TSM technical analysis
TSM Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TSM Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- TSM
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 195.30 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Google Finance (independent) | 195.30 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
TSM Technical Analysis Summary
TSM shows a bullish daily trend within a strongly bullish weekly uptrend. The daily price at 195.30 holds above all key SMAs with a golden cross formation (SMA50 above SMA200). The daily MACD histogram is positive at 1.84, suggesting steady near-term momentum as the MACD line at 1.12 remains above the signal line at -0.72. The weekly chart confirms a powerful long-term uptrend with all SMAs in bullish ascending order, though the weekly MACD histogram at -1.23 signals modestly fading momentum after a sustained rally. Key support rests at 182.47 (20-day low) and 175.31 (50-day low). Resistance stands at 199.68 (20-day high) and 207.88 (52-week high). A breakout above 200 would strengthen the bullish case toward the 52-week high.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 195.30 is above SMA20 (188.55), SMA50 (183.27), and SMA200 (165.40). The SMA20 at 188.55 is above the SMA50 at 183.27, confirming short-term bullish alignment. The SMA50 is well above the SMA200, confirming a golden cross formation.
- Momentum
- Positive. RSI14 at 58.72 is in neutral-bullish territory, not yet overbought. MACD at 1.12 is above the zero line and above the signal line at -0.72, with a positive histogram at 1.84 signaling continued upward momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 5.89 (3.02% of price) reflects typical daily ranges for a large-cap semiconductor stock. Bollinger Bands (176.42 to 202.13) show price near the upper band at 195.30, suggesting slight short-term extension but not extreme.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest daily volume of 12,845,000 is 96.2% of the 20-period average (13,352,000), indicating consistent participation.
Assessment
Daily timeframe shows a constructive bullish structure with price trending above all key moving averages. The golden cross formation and positive MACD confirm the uptrend. The RSI at 58.72 leaves room for further upside. The price trading near the upper Bollinger Band reflects mild extension but remains within reasonable bounds for an ongoing trend.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bullish. Price at 193.68 is above SMA20 (178.42), SMA50 (167.19), and SMA200 (128.75). All weekly SMAs are in a bullish ascending order (SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200), confirming a strong long-term uptrend.
- Momentum
- Neutral with caution. RSI14 at 56.18 is near the midline, balanced. MACD at 4.87 is above the zero line but below the signal line at 6.10, with the histogram at -1.23. This weekly MACD bearish crossover reflects fading momentum after the sustained rally.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 10.24 (5.29% of price) shows manageable weekly ranges. Bollinger Bands (154.76 to 210.43) are reasonably wide, with price near the middle of the range.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 64,150,000 is 88.5% of the 20-week average (72,490,000).
Assessment
The weekly timeframe confirms a strongly bullish long-term trend with price well above all key SMAs. The RSI at 56.18 is in neutral territory. However, the bearish MACD crossover (MACD line below signal line) suggests near-term momentum has softened. The trend remains bullish but fading weekly momentum warrants monitoring for a potential trend change or consolidation phase.
Key indicators
TSM Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.72 | 56.18 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.12 / -0.72 / 1.84 | 4.87 / 6.10 / -1.23 |
| ATR (14) | 5.89 (3.02%) | 10.24 (5.29%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 176.42 - 202.13 | 154.76 - 210.43 |
| SMA (20) | 188.55 | 178.42 |
| SMA (50) | 183.27 | 167.19 |
| SMA (200) | 165.40 | 128.75 |
Price structure
TSM Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 195.30 | 193.68 |
| 1-Period Return | +2.14% | +3.47% |
| 5-Period Return | +4.88% | +1.95% |
| 20-Period Return | +6.31% | +8.52% |
| 60-Period Return | +12.74% | +28.36% |
| 252-Period Return | +52.80% | +210.45% |
| 52-Week Low | 128.40 | 128.40 |
| 52-Week High | 207.88 | 207.88 |
| 52-Week Position | 63.22% | 60.77% |
Key levels
TSM Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 199.68 | 207.88 |
| 20-Period Low | 182.47 | 165.18 |
| 60-Period High | 207.88 | 207.88 |
| 60-Period Low | 175.31 | 149.62 |
Scenarios
TSM Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above 199.68 (20-day high) with strong volume, targeting the 52-week high of 207.88.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 182.47.
What to watch
Sustained close above SMA20 (188.55) and MACD line staying above signal line on daily.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between 182.47 support and 199.68 resistance, with the MACD flattening near current levels.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with above-average volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60 on daily; volume declining into the consolidation.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below 182.47 (20-day low) and fails to reclaim SMA20.
Invalidation
Price reclaims the SMA20 (188.55) and holds above it.
What to watch
Sustained closes below SMA20; weekly MACD histogram turning further negative.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Google Finance (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
Related Tools
AI Chart Analyzer
Upload a TradingView chart screenshot and get instant AI-powered technical analysis. Identify patterns, support and resistance, and key levels.
Support and Resistance Calculator
Calculate key support and resistance levels for any stock. Identify potential price zones where reversals or breakouts may occur.
RSI Calculator
Calculate the Relative Strength Index for any stock. Determine overbought and oversold conditions with customizable periods.