SW technical analysis

SW Technical Analysis

Analysis date

August 5, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

August 4, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

SW Data Verification

Checking the latest completed daily bar for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated.

Symbol
SW
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
August 4, 2026

Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Date and closing-price consistency checks passed for the latest completed daily bar.

Validation seriesLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Calculation series48.52August 4, 2026-Verified
Verification series48.50August 4, 20260.04%Verified

Bottom line

SW Technical Analysis Summary

SW (Smurfit WestRock) shows a bullish technical structure as of the August 4, 2026 daily cutoff. Daily price at 48.52 sits above SMA20 (45.45), SMA50 (44.11), and SMA200 (40.84) in a bullish alignment, RSI14 is at 58.65, and the MACD histogram is positive at 0.15. The stock advanced to a 20-day high of 51.99, pulled back to around 46.88, and bounced 3.50% on the latest session. The weekly chart is also bullish with price above all weekly moving averages and RSI at 56.25. Key support is at the 20-day low of 41.14 and the 60-day low of 35.53. Resistance is at the 20-day, 60-day, and 52-week high of 51.99. The latest bounce came on below-average daily volume, so volume confirmation is needed on any move above 51.99.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (August 4, 2026)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 48.52 is above SMA20 (45.45), SMA50 (44.11), and SMA200 (40.84). The moving averages are stacked in ascending order with SMA200 sloping upward, giving the daily chart a clear bullish alignment. Price pulled back from the 20-day high of 51.99 and reclaimed ground above the SMA20 on the latest up day.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 58.65 is above the 50 midline, showing positive momentum without overbought conditions. MACD at 1.14 is above the signal line at 0.99 with a positive histogram of 0.15, confirming the near-term upside bias.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 2.07 (4.27% of price) reflects normal daily swings. Bollinger Bands (40.26 to 50.64) are moderately wide, and price at 48.52 trades in the upper portion of the bands, consistent with the recent uptrend.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 3,574,189 is 66.8% of the 20-period average (5,351,484), indicating light participation on the latest bounce. Expanding volume would be needed to confirm any move above the recent high.

Assessment

The daily chart is in a bullish trend with price above all key moving averages in ascending order. RSI at 58.65 and a positive MACD histogram support the upside bias. The stock advanced from around 45.00 to a 20-day high of 51.99, then pulled back to roughly 46.88 before bouncing 3.50% on the latest session. The bounce came on below-average volume, so a confirmed break above 51.99 should arrive with higher participation. Support sits at the SMA20 (45.45) and the 20-day low of 41.14; a sustained break below the 20-day low would shift the near-term structure.

Weekly (July 27, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 45.97 is above SMA20 (41.90), SMA50 (41.26), and SMA200 (39.49). The weekly moving averages are in a healthy ascending order with SMA200 sloping upward, confirming the longer-term uptrend. The 20-week return of +16.97% reflects the strength of the recent advance.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 56.25 is above the 50 midline. MACD at 1.44 is above the signal line at 0.83 with a positive histogram of 0.61, confirming upward momentum on the weekly timeframe.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 4.09 (8.91% of price) reflects wider weekly ranges after the strong move. Bollinger Bands (35.16 to 48.64) are wide, with price near the upper band, consistent with the uptrend.
Volume
Above average. Weekly volume of 35,654,500 is 133.3% of the 20-week average (26,752,640), showing solid participation during the rally.

Assessment

The weekly timeframe confirms the bullish structure. Price is above all weekly moving averages in ascending order, RSI is above 50, and the MACD histogram is positive. The latest completed week closed at 45.97 after a 5.33% pullback from the recent peak, so the weekly view also reflects profit-taking after the run to 51.99. The 52-week position at 69.77% leaves room toward the 52-week high of 51.99. Elevated ATR is the main caution, as wider swings increase risk.

Key indicators

SW Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)58.6556.25
MACD (12, 26, 9)1.14 / 0.99 / 0.151.44 / 0.83 / 0.61
ATR (14)2.07 (4.27%)4.09 (8.91%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)40.26 - 50.6435.16 - 48.64
SMA (20)45.4541.90
SMA (50)44.1141.26
SMA (200)40.8439.49

Price structure

SW Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price48.5245.97
1-Period Return+3.50%-5.33%
5-Period Return-4.49%-2.15%
20-Period Return+7.82%+16.97%
60-Period Return+17.88%+9.36%
252-Period Return+12.74%+1.69%
52-Week Low32.0832.08
52-Week High51.9951.99
52-Week Position82.58%69.77%

Key levels

SW Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High51.9951.99
20-Period Low41.1435.53
60-Period High51.9951.99
60-Period Low35.5332.08

Scenarios

SW Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks and holds above the 20-day, 60-day, and 52-week high at 51.99 with above-average daily volume, extending into new highs.

Invalidation

Price breaks below the SMA20 at 45.45 and then the 20-day low at 41.14.

What to watch

Expanding volume on any breakout day; daily RSI holding above 50; the MACD histogram continuing to rise; a weekly close above 51.99.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between support at the SMA20 (45.45) and the 20-day low at 41.14 on the downside and the 51.99 high on the upside.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with rising volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 65; volume staying near or below the 20-period average; the MACD histogram flattening toward zero.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 41.14, targeting the 60-day low at 35.53 and the 52-week low at 32.08.

Invalidation

Price reclaims and holds above the SMA20 at 45.45 with expanding volume.

What to watch

Sustained closes below the SMA50 (44.11); daily RSI dropping below 45; increasing downside volume; the weekly MACD histogram turning negative.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis is calculated locally from adjusted OHLCV history. The daily series ends August 4, 2026, and the weekly series ends July 27, 2026 week. The latest completed daily bar is independently checked for date and closing-price consistency. Historical prices are adjusted for corporate actions when applicable. Indicators include Wilder RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9), SMA20/50/200, Wilder ATR(14), Bollinger Bands(20,2), relative volume, multi-period returns, and price-range levels. Support and resistance are descriptive zones, not guaranteed reversal points. Historical patterns do not predict future prices, and this page is not investment advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Market data is checked for date and closing-price consistency before indicators are calculated. Data cutoffs: daily August 4, 2026, weekly July 27, 2026 week. Generated August 5, 2026.