Coeur Mining, Inc. research snapshot

CDE AI Stock Analysis

CDE AI stock analysis currently reads Coeur Mining as a large North American gold, silver, and copper producer with a stronger balance sheet after a record 2025 and the March 2026 New Gold acquisition. This Coeur Mining, Inc. AI stock analysis pairs reported operating data with a scenario framework. First-quarter 2026 revenue was $856 million, free cash flow was $267 million, and cash was $843 million, but the share count also expanded to about 1.03 billion after the all-stock transaction. At the July 12, 2026 data cutoff, the latest NYSE close was $15.98 and the calculated market capitalization was about $16.53 billion. The CDE AI stock forecast below uses scenarios, not a certain price prediction. This page is informational research, not investment advice.

Current price

$15.98 (July 10 close)

Market cap

About $16.53 billion

AI score

61 / 100

Rating

Precious-metals producer with strong recent cash flow and high commodity-cycle exposure

Trend status

Short-term corrective: price is below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages

Data cutoff (updated weekly)

July 12, 2026

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Research quality check

information Richness
A-level information richness. Coeur has multi-year SEC filings, operating releases, technical reports, reserve disclosures, a 2026 proxy statement, and active coverage. The newly combined company still has limited post-acquisition operating history.
bias Check
The main AI bias risk is treating high gold and silver prices, the Rochester expansion, and New Gold synergies as permanent earnings power. This analysis separates reported results and share-count math from assumptions about metal prices, grades, costs, integration, and mine life.
ai Confidence
High for reported financial results, production guidance, balance-sheet figures, transaction terms, and valuation arithmetic. Medium for technical levels and forward scenarios because commodity prices and mine execution can change quickly.
investment Certainty
Medium-low. Coeur has more scale, liquidity, and operating diversification than it had before New Gold, but long-run earnings remain exposed to gold and silver prices, cost inflation, mine performance, integration, permitting, and dilution.

Quick verdict table

DimensionConclusionConfidence
Business qualityA producing seven-operation platform with strong recent margins, but earnings are tied to metal prices and reserve replacement.High
MoatScale, permits, reserves, processing assets, and operating know-how matter; consumer brand and switching-cost advantages are limited.Medium
ManagementLong-tenured CEO and improved liquidity policy are positives, while the large New Gold integration is the key execution test.Medium
Financial trendFY2025 revenue reached $2.07 billion, net income $586 million, and free cash flow $666 million; Q1 2026 stayed strong.High
ValuationAbout 13.21x TTM P/E and 18.16x TTM P/FCF at $15.98, but peak-cycle cash flow may not be a steady-state base.Medium
Technical trendThe latest close is below the 50-day average of $17.50 and 200-day average of $18.97, with RSI near 44.High
Risk levelHigh: commodity sensitivity, acquisition integration, operating incidents, jurisdiction, capital intensity, and dilution all matter.High
AI confidenceReported data is well supported; the forward view is less certain because the combined company is early in its integration period.High
Investment certaintyMedium-low: the business is understandable, but long-run per-share value depends on metal prices and execution.Medium

CDE AI stock forecast

CDE AI Stock Forecast Scenarios

The Coeur Mining, Inc. AI stock forecast is a three-year scenario framework, not a guaranteed target. The model starts with TTM diluted EPS of $1.21 and tests 15%, 8%, and negative 15% annual EPS paths with 18x, 14x, and 8x exit P/E assumptions. The resulting reference values are about $33.1, $21.3, and $5.9 before widening them into practical ranges. Metal prices, 2026 guidance delivery, New Gold integration, costs, and balance-sheet decisions determine which case becomes more likely.

Bullish case

$28 to $38

Gold and silver remain elevated, Coeur reaches the upper half of 2026 guidance, New Afton and Rainy River integrate without major disruption, and cash flow supports debt control and disciplined buybacks.

Base case

$17 to $25

Metal prices normalize but remain supportive, production lands near the middle of guidance, the enlarged portfolio performs close to plan, and investors assign a mid-cycle multiple to cash flow.

Bearish case

$5 to $10

Gold and silver retreat, costs or grades disappoint, a major operating or permitting issue appears, New Gold synergies are delayed, and the market values earnings at a low-cycle multiple.

