Aptiv PLC research snapshot
APTV AI stock analysis currently reads Aptiv as a global industrial technology supplier with meaningful software, sensing, compute, and engineered component exposure, but the stock also carries auto-cycle risk, customer bargaining pressure, post-spin comparability issues, and a weak technical setup. At the July 31, 2026 data cutoff, APTV closed near $56.47 with a verified market capitalization near $11.95 billion and trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages near the 52-week low. Q2 2026 results are scheduled for August 4, 2026 and are not reflected in this page. This page uses scenario ranges and source checks, not a certain stock price prediction, and is for informational use only.
Current price
$56.47
Market cap
$11.95 billion
AI score
55 / 100
Rating
Cheap forward adjusted earnings against a weak price trend near the 52-week low
Trend status
Bearish below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with Q2 2026 earnings due August 4
Data cutoff (updated monthly)
August 4, 2026
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
| Dimension | Conclusion | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Business quality | Aptiv sells vehicle software, sensing, compute, connectivity, and engineered components into OEM programs. New Aptiv after the Versigent separation is guided toward $12.8 billion to $13.2 billion of 2026 revenue. | High |
| Moat | The moat is based on embedded engineering relationships, safety-critical product qualification, scale, software and hardware integration, and switching friction inside vehicle platforms, plus newer edge AI and robotics partnerships. | Medium-high |
| Management | CEO Kevin Clark completed the Versigent spin-off on April 1, 2026, redeemed debt with the cash distribution, and continued buybacks. Management must now prove the leaner base improves per-share economics. | Medium |
| Financial trend | FY2025 revenue rose about 3% to $20.40 billion, but GAAP net income fell to $165 million on impairment and tax items. Q1 2026 revenue was $5.09 billion with $1.71 adjusted EPS, while free cash flow was negative $362 million in the quarter. | High |
| Valuation | At $56.47, APTV traded near 9.2x forward earnings, 1.30x book value, about 11x trailing free cash flow, and 0.58x trailing sales, with a Strong Buy consensus and a $77.67 average analyst target. | Medium-high |
| Technical trend | The chart is weak: APTV is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages near the 52-week low of $51.68, with RSI near 41 and no washed-out oversold signal. | Medium |
| Risk level | Risks include auto production cuts, OEM price pressure, China competition, commodity and FX cost swings, launch delays, warranty issues, debt, post-spin comparability confusion, and the August 4 Q2 report. | Medium-high |
| AI confidence | High for historical financials and market math, medium for post-spin forecasts and technical timing. | High data confidence |
| Investment certainty | Medium-low certainty. The page frames valuation and monitoring rules, not a buy or sell instruction. | Medium-low |
APTV AI stock forecast
The APTV AI stock forecast uses scenario math around the $56.47 quote and the 2026 New Aptiv adjusted EPS guidance midpoint of $5.90. A three-year scenario framework produced a bearish area near $44, a base area near $80, and a bullish area near $119 before further buybacks or dilution, consistent with a cheap forward multiple that still depends on post-spin execution.
$110 to $125
More likely if New Aptiv compounds adjusted EPS near 8%, keeps adjusted EBITDA margin near the 18.6% pro forma 2026 guide, converts free cash flow, wins higher-value ADAS, software, and edge AI programs, and uses buybacks without stretching the balance sheet.
$72 to $85
More likely if EPS grows around mid-single digits, auto production stays stable, commodity and FX headwinds ease, and the market values APTV near a 12x adjusted earnings multiple once post-spin reporting becomes easier to compare.
$40 to $48
More likely if OEM production slows, price pressure offsets program wins, China stays weak, adjusted EPS falls below the $5.70 to $6.10 guide, or investors assign a lower multiple to a supplier with a broken technical trend near the 52-week low.
APTV AI technical analysis
APTV AI technical analysis is bearish as of the July 31, 2026 data cutoff. StockAnalysis reported a July 31 close of $56.47, below the 50-day moving average of $61.84 and the 200-day moving average of $70.76, with RSI near 41 and the 52-week low at $51.68.
| Level | Value | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $56.47 | StockAnalysis reported APTV at $56.47 at the July 31, 2026 market close. |
| Near support | $51.68 | The 52-week low near $51.68 is the first major support test. A break below it would keep sellers in control. |
| 50-day moving average | $61.84 | StockAnalysis listed APTV below the 50-day moving average, so the short-term trend is weak. |
| 200-day moving average | $70.76 | StockAnalysis listed APTV below the 200-day moving average, so the medium-term trend remains bearish. |
| Momentum | RSI 41.33 | StockAnalysis reported RSI near 41. Momentum is weak but not deeply oversold. |
| Volume | 2.32 million average 20-day volume | StockAnalysis listed average 20-day volume near 2.32 million shares. A reversal needs higher participation. |
| Resistance | $61.84 to $70.76 | The 50-day and 200-day moving averages form the first resistance band for a rebound attempt. |
| Invalidation | Close below $51.68 | A decisive close below the 52-week low would weaken mean-reversion setups and point toward lower support. |
APTV AI trading strategy
The APTV AI trading strategy is a rules-based framework for a cyclical auto technology stock with post-spin uncertainty and a bearish chart ahead of the August 4, 2026 earnings report. It is not personal advice and should be paired with current chart data, position sizing, earnings updates, and explicit invalidation levels.
