TPL technical analysis
TPL Technical Analysis
Analysis date
August 5, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
August 4, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
TPL Data Verification
Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.
- Symbol
- TPL
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- August 4, 2026
Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.
| Validation series | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calculation series | 395.52 | August 4, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Verification series | 395.87 | August 4, 2026 | 0.09% | Verified |
Bottom line
TPL Technical Analysis Summary
TPL shows a mixed technical picture as of the August 4, 2026 data cutoff. On the daily chart, price at 395.52 sits below SMA20 (406.50) and just below SMA50 (395.66) but remains above SMA200 (385.42), with RSI at 46.51 and a negative MACD histogram indicating soft short-term momentum. The weekly chart shows price at 402.58 below weekly SMA20 (415.50) but above SMA50 (372.15) and SMA200 (291.67), keeping the longer-term uptrend intact while the prior advance cools. Key support is at 377.83 (20-day low) and 348.46 (60-day low); resistance is at 437.30 (20-day high) and 444.00 (60-day high). A sustained move above 444.00 would re-establish upside momentum, while a close below 377.83 would open a deeper pullback toward 348.46.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (August 4, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 395.52 is below SMA20 (406.50) and slightly below SMA50 (395.66) but above SMA200 (385.42). The moving averages remain in bullish alignment with SMA20 above SMA50 above SMA200, but price has slipped below the two shorter-term averages.
- Momentum
- Neutral-to-Bearish. RSI14 at 46.51 is in neutral territory and slightly below the 50 midpoint. MACD at -0.05 is below the signal line at 2.25 with a negative histogram of -2.30, indicating short-term momentum has turned down after a period of positive momentum.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 16.56 (4.19% of price) reflects average daily ranges. Bollinger Bands (381.43 to 431.58) contain price in the lower half, between the middle and lower bands, consistent with the recent pullback.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 246,462 is 89.2% of the 20-period average (276,413), indicating modest participation with no strong buying or selling conviction.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a mixed-to-cautious setup. Price is below SMA20 and SMA50 but holds above SMA200, and the MACD histogram is negative with RSI just under 50. Support sits at 377.83 (20-day low) and 348.46 (60-day low), while resistance is at 437.30 (20-day high) and 444.00 (60-day high). A reclaim of the SMA20 to SMA50 zone around 396 to 406 would turn the short-term picture positive; a close below 377.83 would raise the risk of a deeper pullback.
Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 402.58 is below SMA20 (415.50) but above SMA50 (372.15) and SMA200 (291.67). The weekly moving averages remain in bullish order, and the longer-term uptrend from the 2022 lows stays intact, though price has pulled back below the short-term weekly average.
- Momentum
- Neutral-to-Bearish. RSI14 at 50.24 sits right at the midpoint. MACD at 2.65 is below the signal line at 5.11 with a negative histogram of -2.46, showing momentum on the weekly scale has cooled after the earlier strong advance.
- Volatility
- Elevated. ATR14 at 39.25 (9.75% of price) reflects wide weekly ranges consistent with TPL trading at elevated absolute price levels.
- Volume
- Below average. Weekly volume of 1,514,100 is 73.5% of the 20-week average (2,059,150), indicating reduced participation during the pullback.
Assessment
The weekly chart suggests a consolidation within a longer-term uptrend. Price holding above SMA50 (372.15) and SMA200 (291.67) keeps the structural uptrend intact, while the negative MACD histogram and a close below SMA20 (415.50) point to a cooling period. The 348.46 area (20-week low) is the key weekly support to watch, and 544.17 to 545.74 (20-week and 60-week highs) remains the resistance zone.
Key indicators
TPL Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.51 | 50.24 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.05 / 2.25 / -2.30 | 2.65 / 5.11 / -2.46 |
| ATR (14) | 16.56 (4.19%) | 39.25 (9.75%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 381.43 - 431.58 | 337.78 - 493.22 |
| SMA (20) | 406.50 | 415.50 |
| SMA (50) | 395.66 | 372.15 |
| SMA (200) | 385.42 | 291.67 |
Price structure
TPL Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 395.52 | 402.58 |
| 1-Period Return | -2.62% | -4.02% |
| 5-Period Return | +1.57% | +1.72% |
| 20-Period Return | -1.80% | -24.09% |
| 60-Period Return | -0.74% | +9.17% |
| 252-Period Return | +27.73% | +227.30% |
| 52-Week Low | 268.51 | 268.51 |
| 52-Week High | 545.74 | 545.74 |
| 52-Week Position | 45.81% | 48.36% |
Key levels
TPL Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 437.30 | 544.17 |
| 20-Period Low | 377.83 | 348.46 |
| 60-Period High | 444.00 | 545.74 |
| 60-Period Low | 348.46 | 268.51 |
Scenarios
TPL Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price closes back above the SMA20 to SMA50 zone near 396 to 406 and then breaks above the 20-day high at 437.30 on above-average volume, with the MACD histogram turning positive.
Invalidation
Price falls below the 20-day low of 377.83.
What to watch
Daily RSI moving above 55; MACD histogram turning positive; volume rising above the 20-period average; sustained closes above 437.30.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between the 377.83 support and the 437.30 to 444.00 resistance zone.
Invalidation
A decisive break of either boundary with expanding volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 40 and 60; volume remaining near average; MACD histogram oscillating near zero.
Bearish
Trigger
Price closes below the 20-day low at 377.83, opening a pullback toward the 60-day low at 348.46.
Invalidation
Price reclaims SMA20 at 406.50 on the daily chart.
What to watch
Sustained closes below 377.83; downside volume increasing; weekly MACD histogram deepening further negative; RSI breaking below 40.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.
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