CDE AI technical analysis

CDE AI Technical Analysis

CDE AI technical analysis is neutral-to-soft at the July 12, 2026 data cutoff. The July 10 close of $15.98 was below the 50-day moving average of $17.50 and 200-day moving average of $18.97. RSI was 44.26, 20-day average volume was about 44.7 million shares, and five-year beta was 1.30. Recent price history suggests support around $15.20 to $15.70 and resistance around $16.50 to $17.30, but these levels must be refreshed in a live chart.

LevelValueWhy it matters
Immediate support$15.20 to $15.70Near recent June and July lows. A reversal here would need confirmation from price and volume.
Breakdown support$14.80 to $15.00The July 8 intraday low was $14.83. A sustained close below this zone weakens the short-term setup.
Near resistance$16.50 to $17.30This zone contains recent closes and the July 2 high area. A move above it would improve momentum.
50-day moving average$17.50Current technical trend remains below this average as reported by StockAnalysis.
200-day moving average$18.97A higher trend test and possible resistance until price reclaims it with sustained volume.
Momentum and volumeRSI 44.26; 20-day volume 44.7MMomentum is not oversold, while elevated volume can amplify both metal-price moves and company-specific news.

CDE AI trading strategy

CDE AI Trading Strategy Framework

This CDE AI trading strategy is a research framework, not personal advice. Track gold and silver prices, copper exposure, production updates, realized prices, adjusted costs, cash flow, debt, share count, and New Gold integration. Use position sizing and a predefined invalidation rule because a precious-metals equity can move more than the underlying metal.

Trend-following setup

Wait for a close back above the $17.50 50-day average, then look for follow-through toward the $18.97 200-day average with volume that confirms participation. This setup is stronger if gold and silver also hold their trends.

A failed reclaim or a close back below the $15.20 to $15.70 support zone invalidates the short-term thesis.

Mean-reversion setup

Treat $15.20 to $15.70 as a watch zone rather than an automatic buy. Require a reversal signal, stable metal prices, and no adverse mine or integration disclosure before considering a rebound framework.

A sustained move below $14.80 to $15.00 signals that support failed. Do not average down without a separate fundamental review.

Risk controls and monitoring

Size positions for high beta and commodity volatility, keep acquisition and earnings dates visible, and compare share-count growth with per-share cash flow. Monitor production, grades, recovery, costs, taxes, capital spending, cash, debt, and reserve replacement.

The strategy is invalidated by a lasting drop in metal prices, material guidance cuts, failed integration, a major mine interruption, or financing and dilution that erode per-share value.

Investment research summary

Four-master Research Compression

Business essence

Coeur is paid to extract and process gold, silver, and copper, then sell the recovered metals at market-linked prices. Revenue is not subscription-like: reserve depletion, grades, recovery, throughput, realized prices, and sustaining capital determine the economic engine. The 2026 portfolio adds New Afton and Rainy River, increasing scale but also increasing integration complexity. Question: would this still be a good business if gold and silver prices returned to mid-cycle levels?

Moat

The practical moat is a collection of permitted mines, processing infrastructure, reserves, local relationships, technical teams, and the capital needed to build and expand operations. Coeur has scale and a more balanced North American footprint after New Gold, but it has little brand or customer lock-in. Reserves can grow, as shown by 2025 gold and silver reserve increases, but they also need ongoing exploration and capital. Question: which asset or permit would be hardest for a well-funded competitor to reproduce?

Munger risk inversion

The thesis fails if metal prices fall while costs rise, if grades or recoveries disappoint, if an accident or permit issue interrupts a mine, or if New Gold integration consumes cash without delivering the expected production and synergies. The March 2026 transaction also issued about 392.7 million shares, so the company must grow cash flow faster than the share count to create per-share value. Question: which single operational or commodity assumption is doing the most work in the bull case?

