Aptiv PLC research snapshot
APTV AI stock analysis currently reads Aptiv as a global auto and industrial technology supplier with meaningful software, sensing, compute, and engineered component exposure, but the stock also carries auto-cycle risk, customer bargaining pressure, post-spin comparability issues, and a weak technical setup. At the July 8, 2026 data cutoff, APTV closed near $58.85 with a verified market capitalization near $12.45 billion. This page uses scenario ranges and source checks, not a certain stock price prediction, and is for informational use only.
Current price
$58.85
Market cap
$12.45 billion
AI score
58 / 100
Rating
Cyclical auto technology reset with attractive adjusted earnings power but weak price trend
Trend status
Bearish below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages after the Versigent spin-off reset
Data cutoff (updated weekly)
July 8, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Aptiv sells vehicle software, sensing, compute, connectivity, and engineered components into OEM programs, with 2025 revenue of $20.398 billion before the Versigent separation. | High |
| Moat | The moat is based on embedded engineering relationships, safety-critical product qualification, scale, software and hardware integration, and switching friction inside vehicle platforms. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Kevin Clark has led a portfolio shift toward higher-value automation, electrification, and software, but management now must prove that the Versigent spin-off improves per-share economics. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose 3% to $20.398 billion, but GAAP net income fell to $165 million due to impairment and tax items. Q1 2026 revenue was $5.1 billion, with adjusted EPS of $1.71. | High |
| Valuation | At $58.85, APTV traded near 10.0x the 2026 New Aptiv adjusted EPS guidance midpoint, 1.35x book value, 11.4x free cash flow per share, and 0.96x pro forma 2026 revenue per share. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The chart is weak: APTV is below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, while RSI is neutral and price rate of change remains negative. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risks include auto production cuts, OEM price pressure, China competition, commodity and FX cost swings, launch delays, warranty issues, debt, and confusion around post-spin comparability. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for historical financials and market math, medium for post-spin forecasts and technical timing. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The page frames valuation and monitoring rules, not a buy or sell instruction. | Medium-low |
APTV AI stock forecast
The APTV AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $58.85 quote and the 2026 New Aptiv adjusted EPS guidance midpoint of $5.90. The audited three-year framework produced a bearish area near $43, a base area near $75, and a bullish area near $110 before any future buybacks or dilution.
$100 to $112
More likely if New Aptiv compounds adjusted EPS near 10%, keeps adjusted EBITDA margin near or above the 18.6% pro forma 2026 guide, converts free cash flow, wins higher-value ADAS and software programs, and uses buybacks without stretching the balance sheet.
$70 to $80
More likely if EPS grows around the mid-single digits, auto production stays stable, commodity and FX headwinds ease, and the market values APTV near an 11x earnings multiple after post-spin reporting becomes easier to compare.
$40 to $47
More likely if OEM production slows, price pressure offsets program wins, China remains weak, adjusted EPS falls below guidance, or investors assign a lower multiple to an auto supplier with a broken technical trend.
APTV AI technical analysis
APTV AI technical analysis is bearish as of the July 8, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis reported a July 7 close of $58.85, TipRanks listed the 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages above spot price, and RSI stayed neutral rather than washed out.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $58.85 | StockAnalysis reported APTV at $58.85 at the July 7, 2026 market close. |
| Near support | $58 to $59 | The current price area is the first support test. A break below it would keep sellers in control. |
| 20-day moving average | $63.68 | TipRanks listed APTV below the 20-day moving average, showing a weak short-term trend. |
| 50-day moving average | $61.46 | TipRanks listed APTV below the 50-day moving average. A reclaim would be the first trend repair signal. |
| 200-day moving average | $65.14 | TipRanks listed APTV below the 200-day moving average, so the medium-term setup remains bearish. |
| Momentum | RSI 43.62 | TipRanks described RSI as neutral. Momentum is weak but not deeply oversold. |
| Volume | 2.97 million average 20-day volume | StockAnalysis listed average 20-day volume near 2.97 million shares. A reversal needs higher-quality participation. |
| Resistance | $61.46 to $65.14 | The 50-day and 200-day moving averages form the first resistance band for a rebound attempt. |
| Invalidation | Close below $58 | A decisive close below the current support area would weaken mean-reversion setups and point to a retest of lower support. |
APTV AI trading strategy
The APTV AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a cyclical auto technology stock with post-spin uncertainty and a bearish chart. It is not personal advice and should be paired with current chart data, position sizing, earnings updates, and explicit invalidation levels.