Wait for APTV to reclaim the $61.84 50-day moving average and then hold above the $70.76 200-day moving average on rising volume. Confirmation should include no guidance cut and clearer New Aptiv margin evidence after Q2 2026 reporting on August 4.
A failed reclaim followed by a close back below $51.68 should reduce confidence in the rebound setup.
If APTV stabilizes near the $51.68 to $56 area without a negative earnings revision, compare the price to forward EPS, FCF yield, debt reduction after the Versigent separation, and peer auto supplier multiples before assuming the selloff is overdone.
Do not average down without a maximum loss rule because auto suppliers can derate fast when production schedules or OEM negotiations turn negative.
Track New Aptiv 2026 revenue and adjusted EPS guidance, adjusted EBITDA margin, free cash flow, buybacks, net debt, China trends, ADAS and software bookings, edge AI partnerships, and any warranty or launch-cost changes.
Reduce confidence if the thesis depends on adjusted earnings while GAAP earnings, cash conversion, or debt reduction remain weak.
Investment research summary
Aptiv helps automakers and industrial customers make machines sense, compute, connect, and control. Customers pay because safety-critical vehicle and edge systems need qualified hardware, software, electrical, and integration expertise.
The moat comes from OEM relationships, platform qualification cycles, safety validation, scale manufacturing, software and hardware integration, and engineering know-how. It is real but not absolute because large automakers keep pricing power.
The thesis fails if automakers squeeze supplier margins, China competition accelerates, software revenue does not scale, Versigent separation creates noise without better returns, or the company keeps reporting weak GAAP earnings versus adjusted profit.
Kevin Clark-led management should be judged by post-spin margin quality, free cash flow conversion, debt reduction, buyback timing, program execution, and whether the leaner base improves per-share value.
Aptiv is tied to automation, electrification, software-defined vehicles, edge AI, and robotics. These are long-term trends, but adoption is uneven and auto production remains cyclical.
At roughly 9.2x forward earnings and about 11x trailing free cash flow, the multiple looks low versus many technology suppliers, but margin of safety depends on clean post-spin earnings, cash flow, and a technical base above the $51.68 support.
Source-backed data
Every metric below includes a source and last verification date.
| Metric | Value | Source | Last verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| APTV price | $56.47 close on July 31, 2026 | StockAnalysis quote and statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Market capitalization | $11.95 billion, verified as $56.47 x 211.62 million shares | financial_rigor.py market cap verification | August 1, 2026 |
| Shares outstanding | 211.62 million shares | StockAnalysis statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| 52-week range | $51.68 to $88.93 | StockAnalysis quote | August 1, 2026 |
| FY2025 revenue | $20.40 billion, cross-checked against Macrotrends, Barchart, and StockAnalysis | Aptiv 2025 Form 10-K | August 1, 2026 |
| FY2025 net income attributable to Aptiv | $165 million, cross-checked against Macrotrends and Barchart | Aptiv Q4 2025 financial results | August 1, 2026 |
| FY2025 adjusted EPS | $7.82 adjusted EPS versus $0.75 GAAP diluted EPS | Aptiv Q4 2025 financial results | August 1, 2026 |
| Q1 2026 results | $5.09 billion revenue, $189 million GAAP net income, and $1.71 adjusted EPS, with free cash flow of negative $362 million | Aptiv Q1 2026 financial results | August 1, 2026 |
| 2026 New Aptiv guidance | $12.8 billion to $13.2 billion revenue, $5.70 to $6.10 adjusted EPS, and $650 million to $850 million free cash flow | Aptiv Q1 2026 financial results | August 1, 2026 |
| Share repurchases | Repurchased 1.0 million shares for $75 million in Q1 2026, with $2.0 billion remaining under the $5.0 billion authorization | Aptiv Q1 2026 financial results | August 1, 2026 |
| Insider ownership | 0.97% insider ownership, third-party statistics source | StockAnalysis statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Cash and net debt | $3.17 billion cash and roughly $6.71 billion net debt, based on StockAnalysis statistics as of August 2026 | StockAnalysis statistics | August 1, 2026 |
| Analyst consensus | Strong Buy from 20 analysts with a $77.67 average price target, low $65 and high $94 | StockAnalysis forecast | August 1, 2026 |
| Technical indicators | RSI 41.33, 50-day MA $61.84, 200-day MA $70.76, 52-week low $51.68 | StockAnalysis statistics | August 1, 2026 |
This APTV AI stock analysis page is an informational research tool only and is not investment advice, a rating, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Forecast ranges are scenarios based on available public data as of July 31, 2026, and may be wrong if Aptiv results, auto demand, market multiples, interest rates, technical conditions, or the August 4 Q2 report change the picture.
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