorization, an inaugural $0.02 semiannual dividend, and a record exploration budget. Capital allocation is improving, but the large integration is the central test. Question: can the enlarged company keep operating discipline when commodity prices weaken?
Gold peaked above $5,500 per ounce intraday in January 2026 and fell roughly 7% year to date to about $4,000 by late July; the World Gold Council sees a range-bound second half near $4,100 with upside toward $4,500 or 5% to 15% downside depending on growth, rates, geopolitics, and investor flows. Silver spiked toward $60 per ounce in mid-July but trades well below Coeur first-quarter realized price of $82.85, with a gold-silver ratio near 70 to 1. These are supportive long-run structural themes, not a guarantee of mine-level returns. Question: in twenty years, will scarce low-cost North American resources matter more than the current commodity cycle?
At $14.91, CDE traded near 12.33x TTM P/E, 1.48x book value, and 16.86x TTM P/FCF using exact-decimal calculations, below the lowest analyst target of $18.75 and the consensus average of $24.84. The balance sheet was near net cash on Q1 figures, but debt definitions differ between the company release and third-party data. A roughly $24 base-case reference value is not a margin of safety by itself because TTM earnings reflect unusually strong metal prices and the first period of a major acquisition. Question: would you hold this price for five years if the stock market closed tomorrow and metal prices normalized?
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latest NYSE close and volume | $14.91 close on July 31, 2026; 30.3 million shares traded that day. The 52-week range was $8.57 to $27.77. | StockAnalysis historical prices | August 3, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding and market-cap math | 1,034,497,016 shares outstanding at March 31, 2026; $14.91 multiplied by that count gives about $15.42 billion. | Coeur Q1 2026 release and Pineify exact-decimal check | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $2.07 billion, up 96.41% year over year. StockAnalysis reports $2,070 million. | Coeur FY2025 results and StockAnalysis financials | August 3, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income and free cash flow | GAAP net income about $586 million and free cash flow about $666 million. StockAnalysis reports $585.87 million and $665.72 million. | Coeur FY2025 results and StockAnalysis financials | August 3, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 operating and financial results | $856 million revenue, $246.8 million GAAP net income, $340.8 million operating cash flow, $266.8 million free cash flow, and record adjusted EBITDA of $474.9 million. | Coeur Q1 2026 results | August 3, 2026 |
| Cash and debt at March 31, 2026 | Cash and equivalents $843.17 million; consolidated balance-sheet debt about $761.38 million. StockAnalysis reports $773.22 million under its debt convention, so net cash depends on definition. | Coeur Q1 2026 release and StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| 2026 production guidance | 680,000 to 815,000 ounces of gold, 18.7 to 21.9 million ounces of silver, and 50 to 65 million pounds of copper, reaffirmed with Q1 results. | Coeur Q1 2026 results | August 3, 2026 |
| Mineral reserves and resources | Year-end 2025 proven and probable reserves included 4.4 million ounces of gold and 274.4 million ounces of silver; inferred resources included 3.8 million ounces of gold and 141.8 million ounces of silver. Reserve price assumptions were $2,200 gold and $26 silver per ounce. | Coeur year-end 2025 reserves release | August 3, 2026 |
| Valuation metrics | 12.33x TTM P/E, 1.48x P/B, 16.86x TTM P/FCF, and 5.93% TTM FCF yield using $1.21 EPS, $10.07 book value per share, and $0.88 FCF per share. | StockAnalysis inputs and Pineify exact-decimal check | August 3, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | 50-day moving average $16.57, 200-day moving average $18.68, RSI 44.14, beta 1.34, 20-day average volume about 27.2 million shares, and short interest about 55.8 million shares. | StockAnalysis statistics | August 3, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Consensus rating Buy from 11 analysts with an average price target of $24.84; the range is $18.75 to $40. Consensus 2026 revenue is $4.97 billion and adjusted EPS is $1.52. | StockAnalysis forecast | August 3, 2026 |
| Industry context | The World Gold Council expects gold to trade in a range near $4,100 per ounce in the second half of 2026, down roughly 7% year to date, with upside toward $4,500 or 5% to 15% downside; silver traded near $58 to $60 per ounce in late July with a gold-silver ratio near 70 to 1. | World Gold Council mid-year outlook 2026 and Silver Institute commentary | August 3, 2026 |
| Exploration update | Coeur plans $158 million of exploration investment in 2026, twice last year level and the largest in company history, including $27 million at Palmarejo and $24 million at Las Chispas. | Coeur July 21, 2026 exploration update | August 3, 2026 |
This CDE AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a guarantee of returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of August 3, 2026 and can be wrong if metal prices, grades, recovery, mine availability, costs, permits, integration, financing, share count, or market conditions change. The Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 5, 2026 and may change the picture.
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