Management

Mitchell J. Krebs has served as CEO since July 2011 and became chairman in May 2024. The 2026 proxy shows a long tenure, performance-linked equity compensation, and a 2025 total compensation figure of $6.65 million. Recent actions include a $1 billion revolving facility, a $750 million repurchase authorization, and a new $0.02 semiannual dividend policy. Capital allocation is improving, but the large all-stock New Gold deal is the central test. Question: can the enlarged company keep operating discipline when commodity prices weaken?

Industry and civilization trend

Gold benefits from investment, central-bank, and geopolitical demand, while silver combines monetary demand with industrial uses. The World Gold Council expects 2026 gold demand to remain sensitive to geopolitics, rates, and investor flows. The Silver Institute expects a sixth consecutive annual silver-market deficit in 2026, although industrial fabrication is forecast to decline modestly. These are supportive industry conditions, not a guarantee of mine-level returns. Question: in twenty years, will scarce low-cost North American resources matter more than the current commodity cycle?

Valuation and margin of safety

At $15.98, CDE traded near 13.21x TTM P/E, 1.59x book value, and 18.16x TTM P/FCF using exact-decimal calculations. The balance sheet was near net cash on Q1 figures, but debt definitions differ between the company release and third-party data. A $21.3 three-year base-case reference value is not a margin of safety by itself because TTM earnings reflect unusually strong metal prices and the first period of a major acquisition. Question: would you hold this price for five years if the stock market closed tomorrow and metal prices normalized?

Source-backed data

CDE Data Table

Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.

MetricValueSourceLast verified
Latest NYSE close and volume$15.98 close on July 10, 2026; 9.92 million shares traded that day.StockAnalysis historical pricesJuly 12, 2026
Shares outstanding and market-cap math1,034,497,016 shares outstanding at March 31, 2026; $15.98 multiplied by that count gives about $16.53 billion.Coeur Q1 2026 release and Pineify exact-decimal checkJuly 12, 2026
FY2025 revenue$2.07 billion, up 96.41% year over year. Coeur, Macrotrends, and StockAnalysis agree within 0.01%.Coeur FY2025 results, Macrotrends, StockAnalysisJuly 12, 2026
FY2025 net income and free cash flowGAAP net income about $586 million and free cash flow about $666 million. StockAnalysis reports $585.87 million and $665.72 million.Coeur FY2025 results and StockAnalysis financialsJuly 12, 2026
Q1 2026 operating and financial results$856 million revenue, $246.8 million GAAP net income, $340.8 million operating cash flow, and $266.8 million free cash flow.Coeur Q1 2026 resultsJuly 12, 2026
Cash and debt at March 31, 2026Cash and equivalents $843.17 million; consolidated balance-sheet debt about $761.38 million. StockAnalysis reports $773.22 million under its debt convention, so net cash depends on definition.Coeur Q1 2026 release and StockAnalysis statisticsJuly 12, 2026
2026 production guidance680,000 to 815,000 ounces of gold, 18.7 to 21.9 million ounces of silver, and 50 to 65 million pounds of copper.Coeur Q1 2026 resultsJuly 12, 2026
Mineral reserves and resourcesYear-end 2025 proven and probable reserves included 4.4 million ounces of gold and 274.4 million ounces of silver; inferred resources included 3.8 million ounces of gold and 141.8 million ounces of silver.Coeur year-end 2025 reserves releaseJuly 12, 2026
Valuation metrics13.21x TTM P/E, 1.59x P/B, 18.16x TTM P/FCF, and 5.51% TTM FCF yield using $1.21 EPS, $10.07 book value per share, and $0.88 FCF per share.StockAnalysis inputs and Pineify exact-decimal checkJuly 12, 2026
Technical indicators50-day moving average $17.50, 200-day moving average $18.97, RSI 44.26, beta 1.30, and 20-day average volume about 44.7 million shares.StockAnalysis statisticsJuly 12, 2026
Industry contextWorld Gold Council describes 2026 gold demand as sensitive to geopolitics, rates, and investor flows; the Silver Institute expects a sixth consecutive silver-market deficit in 2026.World Gold Council and Silver InstituteJuly 12, 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

This CDE AI stock analysis page is an informational tool only. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, or a guarantee of returns. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 12, 2026 and can be wrong if metal prices, grades, recovery, mine availability, costs, permits, integration, financing, share count, or market conditions change.