Wait for APTV to reclaim the $61.46 50-day moving average and then hold above the $65.14 200-day moving average on rising volume. Confirmation should include no guidance cut and clearer New Aptiv margin evidence after Q2 2026 reporting.
A failed reclaim followed by a close back below $58 should reduce confidence in the rebound setup.
If APTV stabilizes near $58 without a negative earnings revision, compare the price to forward EPS, FCF yield, debt reduction after the Versigent separation, and peer auto supplier multiples before assuming the selloff is overdone.
Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because auto suppliers can derate fast when production schedules or OEM negotiations turn negative.
Track New Aptiv 2026 revenue guidance, adjusted EPS guidance, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow, buybacks, net debt, China trends, ADAS bookings, and any warranty or launch-cost changes.
Reduce confidence if the thesis depends on adjusted earnings while GAAP earnings, cash conversion, or debt reduction remain weak.
Investment research summary
Aptiv helps automakers and industrial customers make machines sense, compute, connect, and control. Customers pay because safety-critical vehicle platforms need qualified hardware, software, electrical, and integration expertise.
The moat comes from OEM relationships, platform qualification cycles, safety validation, scale manufacturing, software and hardware integration, and engineering know-how. It is real but not absolute because large automakers keep pricing power.
The thesis fails if automakers squeeze supplier margins, China competition accelerates, software revenue does not scale, Versigent separation creates noise without better returns, or the company keeps reporting weak GAAP earnings versus adjusted profit.
Kevin Clark-led management should be judged by post-spin margin quality, free cash flow conversion, debt reduction, buyback timing, program execution, and whether portfolio simplification improves per-share value.
Aptiv is tied to automation, electrification, software-defined vehicles, and edge compute. These are long-term trends, but adoption is uneven and auto production remains cyclical.
At roughly 10.0x the New Aptiv adjusted EPS guide midpoint, the multiple looks low versus many technology suppliers, but margin of safety depends on clean post-spin earnings, cash flow, and a technical base above current support.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| APTV price | $58.85 close on July 7, 2026 | StockAnalysis quote and statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $12.45 billion, verified as $58.85 x 211.621 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | July 8, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 211.62 million shares | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $20.398 billion, cross-checked against Macrotrends, Barchart, and StockAnalysis | Aptiv 2025 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable to Aptiv | $165 million, cross-checked against Macrotrends and Barchart | Aptiv Q4 2025 financial results | July 8, 2026 |
| FY2025 adjusted EPS | $7.82 adjusted EPS versus $0.75 GAAP diluted EPS | Aptiv Q4 2025 financial results | July 8, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | $5.1 billion revenue, $189 million GAAP net income, and $1.71 adjusted EPS | Aptiv Q1 2026 financial results | July 8, 2026 |
| 2026 New Aptiv guidance | $12.8 billion to $13.2 billion revenue and $5.70 to $6.10 adjusted EPS | Aptiv Q1 2026 financial results | July 8, 2026 |
| Insider ownership | 0.97% insider ownership, third-party statistics source | StockAnalysis statistics | July 8, 2026 |
| Cash and net debt | $1.851 billion cash and $5.7 billion net debt at December 31, 2025 | Aptiv 2025 Form 10-K | July 8, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | RSI 43.62, 20-day MA $63.68, 50-day MA $61.46, 200-day MA $65.14 | TipRanks technical analysis | July 8, 2026 |
This APTV AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a rating, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 8, 2026, and may be wrong if Aptiv results, auto demand, market multiples, interest rates, or technical conditions change.
