SW technical analysis

SW Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 15, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 14, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

SW Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
SW
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 14, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)42.91July 14, 2026-Verified
Google Finance (independent)42.91July 14, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

SW Technical Analysis Summary

SW (Smurfit WestRock) shows a mixed daily picture with price below SMA20 (44.84) but above SMA50 (41.93) and SMA200 (40.46), indicating short-term weakness within a broader uptrend. The weekly chart is more clearly bullish with price above all key moving averages and a positive MACD. RSI14 is at 46.64 daily and 54.80 weekly, reflecting neutral to slightly positive conditions. Key support is at the 20-day low of 41.14 and the 60-day low of 35.53. Resistance is at the 20-day high of 47.86 and 52-week high of 51.63. A close above the SMA20 at 44.84 would confirm near-term improvement; a break below 41.14 would suggest further weakness.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 14, 2026)

Trend
Mixed. Price at 42.91 is below SMA20 (44.84, -4.30%) but above SMA50 (41.93, +2.34%) and SMA200 (40.46, +6.05%). SMA20 is below SMA50, creating a mixed short-term alignment. SMA200 slopes upward, providing a long-term bullish foundation. The SMA20 resistance at 44.84 caps near-term upside.
Momentum
Slightly bearish. RSI14 at 46.64 is below the 50 midline, indicating weak momentum. MACD at 0.35 is below the signal line at 0.86 with a negative histogram of -0.50, confirming bearish short-term momentum. The MACD line remains above zero, so the bearish signal is moderate rather than severe.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 1.77 (4.12% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 4.1%. Bollinger Bands (41.99 to 47.68) show price near the lower band, reflecting recent selling pressure. Band width is moderate.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume of 3,844,906 is 61.3% of the 20-period average (6,268,230), indicating reduced participation in the latest session.

Assessment

The daily chart shows a mixed-to-cautious picture. Price is in no-mans-land between SMA20 resistance and SMA50 support. The RSI below 50 and negative MACD histogram suggest lack of near-term buying conviction. Below-average volume confirms reduced participation. A move above SMA20 at 44.84 would signal near-term improvement; a breakdown below the 20-day low at 41.14 would suggest further downside. The upward sloping SMA200 provides a long-term anchor.

Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)

Trend
Bullish. Price at 44.23 is above SMA20 (41.37), SMA50 (41.03), and SMA200 (39.18). All three weekly SMAs are in a healthy ascending order. SMA200 is sloping upward, confirming the long-term uptrend. The gap between SMA20 and SMA200 reflects sustained upward structure.
Momentum
Bullish. RSI14 at 54.80 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum. MACD at 1.00 is above the signal line at 0.37 with a positive histogram of 0.62, confirming bullish momentum on the weekly timeframe.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 3.78 (8.54% of price) reflects wider weekly ranges, typical for a stock in a transitional or volatile phase. Bollinger Bands (35.32 to 47.41) are wide, with price near the upper half, consistent with the bullish trend.
Volume
Above average. Weekly volume of 30,066,600 is 110.9% of the 20-week average (27,107,295), confirming participation in the recent upward movement.

Assessment

The weekly timeframe provides a more constructive view than the daily. Price is above all key SMAs with bullish alignment. The RSI above 50 and positive MACD histogram confirm upward momentum. Above-average volume supports the move. The 52-week position at 62.2% shows room for further upside. The main caveat is the elevated ATR, which signals that price swings are wider than normal.

Key indicators

SW Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)46.6454.80
MACD (12, 26, 9)0.35 / 0.86 / -0.501.00 / 0.37 / 0.62
ATR (14)1.77 (4.12%)3.78 (8.54%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)42.00 - 47.6835.32 - 47.41
SMA (20)44.8441.37
SMA (50)41.9341.03
SMA (200)40.4639.18

Price structure

SW Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price42.9144.23
1-Period Return-0.56%-3.70%
5-Period Return-4.64%+7.15%
20-Period Return-0.95%-8.22%
60-Period Return+5.34%-2.27%
252-Period Return-6.31%-6.60%
52-Week Low32.0832.08
52-Week High51.6351.63
52-Week Position55.41%62.16%

Key levels

SW Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High47.8647.86
20-Period Low41.1435.53
60-Period High47.8651.63
60-Period Low35.5332.08

Scenarios

SW Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 at 44.84 on the daily chart, followed by a move above the 20-day high at 47.86 with above-average volume.

Invalidation

Price breaks below the 20-day low of 41.14 and then the 60-day low of 35.53.

What to watch

Sustained close above 44.84 followed by daily RSI recovering above 50; MACD histogram turning positive on the daily chart.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between SMA20 resistance at 44.84 and the 20-day low support at 41.14.

Invalidation

A decisive break of either boundary with increasing volume and confirming RSI divergence.

What to watch

RSI fluctuating between 40 and 55 on the daily; MACD histogram remaining near zero; volume staying below the 20-period average.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 41.14, targeting the 60-day low at 35.53 and the 52-week low at 32.08.

Invalidation

Price reclaims the SMA20 at 44.84 and holds above it with expanding volume.

What to watch

Sustained closes below SMA50 (41.93); daily RSI trending below 40; increasing downside volume; weekly MACD histogram turning negative.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Google Finance (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.